L’École des cotes

Universidad de Concepción v Colo Colo

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-26 19:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

43 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Universidad de Concepción (Local)

Prévision 22.20%4.50cote équitable
EV -0.107%
Avantage -0.024%
Kelly -0.031%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.08%22.17%22.20%24.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.554.044.004.5028.17%24.77%25.00%22.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Colo Colo (Visiteur)

Prévision 50.83%1.97cote équitable
EV -4.43%
Avantage -2.36%
Kelly -5.04%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.88

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.50%50.79%50.83%52.54%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.721.811.821.8858.14%55.30%54.95%53.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.97%3.71cote équitable
EV -4.26%
Avantage -1.20%
Kelly -1.67%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.59%27.04%26.97%29.13%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.373.403.5534.72%29.72%29.41%28.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (43 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16%EV -0.107%E -0.024%K -0.031%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.02%EV -6.97%E -3.81%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.82%EV -4.26%E -1.20%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 22:39
Tipico (DE)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.08%EV -0.107%E -0.024%K -0.031%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.54%EV -12.57%E -7.31%K -17.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -11.01%E -3.34%K -4.79%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-23 22:09
Pinnacle4.40I 22.73%NM 21.50%EV -2.33%E -0.529%K -0.684%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.70%EV -6.97%E -3.81%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.80%EV -4.80%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-22 14:34
Marathon Bet4.30I 23.26%NM 21.56%EV -4.55%E -1.06%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.80%EV -9.01%E -5.03%K -11.40%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.64%EV -6.15%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-24 03:39
1xBet4.29I 23.31%NM 21.73%EV -4.77%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.49%EV -7.99%E -4.41%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.78%EV -6.15%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-24 03:45
Betsson4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90%EV -5.66%E -1.33%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.13%EV -7.48%E -4.11%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -6.96%E -2.02%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-21 04:30
NordicBet4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90%EV -5.66%E -1.33%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.13%EV -7.48%E -4.11%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -6.96%E -2.02%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-21 04:30
PointsBet (AU)4.25I 23.53%NM 21.87%EV -5.66%E -1.33%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.79%EV -6.97%E -3.81%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -8.31%E -2.44%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-20 21:54
BetMGM4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -6.77%E -1.61%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -6.97%E -3.81%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -5.61%E -1.60%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 15:55
DraftKings4.20I 23.81%NM 22.16%EV -6.77%E -1.61%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.86%EV -6.97%E -3.81%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -6.96%E -2.02%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 19:04
LowVig.ag4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -6.77%E -1.61%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.80%EV -7.48%E -4.11%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.31%E -2.44%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-22 14:19
BetOnline.ag4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -6.77%E -1.61%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.80%EV -7.48%E -4.11%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.31%E -2.44%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-22 14:19
GTbets4.19I 23.87%NM 22.50%EV -6.99%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.41%EV -4.94%E -2.64%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.09%EV -6.15%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-20 00:15
Fanatics4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -8.99%E -2.19%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.39%EV -6.97%E -3.81%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -8.31%E -2.44%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-19 22:53
Bovada4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -8.99%E -2.19%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.00%EV -8.50%E -4.72%K -10.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -6.96%E -2.02%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 19:15
Unibet (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.14%EV -11.21%E -2.80%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.23%EV -4.43%E -2.36%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -9.66%E -2.88%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 19:05
SportsBet4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -11.21%E -2.80%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -8.50%E -4.72%K -10.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -8.31%E -2.44%K -3.46%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-23 18:15
Paddy Power4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -11.21%E -2.80%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -8.50%E -4.72%K -10.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -8.31%E -2.44%K -3.46%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-23 18:13
FanDuel4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -11.21%E -2.80%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -8.50%E -4.72%K -10.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -8.31%E -2.44%K -3.46%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-23 18:15
betfred_uk4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -11.21%E -2.80%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.11%EV -8.50%E -4.72%K -10.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -11.01%E -3.34%K -4.79%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-19 23:50
PlayUp4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -11.21%E -2.80%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.11%EV -8.50%E -4.72%K -10.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -11.01%E -3.34%K -4.79%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-23 19:09
