La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Universidad de Concepción v Colo Colo
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Universidad de Concepción (Local)
Predicción 22.20%4.50momio equitativo
EV -0.107%
Ventaja -0.024%
Kelly -0.031%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.08%22.17%22.20%24.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.554.044.004.5028.17%24.77%25.00%22.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Colo Colo (Visitante)
Predicción 50.83%1.97momio equitativo
EV -4.43%
Ventaja -2.36%
Kelly -5.04%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.88
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
48.50%50.79%50.83%52.54%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.721.811.821.8858.14%55.30%54.95%53.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 26.97%3.71momio equitativo
EV -4.26%
Ventaja -1.20%
Kelly -1.67%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.55
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.59%27.04%26.97%29.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.373.403.5534.72%29.72%29.41%28.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (43 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16%EV -0.107%E -0.024%K -0.031%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.02%EV -6.97%E -3.81%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.82%EV -4.26%E -1.20%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 22:39 |
| Tipico (DE) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.08%EV -0.107%E -0.024%K -0.031%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.54%EV -12.57%E -7.31%K -17.45%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -11.01%E -3.34%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-23 22:09 |
| Pinnacle | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.50%EV -2.33%E -0.529%K -0.684%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.70%EV -6.97%E -3.81%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 26.80%EV -4.80%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-22 14:34 |
| Marathon Bet | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.56%EV -4.55%E -1.06%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.80%EV -9.01%E -5.03%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.64%EV -6.15%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-24 03:39 |
| 1xBet | 4.29I 23.31%NM 21.73%EV -4.77%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.49%EV -7.99%E -4.41%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.78%EV -6.15%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-24 03:45 |
| Betsson | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90%EV -5.66%E -1.33%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.13%EV -7.48%E -4.11%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -6.96%E -2.02%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-21 04:30 |
| NordicBet | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90%EV -5.66%E -1.33%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.13%EV -7.48%E -4.11%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -6.96%E -2.02%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-21 04:30 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.87%EV -5.66%E -1.33%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.79%EV -6.97%E -3.81%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -8.31%E -2.44%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-20 21:54 |
| BetMGM | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -6.77%E -1.61%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -6.97%E -3.81%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -5.61%E -1.60%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 15:55 |
| DraftKings | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.16%EV -6.77%E -1.61%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.86%EV -6.97%E -3.81%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -6.96%E -2.02%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-23 19:04 |
| LowVig.ag | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -6.77%E -1.61%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.80%EV -7.48%E -4.11%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.31%E -2.44%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-22 14:19 |
| BetOnline.ag | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -6.77%E -1.61%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.80%EV -7.48%E -4.11%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.31%E -2.44%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-22 14:19 |
| GTbets | 4.19I 23.87%NM 22.50%EV -6.99%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.41%EV -4.94%E -2.64%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.09%EV -6.15%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-20 00:15 |
| Fanatics | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -8.99%E -2.19%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.39%EV -6.97%E -3.81%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -8.31%E -2.44%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-19 22:53 |
| Bovada | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -8.99%E -2.19%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.00%EV -8.50%E -4.72%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -6.96%E -2.02%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-23 19:15 |
| Unibet (UK) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.14%EV -11.21%E -2.80%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.23%EV -4.43%E -2.36%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -9.66%E -2.88%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-23 19:05 |
| SportsBet | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -11.21%E -2.80%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -8.50%E -4.72%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -8.31%E -2.44%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-23 18:15 |
| Paddy Power | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -11.21%E -2.80%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -8.50%E -4.72%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -8.31%E -2.44%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-23 18:13 |
| FanDuel | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -11.21%E -2.80%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -8.50%E -4.72%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -8.31%E -2.44%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-23 18:15 |
| betfred_uk | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -11.21%E -2.80%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.11%EV -8.50%E -4.72%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -11.01%E -3.34%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-19 23:50 |
| PlayUp | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -11.21%E -2.80%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.11%EV -8.50%E -4.72%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -11.01%E -3.34%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-23 19:09 |
| 888sport | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -11.21%E -2.80%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.28%EV -6.97%E -3.81%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.18%EV -13.70%E -4.28%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-22 02:20 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -11.21%E -2.80%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.28%EV -6.97%E -3.81%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.18%EV -13.70%E -4.28%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-22 02:20 |
| 888sport (SE) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -11.21%E -2.80%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.28%EV -6.97%E -3.81%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.18%EV -13.70%E -4.28%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-22 02:20 |
| BoyleSports | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.23%EV -11.21%E -2.80%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.82%EV -11.04%E -6.31%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.95%EV -11.01%E -3.34%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-20 06:54 |
| Everygame | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.01%EV -11.21%E -2.80%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.90%EV -12.06%E -6.97%K -16.52%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.09%EV -12.36%E -3.80%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-04-23 12:43 |
| Unibet | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.24%EV -12.32%E -3.12%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.16%EV -6.97%E -3.81%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -6.96%E -2.02%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-19 23:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.24%EV -12.32%E -3.12%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.16%EV -6.97%E -3.81%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -6.96%E -2.02%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-19 23:45 |
| BetRivers | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.24%EV -12.32%E -3.12%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.16%EV -6.97%E -3.81%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -6.96%E -2.02%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-19 23:44 |
| Grosvenor | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.24%EV -12.32%E -3.12%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.16%EV -6.97%E -3.81%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -6.96%E -2.02%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-19 23:45 |
| TABtouch | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.24%EV -12.32%E -3.12%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.16%EV -6.97%E -3.81%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -6.96%E -2.02%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-19 23:45 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.24%EV -12.32%E -3.12%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.16%EV -6.97%E -3.81%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -6.96%E -2.02%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-19 23:45 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.18%EV -13.43%E -3.44%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.23%EV -8.50%E -4.72%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -8.31%E -2.44%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-19 23:45 |
| Neds | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -13.43%E -3.44%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.83%EV -8.50%E -4.72%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -11.01%E -3.34%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-23 00:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -13.43%E -3.44%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.83%EV -8.50%E -4.72%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -11.01%E -3.34%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-23 00:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -13.43%E -3.44%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.83%EV -8.50%E -4.72%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -11.01%E -3.34%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-23 00:34 |
| Coral | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -13.43%E -3.44%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.83%EV -8.50%E -4.72%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -11.01%E -3.34%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-23 00:33 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.19%EV -14.54%E -3.78%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.16%EV -9.52%E -5.35%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.65%EV -9.66%E -2.88%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-19 23:45 |
| Betway | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.84%EV -15.65%E -4.12%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.51%EV -6.97%E -3.81%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -8.31%E -2.44%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-23 11:00 |
| Sky Bet | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -15.65%E -4.12%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.53%EV -8.50%E -4.72%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.01%EV -11.01%E -3.34%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-23 19:04 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.70%EV -16.76%E -4.47%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.37%EV -8.50%E -4.72%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -11.01%E -3.34%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-21 01:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.37%EV -16.76%E -4.47%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 48.50%EV -12.06%E -6.97%K -16.52%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.13%EV -22.33%E -7.75%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 19.2% | 2026-04-23 18:14 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.00%EV -21.20%E -5.97%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 48.96%EV -11.55%E -6.64%K -15.61%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.04%EV -15.05%E -4.78%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 17.4% | 2026-04-21 01:25 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.63% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.86% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.51% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 22:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.63% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.86% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.51% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 22:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.63% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.86% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.51% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 22:50 |
| Kalshi | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.06% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.90% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04% | 7.9% | 2026-04-24 00:55 |
| Smarkets | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.79% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.69% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.52% | 9.3% | 2026-04-23 19:10 |