La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Universidad de Concepción v Union La Calera
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Universidad de Concepción (Local)
Predicción 37.07%2.70momio equitativo
EV -3.63%
Ventaja -1.39%
Kelly -2.27%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.63%37.20%37.14%39.54%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.302.462.452.6043.48%40.61%40.82%38.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Union La Calera (Visitante)
Predicción 34.74%2.88momio equitativo
EV +2.49%
Ventaja +0.845%
Kelly +1.28%
Crecimiento +0.032%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.95
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.14%34.62%34.76%36.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.402.652.632.9541.67%37.71%37.95%33.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 28.19%3.55momio equitativo
EV -2.18%
Ventaja -0.628%
Kelly -0.883%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.47
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.97%28.18%28.10%29.93%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.753.233.253.4736.36%30.92%30.77%28.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.69%EV -9.19%E -3.75%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.14%EV +2.49%E +0.845%K +1.28%G +0.032% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.17%EV -8.38%E -2.58%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-30 00:29 |
| 1xBet | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.54%EV -9.93%E -4.09%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.68%EV +2.14%E +0.729%K +1.11%G +0.024% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.77%EV -2.46%E -0.712%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-30 00:29 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.92%EV -8.07%E -3.26%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.59%EV -2.72%E -0.971%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.50%EV -6.97%E -2.11%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-30 00:29 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.92%EV -8.07%E -3.26%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.59%EV -2.72%E -0.971%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.50%EV -6.97%E -2.11%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-30 00:29 |
| Pinnacle | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.29%EV -4.37%E -1.69%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.74%EV -3.76%E -1.36%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.97%EV -3.03%E -0.880%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-30 00:29 |
| Unibet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -9.19%E -3.75%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.69%EV -4.46%E -1.62%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -8.38%E -2.58%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-30 00:29 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -9.19%E -3.75%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.69%EV -4.46%E -1.62%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -8.38%E -2.58%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-30 00:29 |
| TABtouch | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -9.19%E -3.75%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.69%EV -4.46%E -1.62%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -8.38%E -2.58%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-30 00:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -9.19%E -3.75%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.69%EV -4.46%E -1.62%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -8.38%E -2.58%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-30 00:29 |
| Grosvenor | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -9.19%E -3.75%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.69%EV -4.46%E -1.62%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -8.38%E -2.58%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-30 00:29 |
| BetRivers | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.84%EV -9.93%E -4.09%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -4.46%E -1.62%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -9.79%E -3.06%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-30 00:26 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.46I 40.65%NM 37.69%EV -8.82%E -3.58%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 34.21%EV -5.85%E -2.16%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -6.97%E -2.11%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-30 00:29 |
| DraftKings | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.96%EV -5.48%E -2.15%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -6.19%E -2.29%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -5.56%E -1.66%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-30 00:29 |
| Bet Victor | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.80%EV -5.48%E -2.15%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.76%EV -6.19%E -2.29%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -6.97%E -2.11%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-30 00:28 |
| FanDuel | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -5.48%E -2.15%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -6.19%E -2.29%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -9.79%E -3.06%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-30 00:28 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.89%EV -11.04%E -4.60%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.68%EV -6.19%E -2.29%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.42%EV -9.79%E -3.06%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-30 00:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.92%EV -11.78%E -4.95%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.43%EV -6.19%E -2.29%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.65%EV -11.20%E -3.56%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-30 00:29 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -14.75%E -6.41%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -6.19%E -2.29%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -6.97%E -2.11%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-30 00:29 |
| NordicBet | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.14%EV -6.59%E -2.62%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.92%EV -6.89%E -2.57%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.94%EV -5.56%E -1.66%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-30 00:30 |
| Betsson | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.14%EV -6.59%E -2.62%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.92%EV -6.89%E -2.57%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.94%EV -5.56%E -1.66%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-30 00:30 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -7.33%E -2.93%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.93%EV -7.93%E -2.99%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -6.97%E -2.11%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-30 00:29 |
| Bovada | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -9.19%E -3.75%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -7.93%E -2.99%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -6.97%E -2.11%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-30 00:29 |
| Fanatics | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -7.33%E -2.93%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -7.93%E -2.99%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -9.79%E -3.06%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-30 00:30 |
