L’École des cotesFrançais
Universidad de Concepción v Union La Calera
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Universidad de Concepción (Local)
Prévision 37.07%2.70cote équitable
EV -3.63%
Avantage -1.39%
Kelly -2.27%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.60
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.63%37.20%37.14%39.54%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.302.462.452.6043.48%40.61%40.82%38.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Union La Calera (Visiteur)
Prévision 34.74%2.88cote équitable
EV +2.49%
Avantage +0.845%
Kelly +1.28%
Croissance +0.032%
avec la cote maximale 2.95
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.14%34.62%34.76%36.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.402.652.632.9541.67%37.71%37.95%33.90%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 28.19%3.55cote équitable
EV -2.18%
Avantage -0.628%
Kelly -0.883%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.47
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.97%28.18%28.10%29.93%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.753.233.253.4736.36%30.92%30.77%28.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.69%EV -9.19%E -3.75%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.14%EV +2.49%E +0.845%K +1.28%G +0.032% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.17%EV -8.38%E -2.58%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-30 00:29 |
| 1xBet | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.54%EV -9.93%E -4.09%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.68%EV +2.14%E +0.729%K +1.11%G +0.024% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.77%EV -2.46%E -0.712%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-30 00:29 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.92%EV -8.07%E -3.26%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.59%EV -2.72%E -0.971%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.50%EV -6.97%E -2.11%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-30 00:29 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.92%EV -8.07%E -3.26%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.59%EV -2.72%E -0.971%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.50%EV -6.97%E -2.11%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-30 00:29 |
| Pinnacle | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.29%EV -4.37%E -1.69%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.74%EV -3.76%E -1.36%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.97%EV -3.03%E -0.880%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-30 00:29 |
| Unibet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -9.19%E -3.75%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.69%EV -4.46%E -1.62%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -8.38%E -2.58%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-30 00:29 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -9.19%E -3.75%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.69%EV -4.46%E -1.62%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -8.38%E -2.58%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-30 00:29 |
| TABtouch | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -9.19%E -3.75%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.69%EV -4.46%E -1.62%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -8.38%E -2.58%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-30 00:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -9.19%E -3.75%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.69%EV -4.46%E -1.62%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -8.38%E -2.58%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-30 00:29 |
| Grosvenor | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -9.19%E -3.75%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.69%EV -4.46%E -1.62%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -8.38%E -2.58%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-30 00:29 |
| BetRivers | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.84%EV -9.93%E -4.09%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -4.46%E -1.62%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -9.79%E -3.06%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-30 00:26 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.46I 40.65%NM 37.69%EV -8.82%E -3.58%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 34.21%EV -5.85%E -2.16%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -6.97%E -2.11%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-30 00:29 |
| DraftKings | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.96%EV -5.48%E -2.15%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -6.19%E -2.29%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -5.56%E -1.66%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-30 00:29 |
| Bet Victor | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.80%EV -5.48%E -2.15%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.76%EV -6.19%E -2.29%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -6.97%E -2.11%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-30 00:28 |
| FanDuel | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -5.48%E -2.15%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -6.19%E -2.29%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -9.79%E -3.06%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-30 00:28 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.89%EV -11.04%E -4.60%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.68%EV -6.19%E -2.29%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.42%EV -9.79%E -3.06%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-30 00:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.92%EV -11.78%E -4.95%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.43%EV -6.19%E -2.29%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.65%EV -11.20%E -3.56%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-30 00:29 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -14.75%E -6.41%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -6.19%E -2.29%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -6.97%E -2.11%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-30 00:29 |
| NordicBet | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.14%EV -6.59%E -2.62%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.92%EV -6.89%E -2.57%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.94%EV -5.56%E -1.66%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-30 00:30 |
| Betsson | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.14%EV -6.59%E -2.62%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.92%EV -6.89%E -2.57%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.94%EV -5.56%E -1.66%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-30 00:30 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -7.33%E -2.93%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.93%EV -7.93%E -2.99%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -6.97%E -2.11%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-30 00:29 |
| Bovada | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -9.19%E -3.75%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -7.93%E -2.99%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -6.97%E -2.11%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-30 00:29 |
| Fanatics | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -7.33%E -2.93%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -7.93%E -2.99%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -9.79%E -3.06%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-30 00:30 |
