默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Beijing FC v Zhejiang

开赛时间: 2026-08-01 11:35 UTC

最终结果: Beijing FC 2–1 Zhejiang

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

47 家博彩公司 (16 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Beijing FC (主队)

预测 63.05%1.59公平赔率
EV -2.27%
优势 -1.46%
Kelly -4.12%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.55

博彩公司预测分布
59.39%62.88%63.26%65.07%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.401.481.481.5571.43%67.48%67.57%64.52%最小值均值中位数最大值

Zhejiang (客队)

预测 17.34%5.77公平赔率
EV +1.59%
优势 +0.271%
Kelly +0.326%
增长率 +0.005%

假设最高赔率为 5.86

博彩公司预测分布
15.93%17.48%17.16%19.62%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.505.175.155.8622.22%19.36%19.42%17.06%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 19.61%5.10公平赔率
EV -1.94%
优势 -0.388%
Kelly -0.486%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 5.00

博彩公司预测分布
18.61%19.64%19.58%21.56%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.204.614.605.0023.81%21.68%21.74%20.00%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Beijing FC (主队):63.05%;Zhejiang (客队):17.34%;平局:19.61%。 对于“Zhejiang (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为5.77。 当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为5.86,对应+1.59%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (47 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
1xBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 63.95%EV -7.94%E -5.44%K -17.27%G +0.000%5.86I 17.06%NM 15.93%EV +1.59%E +0.271%K +0.326%G +0.005%4.64I 21.55%NM 20.12%EV -9.00%E -1.94%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-01 11:25
Pinnacle🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.39%EV -6.05%E -4.06%K -12.35%G +0.000%5.84I 17.12%NM 16.43%EV +1.24%E +0.212%K +0.256%G +0.003%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.19%EV -1.94%E -0.388%K -0.486%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-01 11:20
FanDuel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.07%EV -9.83%E -6.88%K -22.87%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.32%EV -1.19%E -0.208%K -0.253%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.61%EV -1.94%E -0.388%K -0.486%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-01 11:19
LowVig.ag🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.72%EV -4.79%E -3.17%K -9.39%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 17.03%EV -2.05%E -0.364%K -0.442%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.24%EV -1.94%E -0.388%K -0.486%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-01 11:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.72%EV -4.79%E -3.17%K -9.39%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 17.03%EV -2.05%E -0.364%K -0.442%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.24%EV -1.94%E -0.388%K -0.486%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-01 11:14
BetUS🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.72%EV -4.79%E -3.17%K -9.39%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 17.03%EV -2.05%E -0.364%K -0.442%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.24%EV -1.94%E -0.388%K -0.486%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-01 11:10
SportsBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.32%EV -8.57%E -5.91%K -19.05%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.65%EV -2.92%E -0.522%K -0.635%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.03%EV -3.90%E -0.797%K -1.00%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-01 11:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.93%EV -8.57%E -5.91%K -19.05%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.55%EV -2.92%E -0.522%K -0.635%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -6.84%E -1.44%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-01 11:30
DraftKings🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.49%EV -6.05%E -4.06%K -12.35%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -4.65%E -0.846%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.31%EV -3.90%E -0.797%K -1.00%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-01 10:55
Betway🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.26%EV -6.68%E -4.51%K -13.92%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -4.65%E -0.846%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.71%EV -6.84%E -1.44%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-01 11:29
Tipico (DE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.34%EV -8.57%E -5.91%K -19.05%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -4.65%E -0.846%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.96%EV -9.79%E -2.13%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-01 11:00
betano_uk🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.34%EV -8.57%E -5.91%K -19.05%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -4.65%E -0.846%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.96%EV -9.79%E -2.13%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-01 11:18
Bet Victor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.34%EV -8.57%E -5.91%K -19.05%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -4.65%E -0.846%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.96%EV -9.79%E -2.13%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-01 11:20
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.93%EV -9.20%E -6.39%K -20.92%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.48%EV -4.65%E -0.846%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -13.71%E -3.12%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-01 11:29
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.93%EV -9.20%E -6.39%K -20.92%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.48%EV -4.65%E -0.846%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -13.71%E -3.12%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-01 11:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.93%EV -9.20%E -6.39%K -20.92%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.48%EV -4.65%E -0.846%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -13.71%E -3.12%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-01 11:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.93%EV -9.20%E -6.39%K -20.92%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.48%EV -4.65%E -0.846%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -13.71%E -3.12%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-01 11:29
Bovada🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.78%EV -6.05%E -4.06%K -12.35%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV -6.39%E -1.18%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.90%EV -7.83%E -1.67%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-01 11:24
Coolbet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.13%EV -4.16%E -2.74%K -8.00%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.99%EV -8.99%E -1.71%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.88%EV -6.84%E -1.44%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-01 10:34
Unibet (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.44%EV -5.42%E -3.61%K -10.84%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -8.99%E -1.71%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -6.84%E -1.44%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-01 09:34
Everygame🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.39%EV -9.20%E -6.39%K -20.92%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.39%EV -8.99%E -1.71%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.22%EV -6.84%E -1.44%K -1.83%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-01 11:00
PlayUp🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.19%EV -6.68%E -4.51%K -13.92%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.25%EV -8.99%E -1.71%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -17.63%E -4.20%K -5.51%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-01 11:05
NordicBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.54%EV -6.68%E -4.51%K -13.92%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 17.97%EV -10.72%E -2.08%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -6.84%E -1.44%K -1.83%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-01 09:34
