Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Beijing FC v Yunnan Yukun

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-22 12:00 UTC

Score final : Beijing FC 3–3 Yunnan Yukun

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

47 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Beijing FC (Local)

Prévision 62.84%1.59cote équitable
EV -3.86%
Avantage -2.52%
Kelly -7.28%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.53

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
60.32%62.97%62.86%65.23%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.351.461.471.5374.07%68.71%68.03%65.36%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Yunnan Yukun (Visiteur)

Prévision 18.38%5.44cote équitable
EV +5.70%
Avantage +0.990%
Kelly +1.20%
Croissance +0.068%

avec la cote maximale 5.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.00%18.30%18.45%20.47%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.205.105.005.7523.81%19.63%20.00%17.39%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 18.78%5.32cote équitable
EV -1.40%
Avantage -0.266%
Kelly -0.328%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 5.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.66%18.73%18.69%20.61%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.404.844.905.2522.73%20.66%20.41%19.05%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Beijing FC (Local) : 62.84% ; Yunnan Yukun (Visiteur) : 18.38% ; Match nul : 18.78%. Pour Yunnan Yukun (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.44. 8 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 5.75, soit une espérance positive de +5.70%.

Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet (NL)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.23%EV -11.40%E -8.09%K -27.81%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.00%EV +5.70%E +0.990%K +1.20%G +0.068%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.77%EV -7.97%E -1.63%K -2.04%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-18 07:30
TABtouch🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.23%EV -11.40%E -8.09%K -27.81%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.00%EV +5.70%E +0.990%K +1.20%G +0.068%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.77%EV -7.97%E -1.63%K -2.04%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-18 07:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.23%EV -11.40%E -8.09%K -27.81%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.00%EV +5.70%E +0.990%K +1.20%G +0.068%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.77%EV -7.97%E -1.63%K -2.04%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-18 07:29
Grosvenor🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.23%EV -11.40%E -8.09%K -27.81%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.00%EV +5.70%E +0.990%K +1.20%G +0.068%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.77%EV -7.97%E -1.63%K -2.04%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-18 07:29
Unibet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.23%EV -11.40%E -8.09%K -27.81%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.00%EV +5.70%E +0.990%K +1.20%G +0.068%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.77%EV -7.97%E -1.63%K -2.04%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-18 07:29
betPARX🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.23%EV -11.40%E -8.09%K -27.81%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.00%EV +5.70%E +0.990%K +1.20%G +0.068%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.77%EV -7.97%E -1.63%K -2.04%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-18 07:29
BetRivers🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.55%EV -12.03%E -8.59%K -30.07%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV +1.10%E +0.200%K +0.244%G +0.003%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.02%EV -10.79%E -2.27%K -2.88%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-18 07:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 64.74%EV -13.29%E -9.63%K -34.96%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.25%EV +1.10%E +0.200%K +0.244%G +0.003%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.01%EV -11.73%E -2.49%K -3.17%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-18 07:29
Virgin Bet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 64.79%EV -15.17%E -11.24%K -43.35%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.20%EV -0.738%E -0.137%K -0.168%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.01%EV -13.60%E -2.96%K -3.78%G +0.000%14.3%2026-08-18 07:29
LiveScore Bet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 64.79%EV -15.17%E -11.24%K -43.35%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.20%EV -0.738%E -0.137%K -0.168%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.01%EV -13.60%E -2.96%K -3.78%G +0.000%14.3%2026-08-18 07:29
SportsBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.03%EV -8.26%E -5.66%K -17.95%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.64%EV -2.58%E -0.486%K -0.599%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.33%EV -4.21%E -0.826%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-22 11:49
FanDuel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.73%EV -10.14%E -7.09%K -23.59%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.47%EV -2.58%E -0.486%K -0.599%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.80%EV -2.33%E -0.449%K -0.556%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-22 11:50
Pinnacle🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.35%EV -5.12%E -3.39%K -10.03%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -3.50%E -0.666%K -0.822%G +0.000%5.19I 19.27%NM 18.43%EV -2.52%E -0.486%K -0.602%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-22 11:50
Coolbet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.10%EV -7.63%E -5.19%K -16.24%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.95%EV -3.50%E -0.666%K -0.822%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.95%EV -1.40%E -0.266%K -0.328%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-22 11:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.53%EV -7.63%E -5.19%K -16.24%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -3.50%E -0.666%K -0.822%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68%EV -6.09%E -1.22%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-22 11:45
1xBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.39%EV -5.75%E -3.83%K -11.49%G +0.000%5.24I 19.08%NM 17.86%EV -3.68%E -0.702%K -0.868%G +0.000%4.74I 21.10%NM 19.74%EV -10.97%E -2.32%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-22 11:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.06%EV -7.63%E -5.19%K -16.24%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.83%EV -4.41%E -0.849%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.11%EV -8.91%E -1.84%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-22 11:39
Tipico (DE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.68%EV -10.77%E -7.59%K -25.65%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.66%EV -4.41%E -0.849%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.66%EV -2.33%E -0.449%K -0.556%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-22 11:00
GTbets🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.89%EV -7.63%E -5.19%K -16.24%G +0.000%5.09I 19.65%NM 18.16%EV -6.44%E -1.26%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.88I 20.49%NM 18.94%EV -8.34%E -1.71%K -2.15%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-22 11:19
DraftKings🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.86%E -2.52%K -7.28%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.98%EV -8.09%E -1.62%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.98%EV -6.09%E -1.22%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-22 11:05
BetUS🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.80%EV -3.86%E -2.52%K -7.28%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.91%EV -8.09%E -1.62%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.30%EV -7.97%E -1.63%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-22 11:49
BetOnline.ag🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.95%EV -4.49%E -2.95%K -8.63%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -8.09%E -1.62%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.22%EV -7.97%E -1.63%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-22 11:54