888sport4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -11.21%E -2.80%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.28%EV -6.97%E -3.81%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.18%EV -13.70%E -4.28%K -6.23%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-22 02:20
Mr Green (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -11.21%E -2.80%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.28%EV -6.97%E -3.81%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.18%EV -13.70%E -4.28%K -6.23%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-22 02:20
888sport (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -11.21%E -2.80%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.28%EV -6.97%E -3.81%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.18%EV -13.70%E -4.28%K -6.23%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-22 02:20
BoyleSports4.00I 25.00%NM 22.23%EV -11.21%E -2.80%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.82%EV -11.04%E -6.31%K -14.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.95%EV -11.01%E -3.34%K -4.79%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-20 06:54
Everygame4.00I 25.00%NM 22.01%EV -11.21%E -2.80%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 50.90%EV -12.06%E -6.97%K -16.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.09%EV -12.36%E -3.80%K -5.49%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-23 12:43
Unibet3.95I 25.32%NM 23.24%EV -12.32%E -3.12%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.16%EV -6.97%E -3.81%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -6.96%E -2.02%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-19 23:45
LeoVegas (SE)3.95I 25.32%NM 23.24%EV -12.32%E -3.12%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.16%EV -6.97%E -3.81%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -6.96%E -2.02%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-19 23:45
BetRivers3.95I 25.32%NM 23.24%EV -12.32%E -3.12%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.16%EV -6.97%E -3.81%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -6.96%E -2.02%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-19 23:44
Grosvenor3.95I 25.32%NM 23.24%EV -12.32%E -3.12%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.16%EV -6.97%E -3.81%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -6.96%E -2.02%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-19 23:45
TABtouch3.95I 25.32%NM 23.24%EV -12.32%E -3.12%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.16%EV -6.97%E -3.81%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -6.96%E -2.02%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-19 23:45
Unibet (SE)3.95I 25.32%NM 23.24%EV -12.32%E -3.12%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.16%EV -6.97%E -3.81%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -6.96%E -2.02%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-19 23:45
LiveScore Bet3.90I 25.64%NM 23.18%EV -13.43%E -3.44%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.23%EV -8.50%E -4.72%K -10.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -8.31%E -2.44%K -3.46%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-19 23:45
Neds3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -13.43%E -3.44%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.83%EV -8.50%E -4.72%K -10.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -11.01%E -3.34%K -4.79%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-23 00:34
Ladbrokes (AU)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -13.43%E -3.44%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.83%EV -8.50%E -4.72%K -10.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -11.01%E -3.34%K -4.79%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-23 00:34
Ladbrokes (UK)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -13.43%E -3.44%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.83%EV -8.50%E -4.72%K -10.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -11.01%E -3.34%K -4.79%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-23 00:34
Coral3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -13.43%E -3.44%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.83%EV -8.50%E -4.72%K -10.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -11.01%E -3.34%K -4.79%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-23 00:33
Virgin Bet3.85I 25.97%NM 23.19%EV -14.54%E -3.78%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 50.16%EV -9.52%E -5.35%K -12.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.65%EV -9.66%E -2.88%K -4.11%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-19 23:45
Betway3.80I 26.32%NM 23.84%EV -15.65%E -4.12%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.51%EV -6.97%E -3.81%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -8.31%E -2.44%K -3.46%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-23 11:00
Sky Bet3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -15.65%E -4.12%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.53%EV -8.50%E -4.72%K -10.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.01%EV -11.01%E -3.34%K -4.79%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-23 19:04
Winamax (DE)3.75I 26.67%NM 23.70%EV -16.76%E -4.47%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.37%EV -8.50%E -4.72%K -10.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -11.01%E -3.34%K -4.79%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-21 01:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 22.37%EV -16.76%E -4.47%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 48.50%EV -12.06%E -6.97%K -16.52%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.13%EV -22.33%E -7.75%K -11.88%G +0.000%19.2%2026-04-23 18:14
Winamax (FR)3.55I 28.17%NM 24.00%EV -21.20%E -5.97%K -8.31%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 48.96%EV -11.55%E -6.64%K -15.61%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.04%EV -15.05%E -4.78%K -7.00%G +0.000%17.4%2026-04-21 01:25
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.63%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.86%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.51%5.4%2026-04-23 22:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.63%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.86%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.51%5.4%2026-04-23 22:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.63%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.86%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.51%5.4%2026-04-23 22:50
Kalshi3.85I 25.97%NM 24.06%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.90%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%7.9%2026-04-24 00:55
Smarkets4.20I 23.81%NM 21.79%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.69%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.52%9.3%2026-04-23 19:10