| GTbets | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.20%EV -6.59%E -2.62%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.78%EV -8.97%E -3.42%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.02%EV -2.18%E -0.628%K -0.883%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-30 00:29 |
| Betway | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.18%EV -7.33%E -2.93%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.48%EV -8.97%E -3.42%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -4.15%E -1.22%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-30 00:29 |
| SportsBet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -7.33%E -2.93%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -8.97%E -3.42%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -9.79%E -3.06%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-30 00:29 |
| Paddy Power | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.69%EV -9.19%E -3.75%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.31%EV -8.97%E -3.42%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.00%EV -12.61%E -4.07%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-30 00:29 |
| 888sport | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%EV -11.04%E -4.60%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.05%EV -8.97%E -3.42%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.61%E -4.07%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-30 00:29 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%EV -11.04%E -4.60%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.05%EV -8.97%E -3.42%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.61%E -4.07%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-30 00:28 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%EV -11.04%E -4.60%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.05%EV -8.97%E -3.42%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.61%E -4.07%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-30 00:29 |
| BetMGM | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.71%EV -3.63%E -1.39%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.71%EV -9.67%E -3.72%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -8.38%E -2.58%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-30 00:30 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -5.48%E -2.15%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV -9.67%E -3.72%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -6.97%E -2.11%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-30 00:29 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -7.33%E -2.93%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -9.67%E -3.72%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -6.97%E -2.11%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-30 00:29 |
| Everygame | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.09%EV -9.19%E -3.75%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.95%EV -9.67%E -3.72%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.96%EV -8.38%E -2.58%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-30 00:29 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -9.19%E -3.75%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -9.67%E -3.72%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.27%EV -9.79%E -3.06%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-30 00:29 |
| PlayUp | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.57%EV -11.04%E -4.60%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.68%EV -9.67%E -3.72%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.75%EV -8.38%E -2.58%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-30 00:29 |
| betfred_uk | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -11.04%E -4.60%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.53%EV -9.67%E -3.72%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -9.79%E -3.06%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-30 00:29 |
| Sky Bet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -9.19%E -3.75%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -9.67%E -3.72%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -12.61%E -4.07%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-30 00:29 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.88%EV -9.19%E -3.75%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.14%EV -13.14%E -5.26%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.97%EV -5.56%E -1.66%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-30 00:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -7.33%E -2.93%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -13.14%E -5.26%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -12.61%E -4.07%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-30 00:29 |
| Coral | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -7.33%E -2.93%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -13.14%E -5.26%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -12.61%E -4.07%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-30 00:28 |
| Neds | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -7.33%E -2.93%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -13.14%E -5.26%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -12.61%E -4.07%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-30 00:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -7.33%E -2.93%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -13.14%E -5.26%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -12.61%E -4.07%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-30 00:29 |
| BoyleSports | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.25%EV -11.78%E -4.95%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.47%EV -13.14%E -5.26%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.28%EV -8.38%E -2.58%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-05-30 00:30 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.64%EV -11.04%E -4.60%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.89%EV -14.88%E -6.07%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.48%EV -9.79%E -3.06%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-30 00:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 35.78%EV -14.75%E -6.41%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 34.29%EV -16.62%E -6.92%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 29.93%EV -22.48%E -8.17%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 21.5% | 2026-05-30 00:29 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 2.63I 38.02%NM 38.00% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 34.00% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 28.00% | 0.0% | 2026-05-30 00:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.41% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.88% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.71% | 1.0% | 2026-05-30 00:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.20% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.12% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68% | 1.1% | 2026-05-30 00:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.20% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.12% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68% | 1.1% | 2026-05-30 00:30 |
| Matchbook | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.65% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.09% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.27% | 1.1% | 2026-05-30 00:30 |
| Smarkets | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.09% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.04% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87% | 3.4% | 2026-05-30 00:30 |