La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Beijing FC v Liaoning Tieren FC
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Beijing FC (Local)
Predicción 70.72%1.41momio equitativo
EV -2.41%
Ventaja -1.75%
Kelly -6.34%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.38
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
67.06%70.56%70.68%72.06%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.251.321.311.3880.00%75.71%76.34%72.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Liaoning Tieren FC (Visitante)
Predicción 12.42%8.05momio equitativo
EV +17.28%
Ventaja +1.83%
Kelly +2.05%
Crecimiento +0.354%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 9.44
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
9.92%12.50%12.42%14.96%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
6.007.267.509.4416.67%13.77%13.33%10.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 16.86%5.93momio equitativo
EV -0.530%
Ventaja -0.090%
Kelly -0.108%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.90
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.72%16.94%16.90%19.12%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.705.305.405.9021.28%18.88%18.52%16.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (45 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.06%EV -8.07%E -6.21%K -26.89%G +0.000% | 9.44I 10.59%NM 9.92%EV +17.28%E +1.83%K +2.05%G +0.354% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.02%EV -12.33%E -2.37%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-17 11:25 |
| GTbets | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.00%EV -5.24%E -3.91%K -15.41%G +0.000% | 8.32I 12.02%NM 11.27%EV +3.37%E +0.405%K +0.460%G +0.015% | 5.01I 19.96%NM 18.72%EV -15.53%E -3.10%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-17 11:25 |
| Pinnacle | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.58%EV -5.24%E -3.91%K -15.41%G +0.000% | 8.09I 12.36%NM 11.86%EV +0.510%E +0.063%K +0.072%G +0.000% | 5.79I 17.27%NM 16.57%EV -2.38%E -0.412%K -0.498%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-17 11:25 |
| Coolbet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.02%EV -5.95%E -4.47%K -18.02%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.81%EV -0.608%E -0.076%K -0.087%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.27%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-17 11:25 |
| betano_uk | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.08%EV -8.78%E -6.80%K -30.26%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.46%EV -0.608%E -0.076%K -0.087%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.46%EV -11.49%E -2.19%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-17 11:24 |
| Bet Victor | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.08%EV -8.78%E -6.80%K -30.26%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.46%EV -0.608%E -0.076%K -0.087%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.46%EV -11.49%E -2.19%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-17 11:23 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.27%EV -8.07%E -6.21%K -26.89%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.88%EV -3.09%E -0.397%K -0.455%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.85%EV -7.27%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-17 11:29 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.52%EV -7.36%E -5.62%K -23.75%G +0.000% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.33%EV -5.58%E -0.734%K -0.845%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.15%EV -2.22%E -0.382%K -0.462%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-17 11:30 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.52%EV -7.36%E -5.62%K -23.75%G +0.000% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.33%EV -5.58%E -0.734%K -0.845%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.15%EV -2.22%E -0.382%K -0.462%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-17 11:30 |
| DraftKings | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.99%EV -5.95%E -4.47%K -18.02%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -6.82%E -0.909%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -3.06%E -0.532%K -0.644%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-17 11:30 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.46%EV -5.95%E -4.47%K -18.02%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV -6.82%E -0.909%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -7.27%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-17 11:25 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.46%EV -5.95%E -4.47%K -18.02%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV -6.82%E -0.909%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -7.27%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-17 11:25 |
| Bovada | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.30%EV -7.36%E -5.62%K -23.75%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.45%EV -6.82%E -0.909%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.24%EV -3.06%E -0.532%K -0.644%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-17 11:28 |
| SportsBet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.56%EV -8.07%E -6.21%K -26.89%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -6.82%E -0.909%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.04%EV -2.22%E -0.382%K -0.462%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-17 11:25 |
| Betway | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.46%EV -8.07%E -6.21%K -26.89%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.39%EV -6.82%E -0.909%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.16%EV -3.06%E -0.532%K -0.644%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-17 11:25 |
| FanDuel | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.91%EV -8.78%E -6.80%K -30.26%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.37%EV -6.82%E -0.909%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.72%EV -0.530%E -0.090%K -0.108%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-17 11:24 |
| betfred_uk | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.94%EV -8.07%E -6.21%K -26.89%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.30%EV -6.82%E -0.909%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.77%EV -7.27%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-17 11:25 |
| Bet Right | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.22%EV -7.36%E -5.62%K -23.75%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -6.82%E -0.909%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.52%EV -11.49%E -2.19%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-17 11:25 |
| Everygame | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.26%EV -9.48%E -7.41%K -33.87%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.16%EV -6.82%E -0.909%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -7.27%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-17 11:30 |
| 888sport | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -8.07%E -6.21%K -26.89%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -6.82%E -0.909%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -15.70%E -3.14%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-07-17 11:30 |
| William Hill | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -8.07%E -6.21%K -26.89%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -6.82%E -0.909%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -15.70%E -3.14%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-07-17 11:30 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -8.07%E -6.21%K -26.89%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -6.82%E -0.909%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -15.70%E -3.14%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-07-17 11:30 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -8.07%E -6.21%K -26.89%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -6.82%E -0.909%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -15.70%E -3.14%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-07-17 11:30 |
