مدرسة الاحتمالات

Chengdu Rongcheng FC v Shandong Luneng Taishan FC

البداية: 2026-05-30 11:35 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Chengdu Rongcheng FC 1–0 Shandong Luneng Taishan FC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

47 شركة مراهنات (17 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Chengdu Rongcheng FC (المضيف)

التنبؤ 53.53%1.87السعر العادل
EV -0.974%
الأفضلية -0.527%
Kelly -1.15%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.85

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
50.76%53.45%53.54%54.72%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.651.721.711.8560.61%58.18%58.48%54.05%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Shandong Luneng Taishan FC (الضيف)

التنبؤ 23.12%4.33السعر العادل
EV -0.582%
الأفضلية -0.135%
Kelly -0.176%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.30

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
21.76%23.22%23.09%24.53%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.603.994.004.3027.78%25.05%25.00%23.26%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 23.35%4.28السعر العادل
EV -1.92%
الأفضلية -0.457%
Kelly -0.600%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.20

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
22.20%23.32%23.37%25.69%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.303.913.954.2030.30%25.59%25.32%23.81%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (47 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
GTbets1.85I 54.05%NM 51.76%EV -0.974%E -0.527%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.94%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.30%EV -7.99%E -2.03%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-30 10:40
Pinnacle1.79I 55.87%NM 53.68%EV -4.19%E -2.34%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.88%EV -2.89%E -0.689%K -0.904%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.44%EV -4.26%E -1.04%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-30 11:30
DraftKings1.77I 56.50%NM 53.36%EV -5.26%E -2.97%K -6.83%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%EV -5.21%E -1.27%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-30 11:30
Bovada1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -5.79%E -3.29%K -7.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-30 11:20
BetUS1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -5.79%E -3.29%K -7.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-30 11:30
BetOnline.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 53.93%EV -6.33%E -3.62%K -8.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -2.89%E -0.689%K -0.904%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-30 11:30
LowVig.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 53.93%EV -6.33%E -3.62%K -8.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -2.89%E -0.689%K -0.904%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-30 11:30
Coolbet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.93%EV -6.33%E -3.62%K -8.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -2.89%E -0.689%K -0.904%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-30 11:20
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.33%E -3.62%K -8.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-30 10:40
Unibet (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.33%E -3.62%K -8.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-30 11:00
Betway1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -6.33%E -3.62%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -12.14%E -3.20%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -1.92%E -0.457%K -0.600%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-30 11:00
PointsBet (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -6.33%E -3.62%K -8.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -8.93%E -2.29%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-30 11:20
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 52.21%EV -6.33%E -3.62%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV -9.83%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -12.43%E -3.31%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-30 11:30
William Hill1.75I 57.14%NM 52.21%EV -6.33%E -3.62%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV -9.83%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -12.43%E -3.31%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-30 11:29
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.21%EV -6.33%E -3.62%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV -9.83%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -12.43%E -3.31%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-30 11:30
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.21%EV -6.33%E -3.62%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV -9.83%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -12.43%E -3.31%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-30 11:30
Marathon Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.40%E -4.28%K -10.13%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.90%EV -6.36%E -1.57%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.48%EV -7.76%E -1.96%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-30 11:30
Codere (IT)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.15%EV -7.40%E -4.28%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.58%EV -9.83%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.28%EV -7.76%E -1.96%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-30 11:00
Bet Right1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -7.40%E -4.28%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.21%EV -8.67%E -2.20%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.81%EV -10.09%E -2.62%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-30 11:20
betfred_uk1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -7.40%E -4.28%K -10.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -12.43%E -3.31%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-30 11:19
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 53.45%EV -7.93%E -4.61%K -11.02%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -8.67%E -2.20%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -7.76%E -1.96%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-30 11:00
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 53.45%EV -7.93%E -4.61%K -11.02%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -8.67%E -2.20%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -7.76%E -1.96%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-30 11:00
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 52.48%EV -7.93%E -4.61%K -11.02%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.45%EV -10.99%E -2.85%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -12.43%E -3.31%K -4.52%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-30 11:10
