Idioma:Español
Beijing FC v Yunnan Yukun
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Beijing FC (Local)
Predicción 62.84%1.59momio equitativo
EV -3.86%
Ventaja -2.52%
Kelly -7.28%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.53
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
60.32%62.97%62.86%65.23%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.351.461.471.5374.07%68.71%68.03%65.36%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Yunnan Yukun (Visitante)
Predicción 18.38%5.44momio equitativo
EV +5.70%
Ventaja +0.990%
Kelly +1.20%
Crecimiento +0.068%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.00%18.30%18.45%20.47%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.205.105.005.7523.81%19.63%20.00%17.39%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 18.78%5.32momio equitativo
EV -1.40%
Ventaja -0.266%
Kelly -0.328%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.66%18.73%18.69%20.61%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.404.844.905.2522.73%20.66%20.41%19.05%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Beijing FC (Local): 62.84%; Yunnan Yukun (Visitante): 18.38%; Empate: 18.78%. Para Yunnan Yukun (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 5.44. 8 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 5.75, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +5.70%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.23%EV -11.40%E -8.09%K -27.81%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.00%EV +5.70%E +0.990%K +1.20%G +0.068% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.77%EV -7.97%E -1.63%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-18 07:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.23%EV -11.40%E -8.09%K -27.81%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.00%EV +5.70%E +0.990%K +1.20%G +0.068% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.77%EV -7.97%E -1.63%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-18 07:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.23%EV -11.40%E -8.09%K -27.81%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.00%EV +5.70%E +0.990%K +1.20%G +0.068% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.77%EV -7.97%E -1.63%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-18 07:29 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.23%EV -11.40%E -8.09%K -27.81%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.00%EV +5.70%E +0.990%K +1.20%G +0.068% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.77%EV -7.97%E -1.63%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-18 07:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.23%EV -11.40%E -8.09%K -27.81%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.00%EV +5.70%E +0.990%K +1.20%G +0.068% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.77%EV -7.97%E -1.63%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-18 07:29 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.23%EV -11.40%E -8.09%K -27.81%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.00%EV +5.70%E +0.990%K +1.20%G +0.068% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.77%EV -7.97%E -1.63%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-18 07:29 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.55%EV -12.03%E -8.59%K -30.07%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV +1.10%E +0.200%K +0.244%G +0.003% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.02%EV -10.79%E -2.27%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-18 07:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 64.74%EV -13.29%E -9.63%K -34.96%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.25%EV +1.10%E +0.200%K +0.244%G +0.003% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.01%EV -11.73%E -2.49%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-18 07:29 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 64.79%EV -15.17%E -11.24%K -43.35%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.20%EV -0.738%E -0.137%K -0.168%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.01%EV -13.60%E -2.96%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-08-18 07:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 64.79%EV -15.17%E -11.24%K -43.35%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.20%EV -0.738%E -0.137%K -0.168%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.01%EV -13.60%E -2.96%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-08-18 07:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.03%EV -8.26%E -5.66%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.64%EV -2.58%E -0.486%K -0.599%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.33%EV -4.21%E -0.826%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-22 11:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.73%EV -10.14%E -7.09%K -23.59%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.47%EV -2.58%E -0.486%K -0.599%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.80%EV -2.33%E -0.449%K -0.556%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-22 11:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.35%EV -5.12%E -3.39%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -3.50%E -0.666%K -0.822%G +0.000% | 5.19I 19.27%NM 18.43%EV -2.52%E -0.486%K -0.602%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-22 11:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.10%EV -7.63%E -5.19%K -16.24%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.95%EV -3.50%E -0.666%K -0.822%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.95%EV -1.40%E -0.266%K -0.328%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-22 11:54 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.53%EV -7.63%E -5.19%K -16.24%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -3.50%E -0.666%K -0.822%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68%EV -6.09%E -1.22%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-22 11:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.39%EV -5.75%E -3.83%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 5.24I 19.08%NM 17.86%EV -3.68%E -0.702%K -0.868%G +0.000% | 4.74I 21.10%NM 19.74%EV -10.97%E -2.32%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-22 11:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.06%EV -7.63%E -5.19%K -16.24%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.83%EV -4.41%E -0.849%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.11%EV -8.91%E -1.84%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-22 11:39 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.68%EV -10.77%E -7.59%K -25.65%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.66%EV -4.41%E -0.849%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.66%EV -2.33%E -0.449%K -0.556%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-22 11:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.89%EV -7.63%E -5.19%K -16.24%G +0.000% | 5.09I 19.65%NM 18.16%EV -6.44%E -1.26%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.88I 20.49%NM 18.94%EV -8.34%E -1.71%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-22 11:19 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.86%E -2.52%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.98%EV -8.09%E -1.62%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.98%EV -6.09%E -1.22%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-22 11:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.80%EV -3.86%E -2.52%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.91%EV -8.09%E -1.62%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.30%EV -7.97%E -1.63%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-22 11:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.95%EV -4.49%E -2.95%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -8.09%E -1.62%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.22%EV -7.97%E -1.63%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-22 11:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.95%EV -4.49%E -2.95%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -8.09%E -1.62%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.22%EV -7.97%E -1.63%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-22 11:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.11%EV -5.12%E -3.39%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.76%EV -8.09%E -1.62%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -7.97%E -1.63%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-22 11:53 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.75%E -3.83%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.75%EV -8.09%E -1.62%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.75%EV -6.09%E -1.22%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-22 10:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -7.00%E -4.73%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.59%EV -8.09%E -1.62%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.59%EV -6.09%E -1.22%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-22 11:49 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -8.89%E -6.13%K -19.75%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.35%EV -8.09%E -1.62%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.35%EV -6.09%E -1.22%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-22 11:03 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -8.89%E -6.13%K -19.75%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.35%EV -8.09%E -1.62%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.35%EV -6.09%E -1.22%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-22 11:04 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -9.52%E -6.61%K -21.63%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -8.09%E -1.62%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -6.09%E -1.22%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-22 11:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -9.52%E -6.61%K -21.63%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -8.09%E -1.62%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -6.09%E -1.22%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-22 11:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.26%EV -7.00%E -4.73%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.13%EV -8.09%E -1.62%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.61%EV -17.36%E -3.95%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-22 11:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.50%EV -12.03%E -8.59%K -30.07%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -8.09%E -1.62%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.72%EV -10.79%E -2.27%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-22 11:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.50%EV -12.03%E -8.59%K -30.07%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -8.09%E -1.62%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.72%EV -10.79%E -2.27%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-22 11:49 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.10%EV -7.00%E -4.73%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -9.93%E -2.03%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.15%EV -9.85%E -2.05%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-22 11:44 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.01%EV -7.63%E -5.19%K -16.24%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.60%EV -9.93%E -2.03%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.39%EV -11.73%E -2.49%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-22 11:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.01%EV -7.63%E -5.19%K -16.24%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.60%EV -9.93%E -2.03%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.39%EV -11.73%E -2.49%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-22 11:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.49%EV -9.52%E -6.61%K -21.63%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.36%EV -9.93%E -2.03%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.15%EV -11.73%E -2.49%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-22 11:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -5.75%E -3.83%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -11.77%E -2.45%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -13.60%E -2.96%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-22 11:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -5.75%E -3.83%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -11.77%E -2.45%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -13.60%E -2.96%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-22 11:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -5.75%E -3.83%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -11.77%E -2.45%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -13.60%E -2.96%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-22 11:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -5.75%E -3.83%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -11.77%E -2.45%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -13.60%E -2.96%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-22 11:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.02%EV -7.63%E -5.19%K -16.24%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.99%EV -11.77%E -2.45%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.99%EV -9.85%E -2.05%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-22 11:54 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.01%EV -7.63%E -5.19%K -16.24%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.39%EV -13.61%E -2.89%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.60%EV -7.97%E -1.63%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-22 11:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 61.83%EV -8.89%E -6.13%K -19.75%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.49%EV -15.44%E -3.36%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.68%EV -9.85%E -2.05%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-22 11:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.32%EV -7.00%E -4.73%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.84%EV -17.28%E -3.84%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.84%EV -15.48%E -3.44%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-22 11:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.32%EV -7.00%E -4.73%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.84%EV -17.28%E -3.84%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.84%EV -15.48%E -3.44%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-22 11:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 61.42%EV -12.03%E -8.59%K -30.07%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.47%EV -22.80%E -5.43%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.10%EV -10.79%E -2.27%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 16.3% | 2026-08-22 11:09 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.98% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 17.02% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 18.00% | -0.1% | 2026-08-22 09:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.87% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.41% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.72% | 0.8% | 2026-08-22 11:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.66% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.36% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.99% | 1.1% | 2026-08-22 11:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.66% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.36% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.99% | 1.1% | 2026-08-22 11:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.46% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.61% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.93% | 1.4% | 2026-08-22 11:55 |