| Paddy Power | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.74%EV -11.60%E -9.28%K -46.42%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.96%EV -6.82%E -0.909%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -7.27%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-07-17 11:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.74%EV -11.60%E -9.28%K -46.42%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.96%EV -6.82%E -0.909%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -7.27%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-07-17 11:30 |
| NordicBet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.38%EV -6.65%E -5.04%K -20.79%G +0.000% | 7.30I 13.70%NM 12.73%EV -9.30%E -1.27%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.89%EV -7.27%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-17 11:20 |
| Betsson | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.38%EV -6.65%E -5.04%K -20.79%G +0.000% | 7.30I 13.70%NM 12.73%EV -9.30%E -1.27%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.89%EV -7.27%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-17 11:25 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.58%EV -8.07%E -6.21%K -26.89%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 12.74%EV -10.55%E -1.46%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -7.27%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-17 11:20 |
| LeoVegas | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.23%EV -8.07%E -6.21%K -26.89%G +0.000% | 7.10I 14.08%NM 12.86%EV -11.79%E -1.66%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.91%EV -8.96%E -1.66%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-17 11:30 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.31I 76.34%NM 69.94%EV -7.36%E -5.62%K -23.75%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.09%EV -13.03%E -1.86%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.97%EV -8.96%E -1.66%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-17 11:25 |
| Grosvenor | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.29%EV -2.41%E -1.75%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.76%EV -16.14%E -2.39%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.95%EV -17.39%E -3.55%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-13 02:45 |
| TABtouch | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.29%EV -2.41%E -1.75%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.76%EV -16.14%E -2.39%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.95%EV -17.39%E -3.55%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-13 02:45 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.29%EV -2.41%E -1.75%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.76%EV -16.14%E -2.39%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.95%EV -17.39%E -3.55%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-13 02:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.29%EV -2.41%E -1.75%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.76%EV -16.14%E -2.39%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.95%EV -17.39%E -3.55%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-13 02:50 |
| Unibet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.29%EV -2.41%E -1.75%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.76%EV -16.14%E -2.39%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.95%EV -17.39%E -3.55%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-13 02:49 |
| betPARX | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.29%EV -2.41%E -1.75%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.76%EV -16.14%E -2.39%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.95%EV -17.39%E -3.55%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-13 02:49 |
| BetRivers | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.61%EV -3.83%E -2.81%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.62%EV -16.14%E -2.39%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.77%EV -17.39%E -3.55%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-13 02:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.35%EV -3.83%E -2.81%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.57%EV -16.14%E -2.39%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.08%EV -19.07%E -3.97%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-13 02:49 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.83%EV -8.07%E -6.21%K -26.89%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.97%EV -19.24%E -2.96%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.21%EV -5.59%E -0.998%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-07-17 11:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 67.06%EV -5.24%E -3.91%K -15.41%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.82%EV -19.24%E -2.96%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.12%EV -20.76%E -4.42%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-13 02:45 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 67.06%EV -5.24%E -3.91%K -15.41%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.82%EV -19.24%E -2.96%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.12%EV -20.76%E -4.42%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-13 02:49 |
| BetUS | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.73%EV -2.41%E -1.75%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.96%EV -22.35%E -3.58%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV -8.96%E -1.66%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-17 08:05 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 68.92%EV -9.48%E -7.41%K -33.87%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.11%EV -22.35%E -3.58%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 16.96%EV -12.33%E -2.37%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-07-17 11:25 |
| Neds | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.22%EV -5.95%E -4.47%K -18.02%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.90%EV -25.46%E -4.24%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.88%EV -15.70%E -3.14%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-17 11:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.22%EV -5.95%E -4.47%K -18.02%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.90%EV -25.46%E -4.24%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.88%EV -15.70%E -3.14%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-17 11:25 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.97% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 11.03% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.01% | 0.8% | 2026-07-17 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.96% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.54% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.50% | 0.8% | 2026-07-17 11:30 |
| Kalshi | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.27% | 8.33I 12.00%NM 11.89% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.84% | 1.0% | 2026-07-17 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.79% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.25% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.97% | 1.0% | 2026-07-17 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.40% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.72% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.88% | 1.6% | 2026-07-17 11:20 |