La escuela de los momios

Chengdu Rongcheng FC v Qingdao West Coast FC

Inicio: 2026-04-03 11:35 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

44 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Chengdu Rongcheng FC (Local)

Predicción 65.85%1.52momio equitativo
EV -4.52%
Ventaja -3.11%
Kelly -10.04%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.45

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
63.53%66.01%65.78%72.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.151.371.381.4586.96%73.19%72.46%68.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Qingdao West Coast FC (Visitante)

Predicción 14.19%7.05momio equitativo
EV +20.59%
Ventaja +2.42%
Kelly +2.75%
Crecimiento +0.565%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 8.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
10.43%14.20%14.16%16.54%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.306.987.008.5018.87%14.32%14.29%11.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 19.96%5.01momio equitativo
EV +1.80%
Ventaja +0.354%
Kelly +0.440%
Crecimiento +0.008%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.03%19.79%20.06%21.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.004.724.705.1025.00%21.18%21.28%19.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (44 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
BetRivers1.29I 77.52%NM 71.19%EV -15.05%E -11.67%K -51.90%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.80%EV +20.59%E +2.42%K +2.75%G +0.565%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.01%EV +1.80%E +0.354%K +0.440%G +0.008%8.9%2026-04-03 11:15
LeoVegas1.29I 77.52%NM 71.19%EV -15.05%E -11.67%K -51.90%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.80%EV +20.59%E +2.42%K +2.75%G +0.565%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.01%EV +1.80%E +0.354%K +0.440%G +0.008%8.9%2026-04-03 11:15
Unibet (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 71.19%EV -15.05%E -11.67%K -51.90%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.80%EV +20.59%E +2.42%K +2.75%G +0.565%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.01%EV +1.80%E +0.354%K +0.440%G +0.008%8.9%2026-04-03 11:15
Grosvenor1.29I 77.52%NM 71.19%EV -15.05%E -11.67%K -51.90%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.80%EV +20.59%E +2.42%K +2.75%G +0.565%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.01%EV +1.80%E +0.354%K +0.440%G +0.008%8.9%2026-04-03 11:15
Unibet (NL)1.29I 77.52%NM 71.19%EV -15.05%E -11.67%K -51.90%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.80%EV +20.59%E +2.42%K +2.75%G +0.565%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.01%EV +1.80%E +0.354%K +0.440%G +0.008%8.9%2026-04-03 11:15
TABtouch1.29I 77.52%NM 71.19%EV -15.05%E -11.67%K -51.90%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.80%EV +20.59%E +2.42%K +2.75%G +0.565%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.01%EV +1.80%E +0.354%K +0.440%G +0.008%8.9%2026-04-03 11:15
Unibet1.29I 77.52%NM 71.19%EV -15.05%E -11.67%K -51.90%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.80%EV +20.59%E +2.42%K +2.75%G +0.565%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.01%EV +1.80%E +0.354%K +0.440%G +0.008%8.9%2026-04-03 11:15
betPARX1.29I 77.52%NM 71.19%EV -15.05%E -11.67%K -51.90%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.80%EV +20.59%E +2.42%K +2.75%G +0.565%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.01%EV +1.80%E +0.354%K +0.440%G +0.008%8.9%2026-04-03 11:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 70.93%EV -15.05%E -11.67%K -51.90%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.77%EV +20.59%E +2.42%K +2.75%G +0.565%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -0.192%E -0.038%K -0.048%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-03 11:15
Bovada1.35I 74.07%NM 69.62%EV -11.10%E -8.22%K -31.72%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.39%EV +17.05%E +2.07%K +2.35%G +0.401%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.99%EV -1.19%E -0.240%K -0.301%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-03 10:24
LiveScore Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 70.78%EV -16.37%E -12.89%K -60.63%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.24%EV +13.50%E +1.69%K +1.93%G +0.260%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.98%EV -0.192%E -0.038%K -0.048%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-03 11:15
Virgin Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 70.78%EV -16.37%E -12.89%K -60.63%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.24%EV +13.50%E +1.69%K +1.93%G +0.260%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.98%EV -0.192%E -0.038%K -0.048%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-03 11:15
PMU (FR)1.15I 86.96%NM 72.55%EV -24.27%E -21.11%K -161.81%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 10.43%EV +13.50%E +1.69%K +1.93%G +0.260%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.03%EV -2.19%E -0.447%K -0.561%G +0.000%19.9%2026-04-01 00:05
Marathon Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.16%EV -9.13%E -6.61%K -24.01%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 12.70%EV +3.57%E +0.489%K +0.566%G +0.020%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.15%EV -8.18%E -1.78%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-03 11:15
Pinnacle1.44I 69.44%NM 66.58%EV -5.17%E -3.59%K -11.76%G +0.000%7.24I 13.81%NM 13.24%EV +2.72%E +0.375%K +0.436%G +0.012%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.18%EV -5.18%E -1.09%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-03 11:15
LowVig.ag1.45I 68.97%NM 66.51%EV -4.52%E -3.11%K -10.04%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.39%EV +2.15%E +0.299%K +0.347%G +0.007%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.09%EV -4.18%E -0.872%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-03 11:15
BetOnline.ag1.45I 68.97%NM 66.51%EV -4.52%E -3.11%K -10.04%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.39%EV +2.15%E +0.299%K +0.347%G +0.007%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.09%EV -4.18%E -0.872%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-03 11:15
1xBet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.24%EV -5.17%E -3.59%K -11.76%G +0.000%7.11I 14.06%NM 13.42%EV +0.873%E +0.123%K +0.143%G +0.001%4.69I 21.32%NM 20.34%EV -6.38%E -1.36%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-03 11:15
Coolbet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -7.81%E -5.58%K -19.52%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -0.687%E -0.098%K -0.115%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -0.192%E -0.038%K -0.048%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-03 11:04
BetUS1.42I 70.42%NM 66.30%EV -6.49%E -4.57%K -15.46%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.45%EV -0.687%E -0.098%K -0.115%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.25%EV -7.18%E -1.54%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-03 11:14
FanDuel1.37I 72.99%NM 67.52%EV -9.78%E -7.14%K -26.44%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.21%EV -0.687%E -0.098%K -0.115%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -4.18%E -0.872%K -1.10%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-03 11:10
