La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Chengdu Rongcheng FC v Henan FC
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Chengdu Rongcheng FC (Local)
Predicción 62.45%1.60momio equitativo
EV -1.33%
Ventaja -0.842%
Kelly -2.29%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.58
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
59.91%62.38%62.40%63.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.401.491.501.5871.43%67.05%66.67%63.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Henan FC (Visitante)
Predicción 16.60%6.02momio equitativo
EV +3.76%
Ventaja +0.602%
Kelly +0.717%
Crecimiento +0.027%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.05%16.62%16.70%18.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.905.445.406.2520.41%18.37%18.52%16.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 20.95%4.77momio equitativo
EV -0.494%
Ventaja -0.104%
Kelly -0.132%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.72%21.00%20.90%23.66%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.604.314.204.7527.78%23.21%23.81%21.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.57%EV -7.57%E -5.12%K -15.78%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.05%EV +3.76%E +0.602%K +0.717%G +0.027% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.38%EV -7.83%E -1.78%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-08 23:44 |
| FanDuel | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.47%EV -7.57%E -5.12%K -15.78%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -0.388%E -0.065%K -0.078%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -5.73%E -1.27%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-08 23:45 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.63%EV -8.20%E -5.58%K -17.45%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.59%EV -0.388%E -0.065%K -0.078%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -5.73%E -1.27%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-08 23:44 |
| SportsBet | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.63%EV -8.20%E -5.58%K -17.45%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.59%EV -0.388%E -0.065%K -0.078%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -5.73%E -1.27%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-08 23:44 |
| Bet Victor | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.43%EV -9.45%E -6.52%K -21.00%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.33%EV -0.388%E -0.065%K -0.078%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.24%EV -9.29%E -2.15%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-09 00:04 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.34%EV -9.45%E -6.52%K -21.00%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -0.388%E -0.065%K -0.078%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.36%EV -9.92%E -2.31%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-08 23:24 |
| betfred_uk | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -10.07%E -7.00%K -22.89%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -0.388%E -0.065%K -0.078%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -12.02%E -2.86%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-08 23:44 |
| Pinnacle | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.43%EV -6.33%E -4.22%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 5.89I 16.98%NM 16.15%EV -2.21%E -0.376%K -0.453%G +0.000% | 4.66I 21.46%NM 20.42%EV -2.38%E -0.511%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-08 23:14 |
| DraftKings | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.57%EV -5.70%E -3.78%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.43%EV -4.54%E -0.789%K -0.956%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.00%EV -5.73%E -1.27%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-08 23:00 |
| Bovada | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.17%EV -6.95%E -4.66%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.37%EV -4.54%E -0.789%K -0.956%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV -3.64%E -0.790%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-08 23:12 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.73%EV -6.33%E -4.22%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -4.54%E -0.789%K -0.956%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -5.73%E -1.27%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-08 23:05 |
| Bet Right | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.44%EV -8.20%E -5.58%K -17.45%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.96%EV -4.54%E -0.789%K -0.956%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.60%EV -10.97%E -2.58%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-08 23:44 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.30%EV -5.70%E -3.78%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV -7.03%E -1.26%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -5.73%E -1.27%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-08 23:04 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.30%EV -5.70%E -3.78%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV -7.03%E -1.26%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -5.73%E -1.27%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-08 23:04 |
| BetUS | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.30%EV -5.70%E -3.78%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV -7.03%E -1.26%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -5.73%E -1.27%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-08 23:05 |
| 1xBet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.28%EV -4.45%E -2.91%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.14%EV -7.69%E -1.38%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.63I 21.60%NM 20.58%EV -3.01%E -0.650%K -0.829%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-08 23:04 |
| GTbets | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.06%EV -1.33%E -0.842%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 5.51I 18.15%NM 17.51%EV -8.52%E -1.55%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.44%EV -5.73%E -1.27%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-08 23:04 |
| NordicBet | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.43%EV -7.57%E -5.12%K -15.78%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -8.69%E -1.58%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.76%EV -6.78%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-08 23:04 |
| Betsson | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.43%EV -7.57%E -5.12%K -15.78%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -8.69%E -1.58%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.76%EV -6.78%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-08 23:04 |
| PlayUp | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.31%EV -9.45%E -6.52%K -21.00%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -8.69%E -1.58%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.26%EV -10.97%E -2.58%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-08 23:00 |
| Paddy Power | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -10.07%E -7.00%K -22.89%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -8.69%E -1.58%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -9.29%E -2.15%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-08 23:43 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 60.85%EV -12.57%E -8.98%K -31.43%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.49%EV -8.69%E -1.58%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.66%EV -24.58%E -6.83%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 17.4% | 2026-05-08 23:44 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.23%EV -6.95%E -4.66%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.17%EV -10.35%E -1.92%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.60%EV -5.73%E -1.27%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-08 23:03 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.46I 68.49%NM 61.81%EV -8.82%E -6.04%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.71%EV -10.35%E -1.92%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.48%EV -12.02%E -2.86%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-08 23:04 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.19%EV -3.20%E -2.07%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.60%EV -12.01%E -2.27%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21%EV -12.02%E -2.86%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-05 21:15 |
