L’École des cotes

Beijing FC v Liaoning Tieren FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-17 11:35 UTC

Score final : Beijing FC 1–1 Liaoning Tieren FC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

45 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Beijing FC (Local)

Prévision 70.72%1.41cote équitable
EV -2.41%
Avantage -1.75%
Kelly -6.34%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.38

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
67.06%70.56%70.68%72.06%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.251.321.311.3880.00%75.71%76.34%72.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Liaoning Tieren FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 12.42%8.05cote équitable
EV +17.28%
Avantage +1.83%
Kelly +2.05%
Croissance +0.354%

avec la cote maximale 9.44

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
9.92%12.50%12.42%14.96%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
6.007.267.509.4416.67%13.77%13.33%10.59%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 16.86%5.93cote équitable
EV -0.530%
Avantage -0.090%
Kelly -0.108%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 5.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.72%16.94%16.90%19.12%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.705.305.405.9021.28%18.88%18.52%16.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (45 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet1.30I 76.92%NM 72.06%EV -8.07%E -6.21%K -26.89%G +0.000%9.44I 10.59%NM 9.92%EV +17.28%E +1.83%K +2.05%G +0.354%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.02%EV -12.33%E -2.37%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-17 11:25
GTbets1.34I 74.63%NM 70.00%EV -5.24%E -3.91%K -15.41%G +0.000%8.32I 12.02%NM 11.27%EV +3.37%E +0.405%K +0.460%G +0.015%5.01I 19.96%NM 18.72%EV -15.53%E -3.10%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-17 11:25
Pinnacle1.34I 74.63%NM 71.58%EV -5.24%E -3.91%K -15.41%G +0.000%8.09I 12.36%NM 11.86%EV +0.510%E +0.063%K +0.072%G +0.000%5.79I 17.27%NM 16.57%EV -2.38%E -0.412%K -0.498%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-17 11:25
Coolbet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.02%EV -5.95%E -4.47%K -18.02%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.81%EV -0.608%E -0.076%K -0.087%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.27%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-17 11:25
betano_uk1.29I 77.52%NM 71.08%EV -8.78%E -6.80%K -30.26%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.46%EV -0.608%E -0.076%K -0.087%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.46%EV -11.49%E -2.19%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-17 11:24
Bet Victor1.29I 77.52%NM 71.08%EV -8.78%E -6.80%K -30.26%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.46%EV -0.608%E -0.076%K -0.087%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.46%EV -11.49%E -2.19%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-17 11:23
Marathon Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 71.27%EV -8.07%E -6.21%K -26.89%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.88%EV -3.09%E -0.397%K -0.455%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.85%EV -7.27%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-17 11:29
LowVig.ag1.31I 76.34%NM 71.52%EV -7.36%E -5.62%K -23.75%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.33%EV -5.58%E -0.734%K -0.845%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.15%EV -2.22%E -0.382%K -0.462%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-17 11:30
BetOnline.ag1.31I 76.34%NM 71.52%EV -7.36%E -5.62%K -23.75%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.33%EV -5.58%E -0.734%K -0.845%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.15%EV -2.22%E -0.382%K -0.462%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-17 11:30
DraftKings1.33I 75.19%NM 70.99%EV -5.95%E -4.47%K -18.02%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -6.82%E -0.909%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -3.06%E -0.532%K -0.644%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-17 11:30
Unibet (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.46%EV -5.95%E -4.47%K -18.02%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV -6.82%E -0.909%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -7.27%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-17 11:25
PointsBet (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.46%EV -5.95%E -4.47%K -18.02%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV -6.82%E -0.909%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -7.27%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-17 11:25
Bovada1.31I 76.34%NM 71.30%EV -7.36%E -5.62%K -23.75%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.45%EV -6.82%E -0.909%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.24%EV -3.06%E -0.532%K -0.644%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-17 11:28
SportsBet1.30I 76.92%NM 71.56%EV -8.07%E -6.21%K -26.89%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -6.82%E -0.909%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.04%EV -2.22%E -0.382%K -0.462%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-17 11:25
Betway1.30I 76.92%NM 71.46%EV -8.07%E -6.21%K -26.89%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.39%EV -6.82%E -0.909%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.16%EV -3.06%E -0.532%K -0.644%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-17 11:25
FanDuel1.29I 77.52%NM 71.91%EV -8.78%E -6.80%K -30.26%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.37%EV -6.82%E -0.909%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.72%EV -0.530%E -0.090%K -0.108%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-17 11:24
betfred_uk1.30I 76.92%NM 70.94%EV -8.07%E -6.21%K -26.89%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.30%EV -6.82%E -0.909%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.77%EV -7.27%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-17 11:25
Bet Right1.31I 76.34%NM 70.22%EV -7.36%E -5.62%K -23.75%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -6.82%E -0.909%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.52%EV -11.49%E -2.19%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-17 11:25
Everygame1.28I 78.13%NM 71.26%EV -9.48%E -7.41%K -33.87%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.16%EV -6.82%E -0.909%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -7.27%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-17 11:30
888sport1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -8.07%E -6.21%K -26.89%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -6.82%E -0.909%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -15.70%E -3.14%K -3.93%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-17 11:30
William Hill1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -8.07%E -6.21%K -26.89%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -6.82%E -0.909%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -15.70%E -3.14%K -3.93%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-17 11:30
Mr Green (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -8.07%E -6.21%K -26.89%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -6.82%E -0.909%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -15.70%E -3.14%K -3.93%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-17 11:30
