Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.55
assuming max odds 5.86
assuming max odds 5.00
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Beijing FC (Local): 63.05%; Zhejiang (Visit): 17.34%; Draw: 19.61%. For Zhejiang (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.77. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.86, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.59%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.95%EV -7.94%E -5.44%K -17.27%G +0.000% | 5.86I 17.06%NM 15.93%EV +1.59%E +0.271%K +0.326%G +0.005% | 4.64I 21.55%NM 20.12%EV -9.00%E -1.94%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-01 11:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.39%EV -6.05%E -4.06%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 5.84I 17.12%NM 16.43%EV +1.24%E +0.212%K +0.256%G +0.003% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.19%EV -1.94%E -0.388%K -0.486%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-01 11:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.07%EV -9.83%E -6.88%K -22.87%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.32%EV -1.19%E -0.208%K -0.253%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.61%EV -1.94%E -0.388%K -0.486%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-01 11:19 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.72%EV -4.79%E -3.17%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 5.65I 17.70%NM 17.03%EV -2.05%E -0.364%K -0.442%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.24%EV -1.94%E -0.388%K -0.486%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-01 11:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.72%EV -4.79%E -3.17%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 5.65I 17.70%NM 17.03%EV -2.05%E -0.364%K -0.442%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.24%EV -1.94%E -0.388%K -0.486%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-01 11:14 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.72%EV -4.79%E -3.17%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 5.65I 17.70%NM 17.03%EV -2.05%E -0.364%K -0.442%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.24%EV -1.94%E -0.388%K -0.486%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-01 11:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.32%EV -8.57%E -5.91%K -19.05%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.65%EV -2.92%E -0.522%K -0.635%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.03%EV -3.90%E -0.797%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-01 11:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.93%EV -8.57%E -5.91%K -19.05%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.55%EV -2.92%E -0.522%K -0.635%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -6.84%E -1.44%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-01 11:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.49%EV -6.05%E -4.06%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -4.65%E -0.846%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.31%EV -3.90%E -0.797%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-01 10:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.26%EV -6.68%E -4.51%K -13.92%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -4.65%E -0.846%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.71%EV -6.84%E -1.44%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-01 11:29 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.34%EV -8.57%E -5.91%K -19.05%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -4.65%E -0.846%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.96%EV -9.79%E -2.13%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-01 11:00 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.34%EV -8.57%E -5.91%K -19.05%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -4.65%E -0.846%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.96%EV -9.79%E -2.13%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-01 11:18 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.34%EV -8.57%E -5.91%K -19.05%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -4.65%E -0.846%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.96%EV -9.79%E -2.13%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-01 11:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.93%EV -9.20%E -6.39%K -20.92%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.48%EV -4.65%E -0.846%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -13.71%E -3.12%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-01 11:29 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.93%EV -9.20%E -6.39%K -20.92%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.48%EV -4.65%E -0.846%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -13.71%E -3.12%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-01 11:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.93%EV -9.20%E -6.39%K -20.92%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.48%EV -4.65%E -0.846%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -13.71%E -3.12%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-01 11:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.93%EV -9.20%E -6.39%K -20.92%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.48%EV -4.65%E -0.846%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -13.71%E -3.12%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-01 11:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.78%EV -6.05%E -4.06%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV -6.39%E -1.18%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.90%EV -7.83%E -1.67%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-01 11:24 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.13%EV -4.16%E -2.74%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.99%EV -8.99%E -1.71%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.88%EV -6.84%E -1.44%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-01 10:34 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.44%EV -5.42%E -3.61%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -8.99%E -1.71%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -6.84%E -1.44%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-01 09:34 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.39%EV -9.20%E -6.39%K -20.92%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.39%EV -8.99%E -1.71%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.22%EV -6.84%E -1.44%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-01 11:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.19%EV -6.68%E -4.51%K -13.92%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.25%EV -8.99%E -1.71%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -17.63%E -4.20%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-01 11:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.54%EV -6.68%E -4.51%K -13.92%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 17.97%EV -10.72%E -2.08%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -6.84%E -1.44%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-01 09:34 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.54%EV -6.68%E -4.51%K -13.92%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 17.97%EV -10.72%E -2.08%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -6.84%E -1.44%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-01 09:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.46%EV -7.31%E -4.97%K -15.56%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.00%EV -11.59%E -2.27%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.54%EV -7.83%E -1.67%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-01 11:24 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.78%EV -8.57%E -5.91%K -19.05%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.85%EV -11.59%E -2.27%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.37%EV -7.83%E -1.67%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-01 09:34 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -5.42%E -3.61%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -13.32%E -2.66%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.54%EV -6.84%E -1.44%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-01 09:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.50%EV -5.42%E -3.61%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -13.32%E -2.66%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.05%EV -9.79%E -2.13%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-01 09:39 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.24%EV -7.31%E -4.97%K -15.56%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -13.32%E -2.66%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.47%EV -7.83%E -1.67%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-01 09:39 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.81%EV -6.68%E -4.51%K -13.92%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -13.32%E -2.66%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.89%EV -9.79%E -2.13%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-01 11:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.50%EV -11.73%E -8.38%K -29.32%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -13.32%E -2.66%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.72%EV -6.84%E -1.44%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-01 11:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.12%EV -11.73%E -8.38%K -29.32%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.67%EV -13.32%E -2.66%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.21%EV -9.79%E -2.13%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-01 11:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.42%EV -7.94%E -5.44%K -17.27%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.60%EV -15.06%E -3.07%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.99%EV -5.86%E -1.22%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-01 09:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.60%EV -6.68%E -4.51%K -13.92%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.69%EV -16.79%E -3.50%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.71%EV -15.08%E -3.48%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-01 10:54 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.60%EV -6.68%E -4.51%K -13.92%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.69%EV -16.79%E -3.50%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.71%EV -15.08%E -3.48%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-01 10:54 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.57%EV -2.27%E -1.46%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.44%EV -17.66%E -3.72%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.99%EV -13.71%E -3.12%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-01 09:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.57%EV -2.27%E -1.46%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.44%EV -17.66%E -3.72%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.99%EV -13.71%E -3.12%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-01 09:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.57%EV -2.27%E -1.46%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.44%EV -17.66%E -3.72%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.99%EV -13.71%E -3.12%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-01 09:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.57%EV -2.27%E -1.46%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.44%EV -17.66%E -3.72%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.99%EV -13.71%E -3.12%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-01 09:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.57%EV -2.27%E -1.46%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.44%EV -17.66%E -3.72%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.99%EV -13.71%E -3.12%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-01 09:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.57%EV -2.27%E -1.46%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.44%EV -17.66%E -3.72%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.99%EV -13.71%E -3.12%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-01 09:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.57%EV -2.27%E -1.46%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.44%EV -17.66%E -3.72%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.99%EV -13.71%E -3.12%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-01 09:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.46%EV -2.90%E -1.88%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.48%EV -18.52%E -3.94%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.05%EV -14.69%E -3.38%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-01 09:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 61.84%EV -8.57%E -5.91%K -19.05%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.08%EV -18.52%E -3.94%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.08%EV -7.83%E -1.67%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-01 09:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.39%EV -4.16%E -2.74%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.62%EV -20.26%E -4.40%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.99%EV -15.67%E -3.64%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-01 09:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.39%EV -4.16%E -2.74%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.62%EV -20.26%E -4.40%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.99%EV -15.67%E -3.64%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-01 09:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 61.64%EV -11.73%E -8.38%K -29.32%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.18%EV -21.99%E -4.89%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.18%EV -11.75%E -2.61%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 15.9% | 2026-08-01 11:14 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.28% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.00% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.72% | 0.8% | 2026-08-01 11:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.28% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.00% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.72% | 0.8% | 2026-08-01 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.28% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.00% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.72% | 0.8% | 2026-08-01 11:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.28% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.00% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.72% | 0.8% | 2026-08-01 11:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.62% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.70% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.67% | 1.8% | 2026-08-01 11:00 |
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