| Unibet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.19%EV -3.20%E -2.07%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.60%EV -12.01%E -2.27%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21%EV -12.02%E -2.86%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-05 21:15 |
| TABtouch | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.19%EV -3.20%E -2.07%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.60%EV -12.01%E -2.27%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21%EV -12.02%E -2.86%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-05 21:15 |
| Grosvenor | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.19%EV -3.20%E -2.07%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.60%EV -12.01%E -2.27%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21%EV -12.02%E -2.86%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-05 21:14 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.19%EV -3.20%E -2.07%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.60%EV -12.01%E -2.27%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21%EV -12.02%E -2.86%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-05 21:14 |
| betPARX | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.19%EV -3.20%E -2.07%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.60%EV -12.01%E -2.27%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21%EV -12.02%E -2.86%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-05 21:34 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 62.27%EV -11.32%E -7.97%K -26.96%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.68%EV -12.01%E -2.27%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.05%EV -12.02%E -2.86%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-05-09 00:04 |
| Betway | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.44%EV -6.33%E -4.22%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -12.84%E -2.45%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -0.494%E -0.104%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-08 23:00 |
| BetRivers | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.24%EV -3.83%E -2.49%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.67%EV -12.84%E -2.45%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.09%EV -12.02%E -2.86%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-05 21:14 |
| Everygame | 1.45I 68.97%NM 61.67%EV -9.45%E -6.52%K -21.00%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.03%EV -12.84%E -2.45%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.29%EV -12.02%E -2.86%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-08 23:04 |
| LeoVegas | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.97%EV -4.45%E -2.91%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.65%EV -13.67%E -2.63%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV -14.11%E -3.44%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-06 17:30 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.14%EV -8.20%E -5.58%K -17.45%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.57%EV -13.67%E -2.63%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.30%EV -5.73%E -1.27%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-08 23:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.29%EV -5.70%E -3.78%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.51%EV -13.67%E -2.63%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.20%EV -14.11%E -3.44%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-05 21:15 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.91%EV -6.33%E -4.22%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.62%EV -15.33%E -3.01%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -16.21%E -4.05%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-06 17:35 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.91%EV -6.33%E -4.22%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.62%EV -15.33%E -3.01%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -16.21%E -4.05%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-06 17:30 |
| 888sport | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -6.33%E -4.22%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -16.99%E -3.40%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -12.02%E -2.86%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-08 10:14 |
| William Hill | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -6.33%E -4.22%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -16.99%E -3.40%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -12.02%E -2.86%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-08 10:14 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -6.33%E -4.22%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -16.99%E -3.40%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -12.02%E -2.86%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-08 10:14 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -6.33%E -4.22%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -16.99%E -3.40%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -12.02%E -2.86%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-08 10:14 |
| Neds | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.67%EV -7.57%E -5.12%K -15.78%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.96%EV -16.99%E -3.40%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.38%EV -12.02%E -2.86%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-08 23:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.67%EV -7.57%E -5.12%K -15.78%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.96%EV -16.99%E -3.40%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.38%EV -12.02%E -2.86%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-08 23:05 |
| BoyleSports | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.32%EV -10.07%E -7.00%K -22.89%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.66%EV -16.99%E -3.40%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.02%EV -12.02%E -2.86%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-05-08 23:05 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 61.26%EV -10.70%E -7.48%K -24.88%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 17.88%EV -18.65%E -3.81%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.86%EV -12.02%E -2.86%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-05-08 23:04 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.79% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.82% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.38% | 2.2% | 2026-05-08 23:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.51% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.76% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.73% | 2.7% | 2026-05-08 23:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.51% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.76% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.73% | 2.7% | 2026-05-08 23:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.51% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.76% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.73% | 2.7% | 2026-05-08 23:39 |
| Kalshi | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.00% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.56% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.44% | 2.8% | 2026-05-09 00:04 |