La escuela de los momios

Chengdu Rongcheng FC v Shandong Luneng Taishan FC

Inicio: 2026-05-30 11:35 UTC

Final: Chengdu Rongcheng FC 1–0 Shandong Luneng Taishan FC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

47 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Chengdu Rongcheng FC (Local)

Predicción 53.53%1.87momio equitativo
EV -0.974%
Ventaja -0.527%
Kelly -1.15%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.85

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.76%53.45%53.54%54.72%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.651.721.711.8560.61%58.18%58.48%54.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Shandong Luneng Taishan FC (Visitante)

Predicción 23.12%4.33momio equitativo
EV -0.582%
Ventaja -0.135%
Kelly -0.176%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.76%23.22%23.09%24.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.603.994.004.3027.78%25.05%25.00%23.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 23.35%4.28momio equitativo
EV -1.92%
Ventaja -0.457%
Kelly -0.600%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.20%23.32%23.37%25.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.913.954.2030.30%25.59%25.32%23.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
GTbets1.85I 54.05%NM 51.76%EV -0.974%E -0.527%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.94%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.30%EV -7.99%E -2.03%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-30 10:40
Pinnacle1.79I 55.87%NM 53.68%EV -4.19%E -2.34%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.88%EV -2.89%E -0.689%K -0.904%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.44%EV -4.26%E -1.04%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-30 11:30
DraftKings1.77I 56.50%NM 53.36%EV -5.26%E -2.97%K -6.83%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%EV -5.21%E -1.27%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-30 11:30
Bovada1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -5.79%E -3.29%K -7.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-30 11:20
BetUS1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -5.79%E -3.29%K -7.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-30 11:30
BetOnline.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 53.93%EV -6.33%E -3.62%K -8.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -2.89%E -0.689%K -0.904%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-30 11:30
LowVig.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 53.93%EV -6.33%E -3.62%K -8.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -2.89%E -0.689%K -0.904%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-30 11:30
Coolbet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.93%EV -6.33%E -3.62%K -8.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -2.89%E -0.689%K -0.904%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-30 11:20
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.33%E -3.62%K -8.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-30 10:40
Unibet (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.33%E -3.62%K -8.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-30 11:00
Betway1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -6.33%E -3.62%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -12.14%E -3.20%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -1.92%E -0.457%K -0.600%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-30 11:00
PointsBet (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -6.33%E -3.62%K -8.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -8.93%E -2.29%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-30 11:20
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 52.21%EV -6.33%E -3.62%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV -9.83%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -12.43%E -3.31%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-30 11:30
William Hill1.75I 57.14%NM 52.21%EV -6.33%E -3.62%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV -9.83%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -12.43%E -3.31%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-30 11:29
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.21%EV -6.33%E -3.62%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV -9.83%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -12.43%E -3.31%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-30 11:30
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.21%EV -6.33%E -3.62%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV -9.83%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -12.43%E -3.31%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-30 11:30
Marathon Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.40%E -4.28%K -10.13%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.90%EV -6.36%E -1.57%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.48%EV -7.76%E -1.96%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-30 11:30
Codere (IT)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.15%EV -7.40%E -4.28%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.58%EV -9.83%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.28%EV -7.76%E -1.96%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-30 11:00
Bet Right1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -7.40%E -4.28%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.21%EV -8.67%E -2.20%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.81%EV -10.09%E -2.62%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-30 11:20
betfred_uk1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -7.40%E -4.28%K -10.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -12.43%E -3.31%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-30 11:19
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 53.45%EV -7.93%E -4.61%K -11.02%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -8.67%E -2.20%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -7.76%E -1.96%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-30 11:00
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 53.45%EV -7.93%E -4.61%K -11.02%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -8.67%E -2.20%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -7.76%E -1.96%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-30 11:00
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 52.48%EV -7.93%E -4.61%K -11.02%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.45%EV -10.99%E -2.85%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -12.43%E -3.31%K -4.52%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-30 11:10
