Language:English
Universidad de Concepción v Union La Calera
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Universidad de Concepción (Local)
Prediction 37.07%2.70fair odd
EV -3.63%
Edge -1.39%
Kelly -2.27%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.63%37.20%37.14%39.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.462.452.6043.48%40.61%40.82%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Union La Calera (Visit)
Prediction 34.74%2.88fair odd
EV +2.49%
Edge +0.845%
Kelly +1.28%
Growth +0.032%
assuming max odds 2.95
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.14%34.62%34.76%36.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.652.632.9541.67%37.71%37.95%33.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.19%3.55fair odd
EV -2.18%
Edge -0.628%
Kelly -0.883%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.47
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.97%28.18%28.10%29.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.753.233.253.4736.36%30.92%30.77%28.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Universidad de Concepción (Local): 37.07%; Union La Calera (Visit): 34.74%; Draw: 28.19%. For Union La Calera (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.88. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.95, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.49%.
Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.69%EV -9.19%E -3.75%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.14%EV +2.49%E +0.845%K +1.28%G +0.032% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.17%EV -8.38%E -2.58%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-30 00:29 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.54%EV -9.93%E -4.09%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.68%EV +2.14%E +0.729%K +1.11%G +0.024% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.77%EV -2.46%E -0.712%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-30 00:29 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.92%EV -8.07%E -3.26%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.59%EV -2.72%E -0.971%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.50%EV -6.97%E -2.11%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-30 00:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.92%EV -8.07%E -3.26%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.59%EV -2.72%E -0.971%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.50%EV -6.97%E -2.11%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-30 00:29 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.29%EV -4.37%E -1.69%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.74%EV -3.76%E -1.36%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.97%EV -3.03%E -0.880%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-30 00:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -9.19%E -3.75%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.69%EV -4.46%E -1.62%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -8.38%E -2.58%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-30 00:29 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -9.19%E -3.75%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.69%EV -4.46%E -1.62%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -8.38%E -2.58%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-30 00:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -9.19%E -3.75%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.69%EV -4.46%E -1.62%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -8.38%E -2.58%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-30 00:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -9.19%E -3.75%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.69%EV -4.46%E -1.62%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -8.38%E -2.58%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-30 00:29 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -9.19%E -3.75%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.69%EV -4.46%E -1.62%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -8.38%E -2.58%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-30 00:29 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.84%EV -9.93%E -4.09%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -4.46%E -1.62%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -9.79%E -3.06%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-30 00:26 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 37.69%EV -8.82%E -3.58%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 34.21%EV -5.85%E -2.16%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -6.97%E -2.11%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-30 00:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.96%EV -5.48%E -2.15%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -6.19%E -2.29%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -5.56%E -1.66%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-30 00:29 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.80%EV -5.48%E -2.15%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.76%EV -6.19%E -2.29%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -6.97%E -2.11%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-30 00:28 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -5.48%E -2.15%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -6.19%E -2.29%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -9.79%E -3.06%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-30 00:28 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.89%EV -11.04%E -4.60%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.68%EV -6.19%E -2.29%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.42%EV -9.79%E -3.06%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-30 00:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.92%EV -11.78%E -4.95%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.43%EV -6.19%E -2.29%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.65%EV -11.20%E -3.56%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-30 00:29 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -14.75%E -6.41%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -6.19%E -2.29%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -6.97%E -2.11%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-30 00:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.14%EV -6.59%E -2.62%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.92%EV -6.89%E -2.57%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.94%EV -5.56%E -1.66%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-30 00:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.14%EV -6.59%E -2.62%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.92%EV -6.89%E -2.57%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.94%EV -5.56%E -1.66%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-30 00:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -7.33%E -2.93%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.93%EV -7.93%E -2.99%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -6.97%E -2.11%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-30 00:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -9.19%E -3.75%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -7.93%E -2.99%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -6.97%E -2.11%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-30 00:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -7.33%E -2.93%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -7.93%E -2.99%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -9.79%E -3.06%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-30 00:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.20%EV -6.59%E -2.62%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.78%EV -8.97%E -3.42%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.02%EV -2.18%E -0.628%K -0.883%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-30 00:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.18%EV -7.33%E -2.93%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.48%EV -8.97%E -3.42%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -4.15%E -1.22%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-30 00:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -7.33%E -2.93%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -8.97%E -3.42%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -9.79%E -3.06%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-30 00:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.69%EV -9.19%E -3.75%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.31%EV -8.97%E -3.42%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.00%EV -12.61%E -4.07%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-30 00:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%EV -11.04%E -4.60%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.05%EV -8.97%E -3.42%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.61%E -4.07%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-30 00:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%EV -11.04%E -4.60%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.05%EV -8.97%E -3.42%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.61%E -4.07%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-30 00:28 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%EV -11.04%E -4.60%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.05%EV -8.97%E -3.42%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.61%E -4.07%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-30 00:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.71%EV -3.63%E -1.39%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.71%EV -9.67%E -3.72%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -8.38%E -2.58%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-30 00:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -5.48%E -2.15%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV -9.67%E -3.72%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -6.97%E -2.11%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-30 00:29 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -7.33%E -2.93%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -9.67%E -3.72%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -6.97%E -2.11%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-30 00:29 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.09%EV -9.19%E -3.75%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.95%EV -9.67%E -3.72%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.96%EV -8.38%E -2.58%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-30 00:29 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -9.19%E -3.75%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -9.67%E -3.72%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.27%EV -9.79%E -3.06%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-30 00:29 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.57%EV -11.04%E -4.60%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.68%EV -9.67%E -3.72%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.75%EV -8.38%E -2.58%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-30 00:29 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -11.04%E -4.60%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.53%EV -9.67%E -3.72%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -9.79%E -3.06%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-30 00:29 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -9.19%E -3.75%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -9.67%E -3.72%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -12.61%E -4.07%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-30 00:29 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.88%EV -9.19%E -3.75%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.14%EV -13.14%E -5.26%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.97%EV -5.56%E -1.66%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-30 00:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -7.33%E -2.93%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -13.14%E -5.26%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -12.61%E -4.07%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-30 00:29 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -7.33%E -2.93%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -13.14%E -5.26%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -12.61%E -4.07%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-30 00:28 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -7.33%E -2.93%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -13.14%E -5.26%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -12.61%E -4.07%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-30 00:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -7.33%E -2.93%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -13.14%E -5.26%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -12.61%E -4.07%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-30 00:29 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.25%EV -11.78%E -4.95%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.47%EV -13.14%E -5.26%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.28%EV -8.38%E -2.58%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-05-30 00:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.64%EV -11.04%E -4.60%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.89%EV -14.88%E -6.07%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.48%EV -9.79%E -3.06%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-30 00:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 35.78%EV -14.75%E -6.41%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 34.29%EV -16.62%E -6.92%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 29.93%EV -22.48%E -8.17%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 21.5% | 2026-05-30 00:29 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 2.63I 38.02%NM 38.00% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 34.00% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 28.00% | 0.0% | 2026-05-30 00:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.41% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.88% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.71% | 1.0% | 2026-05-30 00:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.20% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.12% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68% | 1.1% | 2026-05-30 00:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.20% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.12% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68% | 1.1% | 2026-05-30 00:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.65% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.09% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.27% | 1.1% | 2026-05-30 00:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.09% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.04% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87% | 3.4% | 2026-05-30 00:30 |