مدرسة الاحتمالات

Chengdu Rongcheng FC v Henan FC

البداية: 2026-05-09 12:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Chengdu Rongcheng FC 3–0 Henan FC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

47 شركة مراهنات (17 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Chengdu Rongcheng FC (المضيف)

التنبؤ 62.45%1.60السعر العادل
EV -1.33%
الأفضلية -0.842%
Kelly -2.29%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.58

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
59.91%62.38%62.40%63.63%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.401.491.501.5871.43%67.05%66.67%63.29%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Henan FC (الضيف)

التنبؤ 16.60%6.02السعر العادل
EV +3.76%
الأفضلية +0.602%
Kelly +0.717%
النمو +0.027%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 6.25

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
15.05%16.62%16.70%18.10%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.905.445.406.2520.41%18.37%18.52%16.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 20.95%4.77السعر العادل
EV -0.494%
الأفضلية -0.104%
Kelly -0.132%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.75

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
19.72%21.00%20.90%23.66%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.604.314.204.7527.78%23.21%23.81%21.05%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (47 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Coolbet1.48I 67.57%NM 63.57%EV -7.57%E -5.12%K -15.78%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.05%EV +3.76%E +0.602%K +0.717%G +0.027%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.38%EV -7.83%E -1.78%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-08 23:44
FanDuel1.48I 67.57%NM 63.47%EV -7.57%E -5.12%K -15.78%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -0.388%E -0.065%K -0.078%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -5.73%E -1.27%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-08 23:45
PointsBet (AU)1.47I 68.03%NM 63.63%EV -8.20%E -5.58%K -17.45%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.59%EV -0.388%E -0.065%K -0.078%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -5.73%E -1.27%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-08 23:44
SportsBet1.47I 68.03%NM 63.63%EV -8.20%E -5.58%K -17.45%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.59%EV -0.388%E -0.065%K -0.078%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -5.73%E -1.27%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-08 23:44
Bet Victor1.45I 68.97%NM 63.43%EV -9.45%E -6.52%K -21.00%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.33%EV -0.388%E -0.065%K -0.078%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.24%EV -9.29%E -2.15%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-09 00:04
Tipico (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.34%EV -9.45%E -6.52%K -21.00%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -0.388%E -0.065%K -0.078%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.36%EV -9.92%E -2.31%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-08 23:24
betfred_uk1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -10.07%E -7.00%K -22.89%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -0.388%E -0.065%K -0.078%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -12.02%E -2.86%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-08 23:44
Pinnacle1.50I 66.67%NM 63.43%EV -6.33%E -4.22%K -12.65%G +0.000%5.89I 16.98%NM 16.15%EV -2.21%E -0.376%K -0.453%G +0.000%4.66I 21.46%NM 20.42%EV -2.38%E -0.511%K -0.650%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-08 23:14
DraftKings1.51I 66.23%NM 62.57%EV -5.70%E -3.78%K -11.18%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.43%EV -4.54%E -0.789%K -0.956%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.00%EV -5.73%E -1.27%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 23:00
Bovada1.49I 67.11%NM 63.17%EV -6.95%E -4.66%K -14.18%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.37%EV -4.54%E -0.789%K -0.956%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV -3.64%E -0.790%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-08 23:12
Unibet (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.73%EV -6.33%E -4.22%K -12.65%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -4.54%E -0.789%K -0.956%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -5.73%E -1.27%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-08 23:05
Bet Right1.47I 68.03%NM 62.44%EV -8.20%E -5.58%K -17.45%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.96%EV -4.54%E -0.789%K -0.956%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.60%EV -10.97%E -2.58%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-08 23:44
BetOnline.ag1.51I 66.23%NM 62.30%EV -5.70%E -3.78%K -11.18%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV -7.03%E -1.26%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -5.73%E -1.27%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-08 23:04
LowVig.ag1.51I 66.23%NM 62.30%EV -5.70%E -3.78%K -11.18%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV -7.03%E -1.26%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -5.73%E -1.27%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-08 23:04
BetUS1.51I 66.23%NM 62.30%EV -5.70%E -3.78%K -11.18%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV -7.03%E -1.26%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -5.73%E -1.27%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-08 23:05
1xBet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.28%EV -4.45%E -2.91%K -8.40%G +0.000%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.14%EV -7.69%E -1.38%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.63I 21.60%NM 20.58%EV -3.01%E -0.650%K -0.829%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-08 23:04
GTbets1.58I 63.29%NM 61.06%EV -1.33%E -0.842%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.51I 18.15%NM 17.51%EV -8.52%E -1.55%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.44%EV -5.73%E -1.27%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-08 23:04
NordicBet1.48I 67.57%NM 62.43%EV -7.57%E -5.12%K -15.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -8.69%E -1.58%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.76%EV -6.78%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-08 23:04
Betsson1.48I 67.57%NM 62.43%EV -7.57%E -5.12%K -15.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -8.69%E -1.58%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.76%EV -6.78%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-08 23:04
PlayUp1.45I 68.97%NM 62.31%EV -9.45%E -6.52%K -21.00%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -8.69%E -1.58%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.26%EV -10.97%E -2.58%K -3.37%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-08 23:00
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -10.07%E -7.00%K -22.89%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -8.69%E -1.58%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -9.29%E -2.15%K -2.79%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-08 23:43
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 60.85%EV -12.57%E -8.98%K -31.43%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.49%EV -8.69%E -1.58%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.66%EV -24.58%E -6.83%K -9.46%G +0.000%17.4%2026-05-08 23:44
Marathon Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 62.23%EV -6.95%E -4.66%K -14.18%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.17%EV -10.35%E -1.92%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.60%EV -5.73%E -1.27%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-08 23:03
