L’École des cotes

Chengdu Rongcheng FC v Shandong Luneng Taishan FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-30 11:35 UTC

Score final : Chengdu Rongcheng FC 1–0 Shandong Luneng Taishan FC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

47 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Chengdu Rongcheng FC (Local)

Prévision 53.53%1.87cote équitable
EV -0.974%
Avantage -0.527%
Kelly -1.15%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.76%53.45%53.54%54.72%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.651.721.711.8560.61%58.18%58.48%54.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Shandong Luneng Taishan FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 23.12%4.33cote équitable
EV -0.582%
Avantage -0.135%
Kelly -0.176%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.76%23.22%23.09%24.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.603.994.004.3027.78%25.05%25.00%23.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 23.35%4.28cote équitable
EV -1.92%
Avantage -0.457%
Kelly -0.600%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.20%23.32%23.37%25.69%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.913.954.2030.30%25.59%25.32%23.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
GTbets1.85I 54.05%NM 51.76%EV -0.974%E -0.527%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.94%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.30%EV -7.99%E -2.03%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-30 10:40
Pinnacle1.79I 55.87%NM 53.68%EV -4.19%E -2.34%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.88%EV -2.89%E -0.689%K -0.904%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.44%EV -4.26%E -1.04%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-30 11:30
DraftKings1.77I 56.50%NM 53.36%EV -5.26%E -2.97%K -6.83%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%EV -5.21%E -1.27%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-30 11:30
Bovada1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -5.79%E -3.29%K -7.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-30 11:20
BetUS1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -5.79%E -3.29%K -7.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-30 11:30
BetOnline.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 53.93%EV -6.33%E -3.62%K -8.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -2.89%E -0.689%K -0.904%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-30 11:30
LowVig.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 53.93%EV -6.33%E -3.62%K -8.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -2.89%E -0.689%K -0.904%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-30 11:30
Coolbet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.93%EV -6.33%E -3.62%K -8.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -2.89%E -0.689%K -0.904%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-30 11:20
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.33%E -3.62%K -8.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-30 10:40
Unibet (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.33%E -3.62%K -8.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-30 11:00
Betway1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -6.33%E -3.62%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -12.14%E -3.20%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -1.92%E -0.457%K -0.600%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-30 11:00
PointsBet (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -6.33%E -3.62%K -8.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -8.93%E -2.29%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-30 11:20
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 52.21%EV -6.33%E -3.62%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV -9.83%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -12.43%E -3.31%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-30 11:30
William Hill1.75I 57.14%NM 52.21%EV -6.33%E -3.62%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV -9.83%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -12.43%E -3.31%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-30 11:29
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.21%EV -6.33%E -3.62%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV -9.83%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -12.43%E -3.31%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-30 11:30
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.21%EV -6.33%E -3.62%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV -9.83%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -12.43%E -3.31%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-30 11:30
Marathon Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.40%E -4.28%K -10.13%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.90%EV -6.36%E -1.57%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.48%EV -7.76%E -1.96%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-30 11:30
Codere (IT)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.15%EV -7.40%E -4.28%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.58%EV -9.83%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.28%EV -7.76%E -1.96%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-30 11:00
Bet Right1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -7.40%E -4.28%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.21%EV -8.67%E -2.20%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.81%EV -10.09%E -2.62%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-30 11:20
betfred_uk1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -7.40%E -4.28%K -10.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -12.43%E -3.31%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-30 11:19
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 53.45%EV -7.93%E -4.61%K -11.02%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -8.67%E -2.20%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -7.76%E -1.96%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-30 11:00
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 53.45%EV -7.93%E -4.61%K -11.02%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -8.67%E -2.20%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -7.76%E -1.96%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-30 11:00
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 52.48%EV -7.93%E -4.61%K -11.02%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.45%EV -10.99%E -2.85%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -12.43%E -3.31%K -4.52%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-30 11:10