888sport (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -8.07%E -6.21%K -26.89%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -6.82%E -0.909%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -15.70%E -3.14%K -3.93%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-17 11:30
Paddy Power1.25I 80.00%NM 71.74%EV -11.60%E -9.28%K -46.42%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.96%EV -6.82%E -0.909%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -7.27%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-17 11:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 71.74%EV -11.60%E -9.28%K -46.42%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.96%EV -6.82%E -0.909%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -7.27%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-17 11:30
NordicBet1.32I 75.76%NM 70.38%EV -6.65%E -5.04%K -20.79%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 12.73%EV -9.30%E -1.27%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.89%EV -7.27%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-17 11:20
Betsson1.32I 75.76%NM 70.38%EV -6.65%E -5.04%K -20.79%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 12.73%EV -9.30%E -1.27%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.89%EV -7.27%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-17 11:25
Tipico (DE)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.58%EV -8.07%E -6.21%K -26.89%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.74%EV -10.55%E -1.46%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -7.27%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-17 11:20
LeoVegas1.30I 76.92%NM 70.23%EV -8.07%E -6.21%K -26.89%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 12.86%EV -11.79%E -1.66%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.91%EV -8.96%E -1.66%K -2.04%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-17 11:30
Codere (IT)1.31I 76.34%NM 69.94%EV -7.36%E -5.62%K -23.75%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.09%EV -13.03%E -1.86%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.97%EV -8.96%E -1.66%K -2.04%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-17 11:25
Grosvenor1.38I 72.46%NM 67.29%EV -2.41%E -1.75%K -6.34%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.76%EV -16.14%E -2.39%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.95%EV -17.39%E -3.55%K -4.46%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-13 02:45
TABtouch1.38I 72.46%NM 67.29%EV -2.41%E -1.75%K -6.34%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.76%EV -16.14%E -2.39%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.95%EV -17.39%E -3.55%K -4.46%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-13 02:45
Unibet (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 67.29%EV -2.41%E -1.75%K -6.34%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.76%EV -16.14%E -2.39%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.95%EV -17.39%E -3.55%K -4.46%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-13 02:50
Unibet (NL)1.38I 72.46%NM 67.29%EV -2.41%E -1.75%K -6.34%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.76%EV -16.14%E -2.39%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.95%EV -17.39%E -3.55%K -4.46%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-13 02:50
Unibet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.29%EV -2.41%E -1.75%K -6.34%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.76%EV -16.14%E -2.39%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.95%EV -17.39%E -3.55%K -4.46%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-13 02:49
betPARX1.38I 72.46%NM 67.29%EV -2.41%E -1.75%K -6.34%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.76%EV -16.14%E -2.39%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.95%EV -17.39%E -3.55%K -4.46%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-13 02:49
BetRivers1.36I 73.53%NM 67.61%EV -3.83%E -2.81%K -10.63%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.62%EV -16.14%E -2.39%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.77%EV -17.39%E -3.55%K -4.46%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-13 02:49
LeoVegas (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.35%EV -3.83%E -2.81%K -10.63%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.57%EV -16.14%E -2.39%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.08%EV -19.07%E -3.97%K -5.02%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-13 02:49
Winamax (DE)1.30I 76.92%NM 69.83%EV -8.07%E -6.21%K -26.89%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.97%EV -19.24%E -2.96%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.21%EV -5.59%E -0.998%K -1.21%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-17 11:20
Virgin Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 67.06%EV -5.24%E -3.91%K -15.41%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.82%EV -19.24%E -2.96%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.12%EV -20.76%E -4.42%K -5.61%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-13 02:45
LiveScore Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 67.06%EV -5.24%E -3.91%K -15.41%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.82%EV -19.24%E -2.96%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.12%EV -20.76%E -4.42%K -5.61%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-13 02:49
BetUS1.38I 72.46%NM 67.73%EV -2.41%E -1.75%K -6.34%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.96%EV -22.35%E -3.58%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV -8.96%E -1.66%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-17 08:05
Winamax (FR)1.28I 78.13%NM 68.92%EV -9.48%E -7.41%K -33.87%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.11%EV -22.35%E -3.58%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.96%EV -12.33%E -2.37%K -2.94%G +0.000%13.4%2026-07-17 11:25
Neds1.33I 75.19%NM 67.22%EV -5.95%E -4.47%K -18.02%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.90%EV -25.46%E -4.24%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.88%EV -15.70%E -3.14%K -3.93%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-17 11:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 67.22%EV -5.95%E -4.47%K -18.02%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.90%EV -25.46%E -4.24%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.88%EV -15.70%E -3.14%K -3.93%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-17 11:25
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.36I 73.53%NM 72.97%9.00I 11.11%NM 11.03%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.01%0.8%2026-07-17 11:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 72.96%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.54%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.50%0.8%2026-07-17 11:30
Kalshi1.37I 72.99%NM 72.27%8.33I 12.00%NM 11.89%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.84%1.0%2026-07-17 11:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.36I 73.53%NM 72.79%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.25%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.97%1.0%2026-07-17 11:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 72.40%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.72%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.88%1.6%2026-07-17 11:20