La scuola delle quote

Chengdu Rongcheng FC v Qingdao West Coast FC

Inizio: 2026-04-03 11:35 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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44 bookmaker (16 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Chengdu Rongcheng FC (Casa)

Previsione 65.85%1.52quota equa
EV -4.52%
Vantaggio -3.11%
Kelly -10.04%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.45

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
63.53%66.01%65.78%72.55%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.151.371.381.4586.96%73.19%72.46%68.97%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Qingdao West Coast FC (Trasferta)

Previsione 14.19%7.05quota equa
EV +20.59%
Vantaggio +2.42%
Kelly +2.75%
Crescita +0.565%

ipotizzando la quota massima 8.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
10.43%14.20%14.16%16.54%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
5.306.987.008.5018.87%14.32%14.29%11.76%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 19.96%5.01quota equa
EV +1.80%
Vantaggio +0.354%
Kelly +0.440%
Crescita +0.008%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.10

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
17.03%19.79%20.06%21.70%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.004.724.705.1025.00%21.18%21.28%19.61%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (44 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
BetRivers1.29I 77.52%NM 71.19%EV -15.05%E -11.67%K -51.90%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.80%EV +20.59%E +2.42%K +2.75%G +0.565%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.01%EV +1.80%E +0.354%K +0.440%G +0.008%8.9%2026-04-03 11:15
LeoVegas1.29I 77.52%NM 71.19%EV -15.05%E -11.67%K -51.90%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.80%EV +20.59%E +2.42%K +2.75%G +0.565%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.01%EV +1.80%E +0.354%K +0.440%G +0.008%8.9%2026-04-03 11:15
Unibet (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 71.19%EV -15.05%E -11.67%K -51.90%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.80%EV +20.59%E +2.42%K +2.75%G +0.565%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.01%EV +1.80%E +0.354%K +0.440%G +0.008%8.9%2026-04-03 11:15
Grosvenor1.29I 77.52%NM 71.19%EV -15.05%E -11.67%K -51.90%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.80%EV +20.59%E +2.42%K +2.75%G +0.565%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.01%EV +1.80%E +0.354%K +0.440%G +0.008%8.9%2026-04-03 11:15
Unibet (NL)1.29I 77.52%NM 71.19%EV -15.05%E -11.67%K -51.90%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.80%EV +20.59%E +2.42%K +2.75%G +0.565%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.01%EV +1.80%E +0.354%K +0.440%G +0.008%8.9%2026-04-03 11:15
TABtouch1.29I 77.52%NM 71.19%EV -15.05%E -11.67%K -51.90%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.80%EV +20.59%E +2.42%K +2.75%G +0.565%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.01%EV +1.80%E +0.354%K +0.440%G +0.008%8.9%2026-04-03 11:15
Unibet1.29I 77.52%NM 71.19%EV -15.05%E -11.67%K -51.90%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.80%EV +20.59%E +2.42%K +2.75%G +0.565%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.01%EV +1.80%E +0.354%K +0.440%G +0.008%8.9%2026-04-03 11:15
betPARX1.29I 77.52%NM 71.19%EV -15.05%E -11.67%K -51.90%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.80%EV +20.59%E +2.42%K +2.75%G +0.565%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.01%EV +1.80%E +0.354%K +0.440%G +0.008%8.9%2026-04-03 11:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 70.93%EV -15.05%E -11.67%K -51.90%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.77%EV +20.59%E +2.42%K +2.75%G +0.565%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -0.192%E -0.038%K -0.048%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-03 11:15
Bovada1.35I 74.07%NM 69.62%EV -11.10%E -8.22%K -31.72%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.39%EV +17.05%E +2.07%K +2.35%G +0.401%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.99%EV -1.19%E -0.240%K -0.301%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-03 10:24
LiveScore Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 70.78%EV -16.37%E -12.89%K -60.63%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.24%EV +13.50%E +1.69%K +1.93%G +0.260%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.98%EV -0.192%E -0.038%K -0.048%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-03 11:15
Virgin Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 70.78%EV -16.37%E -12.89%K -60.63%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.24%EV +13.50%E +1.69%K +1.93%G +0.260%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.98%EV -0.192%E -0.038%K -0.048%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-03 11:15
PMU (FR)1.15I 86.96%NM 72.55%EV -24.27%E -21.11%K -161.81%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 10.43%EV +13.50%E +1.69%K +1.93%G +0.260%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.03%EV -2.19%E -0.447%K -0.561%G +0.000%19.9%2026-04-01 00:05
Marathon Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.16%EV -9.13%E -6.61%K -24.01%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 12.70%EV +3.57%E +0.489%K +0.566%G +0.020%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.15%EV -8.18%E -1.78%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-03 11:15
Pinnacle1.44I 69.44%NM 66.58%EV -5.17%E -3.59%K -11.76%G +0.000%7.24I 13.81%NM 13.24%EV +2.72%E +0.375%K +0.436%G +0.012%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.18%EV -5.18%E -1.09%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-03 11:15
LowVig.ag1.45I 68.97%NM 66.51%EV -4.52%E -3.11%K -10.04%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.39%EV +2.15%E +0.299%K +0.347%G +0.007%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.09%EV -4.18%E -0.872%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-03 11:15
BetOnline.ag1.45I 68.97%NM 66.51%EV -4.52%E -3.11%K -10.04%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.39%EV +2.15%E +0.299%K +0.347%G +0.007%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.09%EV -4.18%E -0.872%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-03 11:15
1xBet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.24%EV -5.17%E -3.59%K -11.76%G +0.000%7.11I 14.06%NM 13.42%EV +0.873%E +0.123%K +0.143%G +0.001%4.69I 21.32%NM 20.34%EV -6.38%E -1.36%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-03 11:15
Coolbet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -7.81%E -5.58%K -19.52%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -0.687%E -0.098%K -0.115%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -0.192%E -0.038%K -0.048%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-03 11:04
BetUS1.42I 70.42%NM 66.30%EV -6.49%E -4.57%K -15.46%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.45%EV -0.687%E -0.098%K -0.115%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.25%EV -7.18%E -1.54%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-03 11:14
FanDuel1.37I 72.99%NM 67.52%EV -9.78%E -7.14%K -26.44%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.21%EV -0.687%E -0.098%K -0.115%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -4.18%E -0.872%K -1.10%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-03 11:10
