L’École des cotes

Chengdu Rongcheng FC v Henan FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-09 12:00 UTC

Score final : Chengdu Rongcheng FC 3–0 Henan FC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

47 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Chengdu Rongcheng FC (Local)

Prévision 62.45%1.60cote équitable
EV -1.33%
Avantage -0.842%
Kelly -2.29%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.58

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
59.91%62.38%62.40%63.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.401.491.501.5871.43%67.05%66.67%63.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Henan FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 16.60%6.02cote équitable
EV +3.76%
Avantage +0.602%
Kelly +0.717%
Croissance +0.027%

avec la cote maximale 6.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.05%16.62%16.70%18.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.905.445.406.2520.41%18.37%18.52%16.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 20.95%4.77cote équitable
EV -0.494%
Avantage -0.104%
Kelly -0.132%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.72%21.00%20.90%23.66%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.604.314.204.7527.78%23.21%23.81%21.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet1.48I 67.57%NM 63.57%EV -7.57%E -5.12%K -15.78%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.05%EV +3.76%E +0.602%K +0.717%G +0.027%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.38%EV -7.83%E -1.78%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-08 23:44
FanDuel1.48I 67.57%NM 63.47%EV -7.57%E -5.12%K -15.78%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -0.388%E -0.065%K -0.078%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -5.73%E -1.27%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-08 23:45
PointsBet (AU)1.47I 68.03%NM 63.63%EV -8.20%E -5.58%K -17.45%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.59%EV -0.388%E -0.065%K -0.078%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -5.73%E -1.27%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-08 23:44
SportsBet1.47I 68.03%NM 63.63%EV -8.20%E -5.58%K -17.45%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.59%EV -0.388%E -0.065%K -0.078%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -5.73%E -1.27%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-08 23:44
Bet Victor1.45I 68.97%NM 63.43%EV -9.45%E -6.52%K -21.00%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.33%EV -0.388%E -0.065%K -0.078%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.24%EV -9.29%E -2.15%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-09 00:04
Tipico (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.34%EV -9.45%E -6.52%K -21.00%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -0.388%E -0.065%K -0.078%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.36%EV -9.92%E -2.31%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-08 23:24
betfred_uk1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -10.07%E -7.00%K -22.89%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -0.388%E -0.065%K -0.078%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -12.02%E -2.86%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-08 23:44
Pinnacle1.50I 66.67%NM 63.43%EV -6.33%E -4.22%K -12.65%G +0.000%5.89I 16.98%NM 16.15%EV -2.21%E -0.376%K -0.453%G +0.000%4.66I 21.46%NM 20.42%EV -2.38%E -0.511%K -0.650%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-08 23:14
DraftKings1.51I 66.23%NM 62.57%EV -5.70%E -3.78%K -11.18%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.43%EV -4.54%E -0.789%K -0.956%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.00%EV -5.73%E -1.27%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 23:00
Bovada1.49I 67.11%NM 63.17%EV -6.95%E -4.66%K -14.18%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.37%EV -4.54%E -0.789%K -0.956%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV -3.64%E -0.790%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-08 23:12
Unibet (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.73%EV -6.33%E -4.22%K -12.65%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -4.54%E -0.789%K -0.956%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -5.73%E -1.27%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-08 23:05
Bet Right1.47I 68.03%NM 62.44%EV -8.20%E -5.58%K -17.45%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.96%EV -4.54%E -0.789%K -0.956%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.60%EV -10.97%E -2.58%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-08 23:44
BetOnline.ag1.51I 66.23%NM 62.30%EV -5.70%E -3.78%K -11.18%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV -7.03%E -1.26%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -5.73%E -1.27%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-08 23:04
LowVig.ag1.51I 66.23%NM 62.30%EV -5.70%E -3.78%K -11.18%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV -7.03%E -1.26%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -5.73%E -1.27%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-08 23:04
BetUS1.51I 66.23%NM 62.30%EV -5.70%E -3.78%K -11.18%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV -7.03%E -1.26%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -5.73%E -1.27%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-08 23:05
1xBet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.28%EV -4.45%E -2.91%K -8.40%G +0.000%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.14%EV -7.69%E -1.38%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.63I 21.60%NM 20.58%EV -3.01%E -0.650%K -0.829%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-08 23:04
GTbets1.58I 63.29%NM 61.06%EV -1.33%E -0.842%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.51I 18.15%NM 17.51%EV -8.52%E -1.55%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.44%EV -5.73%E -1.27%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-08 23:04
NordicBet1.48I 67.57%NM 62.43%EV -7.57%E -5.12%K -15.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -8.69%E -1.58%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.76%EV -6.78%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-08 23:04
Betsson1.48I 67.57%NM 62.43%EV -7.57%E -5.12%K -15.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -8.69%E -1.58%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.76%EV -6.78%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-08 23:04
PlayUp1.45I 68.97%NM 62.31%EV -9.45%E -6.52%K -21.00%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -8.69%E -1.58%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.26%EV -10.97%E -2.58%K -3.37%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-08 23:00
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -10.07%E -7.00%K -22.89%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -8.69%E -1.58%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -9.29%E -2.15%K -2.79%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-08 23:43
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 60.85%EV -12.57%E -8.98%K -31.43%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.49%EV -8.69%E -1.58%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.66%EV -24.58%E -6.83%K -9.46%G +0.000%17.4%2026-05-08 23:44
Marathon Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 62.23%EV -6.95%E -4.66%K -14.18%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.17%EV -10.35%E -1.92%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.60%EV -5.73%E -1.27%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-08 23:03
