Language:English
Beijing FC v Liaoning Tieren FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Beijing FC (Local)
Prediction 70.72%1.41fair odd
EV -2.41%
Edge -1.75%
Kelly -6.34%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.38
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
67.06%70.56%70.68%72.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.251.321.311.3880.00%75.71%76.34%72.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Liaoning Tieren FC (Visit)
Prediction 12.42%8.05fair odd
EV +17.28%
Edge +1.83%
Kelly +2.05%
Growth +0.354%
assuming max odds 9.44
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
9.92%12.50%12.42%14.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.007.267.509.4416.67%13.77%13.33%10.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 16.86%5.93fair odd
EV -0.530%
Edge -0.090%
Kelly -0.108%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 5.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.72%16.94%16.90%19.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.705.305.405.9021.28%18.88%18.52%16.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Beijing FC (Local): 70.72%; Liaoning Tieren FC (Visit): 12.42%; Draw: 16.86%. For Liaoning Tieren FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.05. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 9.44, corresponding to a positive expected value of +17.28%.
Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.06%EV -8.07%E -6.21%K -26.89%G +0.000% | 9.44I 10.59%NM 9.92%EV +17.28%E +1.83%K +2.05%G +0.354% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.02%EV -12.33%E -2.37%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-17 11:25 |
| GTbets | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.00%EV -5.24%E -3.91%K -15.41%G +0.000% | 8.32I 12.02%NM 11.27%EV +3.37%E +0.405%K +0.460%G +0.015% | 5.01I 19.96%NM 18.72%EV -15.53%E -3.10%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-17 11:25 |
| Pinnacle | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.58%EV -5.24%E -3.91%K -15.41%G +0.000% | 8.09I 12.36%NM 11.86%EV +0.510%E +0.063%K +0.072%G +0.000% | 5.79I 17.27%NM 16.57%EV -2.38%E -0.412%K -0.498%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-17 11:25 |
| Coolbet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.02%EV -5.95%E -4.47%K -18.02%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.81%EV -0.608%E -0.076%K -0.087%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.27%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-17 11:25 |
| betano_uk | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.08%EV -8.78%E -6.80%K -30.26%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.46%EV -0.608%E -0.076%K -0.087%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.46%EV -11.49%E -2.19%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-17 11:24 |
| Bet Victor | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.08%EV -8.78%E -6.80%K -30.26%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.46%EV -0.608%E -0.076%K -0.087%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.46%EV -11.49%E -2.19%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-17 11:23 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.27%EV -8.07%E -6.21%K -26.89%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.88%EV -3.09%E -0.397%K -0.455%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.85%EV -7.27%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-17 11:29 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.52%EV -7.36%E -5.62%K -23.75%G +0.000% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.33%EV -5.58%E -0.734%K -0.845%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.15%EV -2.22%E -0.382%K -0.462%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-17 11:30 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.52%EV -7.36%E -5.62%K -23.75%G +0.000% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.33%EV -5.58%E -0.734%K -0.845%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.15%EV -2.22%E -0.382%K -0.462%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-17 11:30 |
| DraftKings | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.99%EV -5.95%E -4.47%K -18.02%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -6.82%E -0.909%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -3.06%E -0.532%K -0.644%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-17 11:30 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.46%EV -5.95%E -4.47%K -18.02%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV -6.82%E -0.909%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -7.27%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-17 11:25 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.46%EV -5.95%E -4.47%K -18.02%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV -6.82%E -0.909%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -7.27%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-17 11:25 |
| Bovada | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.30%EV -7.36%E -5.62%K -23.75%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.45%EV -6.82%E -0.909%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.24%EV -3.06%E -0.532%K -0.644%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-17 11:28 |
| SportsBet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.56%EV -8.07%E -6.21%K -26.89%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -6.82%E -0.909%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.04%EV -2.22%E -0.382%K -0.462%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-17 11:25 |
| Betway | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.46%EV -8.07%E -6.21%K -26.89%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.39%EV -6.82%E -0.909%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.16%EV -3.06%E -0.532%K -0.644%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-17 11:25 |
| FanDuel | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.91%EV -8.78%E -6.80%K -30.26%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.37%EV -6.82%E -0.909%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.72%EV -0.530%E -0.090%K -0.108%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-17 11:24 |
| betfred_uk | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.94%EV -8.07%E -6.21%K -26.89%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.30%EV -6.82%E -0.909%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.77%EV -7.27%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-17 11:25 |
| Bet Right | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.22%EV -7.36%E -5.62%K -23.75%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -6.82%E -0.909%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.52%EV -11.49%E -2.19%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-17 11:25 |
| Everygame | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.26%EV -9.48%E -7.41%K -33.87%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.16%EV -6.82%E -0.909%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -7.27%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-17 11:30 |
| 888sport | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -8.07%E -6.21%K -26.89%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -6.82%E -0.909%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -15.70%E -3.14%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-07-17 11:30 |