LowVig.ag🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.95%EV -4.49%E -2.95%K -8.63%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -8.09%E -1.62%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.22%EV -7.97%E -1.63%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-22 11:54
Bovada🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.11%EV -5.12%E -3.39%K -10.03%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.76%EV -8.09%E -1.62%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -7.97%E -1.63%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-22 11:53
Unibet (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.75%E -3.83%K -11.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.75%EV -8.09%E -1.62%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.75%EV -6.09%E -1.22%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-22 10:44
Betway🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -7.00%E -4.73%K -14.59%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.59%EV -8.09%E -1.62%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.59%EV -6.09%E -1.22%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-22 11:49
betano_uk🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -8.89%E -6.13%K -19.75%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.35%EV -8.09%E -1.62%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.35%EV -6.09%E -1.22%K -1.52%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 11:03
Bet Victor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -8.89%E -6.13%K -19.75%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.35%EV -8.09%E -1.62%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.35%EV -6.09%E -1.22%K -1.52%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 11:04
betfred_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -9.52%E -6.61%K -21.63%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -8.09%E -1.62%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -6.09%E -1.22%K -1.52%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-22 11:45
Bet Right🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -9.52%E -6.61%K -21.63%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -8.09%E -1.62%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -6.09%E -1.22%K -1.52%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-22 11:54
PlayUp🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.26%EV -7.00%E -4.73%K -14.59%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.13%EV -8.09%E -1.62%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.61%EV -17.36%E -3.95%K -5.11%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-22 11:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.50%EV -12.03%E -8.59%K -30.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -8.09%E -1.62%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.72%EV -10.79%E -2.27%K -2.88%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-22 11:49
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.50%EV -12.03%E -8.59%K -30.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -8.09%E -1.62%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.72%EV -10.79%E -2.27%K -2.88%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-22 11:49
Codere (IT)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.10%EV -7.00%E -4.73%K -14.59%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -9.93%E -2.03%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.15%EV -9.85%E -2.05%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-22 11:44
Betsson🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.01%EV -7.63%E -5.19%K -16.24%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.60%EV -9.93%E -2.03%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.39%EV -11.73%E -2.49%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-22 11:45
NordicBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.01%EV -7.63%E -5.19%K -16.24%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.60%EV -9.93%E -2.03%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.39%EV -11.73%E -2.49%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-22 11:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.49%EV -9.52%E -6.61%K -21.63%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.36%EV -9.93%E -2.03%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.15%EV -11.73%E -2.49%K -3.17%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-22 11:44
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -5.75%E -3.83%K -11.49%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -11.77%E -2.45%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -13.60%E -2.96%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-22 11:15
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -5.75%E -3.83%K -11.49%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -11.77%E -2.45%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -13.60%E -2.96%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-22 11:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -5.75%E -3.83%K -11.49%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -11.77%E -2.45%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -13.60%E -2.96%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-22 11:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -5.75%E -3.83%K -11.49%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -11.77%E -2.45%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -13.60%E -2.96%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-22 11:15
LeoVegas🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.02%EV -7.63%E -5.19%K -16.24%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.99%EV -11.77%E -2.45%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.99%EV -9.85%E -2.05%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-22 11:54
Winamax (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.01%EV -7.63%E -5.19%K -16.24%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.39%EV -13.61%E -2.89%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.60%EV -7.97%E -1.63%K -2.04%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-22 11:45
Winamax (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 61.83%EV -8.89%E -6.13%K -19.75%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.49%EV -15.44%E -3.36%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.68%EV -9.85%E -2.05%K -2.59%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-22 11:45
Neds🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.32%EV -7.00%E -4.73%K -14.59%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.84%EV -17.28%E -3.84%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.84%EV -15.48%E -3.44%K -4.42%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-22 11:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.32%EV -7.00%E -4.73%K -14.59%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.84%EV -17.28%E -3.84%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.84%EV -15.48%E -3.44%K -4.42%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-22 11:05
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 61.42%EV -12.03%E -8.59%K -30.07%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.47%EV -22.80%E -5.43%K -7.12%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.10%EV -10.79%E -2.27%K -2.88%G +0.000%16.3%2026-08-22 11:09
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi◎1.54I 64.94%NM 64.98%5.88I 17.01%NM 17.02%5.56I 17.99%NM 18.00%-0.1%2026-08-22 09:30
Matchbook◎1.53I 65.36%NM 64.87%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.41%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.72%0.8%2026-08-22 11:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.53I 65.36%NM 64.66%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.36%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.99%1.1%2026-08-22 11:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.53I 65.36%NM 64.66%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.36%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.99%1.1%2026-08-22 11:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.53I 65.36%NM 64.46%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.61%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.93%1.4%2026-08-22 11:55