Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Beijing FC v Zhejiang

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-01 11:35 UTC

Score final : Beijing FC 2–1 Zhejiang

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

47 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Beijing FC (Local)

Prévision 63.05%1.59cote équitable
EV -2.27%
Avantage -1.46%
Kelly -4.12%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
59.39%62.88%63.26%65.07%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.401.481.481.5571.43%67.48%67.57%64.52%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Zhejiang (Visiteur)

Prévision 17.34%5.77cote équitable
EV +1.59%
Avantage +0.271%
Kelly +0.326%
Croissance +0.005%

avec la cote maximale 5.86

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.93%17.48%17.16%19.62%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.505.175.155.8622.22%19.36%19.42%17.06%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 19.61%5.10cote équitable
EV -1.94%
Avantage -0.388%
Kelly -0.486%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 5.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.61%19.64%19.58%21.56%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.204.614.605.0023.81%21.68%21.74%20.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Beijing FC (Local) : 63.05% ; Zhejiang (Visiteur) : 17.34% ; Match nul : 19.61%. Pour Zhejiang (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.77. 2 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 5.86, soit une espérance positive de +1.59%.

Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 63.95%EV -7.94%E -5.44%K -17.27%G +0.000%5.86I 17.06%NM 15.93%EV +1.59%E +0.271%K +0.326%G +0.005%4.64I 21.55%NM 20.12%EV -9.00%E -1.94%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-01 11:25
Pinnacle🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.39%EV -6.05%E -4.06%K -12.35%G +0.000%5.84I 17.12%NM 16.43%EV +1.24%E +0.212%K +0.256%G +0.003%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.19%EV -1.94%E -0.388%K -0.486%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-01 11:20
FanDuel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.07%EV -9.83%E -6.88%K -22.87%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.32%EV -1.19%E -0.208%K -0.253%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.61%EV -1.94%E -0.388%K -0.486%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-01 11:19
LowVig.ag🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.72%EV -4.79%E -3.17%K -9.39%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 17.03%EV -2.05%E -0.364%K -0.442%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.24%EV -1.94%E -0.388%K -0.486%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-01 11:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.72%EV -4.79%E -3.17%K -9.39%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 17.03%EV -2.05%E -0.364%K -0.442%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.24%EV -1.94%E -0.388%K -0.486%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-01 11:14
BetUS🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.72%EV -4.79%E -3.17%K -9.39%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 17.03%EV -2.05%E -0.364%K -0.442%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.24%EV -1.94%E -0.388%K -0.486%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-01 11:10
SportsBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.32%EV -8.57%E -5.91%K -19.05%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.65%EV -2.92%E -0.522%K -0.635%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.03%EV -3.90%E -0.797%K -1.00%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-01 11:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.93%EV -8.57%E -5.91%K -19.05%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.55%EV -2.92%E -0.522%K -0.635%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -6.84%E -1.44%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-01 11:30
DraftKings🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.49%EV -6.05%E -4.06%K -12.35%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -4.65%E -0.846%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.31%EV -3.90%E -0.797%K -1.00%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-01 10:55
Betway🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.26%EV -6.68%E -4.51%K -13.92%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -4.65%E -0.846%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.71%EV -6.84%E -1.44%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-01 11:29
Tipico (DE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.34%EV -8.57%E -5.91%K -19.05%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -4.65%E -0.846%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.96%EV -9.79%E -2.13%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-01 11:00
betano_uk🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.34%EV -8.57%E -5.91%K -19.05%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -4.65%E -0.846%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.96%EV -9.79%E -2.13%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-01 11:18
Bet Victor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.34%EV -8.57%E -5.91%K -19.05%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -4.65%E -0.846%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.96%EV -9.79%E -2.13%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-01 11:20
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.93%EV -9.20%E -6.39%K -20.92%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.48%EV -4.65%E -0.846%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -13.71%E -3.12%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-01 11:29
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.93%EV -9.20%E -6.39%K -20.92%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.48%EV -4.65%E -0.846%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -13.71%E -3.12%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-01 11:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.93%EV -9.20%E -6.39%K -20.92%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.48%EV -4.65%E -0.846%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -13.71%E -3.12%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-01 11:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.93%EV -9.20%E -6.39%K -20.92%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.48%EV -4.65%E -0.846%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -13.71%E -3.12%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-01 11:29
Bovada🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.78%EV -6.05%E -4.06%K -12.35%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV -6.39%E -1.18%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.90%EV -7.83%E -1.67%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-01 11:24
Coolbet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.13%EV -4.16%E -2.74%K -8.00%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.99%EV -8.99%E -1.71%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.88%EV -6.84%E -1.44%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-01 10:34
Unibet (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.44%EV -5.42%E -3.61%K -10.84%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -8.99%E -1.71%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -6.84%E -1.44%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-01 09:34
Everygame🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.39%EV -9.20%E -6.39%K -20.92%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.39%EV -8.99%E -1.71%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.22%EV -6.84%E -1.44%K -1.83%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-01 11:00
PlayUp🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.19%EV -6.68%E -4.51%K -13.92%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.25%EV -8.99%E -1.71%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -17.63%E -4.20%K -5.51%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-01 11:05
NordicBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.54%EV -6.68%E -4.51%K -13.92%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 17.97%EV -10.72%E -2.08%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -6.84%E -1.44%K -1.83%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-01 09:34
Betsson🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.54%EV -6.68%E -4.51%K -13.92%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 17.97%EV -10.72%E -2.08%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -6.84%E -1.44%K -1.83%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-01 09:35
LeoVegas🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.46%EV -7.31%E -4.97%K -15.56%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.00%EV -11.59%E -2.27%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.54%EV -7.83%E -1.67%K -2.12%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-01 11:24
Unibet (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.78%EV -8.57%E -5.91%K -19.05%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.85%EV -11.59%E -2.27%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.37%EV -7.83%E -1.67%K -2.12%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-01 09:34
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -5.42%E -3.61%K -10.84%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -13.32%E -2.66%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.54%EV -6.84%E -1.44%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-01 09:40
betfred_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.50%EV -5.42%E -3.61%K -10.84%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -13.32%E -2.66%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.05%EV -9.79%E -2.13%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-01 09:39
Codere (IT)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.24%EV -7.31%E -4.97%K -15.56%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -13.32%E -2.66%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.47%EV -7.83%E -1.67%K -2.12%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-01 09:39
Bet Right🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.81%EV -6.68%E -4.51%K -13.92%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -13.32%E -2.66%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.89%EV -9.79%E -2.13%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-01 11:05
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.50%EV -11.73%E -8.38%K -29.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -13.32%E -2.66%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.72%EV -6.84%E -1.44%K -1.83%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-01 11:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.12%EV -11.73%E -8.38%K -29.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.67%EV -13.32%E -2.66%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.21%EV -9.79%E -2.13%K -2.72%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-01 11:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 62.42%EV -7.94%E -5.44%K -17.27%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.60%EV -15.06%E -3.07%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.99%EV -5.86%E -1.22%K -1.54%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-01 09:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.60%EV -6.68%E -4.51%K -13.92%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.69%EV -16.79%E -3.50%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.71%EV -15.08%E -3.48%K -4.53%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-01 10:54
Neds🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.60%EV -6.68%E -4.51%K -13.92%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.69%EV -16.79%E -3.50%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.71%EV -15.08%E -3.48%K -4.53%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-01 10:54
Unibet (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.57%EV -2.27%E -1.46%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.44%EV -17.66%E -3.72%K -4.71%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.99%EV -13.71%E -3.12%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-01 09:40
Unibet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.57%EV -2.27%E -1.46%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.44%EV -17.66%E -3.72%K -4.71%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.99%EV -13.71%E -3.12%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-01 09:40
BetRivers🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.57%EV -2.27%E -1.46%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.44%EV -17.66%E -3.72%K -4.71%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.99%EV -13.71%E -3.12%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-01 09:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.57%EV -2.27%E -1.46%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.44%EV -17.66%E -3.72%K -4.71%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.99%EV -13.71%E -3.12%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-01 09:40
Grosvenor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.57%EV -2.27%E -1.46%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.44%EV -17.66%E -3.72%K -4.71%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.99%EV -13.71%E -3.12%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-01 09:39
TABtouch🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.57%EV -2.27%E -1.46%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.44%EV -17.66%E -3.72%K -4.71%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.99%EV -13.71%E -3.12%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-01 09:40
betPARX🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.57%EV -2.27%E -1.46%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.44%EV -17.66%E -3.72%K -4.71%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.99%EV -13.71%E -3.12%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-01 09:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.46%EV -2.90%E -1.88%K -5.37%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.48%EV -18.52%E -3.94%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.05%EV -14.69%E -3.38%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-01 09:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 61.84%EV -8.57%E -5.91%K -19.05%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.08%EV -18.52%E -3.94%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.08%EV -7.83%E -1.67%K -2.12%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-01 09:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.39%EV -4.16%E -2.74%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.62%EV -20.26%E -4.40%K -5.63%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.99%EV -15.67%E -3.64%K -4.75%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-01 09:39
Virgin Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.39%EV -4.16%E -2.74%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.62%EV -20.26%E -4.40%K -5.63%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.99%EV -15.67%E -3.64%K -4.75%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-01 09:40
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 61.64%EV -11.73%E -8.38%K -29.32%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.18%EV -21.99%E -4.89%K -6.28%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.18%EV -11.75%E -2.61%K -3.36%G +0.000%15.9%2026-08-01 11:14
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.52I 65.79%NM 65.28%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.00%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.72%0.8%2026-08-01 11:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.52I 65.79%NM 65.28%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.00%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.72%0.8%2026-08-01 11:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 65.28%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.00%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.72%0.8%2026-08-01 11:20
Matchbook1.52I 65.79%NM 65.28%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.00%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.72%0.8%2026-08-01 11:30
Kalshi1.52I 65.79%NM 64.62%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.70%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.67%1.8%2026-08-01 11:00