| William Hill | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -8.07%E -6.21%K -26.89%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -6.82%E -0.909%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -15.70%E -3.14%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-07-17 11:30 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -8.07%E -6.21%K -26.89%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -6.82%E -0.909%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -15.70%E -3.14%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-07-17 11:30 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -8.07%E -6.21%K -26.89%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -6.82%E -0.909%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -15.70%E -3.14%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-07-17 11:30 |
| Paddy Power | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.74%EV -11.60%E -9.28%K -46.42%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.96%EV -6.82%E -0.909%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -7.27%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-07-17 11:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.74%EV -11.60%E -9.28%K -46.42%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.96%EV -6.82%E -0.909%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -7.27%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-07-17 11:30 |
| NordicBet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.38%EV -6.65%E -5.04%K -20.79%G +0.000% | 7.30I 13.70%NM 12.73%EV -9.30%E -1.27%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.89%EV -7.27%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-17 11:20 |
| Betsson | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.38%EV -6.65%E -5.04%K -20.79%G +0.000% | 7.30I 13.70%NM 12.73%EV -9.30%E -1.27%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.89%EV -7.27%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-17 11:25 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.58%EV -8.07%E -6.21%K -26.89%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 12.74%EV -10.55%E -1.46%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -7.27%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-17 11:20 |
| LeoVegas | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.23%EV -8.07%E -6.21%K -26.89%G +0.000% | 7.10I 14.08%NM 12.86%EV -11.79%E -1.66%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.91%EV -8.96%E -1.66%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-17 11:30 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.31I 76.34%NM 69.94%EV -7.36%E -5.62%K -23.75%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.09%EV -13.03%E -1.86%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.97%EV -8.96%E -1.66%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-17 11:25 |
| Grosvenor | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.29%EV -2.41%E -1.75%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.76%EV -16.14%E -2.39%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.95%EV -17.39%E -3.55%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-13 02:45 |
| TABtouch | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.29%EV -2.41%E -1.75%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.76%EV -16.14%E -2.39%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.95%EV -17.39%E -3.55%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-13 02:45 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.29%EV -2.41%E -1.75%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.76%EV -16.14%E -2.39%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.95%EV -17.39%E -3.55%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-13 02:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.29%EV -2.41%E -1.75%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.76%EV -16.14%E -2.39%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.95%EV -17.39%E -3.55%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-13 02:50 |
| Unibet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.29%EV -2.41%E -1.75%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.76%EV -16.14%E -2.39%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.95%EV -17.39%E -3.55%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-13 02:49 |
| betPARX | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.29%EV -2.41%E -1.75%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.76%EV -16.14%E -2.39%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.95%EV -17.39%E -3.55%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-13 02:49 |
| BetRivers | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.61%EV -3.83%E -2.81%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.62%EV -16.14%E -2.39%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.77%EV -17.39%E -3.55%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-13 02:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.35%EV -3.83%E -2.81%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.57%EV -16.14%E -2.39%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.08%EV -19.07%E -3.97%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-13 02:49 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.83%EV -8.07%E -6.21%K -26.89%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.97%EV -19.24%E -2.96%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.21%EV -5.59%E -0.998%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-07-17 11:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 67.06%EV -5.24%E -3.91%K -15.41%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.82%EV -19.24%E -2.96%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.12%EV -20.76%E -4.42%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-13 02:45 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 67.06%EV -5.24%E -3.91%K -15.41%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.82%EV -19.24%E -2.96%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.12%EV -20.76%E -4.42%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-13 02:49 |
| BetUS | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.73%EV -2.41%E -1.75%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.96%EV -22.35%E -3.58%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV -8.96%E -1.66%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-17 08:05 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 68.92%EV -9.48%E -7.41%K -33.87%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.11%EV -22.35%E -3.58%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 16.96%EV -12.33%E -2.37%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-07-17 11:25 |
| Neds | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.22%EV -5.95%E -4.47%K -18.02%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.90%EV -25.46%E -4.24%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.88%EV -15.70%E -3.14%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-17 11:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.22%EV -5.95%E -4.47%K -18.02%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.90%EV -25.46%E -4.24%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.88%EV -15.70%E -3.14%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-17 11:25 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.97% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 11.03% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.01% | 0.8% | 2026-07-17 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.96% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.54% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.50% | 0.8% | 2026-07-17 11:30 |
| Kalshi | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.27% | 8.33I 12.00%NM 11.89% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.84% | 1.0% | 2026-07-17 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.79% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.25% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.97% | 1.0% | 2026-07-17 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.40% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.72% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.88% | 1.6% | 2026-07-17 11:20 |