Codere (IT)1.46I 68.49%NM 61.81%EV -8.82%E -6.04%K -19.18%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.71%EV -10.35%E -1.92%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.48%EV -12.02%E -2.86%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-08 23:04
Unibet (SE)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.19%EV -3.20%E -2.07%K -5.82%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.60%EV -12.01%E -2.27%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21%EV -12.02%E -2.86%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-05 21:15
Unibet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.19%EV -3.20%E -2.07%K -5.82%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.60%EV -12.01%E -2.27%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21%EV -12.02%E -2.86%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-05 21:15
TABtouch1.55I 64.52%NM 60.19%EV -3.20%E -2.07%K -5.82%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.60%EV -12.01%E -2.27%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21%EV -12.02%E -2.86%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-05 21:15
Grosvenor1.55I 64.52%NM 60.19%EV -3.20%E -2.07%K -5.82%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.60%EV -12.01%E -2.27%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21%EV -12.02%E -2.86%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-05 21:14
Unibet (NL)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.19%EV -3.20%E -2.07%K -5.82%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.60%EV -12.01%E -2.27%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21%EV -12.02%E -2.86%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-05 21:14
betPARX1.55I 64.52%NM 60.19%EV -3.20%E -2.07%K -5.82%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.60%EV -12.01%E -2.27%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21%EV -12.02%E -2.86%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-05 21:34
Unibet (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 62.27%EV -11.32%E -7.97%K -26.96%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.68%EV -12.01%E -2.27%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.05%EV -12.02%E -2.86%K -3.75%G +0.000%13.1%2026-05-09 00:04
Betway1.50I 66.67%NM 62.44%EV -6.33%E -4.22%K -12.65%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -12.84%E -2.45%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -0.494%E -0.104%K -0.132%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-08 23:00
BetRivers1.54I 64.94%NM 60.24%EV -3.83%E -2.49%K -7.09%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.67%EV -12.84%E -2.45%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.09%EV -12.02%E -2.86%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-05 21:14
Everygame1.45I 68.97%NM 61.67%EV -9.45%E -6.52%K -21.00%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.03%EV -12.84%E -2.45%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.29%EV -12.02%E -2.86%K -3.75%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-08 23:04
LeoVegas1.53I 65.36%NM 59.97%EV -4.45%E -2.91%K -8.40%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.65%EV -13.67%E -2.63%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV -14.11%E -3.44%K -4.55%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-06 17:30
Winamax (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.14%EV -8.20%E -5.58%K -17.45%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.57%EV -13.67%E -2.63%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.30%EV -5.73%E -1.27%K -1.64%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-08 23:04
LeoVegas (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 60.29%EV -5.70%E -3.78%K -11.18%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.51%EV -13.67%E -2.63%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.20%EV -14.11%E -3.44%K -4.55%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-05 21:15
Virgin Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 59.91%EV -6.33%E -4.22%K -12.65%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.62%EV -15.33%E -3.01%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -16.21%E -4.05%K -5.40%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-06 17:35
LiveScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 59.91%EV -6.33%E -4.22%K -12.65%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.62%EV -15.33%E -3.01%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -16.21%E -4.05%K -5.40%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-06 17:30
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -6.33%E -4.22%K -12.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -16.99%E -3.40%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -12.02%E -2.86%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-08 10:14
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -6.33%E -4.22%K -12.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -16.99%E -3.40%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -12.02%E -2.86%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-08 10:14
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -6.33%E -4.22%K -12.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -16.99%E -3.40%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -12.02%E -2.86%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-08 10:14
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -6.33%E -4.22%K -12.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -16.99%E -3.40%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -12.02%E -2.86%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-08 10:14
Neds1.48I 67.57%NM 60.67%EV -7.57%E -5.12%K -15.78%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.96%EV -16.99%E -3.40%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.38%EV -12.02%E -2.86%K -3.75%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-08 23:04
Ladbrokes (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 60.67%EV -7.57%E -5.12%K -15.78%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.96%EV -16.99%E -3.40%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.38%EV -12.02%E -2.86%K -3.75%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-08 23:05
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 61.32%EV -10.07%E -7.00%K -22.89%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.66%EV -16.99%E -3.40%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.02%EV -12.02%E -2.86%K -3.75%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-08 23:05
Winamax (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 61.26%EV -10.70%E -7.48%K -24.88%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.88%EV -18.65%E -3.81%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.86%EV -12.02%E -2.86%K -3.75%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-08 23:04
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.51I 66.23%NM 64.79%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.82%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.38%2.2%2026-05-08 23:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.51I 66.23%NM 64.51%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.76%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.73%2.7%2026-05-08 23:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.51I 66.23%NM 64.51%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.76%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.73%2.7%2026-05-08 23:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.51I 66.23%NM 64.51%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.76%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.73%2.7%2026-05-08 23:39
Kalshi1.52I 65.79%NM 64.00%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.56%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.44%2.8%2026-05-09 00:04