1xBet1.71I 58.48%NM 54.72%EV -8.47%E -4.95%K -11.93%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.76%EV -0.582%E -0.135%K -0.176%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.51%EV -7.06%E -1.77%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-30 11:30
FanDuel1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -8.47%E -4.95%K -11.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-30 11:19
Unibet (NL)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.65%EV -9.00%E -5.30%K -12.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -2.89%E -0.689%K -0.904%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-30 10:39
Grosvenor1.70I 58.82%NM 54.65%EV -9.00%E -5.30%K -12.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -2.89%E -0.689%K -0.904%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-30 10:39
Unibet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.65%EV -9.00%E -5.30%K -12.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -2.89%E -0.689%K -0.904%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-30 10:40
Unibet (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.65%EV -9.00%E -5.30%K -12.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -2.89%E -0.689%K -0.904%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-30 10:40
TABtouch1.70I 58.82%NM 54.65%EV -9.00%E -5.30%K -12.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -2.89%E -0.689%K -0.904%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-30 10:40
betPARX1.70I 58.82%NM 54.65%EV -9.00%E -5.30%K -12.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -2.89%E -0.689%K -0.904%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-30 10:40
BetRivers1.70I 58.82%NM 54.36%EV -9.00%E -5.30%K -12.86%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.54%EV -5.21%E -1.27%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-30 10:40
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -9.00%E -5.30%K -12.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-30 10:40
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 54.04%EV -9.00%E -5.30%K -12.86%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -5.21%E -1.27%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -8.93%E -2.29%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-30 11:30
Winamax (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.41%EV -9.00%E -5.30%K -12.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -12.14%E -3.20%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-30 11:00
Everygame1.70I 58.82%NM 53.26%EV -9.00%E -5.30%K -12.86%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.22%EV -9.83%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.52%EV -10.09%E -2.62%K -3.54%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-30 11:20
Paddy Power1.70I 58.82%NM 52.78%EV -9.00%E -5.30%K -12.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.61%EV -12.14%E -3.20%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.61%EV -11.26%E -2.96%K -4.02%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-30 11:19
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 52.76%EV -9.00%E -5.30%K -12.86%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -9.83%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -13.60%E -3.67%K -5.04%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-30 11:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 52.76%EV -9.00%E -5.30%K -12.86%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -9.83%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -13.60%E -3.67%K -5.04%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-30 11:10
LeoVegas1.68I 59.52%NM 54.65%EV -10.07%E -6.00%K -14.81%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -5.21%E -1.27%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-30 10:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.64%EV -10.61%E -6.35%K -15.83%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -5.21%E -1.27%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.10%EV -7.76%E -1.96%K -2.63%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-30 10:40
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 52.54%EV -10.61%E -6.35%K -15.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.37%EV -16.77%E -4.66%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.09%EV -11.26%E -2.96%K -4.02%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-30 11:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 50.76%EV -10.61%E -6.35%K -15.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.55%EV -16.77%E -4.66%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.69%EV -22.94%E -6.95%K -9.97%G +0.000%18.0%2026-05-30 11:14
Winamax (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 52.85%EV -11.14%E -6.71%K -16.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.37%EV -16.77%E -4.66%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.79%EV -10.09%E -2.62%K -3.54%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-30 11:00
LiveScore Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 54.48%EV -11.68%E -7.08%K -17.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -8.93%E -2.29%K -3.08%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-30 10:40
Virgin Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 54.48%EV -11.68%E -7.08%K -17.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -8.93%E -2.29%K -3.08%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-30 10:40
Unibet (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 53.02%EV -11.68%E -7.08%K -17.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.65%EV -14.45%E -3.91%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.33%EV -12.43%E -3.31%K -4.52%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-30 11:09
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.84I 54.35%NM 53.87%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.53%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.60%0.9%2026-05-30 11:30
Matchbook1.84I 54.35%NM 53.87%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.53%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.60%0.9%2026-05-30 11:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.84I 54.35%NM 53.59%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.93%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.48%1.4%2026-05-30 11:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.84I 54.35%NM 53.59%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.93%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.48%1.4%2026-05-30 11:30
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 53.91%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.56%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.53%1.9%2026-05-30 11:30