Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.45
assuming max odds 8.50
assuming max odds 5.10
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (Local): 65.85%; Qingdao West Coast FC (Visit): 14.19%; Draw: 19.96%. For Qingdao West Coast FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.05. 18 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 8.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +20.59%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.19%EV -15.05%E -11.67%K -51.90%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.80%EV +20.59%E +2.42%K +2.75%G +0.565% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.01%EV +1.80%E +0.354%K +0.440%G +0.008% | 8.9% | 2026-04-03 11:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.19%EV -15.05%E -11.67%K -51.90%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.80%EV +20.59%E +2.42%K +2.75%G +0.565% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.01%EV +1.80%E +0.354%K +0.440%G +0.008% | 8.9% | 2026-04-03 11:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.19%EV -15.05%E -11.67%K -51.90%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.80%EV +20.59%E +2.42%K +2.75%G +0.565% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.01%EV +1.80%E +0.354%K +0.440%G +0.008% | 8.9% | 2026-04-03 11:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.19%EV -15.05%E -11.67%K -51.90%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.80%EV +20.59%E +2.42%K +2.75%G +0.565% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.01%EV +1.80%E +0.354%K +0.440%G +0.008% | 8.9% | 2026-04-03 11:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.19%EV -15.05%E -11.67%K -51.90%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.80%EV +20.59%E +2.42%K +2.75%G +0.565% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.01%EV +1.80%E +0.354%K +0.440%G +0.008% | 8.9% | 2026-04-03 11:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.19%EV -15.05%E -11.67%K -51.90%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.80%EV +20.59%E +2.42%K +2.75%G +0.565% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.01%EV +1.80%E +0.354%K +0.440%G +0.008% | 8.9% | 2026-04-03 11:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.19%EV -15.05%E -11.67%K -51.90%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.80%EV +20.59%E +2.42%K +2.75%G +0.565% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.01%EV +1.80%E +0.354%K +0.440%G +0.008% | 8.9% | 2026-04-03 11:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.19%EV -15.05%E -11.67%K -51.90%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.80%EV +20.59%E +2.42%K +2.75%G +0.565% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.01%EV +1.80%E +0.354%K +0.440%G +0.008% | 8.9% | 2026-04-03 11:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.93%EV -15.05%E -11.67%K -51.90%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.77%EV +20.59%E +2.42%K +2.75%G +0.565% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -0.192%E -0.038%K -0.048%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-03 11:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.62%EV -11.10%E -8.22%K -31.72%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.39%EV +17.05%E +2.07%K +2.35%G +0.401% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.99%EV -1.19%E -0.240%K -0.301%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-03 10:24 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 70.78%EV -16.37%E -12.89%K -60.63%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.24%EV +13.50%E +1.69%K +1.93%G +0.260% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.98%EV -0.192%E -0.038%K -0.048%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-03 11:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 70.78%EV -16.37%E -12.89%K -60.63%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.24%EV +13.50%E +1.69%K +1.93%G +0.260% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.98%EV -0.192%E -0.038%K -0.048%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-03 11:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 72.55%EV -24.27%E -21.11%K -161.81%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 10.43%EV +13.50%E +1.69%K +1.93%G +0.260% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 17.03%EV -2.19%E -0.447%K -0.561%G +0.000% | 19.9% | 2026-04-01 00:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.16%EV -9.13%E -6.61%K -24.01%G +0.000% | 7.30I 13.70%NM 12.70%EV +3.57%E +0.489%K +0.566%G +0.020% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.15%EV -8.18%E -1.78%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-03 11:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.58%EV -5.17%E -3.59%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 7.24I 13.81%NM 13.24%EV +2.72%E +0.375%K +0.436%G +0.012% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.18%EV -5.18%E -1.09%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-03 11:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.51%EV -4.52%E -3.11%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.39%EV +2.15%E +0.299%K +0.347%G +0.007% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.09%EV -4.18%E -0.872%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-03 11:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.51%EV -4.52%E -3.11%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.39%EV +2.15%E +0.299%K +0.347%G +0.007% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.09%EV -4.18%E -0.872%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-03 11:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.24%EV -5.17%E -3.59%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 7.11I 14.06%NM 13.42%EV +0.873%E +0.123%K +0.143%G +0.001% | 4.69I 21.32%NM 20.34%EV -6.38%E -1.36%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-03 11:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -7.81%E -5.58%K -19.52%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -0.687%E -0.098%K -0.115%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -0.192%E -0.038%K -0.048%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-03 11:04 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.30%EV -6.49%E -4.57%K -15.46%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.45%EV -0.687%E -0.098%K -0.115%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.25%EV -7.18%E -1.54%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-03 11:14 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.52%EV -9.78%E -7.14%K -26.44%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.21%EV -0.687%E -0.098%K -0.115%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -4.18%E -0.872%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-03 11:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.79%EV -9.13%E -6.61%K -24.01%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -0.687%E -0.098%K -0.115%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.04%EV -8.18%E -1.78%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-03 11:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.12%EV -10.44%E -7.68%K -29.01%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -0.687%E -0.098%K -0.115%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -8.18%E -1.78%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-03 11:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.82%EV -10.44%E -7.68%K -29.01%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -0.687%E -0.098%K -0.115%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -10.17%E -2.26%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-03 11:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.57%EV -7.81%E -5.58%K -19.52%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.81%EV -4.23%E -0.627%K -0.736%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV -5.18%E -1.09%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-03 11:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.45%EV -5.17%E -3.59%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.50%EV -7.78%E -1.20%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.05%EV -6.18%E -1.32%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-03 11:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -7.81%E -5.58%K -19.52%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -7.78%E -1.20%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -10.17%E -2.26%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-03 11:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -7.81%E -5.58%K -19.52%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -7.78%E -1.20%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -10.17%E -2.26%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-03 11:13 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.16%EV -10.44%E -7.68%K -29.01%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -7.78%E -1.20%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -10.17%E -2.26%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-03 11:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.08%EV -7.15%E -5.07%K -17.44%G +0.000% | 6.26I 15.97%NM 14.66%EV -11.19%E -1.79%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.53I 22.08%NM 20.26%EV -9.57%E -2.11%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-03 11:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.53%EV -7.81%E -5.58%K -19.52%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.46%EV -11.33%E -1.81%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.01%EV -14.17%E -3.29%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-03 11:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.63%EV -7.81%E -5.58%K -19.52%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.82%EV -12.04%E -1.94%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.55%EV -6.18%E -1.32%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-03 11:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.85%EV -5.83%E -4.08%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.20%EV -13.46%E -2.21%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.94%EV -7.18%E -1.54%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-03 11:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.85%EV -5.83%E -4.08%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.20%EV -13.46%E -2.21%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.94%EV -7.18%E -1.54%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-03 11:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.64%EV -4.52%E -3.11%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -14.87%E -2.48%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.73%EV -5.18%E -1.09%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-03 11:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -7.81%E -5.58%K -19.52%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -14.87%E -2.48%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -10.17%E -2.26%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-03 11:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 63.83%EV -10.44%E -7.68%K -29.01%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.47%EV -14.87%E -2.48%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.70%EV -20.15%E -5.04%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-04-03 11:10 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.93%EV -5.83%E -4.08%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.76%EV -17.71%E -3.05%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.31%EV -10.17%E -2.26%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-03 11:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.28%EV -6.49%E -4.57%K -15.46%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.30%EV -20.55%E -3.67%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.42%EV -6.18%E -1.32%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-03 11:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 64.46%EV -11.10%E -8.22%K -31.72%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.54%EV -20.55%E -3.67%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.00%EV -13.17%E -3.03%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-04-03 11:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.87%EV -7.81%E -5.58%K -19.52%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.26%EV -21.97%E -3.99%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.87%EV -10.17%E -2.26%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-03 11:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.87%EV -7.81%E -5.58%K -19.52%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.26%EV -21.97%E -3.99%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.87%EV -10.17%E -2.26%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-03 11:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.05%EV -10.44%E -7.68%K -29.01%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.84%EV -21.97%E -3.99%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.12%EV -13.57%E -3.13%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-04-03 11:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 63.53%EV -9.13%E -6.61%K -24.01%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.54%EV -24.81%E -4.68%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 19.93%EV -12.17%E -2.77%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-04-03 11:15 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.44% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.10% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.46% | 0.8% | 2026-04-03 11:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.44% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.10% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.46% | 0.8% | 2026-04-03 11:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.79% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.79% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.42% | 1.0% | 2026-04-03 11:15 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.30% | 7.69I 13.00%NM 12.88% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.83% | 1.0% | 2026-04-03 11:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.59% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.04% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.37% | 1.2% | 2026-04-03 11:15 |