1xBet1.71I 58.48%NM 54.72%EV -8.47%E -4.95%K -11.93%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.76%EV -0.582%E -0.135%K -0.176%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.51%EV -7.06%E -1.77%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-30 11:30
FanDuel1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -8.47%E -4.95%K -11.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-30 11:19
Unibet (NL)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.65%EV -9.00%E -5.30%K -12.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -2.89%E -0.689%K -0.904%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-30 10:39
Grosvenor1.70I 58.82%NM 54.65%EV -9.00%E -5.30%K -12.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -2.89%E -0.689%K -0.904%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-30 10:39
Unibet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.65%EV -9.00%E -5.30%K -12.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -2.89%E -0.689%K -0.904%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-30 10:40
Unibet (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.65%EV -9.00%E -5.30%K -12.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -2.89%E -0.689%K -0.904%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-30 10:40
TABtouch1.70I 58.82%NM 54.65%EV -9.00%E -5.30%K -12.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -2.89%E -0.689%K -0.904%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-30 10:40
betPARX1.70I 58.82%NM 54.65%EV -9.00%E -5.30%K -12.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -2.89%E -0.689%K -0.904%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-30 10:40
BetRivers1.70I 58.82%NM 54.36%EV -9.00%E -5.30%K -12.86%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.54%EV -5.21%E -1.27%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-30 10:40
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -9.00%E -5.30%K -12.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-30 10:40
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 54.04%EV -9.00%E -5.30%K -12.86%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -5.21%E -1.27%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -8.93%E -2.29%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-30 11:30
Winamax (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.41%EV -9.00%E -5.30%K -12.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -12.14%E -3.20%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-30 11:00
Everygame1.70I 58.82%NM 53.26%EV -9.00%E -5.30%K -12.86%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.22%EV -9.83%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.52%EV -10.09%E -2.62%K -3.54%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-30 11:20
Paddy Power1.70I 58.82%NM 52.78%EV -9.00%E -5.30%K -12.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.61%EV -12.14%E -3.20%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.61%EV -11.26%E -2.96%K -4.02%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-30 11:19
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 52.76%EV -9.00%E -5.30%K -12.86%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -9.83%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -13.60%E -3.67%K -5.04%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-30 11:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 52.76%EV -9.00%E -5.30%K -12.86%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -9.83%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -13.60%E -3.67%K -5.04%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-30 11:10
LeoVegas1.68I 59.52%NM 54.65%EV -10.07%E -6.00%K -14.81%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -5.21%E -1.27%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-30 10:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.64%EV -10.61%E -6.35%K -15.83%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -5.21%E -1.27%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.10%EV -7.76%E -1.96%K -2.63%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-30 10:40
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 52.54%EV -10.61%E -6.35%K -15.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.37%EV -16.77%E -4.66%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.09%EV -11.26%E -2.96%K -4.02%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-30 11:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 50.76%EV -10.61%E -6.35%K -15.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.55%EV -16.77%E -4.66%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.69%EV -22.94%E -6.95%K -9.97%G +0.000%18.0%2026-05-30 11:14
Winamax (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 52.85%EV -11.14%E -6.71%K -16.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.37%EV -16.77%E -4.66%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.79%EV -10.09%E -2.62%K -3.54%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-30 11:00
LiveScore Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 54.48%EV -11.68%E -7.08%K -17.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -8.93%E -2.29%K -3.08%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-30 10:40
Virgin Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 54.48%EV -11.68%E -7.08%K -17.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -8.93%E -2.29%K -3.08%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-30 10:40
Unibet (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 53.02%EV -11.68%E -7.08%K -17.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.65%EV -14.45%E -3.91%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.33%EV -12.43%E -3.31%K -4.52%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-30 11:09
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.84I 54.35%NM 53.87%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.53%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.60%0.9%2026-05-30 11:30
Matchbook1.84I 54.35%NM 53.87%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.53%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.60%0.9%2026-05-30 11:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.84I 54.35%NM 53.59%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.93%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.48%1.4%2026-05-30 11:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.84I 54.35%NM 53.59%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.93%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.48%1.4%2026-05-30 11:30
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 53.91%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.56%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.53%1.9%2026-05-30 11:30