Bet Right1.38I 72.46%NM 66.79%EV -9.13%E -6.61%K -24.01%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -0.687%E -0.098%K -0.115%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.04%EV -8.18%E -1.78%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-03 11:05
SportsBet1.36I 73.53%NM 67.12%EV -10.44%E -7.68%K -29.01%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -0.687%E -0.098%K -0.115%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -8.18%E -1.78%K -2.27%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-03 11:10
Everygame1.36I 73.53%NM 66.82%EV -10.44%E -7.68%K -29.01%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -0.687%E -0.098%K -0.115%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -10.17%E -2.26%K -2.91%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-03 11:00
PointsBet (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.57%EV -7.81%E -5.58%K -19.52%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.81%EV -4.23%E -0.627%K -0.736%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV -5.18%E -1.09%K -1.38%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-03 11:05
DraftKings1.44I 69.44%NM 65.45%EV -5.17%E -3.59%K -11.76%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.50%EV -7.78%E -1.20%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.05%EV -6.18%E -1.32%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-03 11:15
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -7.81%E -5.58%K -19.52%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -7.78%E -1.20%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -10.17%E -2.26%K -2.91%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-03 11:15
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -7.81%E -5.58%K -19.52%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -7.78%E -1.20%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -10.17%E -2.26%K -2.91%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-03 11:13
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 66.16%EV -10.44%E -7.68%K -29.01%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -7.78%E -1.20%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -10.17%E -2.26%K -2.91%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-03 11:10
GTbets1.41I 70.92%NM 65.08%EV -7.15%E -5.07%K -17.44%G +0.000%6.26I 15.97%NM 14.66%EV -11.19%E -1.79%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.53I 22.08%NM 20.26%EV -9.57%E -2.11%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-03 11:05
PlayUp1.40I 71.43%NM 64.53%EV -7.81%E -5.58%K -19.52%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.46%EV -11.33%E -1.81%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.01%EV -14.17%E -3.29%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-03 11:15
Tipico (DE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.63%EV -7.81%E -5.58%K -19.52%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.82%EV -12.04%E -1.94%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.55%EV -6.18%E -1.32%K -1.67%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-03 11:15
Betsson1.43I 69.93%NM 64.85%EV -5.83%E -4.08%K -13.57%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.20%EV -13.46%E -2.21%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.94%EV -7.18%E -1.54%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-03 11:15
NordicBet1.43I 69.93%NM 64.85%EV -5.83%E -4.08%K -13.57%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.20%EV -13.46%E -2.21%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.94%EV -7.18%E -1.54%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-03 11:15
Unibet (UK)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.64%EV -4.52%E -3.11%K -10.04%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -14.87%E -2.48%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.73%EV -5.18%E -1.09%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-03 11:10
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -7.81%E -5.58%K -19.52%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -14.87%E -2.48%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -10.17%E -2.26%K -2.91%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-03 11:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 63.83%EV -10.44%E -7.68%K -29.01%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.47%EV -14.87%E -2.48%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.70%EV -20.15%E -5.04%K -6.72%G +0.000%15.2%2026-04-03 11:10
Codere (IT)1.43I 69.93%NM 63.93%EV -5.83%E -4.08%K -13.57%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.76%EV -17.71%E -3.05%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.31%EV -10.17%E -2.26%K -2.91%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-03 11:10
Winamax (DE)1.42I 70.42%NM 64.28%EV -6.49%E -4.57%K -15.46%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.30%EV -20.55%E -3.67%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.42%EV -6.18%E -1.32%K -1.67%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-03 11:15
Unibet (FR)1.35I 74.07%NM 64.46%EV -11.10%E -8.22%K -31.72%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.54%EV -20.55%E -3.67%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.00%EV -13.17%E -3.03%K -3.93%G +0.000%14.9%2026-04-03 11:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 63.87%EV -7.81%E -5.58%K -19.52%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.26%EV -21.97%E -3.99%K -4.88%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.87%EV -10.17%E -2.26%K -2.91%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-03 11:15
Neds1.40I 71.43%NM 63.87%EV -7.81%E -5.58%K -19.52%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.26%EV -21.97%E -3.99%K -4.88%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.87%EV -10.17%E -2.26%K -2.91%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-03 11:15
BoyleSports1.36I 73.53%NM 64.05%EV -10.44%E -7.68%K -29.01%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.84%EV -21.97%E -3.99%K -4.88%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.12%EV -13.57%E -3.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%14.8%2026-04-03 11:10
Winamax (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 63.53%EV -9.13%E -6.61%K -24.01%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.54%EV -24.81%E -4.68%K -5.77%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.93%EV -12.17%E -2.77%K -3.58%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-03 11:15
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 68.44%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.10%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.46%0.8%2026-04-03 11:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.45I 68.97%NM 68.44%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.10%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.46%0.8%2026-04-03 11:15
Matchbook1.44I 69.44%NM 68.79%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.79%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.42%1.0%2026-04-03 11:15
Kalshi1.45I 68.97%NM 68.30%7.69I 13.00%NM 12.88%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.83%1.0%2026-04-03 11:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.59%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.04%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.37%1.2%2026-04-03 11:15