Betsson🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.54%EV -6.68%E -4.51%K -13.92%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 17.97%EV -10.72%E -2.08%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -6.84%E -1.44%K -1.83%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-01 09:35
LeoVegas🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.46%EV -7.31%E -4.97%K -15.56%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.00%EV -11.59%E -2.27%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.54%EV -7.83%E -1.67%K -2.12%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-01 11:24
Unibet (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.78%EV -8.57%E -5.91%K -19.05%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.85%EV -11.59%E -2.27%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.37%EV -7.83%E -1.67%K -2.12%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-01 09:34
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -5.42%E -3.61%K -10.84%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -13.32%E -2.66%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.54%EV -6.84%E -1.44%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-01 09:40
betfred_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.50%EV -5.42%E -3.61%K -10.84%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -13.32%E -2.66%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.05%EV -9.79%E -2.13%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-01 09:39
Codere (IT)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.24%EV -7.31%E -4.97%K -15.56%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -13.32%E -2.66%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.47%EV -7.83%E -1.67%K -2.12%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-01 09:39
Bet Right🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.81%EV -6.68%E -4.51%K -13.92%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -13.32%E -2.66%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.89%EV -9.79%E -2.13%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-01 11:05
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.50%EV -11.73%E -8.38%K -29.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -13.32%E -2.66%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.72%EV -6.84%E -1.44%K -1.83%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-01 11:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.12%EV -11.73%E -8.38%K -29.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.67%EV -13.32%E -2.66%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.21%EV -9.79%E -2.13%K -2.72%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-01 11:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 62.42%EV -7.94%E -5.44%K -17.27%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.60%EV -15.06%E -3.07%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.99%EV -5.86%E -1.22%K -1.54%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-01 09:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.60%EV -6.68%E -4.51%K -13.92%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.69%EV -16.79%E -3.50%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.71%EV -15.08%E -3.48%K -4.53%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-01 10:54
Neds🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.60%EV -6.68%E -4.51%K -13.92%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.69%EV -16.79%E -3.50%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.71%EV -15.08%E -3.48%K -4.53%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-01 10:54
Unibet (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.57%EV -2.27%E -1.46%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.44%EV -17.66%E -3.72%K -4.71%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.99%EV -13.71%E -3.12%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-01 09:40
Unibet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.57%EV -2.27%E -1.46%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.44%EV -17.66%E -3.72%K -4.71%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.99%EV -13.71%E -3.12%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-01 09:40
BetRivers🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.57%EV -2.27%E -1.46%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.44%EV -17.66%E -3.72%K -4.71%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.99%EV -13.71%E -3.12%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-01 09:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.57%EV -2.27%E -1.46%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.44%EV -17.66%E -3.72%K -4.71%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.99%EV -13.71%E -3.12%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-01 09:40
Grosvenor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.57%EV -2.27%E -1.46%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.44%EV -17.66%E -3.72%K -4.71%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.99%EV -13.71%E -3.12%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-01 09:39
TABtouch🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.57%EV -2.27%E -1.46%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.44%EV -17.66%E -3.72%K -4.71%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.99%EV -13.71%E -3.12%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-01 09:40
betPARX🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.57%EV -2.27%E -1.46%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.44%EV -17.66%E -3.72%K -4.71%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.99%EV -13.71%E -3.12%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-01 09:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.46%EV -2.90%E -1.88%K -5.37%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.48%EV -18.52%E -3.94%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.05%EV -14.69%E -3.38%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-01 09:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 61.84%EV -8.57%E -5.91%K -19.05%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.08%EV -18.52%E -3.94%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.08%EV -7.83%E -1.67%K -2.12%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-01 09:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.39%EV -4.16%E -2.74%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.62%EV -20.26%E -4.40%K -5.63%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.99%EV -15.67%E -3.64%K -4.75%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-01 09:39
Virgin Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.39%EV -4.16%E -2.74%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.62%EV -20.26%E -4.40%K -5.63%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.99%EV -15.67%E -3.64%K -4.75%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-01 09:40
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 61.64%EV -11.73%E -8.38%K -29.32%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.18%EV -21.99%E -4.89%K -6.28%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.18%EV -11.75%E -2.61%K -3.36%G +0.000%15.9%2026-08-01 11:14
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.52I 65.79%NM 65.28%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.00%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.72%0.8%2026-08-01 11:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.52I 65.79%NM 65.28%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.00%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.72%0.8%2026-08-01 11:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 65.28%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.00%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.72%0.8%2026-08-01 11:20
Matchbook1.52I 65.79%NM 65.28%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.00%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.72%0.8%2026-08-01 11:30
Kalshi1.52I 65.79%NM 64.62%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.70%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.67%1.8%2026-08-01 11:00