Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Beijing FC v Yunnan Yukun

Inizio: 2026-08-22 12:00 UTC

Finale: Beijing FC 3–3 Yunnan Yukun

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

47 bookmaker (16 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Beijing FC (Casa)

Previsione 62.84%1.59quota equa
EV -3.86%
Vantaggio -2.52%
Kelly -7.28%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.53

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
60.32%62.97%62.86%65.23%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.351.461.471.5374.07%68.71%68.03%65.36%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Yunnan Yukun (Trasferta)

Previsione 18.38%5.44quota equa
EV +5.70%
Vantaggio +0.990%
Kelly +1.20%
Crescita +0.068%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.75

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
16.00%18.30%18.45%20.47%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
4.205.105.005.7523.81%19.63%20.00%17.39%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 18.78%5.32quota equa
EV -1.40%
Vantaggio -0.266%
Kelly -0.328%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.25

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
17.66%18.73%18.69%20.61%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
4.404.844.905.2522.73%20.66%20.41%19.05%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Beijing FC (Casa): 62.84%; Yunnan Yukun (Trasferta): 18.38%; Pareggio: 18.78%. Per Yunnan Yukun (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 5.44. 8 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 5.75, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +5.70%.

Quote dei bookmaker (47 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Unibet (NL)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.23%EV -11.40%E -8.09%K -27.81%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.00%EV +5.70%E +0.990%K +1.20%G +0.068%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.77%EV -7.97%E -1.63%K -2.04%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-18 07:30
TABtouch🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.23%EV -11.40%E -8.09%K -27.81%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.00%EV +5.70%E +0.990%K +1.20%G +0.068%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.77%EV -7.97%E -1.63%K -2.04%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-18 07:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.23%EV -11.40%E -8.09%K -27.81%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.00%EV +5.70%E +0.990%K +1.20%G +0.068%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.77%EV -7.97%E -1.63%K -2.04%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-18 07:29
Grosvenor🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.23%EV -11.40%E -8.09%K -27.81%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.00%EV +5.70%E +0.990%K +1.20%G +0.068%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.77%EV -7.97%E -1.63%K -2.04%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-18 07:29
Unibet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.23%EV -11.40%E -8.09%K -27.81%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.00%EV +5.70%E +0.990%K +1.20%G +0.068%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.77%EV -7.97%E -1.63%K -2.04%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-18 07:29
betPARX🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.23%EV -11.40%E -8.09%K -27.81%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.00%EV +5.70%E +0.990%K +1.20%G +0.068%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.77%EV -7.97%E -1.63%K -2.04%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-18 07:29
BetRivers🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.55%EV -12.03%E -8.59%K -30.07%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV +1.10%E +0.200%K +0.244%G +0.003%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.02%EV -10.79%E -2.27%K -2.88%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-18 07:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 64.74%EV -13.29%E -9.63%K -34.96%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.25%EV +1.10%E +0.200%K +0.244%G +0.003%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.01%EV -11.73%E -2.49%K -3.17%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-18 07:29
Virgin Bet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 64.79%EV -15.17%E -11.24%K -43.35%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.20%EV -0.738%E -0.137%K -0.168%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.01%EV -13.60%E -2.96%K -3.78%G +0.000%14.3%2026-08-18 07:29
LiveScore Bet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 64.79%EV -15.17%E -11.24%K -43.35%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.20%EV -0.738%E -0.137%K -0.168%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.01%EV -13.60%E -2.96%K -3.78%G +0.000%14.3%2026-08-18 07:29
SportsBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.03%EV -8.26%E -5.66%K -17.95%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.64%EV -2.58%E -0.486%K -0.599%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.33%EV -4.21%E -0.826%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-22 11:49
FanDuel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.73%EV -10.14%E -7.09%K -23.59%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.47%EV -2.58%E -0.486%K -0.599%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.80%EV -2.33%E -0.449%K -0.556%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-22 11:50
Pinnacle🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.35%EV -5.12%E -3.39%K -10.03%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -3.50%E -0.666%K -0.822%G +0.000%5.19I 19.27%NM 18.43%EV -2.52%E -0.486%K -0.602%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-22 11:50
Coolbet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.10%EV -7.63%E -5.19%K -16.24%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.95%EV -3.50%E -0.666%K -0.822%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.95%EV -1.40%E -0.266%K -0.328%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-22 11:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.53%EV -7.63%E -5.19%K -16.24%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -3.50%E -0.666%K -0.822%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68%EV -6.09%E -1.22%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-22 11:45
1xBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.39%EV -5.75%E -3.83%K -11.49%G +0.000%5.24I 19.08%NM 17.86%EV -3.68%E -0.702%K -0.868%G +0.000%4.74I 21.10%NM 19.74%EV -10.97%E -2.32%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-22 11:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.06%EV -7.63%E -5.19%K -16.24%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.83%EV -4.41%E -0.849%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.11%EV -8.91%E -1.84%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-22 11:39
Tipico (DE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.68%EV -10.77%E -7.59%K -25.65%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.66%EV -4.41%E -0.849%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.66%EV -2.33%E -0.449%K -0.556%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-22 11:00
GTbets🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.89%EV -7.63%E -5.19%K -16.24%G +0.000%5.09I 19.65%NM 18.16%EV -6.44%E -1.26%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.88I 20.49%NM 18.94%EV -8.34%E -1.71%K -2.15%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-22 11:19
DraftKings🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.86%E -2.52%K -7.28%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.98%EV -8.09%E -1.62%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.98%EV -6.09%E -1.22%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-22 11:05
BetUS🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.80%EV -3.86%E -2.52%K -7.28%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.91%EV -8.09%E -1.62%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.30%EV -7.97%E -1.63%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-22 11:49
BetOnline.ag🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.95%EV -4.49%E -2.95%K -8.63%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -8.09%E -1.62%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.22%EV -7.97%E -1.63%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-22 11:54