1xBet1.71I 58.48%NM 54.72%EV -8.47%E -4.95%K -11.93%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.76%EV -0.582%E -0.135%K -0.176%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.51%EV -7.06%E -1.77%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-30 11:30
FanDuel1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -8.47%E -4.95%K -11.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-30 11:19
Unibet (NL)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.65%EV -9.00%E -5.30%K -12.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -2.89%E -0.689%K -0.904%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-30 10:39
Grosvenor1.70I 58.82%NM 54.65%EV -9.00%E -5.30%K -12.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -2.89%E -0.689%K -0.904%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-30 10:39
Unibet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.65%EV -9.00%E -5.30%K -12.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -2.89%E -0.689%K -0.904%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-30 10:40
Unibet (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.65%EV -9.00%E -5.30%K -12.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -2.89%E -0.689%K -0.904%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-30 10:40
TABtouch1.70I 58.82%NM 54.65%EV -9.00%E -5.30%K -12.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -2.89%E -0.689%K -0.904%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-30 10:40
betPARX1.70I 58.82%NM 54.65%EV -9.00%E -5.30%K -12.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -2.89%E -0.689%K -0.904%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-30 10:40
BetRivers1.70I 58.82%NM 54.36%EV -9.00%E -5.30%K -12.86%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.54%EV -5.21%E -1.27%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-30 10:40
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -9.00%E -5.30%K -12.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-30 10:40
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 54.04%EV -9.00%E -5.30%K -12.86%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -5.21%E -1.27%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -8.93%E -2.29%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-30 11:30
Winamax (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.41%EV -9.00%E -5.30%K -12.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -12.14%E -3.20%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-30 11:00
Everygame1.70I 58.82%NM 53.26%EV -9.00%E -5.30%K -12.86%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.22%EV -9.83%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.52%EV -10.09%E -2.62%K -3.54%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-30 11:20
Paddy Power1.70I 58.82%NM 52.78%EV -9.00%E -5.30%K -12.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.61%EV -12.14%E -3.20%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.61%EV -11.26%E -2.96%K -4.02%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-30 11:19
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 52.76%EV -9.00%E -5.30%K -12.86%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -9.83%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -13.60%E -3.67%K -5.04%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-30 11:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 52.76%EV -9.00%E -5.30%K -12.86%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -9.83%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -13.60%E -3.67%K -5.04%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-30 11:10
LeoVegas1.68I 59.52%NM 54.65%EV -10.07%E -6.00%K -14.81%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -5.21%E -1.27%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-30 10:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.64%EV -10.61%E -6.35%K -15.83%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -5.21%E -1.27%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.10%EV -7.76%E -1.96%K -2.63%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-30 10:40
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 52.54%EV -10.61%E -6.35%K -15.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.37%EV -16.77%E -4.66%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.09%EV -11.26%E -2.96%K -4.02%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-30 11:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 50.76%EV -10.61%E -6.35%K -15.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.55%EV -16.77%E -4.66%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.69%EV -22.94%E -6.95%K -9.97%G +0.000%18.0%2026-05-30 11:14
Winamax (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 52.85%EV -11.14%E -6.71%K -16.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.37%EV -16.77%E -4.66%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.79%EV -10.09%E -2.62%K -3.54%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-30 11:00
LiveScore Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 54.48%EV -11.68%E -7.08%K -17.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -8.93%E -2.29%K -3.08%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-30 10:40
Virgin Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 54.48%EV -11.68%E -7.08%K -17.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -8.93%E -2.29%K -3.08%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-30 10:40
Unibet (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 53.02%EV -11.68%E -7.08%K -17.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.65%EV -14.45%E -3.91%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.33%EV -12.43%E -3.31%K -4.52%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-30 11:09
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.84I 54.35%NM 53.87%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.53%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.60%0.9%2026-05-30 11:30
Matchbook1.84I 54.35%NM 53.87%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.53%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.60%0.9%2026-05-30 11:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.84I 54.35%NM 53.59%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.93%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.48%1.4%2026-05-30 11:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.84I 54.35%NM 53.59%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.93%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.48%1.4%2026-05-30 11:30
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 53.91%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.56%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.53%1.9%2026-05-30 11:30