Bet Right1.38I 72.46%NM 66.79%EV -9.13%E -6.61%K -24.01%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -0.687%E -0.098%K -0.115%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.04%EV -8.18%E -1.78%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-03 11:05
SportsBet1.36I 73.53%NM 67.12%EV -10.44%E -7.68%K -29.01%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -0.687%E -0.098%K -0.115%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -8.18%E -1.78%K -2.27%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-03 11:10
Everygame1.36I 73.53%NM 66.82%EV -10.44%E -7.68%K -29.01%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -0.687%E -0.098%K -0.115%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -10.17%E -2.26%K -2.91%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-03 11:00
PointsBet (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.57%EV -7.81%E -5.58%K -19.52%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.81%EV -4.23%E -0.627%K -0.736%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV -5.18%E -1.09%K -1.38%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-03 11:05
DraftKings1.44I 69.44%NM 65.45%EV -5.17%E -3.59%K -11.76%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.50%EV -7.78%E -1.20%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.05%EV -6.18%E -1.32%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-03 11:15
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -7.81%E -5.58%K -19.52%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -7.78%E -1.20%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -10.17%E -2.26%K -2.91%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-03 11:15
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -7.81%E -5.58%K -19.52%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -7.78%E -1.20%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -10.17%E -2.26%K -2.91%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-03 11:13
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 66.16%EV -10.44%E -7.68%K -29.01%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -7.78%E -1.20%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -10.17%E -2.26%K -2.91%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-03 11:10
GTbets1.41I 70.92%NM 65.08%EV -7.15%E -5.07%K -17.44%G +0.000%6.26I 15.97%NM 14.66%EV -11.19%E -1.79%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.53I 22.08%NM 20.26%EV -9.57%E -2.11%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-03 11:05
PlayUp1.40I 71.43%NM 64.53%EV -7.81%E -5.58%K -19.52%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.46%EV -11.33%E -1.81%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.01%EV -14.17%E -3.29%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-03 11:15
Tipico (DE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.63%EV -7.81%E -5.58%K -19.52%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.82%EV -12.04%E -1.94%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.55%EV -6.18%E -1.32%K -1.67%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-03 11:15
Betsson1.43I 69.93%NM 64.85%EV -5.83%E -4.08%K -13.57%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.20%EV -13.46%E -2.21%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.94%EV -7.18%E -1.54%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-03 11:15
NordicBet1.43I 69.93%NM 64.85%EV -5.83%E -4.08%K -13.57%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.20%EV -13.46%E -2.21%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.94%EV -7.18%E -1.54%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-03 11:15
Unibet (UK)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.64%EV -4.52%E -3.11%K -10.04%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -14.87%E -2.48%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.73%EV -5.18%E -1.09%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-03 11:10
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -7.81%E -5.58%K -19.52%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -14.87%E -2.48%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -10.17%E -2.26%K -2.91%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-03 11:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 63.83%EV -10.44%E -7.68%K -29.01%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.47%EV -14.87%E -2.48%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.70%EV -20.15%E -5.04%K -6.72%G +0.000%15.2%2026-04-03 11:10
Codere (IT)1.43I 69.93%NM 63.93%EV -5.83%E -4.08%K -13.57%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.76%EV -17.71%E -3.05%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.31%EV -10.17%E -2.26%K -2.91%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-03 11:10
Winamax (DE)1.42I 70.42%NM 64.28%EV -6.49%E -4.57%K -15.46%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.30%EV -20.55%E -3.67%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.42%EV -6.18%E -1.32%K -1.67%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-03 11:15
Unibet (FR)1.35I 74.07%NM 64.46%EV -11.10%E -8.22%K -31.72%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.54%EV -20.55%E -3.67%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.00%EV -13.17%E -3.03%K -3.93%G +0.000%14.9%2026-04-03 11:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 63.87%EV -7.81%E -5.58%K -19.52%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.26%EV -21.97%E -3.99%K -4.88%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.87%EV -10.17%E -2.26%K -2.91%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-03 11:15
Neds1.40I 71.43%NM 63.87%EV -7.81%E -5.58%K -19.52%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.26%EV -21.97%E -3.99%K -4.88%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.87%EV -10.17%E -2.26%K -2.91%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-03 11:15
BoyleSports1.36I 73.53%NM 64.05%EV -10.44%E -7.68%K -29.01%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.84%EV -21.97%E -3.99%K -4.88%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.12%EV -13.57%E -3.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%14.8%2026-04-03 11:10
Winamax (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 63.53%EV -9.13%E -6.61%K -24.01%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.54%EV -24.81%E -4.68%K -5.77%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.93%EV -12.17%E -2.77%K -3.58%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-03 11:15
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 68.44%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.10%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.46%0.8%2026-04-03 11:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.45I 68.97%NM 68.44%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.10%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.46%0.8%2026-04-03 11:15
Matchbook1.44I 69.44%NM 68.79%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.79%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.42%1.0%2026-04-03 11:15
Kalshi1.45I 68.97%NM 68.30%7.69I 13.00%NM 12.88%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.83%1.0%2026-04-03 11:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.59%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.04%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.37%1.2%2026-04-03 11:15