Language:English
Universidad de Chile v Deportes Concepción
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Universidad de Chile (Local)
Prediction 59.82%1.67fair odd
EV -4.88%
Edge -3.07%
Kelly -8.27%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.59
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.34%59.93%59.74%62.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.531.531.5969.44%65.36%65.36%62.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Deportes Concepción (Visit)
Prediction 17.12%5.84fair odd
EV +2.87%
Edge +0.477%
Kelly +0.573%
Growth +0.016%
assuming max odds 6.01
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.76%17.06%17.22%18.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.755.325.406.0121.05%18.79%18.52%16.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 23.06%4.34fair odd
EV -1.30%
Edge -0.304%
Kelly -0.397%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.28
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.99%23.01%23.04%24.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.913.904.2829.41%25.55%25.64%23.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Universidad de Chile (Local): 59.82%; Deportes Concepción (Visit): 17.12%; Draw: 23.06%. For Deportes Concepción (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.84. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.01, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.87%.
Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -7.27%E -4.69%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 6.01I 16.64%NM 15.92%EV +2.87%E +0.477%K +0.573%G +0.016% | 4.28I 23.36%NM 22.35%EV -1.30%E -0.304%K -0.397%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-30 21:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.57%EV -9.67%E -6.40%K -18.95%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.76%EV +0.987%E +0.167%K +0.201%G +0.002% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -5.45%E -1.33%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-30 20:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.00%EV -8.47%E -5.54%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -1.58%E -0.275%K -0.333%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -5.45%E -1.33%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-30 21:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.19%EV -13.26%E -9.14%K -29.46%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 15.82%EV -2.44%E -0.427%K -0.518%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.99%EV -5.45%E -1.33%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-30 21:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.33%EV -4.88%E -3.07%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 5.68I 17.61%NM 16.89%EV -2.78%E -0.489%K -0.594%G +0.000% | 4.21I 23.75%NM 22.78%EV -2.92%E -0.693%K -0.908%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-30 21:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.93%EV -6.68%E -4.28%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV -4.15%E -0.741%K -0.902%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.76%E -1.94%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-30 21:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.94%EV -6.08%E -3.87%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.11%EV -5.86%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -5.45%E -1.33%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-30 21:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.21%EV -6.68%E -4.28%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -5.86%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.99%EV -11.22%E -2.91%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-30 21:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.21%EV -6.68%E -4.28%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -5.86%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.99%EV -11.22%E -2.91%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-30 21:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.55%EV -7.27%E -4.69%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -5.86%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.67%EV -10.06%E -2.58%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-30 21:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.55%EV -7.27%E -4.69%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -5.86%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.67%EV -10.06%E -2.58%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-30 21:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.55%EV -7.27%E -4.69%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -5.86%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.67%EV -10.06%E -2.58%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-30 21:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.52%EV -7.87%E -5.11%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.67%EV -5.86%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.81%EV -11.22%E -2.91%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-30 21:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -10.27%E -6.84%K -20.53%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -5.86%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -7.76%E -1.94%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-30 21:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.95%EV -13.85%E -9.62%K -31.49%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.96%EV -5.86%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.10%EV -12.37%E -3.26%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-05-30 20:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.08%EV -5.48%E -3.47%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -7.57%E -1.40%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -8.91%E -2.26%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-30 21:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.08%EV -5.48%E -3.47%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -7.57%E -1.40%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -8.91%E -2.26%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-30 21:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.66%EV -9.07%E -5.97%K -17.44%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.79%EV -7.57%E -1.40%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.55%EV -11.22%E -2.91%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-30 21:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.79%EV -10.27%E -6.84%K -20.53%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.61%EV -7.57%E -1.40%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.60%EV -12.37%E -3.26%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-30 21:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.79%EV -7.27%E -4.69%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.32%EV -8.43%E -1.58%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.88%EV -6.61%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-30 21:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.91%EV -4.88%E -3.07%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.67%EV -9.28%E -1.75%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -7.76%E -1.94%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-30 21:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.12%EV -6.08%E -3.87%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.68%EV -10.14%E -1.93%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -7.76%E -1.94%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-30 21:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.12%EV -6.08%E -3.87%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.68%EV -10.14%E -1.93%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -7.76%E -1.94%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-30 21:20 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.39%EV -8.47%E -5.54%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.31%EV -10.14%E -1.93%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.30%EV -10.06%E -2.58%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-30 21:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.51%EV -10.27%E -6.84%K -20.53%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.00%EV -10.14%E -1.93%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -12.37%E -3.26%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-30 21:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.71%EV -9.07%E -5.97%K -17.44%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -14.42%E -2.88%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -5.45%E -1.33%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-30 21:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.53%EV -8.47%E -5.54%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -14.42%E -2.88%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -12.37%E -3.26%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-30 21:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.53%EV -8.47%E -5.54%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -14.42%E -2.88%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -12.37%E -3.26%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-30 21:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.53%EV -8.47%E -5.54%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -14.42%E -2.88%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -12.37%E -3.26%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-30 21:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.53%EV -8.47%E -5.54%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -14.42%E -2.88%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -12.37%E -3.26%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-30 21:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.34%EV -8.47%E -5.54%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -14.42%E -2.88%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.80%EV -13.52%E -3.61%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-30 21:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.34%EV -8.47%E -5.54%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -14.42%E -2.88%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.80%EV -13.52%E -3.61%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-30 21:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.34%EV -8.47%E -5.54%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -14.42%E -2.88%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.80%EV -13.52%E -3.61%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-30 21:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 60.00%EV -13.26%E -9.14%K -29.46%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.40%EV -14.42%E -2.88%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.60%EV -11.22%E -2.91%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-05-30 21:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 58.43%EV -13.85%E -9.62%K -31.49%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 16.83%EV -14.42%E -2.88%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 24.75%EV -21.59%E -6.35%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 18.9% | 2026-05-30 21:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 59.25%EV -10.86%E -7.29%K -22.17%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.39%EV -17.84%E -3.72%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.35%EV -8.91%E -2.26%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-05-30 21:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.46%EV -10.27%E -6.84%K -20.53%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.46%EV -18.70%E -3.94%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.08%EV -12.37%E -3.26%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-05-30 21:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.35% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.86% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.79% | 0.9% | 2026-05-30 21:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.50% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.47% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.03% | 1.0% | 2026-05-30 21:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.50% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.47% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.03% | 1.0% | 2026-05-30 21:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.50% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.47% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.03% | 1.0% | 2026-05-30 21:20 |