Codere (IT)1.46I 68.49%NM 61.81%EV -8.82%E -6.04%K -19.18%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.71%EV -10.35%E -1.92%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.48%EV -12.02%E -2.86%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-08 23:04
Unibet (SE)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.19%EV -3.20%E -2.07%K -5.82%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.60%EV -12.01%E -2.27%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21%EV -12.02%E -2.86%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-05 21:15
Unibet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.19%EV -3.20%E -2.07%K -5.82%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.60%EV -12.01%E -2.27%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21%EV -12.02%E -2.86%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-05 21:15
TABtouch1.55I 64.52%NM 60.19%EV -3.20%E -2.07%K -5.82%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.60%EV -12.01%E -2.27%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21%EV -12.02%E -2.86%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-05 21:15
Grosvenor1.55I 64.52%NM 60.19%EV -3.20%E -2.07%K -5.82%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.60%EV -12.01%E -2.27%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21%EV -12.02%E -2.86%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-05 21:14
Unibet (NL)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.19%EV -3.20%E -2.07%K -5.82%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.60%EV -12.01%E -2.27%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21%EV -12.02%E -2.86%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-05 21:14
betPARX1.55I 64.52%NM 60.19%EV -3.20%E -2.07%K -5.82%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.60%EV -12.01%E -2.27%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21%EV -12.02%E -2.86%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-05 21:34
Unibet (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 62.27%EV -11.32%E -7.97%K -26.96%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.68%EV -12.01%E -2.27%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.05%EV -12.02%E -2.86%K -3.75%G +0.000%13.1%2026-05-09 00:04
Betway1.50I 66.67%NM 62.44%EV -6.33%E -4.22%K -12.65%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -12.84%E -2.45%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -0.494%E -0.104%K -0.132%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-08 23:00
BetRivers1.54I 64.94%NM 60.24%EV -3.83%E -2.49%K -7.09%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.67%EV -12.84%E -2.45%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.09%EV -12.02%E -2.86%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-05 21:14
Everygame1.45I 68.97%NM 61.67%EV -9.45%E -6.52%K -21.00%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.03%EV -12.84%E -2.45%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.29%EV -12.02%E -2.86%K -3.75%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-08 23:04
LeoVegas1.53I 65.36%NM 59.97%EV -4.45%E -2.91%K -8.40%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.65%EV -13.67%E -2.63%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV -14.11%E -3.44%K -4.55%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-06 17:30
Winamax (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.14%EV -8.20%E -5.58%K -17.45%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.57%EV -13.67%E -2.63%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.30%EV -5.73%E -1.27%K -1.64%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-08 23:04
LeoVegas (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 60.29%EV -5.70%E -3.78%K -11.18%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.51%EV -13.67%E -2.63%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.20%EV -14.11%E -3.44%K -4.55%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-05 21:15
Virgin Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 59.91%EV -6.33%E -4.22%K -12.65%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.62%EV -15.33%E -3.01%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -16.21%E -4.05%K -5.40%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-06 17:35
LiveScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 59.91%EV -6.33%E -4.22%K -12.65%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.62%EV -15.33%E -3.01%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -16.21%E -4.05%K -5.40%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-06 17:30
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -6.33%E -4.22%K -12.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -16.99%E -3.40%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -12.02%E -2.86%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-08 10:14
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -6.33%E -4.22%K -12.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -16.99%E -3.40%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -12.02%E -2.86%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-08 10:14
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -6.33%E -4.22%K -12.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -16.99%E -3.40%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -12.02%E -2.86%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-08 10:14
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -6.33%E -4.22%K -12.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -16.99%E -3.40%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -12.02%E -2.86%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-08 10:14
Neds1.48I 67.57%NM 60.67%EV -7.57%E -5.12%K -15.78%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.96%EV -16.99%E -3.40%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.38%EV -12.02%E -2.86%K -3.75%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-08 23:04
Ladbrokes (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 60.67%EV -7.57%E -5.12%K -15.78%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.96%EV -16.99%E -3.40%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.38%EV -12.02%E -2.86%K -3.75%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-08 23:05
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 61.32%EV -10.07%E -7.00%K -22.89%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.66%EV -16.99%E -3.40%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.02%EV -12.02%E -2.86%K -3.75%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-08 23:05
Winamax (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 61.26%EV -10.70%E -7.48%K -24.88%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.88%EV -18.65%E -3.81%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.86%EV -12.02%E -2.86%K -3.75%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-08 23:04
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook1.51I 66.23%NM 64.79%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.82%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.38%2.2%2026-05-08 23:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.51I 66.23%NM 64.51%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.76%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.73%2.7%2026-05-08 23:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.51I 66.23%NM 64.51%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.76%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.73%2.7%2026-05-08 23:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.51I 66.23%NM 64.51%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.76%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.73%2.7%2026-05-08 23:39
Kalshi1.52I 65.79%NM 64.00%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.56%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.44%2.8%2026-05-09 00:04