| GTbets | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.20%EV -6.59%E -2.62%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.78%EV -8.97%E -3.42%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.02%EV -2.18%E -0.628%K -0.883%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-30 00:29 |
| Betway | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.18%EV -7.33%E -2.93%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.48%EV -8.97%E -3.42%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -4.15%E -1.22%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-30 00:29 |
| SportsBet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -7.33%E -2.93%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -8.97%E -3.42%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -9.79%E -3.06%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-30 00:29 |
| Paddy Power | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.69%EV -9.19%E -3.75%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.31%EV -8.97%E -3.42%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.00%EV -12.61%E -4.07%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-30 00:29 |
| 888sport | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%EV -11.04%E -4.60%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.05%EV -8.97%E -3.42%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.61%E -4.07%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-30 00:29 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%EV -11.04%E -4.60%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.05%EV -8.97%E -3.42%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.61%E -4.07%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-30 00:28 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%EV -11.04%E -4.60%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.05%EV -8.97%E -3.42%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.61%E -4.07%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-30 00:29 |
| BetMGM | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.71%EV -3.63%E -1.39%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.71%EV -9.67%E -3.72%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -8.38%E -2.58%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-30 00:30 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -5.48%E -2.15%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV -9.67%E -3.72%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -6.97%E -2.11%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-30 00:29 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -7.33%E -2.93%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -9.67%E -3.72%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -6.97%E -2.11%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-30 00:29 |
| Everygame | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.09%EV -9.19%E -3.75%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.95%EV -9.67%E -3.72%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.96%EV -8.38%E -2.58%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-30 00:29 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -9.19%E -3.75%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -9.67%E -3.72%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.27%EV -9.79%E -3.06%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-30 00:29 |
| PlayUp | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.57%EV -11.04%E -4.60%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.68%EV -9.67%E -3.72%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.75%EV -8.38%E -2.58%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-30 00:29 |
| betfred_uk | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -11.04%E -4.60%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.53%EV -9.67%E -3.72%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -9.79%E -3.06%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-30 00:29 |
| Sky Bet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -9.19%E -3.75%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -9.67%E -3.72%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -12.61%E -4.07%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-30 00:29 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.88%EV -9.19%E -3.75%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.14%EV -13.14%E -5.26%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.97%EV -5.56%E -1.66%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-30 00:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -7.33%E -2.93%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -13.14%E -5.26%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -12.61%E -4.07%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-30 00:29 |
| Coral | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -7.33%E -2.93%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -13.14%E -5.26%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -12.61%E -4.07%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-30 00:28 |
| Neds | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -7.33%E -2.93%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -13.14%E -5.26%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -12.61%E -4.07%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-30 00:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -7.33%E -2.93%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -13.14%E -5.26%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -12.61%E -4.07%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-30 00:29 |
| BoyleSports | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.25%EV -11.78%E -4.95%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.47%EV -13.14%E -5.26%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.28%EV -8.38%E -2.58%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-05-30 00:30 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.64%EV -11.04%E -4.60%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.89%EV -14.88%E -6.07%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.48%EV -9.79%E -3.06%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-30 00:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 35.78%EV -14.75%E -6.41%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 34.29%EV -16.62%E -6.92%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 29.93%EV -22.48%E -8.17%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 21.5% | 2026-05-30 00:29 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 2.63I 38.02%NM 38.00% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 34.00% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 28.00% | 0.0% | 2026-05-30 00:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.41% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.88% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.71% | 1.0% | 2026-05-30 00:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.20% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.12% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68% | 1.1% | 2026-05-30 00:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.20% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.12% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68% | 1.1% | 2026-05-30 00:30 |
| Matchbook | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.65% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.09% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.27% | 1.1% | 2026-05-30 00:30 |
| Smarkets | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.09% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.04% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87% | 3.4% | 2026-05-30 00:30 |