LowVig.ag🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.95%EV -4.49%E -2.95%K -8.63%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -8.09%E -1.62%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.22%EV -7.97%E -1.63%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-22 11:54
Bovada🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.11%EV -5.12%E -3.39%K -10.03%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.76%EV -8.09%E -1.62%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -7.97%E -1.63%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-22 11:53
Unibet (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.75%E -3.83%K -11.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.75%EV -8.09%E -1.62%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.75%EV -6.09%E -1.22%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-22 10:44
Betway🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -7.00%E -4.73%K -14.59%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.59%EV -8.09%E -1.62%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.59%EV -6.09%E -1.22%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-22 11:49
betano_uk🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -8.89%E -6.13%K -19.75%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.35%EV -8.09%E -1.62%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.35%EV -6.09%E -1.22%K -1.52%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 11:03
Bet Victor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -8.89%E -6.13%K -19.75%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.35%EV -8.09%E -1.62%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.35%EV -6.09%E -1.22%K -1.52%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 11:04
betfred_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -9.52%E -6.61%K -21.63%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -8.09%E -1.62%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -6.09%E -1.22%K -1.52%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-22 11:45
Bet Right🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -9.52%E -6.61%K -21.63%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -8.09%E -1.62%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -6.09%E -1.22%K -1.52%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-22 11:54
PlayUp🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.26%EV -7.00%E -4.73%K -14.59%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.13%EV -8.09%E -1.62%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.61%EV -17.36%E -3.95%K -5.11%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-22 11:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.50%EV -12.03%E -8.59%K -30.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -8.09%E -1.62%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.72%EV -10.79%E -2.27%K -2.88%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-22 11:49
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.50%EV -12.03%E -8.59%K -30.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -8.09%E -1.62%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.72%EV -10.79%E -2.27%K -2.88%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-22 11:49
Codere (IT)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.10%EV -7.00%E -4.73%K -14.59%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -9.93%E -2.03%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.15%EV -9.85%E -2.05%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-22 11:44
Betsson🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.01%EV -7.63%E -5.19%K -16.24%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.60%EV -9.93%E -2.03%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.39%EV -11.73%E -2.49%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-22 11:45
NordicBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.01%EV -7.63%E -5.19%K -16.24%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.60%EV -9.93%E -2.03%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.39%EV -11.73%E -2.49%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-22 11:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.49%EV -9.52%E -6.61%K -21.63%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.36%EV -9.93%E -2.03%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.15%EV -11.73%E -2.49%K -3.17%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-22 11:44
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -5.75%E -3.83%K -11.49%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -11.77%E -2.45%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -13.60%E -2.96%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-22 11:15
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -5.75%E -3.83%K -11.49%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -11.77%E -2.45%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -13.60%E -2.96%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-22 11:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -5.75%E -3.83%K -11.49%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -11.77%E -2.45%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -13.60%E -2.96%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-22 11:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -5.75%E -3.83%K -11.49%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -11.77%E -2.45%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -13.60%E -2.96%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-22 11:15
LeoVegas🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.02%EV -7.63%E -5.19%K -16.24%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.99%EV -11.77%E -2.45%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.99%EV -9.85%E -2.05%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-22 11:54
Winamax (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.01%EV -7.63%E -5.19%K -16.24%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.39%EV -13.61%E -2.89%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.60%EV -7.97%E -1.63%K -2.04%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-22 11:45
Winamax (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 61.83%EV -8.89%E -6.13%K -19.75%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.49%EV -15.44%E -3.36%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.68%EV -9.85%E -2.05%K -2.59%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-22 11:45
Neds🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.32%EV -7.00%E -4.73%K -14.59%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.84%EV -17.28%E -3.84%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.84%EV -15.48%E -3.44%K -4.42%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-22 11:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.32%EV -7.00%E -4.73%K -14.59%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.84%EV -17.28%E -3.84%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.84%EV -15.48%E -3.44%K -4.42%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-22 11:05
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 61.42%EV -12.03%E -8.59%K -30.07%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.47%EV -22.80%E -5.43%K -7.12%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.10%EV -10.79%E -2.27%K -2.88%G +0.000%16.3%2026-08-22 11:09
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Kalshi◎1.54I 64.94%NM 64.98%5.88I 17.01%NM 17.02%5.56I 17.99%NM 18.00%-0.1%2026-08-22 09:30
Matchbook◎1.53I 65.36%NM 64.87%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.41%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.72%0.8%2026-08-22 11:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.53I 65.36%NM 64.66%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.36%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.99%1.1%2026-08-22 11:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.53I 65.36%NM 64.66%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.36%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.99%1.1%2026-08-22 11:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.53I 65.36%NM 64.46%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.61%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.93%1.4%2026-08-22 11:55