Language:English
Universidad de Concepción v Colo Colo
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Universidad de Concepción (Local)
Prediction 22.20%4.50fair odd
EV -0.107%
Edge -0.024%
Kelly -0.031%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.08%22.17%22.20%24.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.554.044.004.5028.17%24.77%25.00%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Colo Colo (Visit)
Prediction 50.83%1.97fair odd
EV -4.43%
Edge -2.36%
Kelly -5.04%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.88
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.50%50.79%50.83%52.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.721.811.821.8858.14%55.30%54.95%53.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.97%3.71fair odd
EV -4.26%
Edge -1.20%
Kelly -1.67%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.59%27.04%26.97%29.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.373.403.5534.72%29.72%29.41%28.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Universidad de Concepción (Local): 22.20%; Colo Colo (Visit): 50.83%; Draw: 26.97%. For Universidad de Concepción (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.505. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.500, with an expected value of -0.107%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16%EV -0.107%E -0.024%K -0.031%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.02%EV -6.97%E -3.81%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.82%EV -4.26%E -1.20%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 22:39 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.08%EV -0.107%E -0.024%K -0.031%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.54%EV -12.57%E -7.31%K -17.45%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -11.01%E -3.34%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-23 22:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.50%EV -2.33%E -0.529%K -0.684%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.70%EV -6.97%E -3.81%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 26.80%EV -4.80%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-22 14:34 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.56%EV -4.55%E -1.06%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.80%EV -9.01%E -5.03%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.64%EV -6.15%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-24 03:39 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.29I 23.31%NM 21.73%EV -4.77%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.49%EV -7.99%E -4.41%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.78%EV -6.15%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-24 03:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90%EV -5.66%E -1.33%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.13%EV -7.48%E -4.11%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -6.96%E -2.02%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-21 04:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90%EV -5.66%E -1.33%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.13%EV -7.48%E -4.11%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -6.96%E -2.02%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-21 04:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.87%EV -5.66%E -1.33%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.79%EV -6.97%E -3.81%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -8.31%E -2.44%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-20 21:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -6.77%E -1.61%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -6.97%E -3.81%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -5.61%E -1.60%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 15:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.16%EV -6.77%E -1.61%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.86%EV -6.97%E -3.81%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -6.96%E -2.02%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-23 19:04 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -6.77%E -1.61%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.80%EV -7.48%E -4.11%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.31%E -2.44%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-22 14:19 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -6.77%E -1.61%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.80%EV -7.48%E -4.11%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.31%E -2.44%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-22 14:19 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.19I 23.87%NM 22.50%EV -6.99%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.41%EV -4.94%E -2.64%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.09%EV -6.15%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-20 00:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -8.99%E -2.19%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.39%EV -6.97%E -3.81%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -8.31%E -2.44%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-19 22:53 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -8.99%E -2.19%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.00%EV -8.50%E -4.72%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -6.96%E -2.02%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-23 19:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.14%EV -11.21%E -2.80%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.23%EV -4.43%E -2.36%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -9.66%E -2.88%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-23 19:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -11.21%E -2.80%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -8.50%E -4.72%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -8.31%E -2.44%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-23 18:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -11.21%E -2.80%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -8.50%E -4.72%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -8.31%E -2.44%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-23 18:13 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -11.21%E -2.80%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -8.50%E -4.72%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -8.31%E -2.44%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-23 18:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -11.21%E -2.80%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.11%EV -8.50%E -4.72%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -11.01%E -3.34%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-19 23:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -11.21%E -2.80%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.11%EV -8.50%E -4.72%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -11.01%E -3.34%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-23 19:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -11.21%E -2.80%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.28%EV -6.97%E -3.81%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.18%EV -13.70%E -4.28%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-22 02:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -11.21%E -2.80%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.28%EV -6.97%E -3.81%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.18%EV -13.70%E -4.28%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-22 02:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -11.21%E -2.80%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.28%EV -6.97%E -3.81%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.18%EV -13.70%E -4.28%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-22 02:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.23%EV -11.21%E -2.80%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.82%EV -11.04%E -6.31%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.95%EV -11.01%E -3.34%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-20 06:54 |
| Everygame🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.01%EV -11.21%E -2.80%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.90%EV -12.06%E -6.97%K -16.52%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.09%EV -12.36%E -3.80%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-04-23 12:43 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.24%EV -12.32%E -3.12%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.16%EV -6.97%E -3.81%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -6.96%E -2.02%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-19 23:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.24%EV -12.32%E -3.12%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.16%EV -6.97%E -3.81%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -6.96%E -2.02%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-19 23:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.24%EV -12.32%E -3.12%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.16%EV -6.97%E -3.81%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -6.96%E -2.02%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-19 23:44 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.24%EV -12.32%E -3.12%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.16%EV -6.97%E -3.81%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -6.96%E -2.02%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-19 23:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.24%EV -12.32%E -3.12%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.16%EV -6.97%E -3.81%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -6.96%E -2.02%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-19 23:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.24%EV -12.32%E -3.12%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.16%EV -6.97%E -3.81%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -6.96%E -2.02%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-19 23:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.18%EV -13.43%E -3.44%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.23%EV -8.50%E -4.72%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -8.31%E -2.44%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-19 23:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -13.43%E -3.44%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.83%EV -8.50%E -4.72%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -11.01%E -3.34%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-23 00:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -13.43%E -3.44%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.83%EV -8.50%E -4.72%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -11.01%E -3.34%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-23 00:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -13.43%E -3.44%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.83%EV -8.50%E -4.72%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -11.01%E -3.34%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-23 00:34 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -13.43%E -3.44%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.83%EV -8.50%E -4.72%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -11.01%E -3.34%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-23 00:33 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.19%EV -14.54%E -3.78%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.16%EV -9.52%E -5.35%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.65%EV -9.66%E -2.88%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-19 23:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.84%EV -15.65%E -4.12%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.51%EV -6.97%E -3.81%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -8.31%E -2.44%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-23 11:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -15.65%E -4.12%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.53%EV -8.50%E -4.72%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.01%EV -11.01%E -3.34%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-23 19:04 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.70%EV -16.76%E -4.47%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.37%EV -8.50%E -4.72%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -11.01%E -3.34%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-21 01:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.37%EV -16.76%E -4.47%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 48.50%EV -12.06%E -6.97%K -16.52%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.13%EV -22.33%E -7.75%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 19.2% | 2026-04-23 18:14 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.00%EV -21.20%E -5.97%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 48.96%EV -11.55%E -6.64%K -15.61%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.04%EV -15.05%E -4.78%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 17.4% | 2026-04-21 01:25 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.63% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.86% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.51% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 22:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.63% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.86% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.51% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 22:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.63% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.86% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.51% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 22:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.06% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.90% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04% | 7.9% | 2026-04-24 00:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.79% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.69% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.52% | 9.3% | 2026-04-23 19:10 |