L’École des cotes

Universidad de Chile v Deportes Concepción

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-30 21:30 UTC

Score final : Universidad de Chile 2–1 Deportes Concepción

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

37 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Universidad de Chile (Local)

Prévision 59.82%1.67cote équitable
EV -4.88%
Avantage -3.07%
Kelly -8.27%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.59

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.34%59.93%59.74%62.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.441.531.531.5969.44%65.36%65.36%62.89%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Deportes Concepción (Visiteur)

Prévision 17.12%5.84cote équitable
EV +2.87%
Avantage +0.477%
Kelly +0.573%
Croissance +0.016%

avec la cote maximale 6.01

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.76%17.06%17.22%18.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.755.325.406.0121.05%18.79%18.52%16.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 23.06%4.34cote équitable
EV -1.30%
Avantage -0.304%
Kelly -0.397%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.28

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.99%23.01%23.04%24.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.403.913.904.2829.41%25.55%25.64%23.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (37 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -7.27%E -4.69%K -13.23%G +0.000%6.01I 16.64%NM 15.92%EV +2.87%E +0.477%K +0.573%G +0.016%4.28I 23.36%NM 22.35%EV -1.30%E -0.304%K -0.397%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-30 21:10
FanDuel1.51I 66.23%NM 61.57%EV -9.67%E -6.40%K -18.95%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.76%EV +0.987%E +0.167%K +0.201%G +0.002%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -5.45%E -1.33%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-30 20:59
Bet Victor1.53I 65.36%NM 61.00%EV -8.47%E -5.54%K -15.98%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -1.58%E -0.275%K -0.333%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -5.45%E -1.33%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-30 21:10
Tipico (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 62.19%EV -13.26%E -9.14%K -29.46%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.82%EV -2.44%E -0.427%K -0.518%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.99%EV -5.45%E -1.33%K -1.76%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-30 21:10
1xBet1.59I 62.89%NM 60.33%EV -4.88%E -3.07%K -8.27%G +0.000%5.68I 17.61%NM 16.89%EV -2.78%E -0.489%K -0.594%G +0.000%4.21I 23.75%NM 22.78%EV -2.92%E -0.693%K -0.908%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-30 21:20
BetOnline.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 59.93%EV -6.68%E -4.28%K -11.92%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV -4.15%E -0.741%K -0.902%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.76%E -1.94%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-30 21:20
DraftKings1.57I 63.69%NM 59.94%EV -6.08%E -3.87%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.11%EV -5.86%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -5.45%E -1.33%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-30 21:20
Grosvenor1.56I 64.10%NM 59.21%EV -6.68%E -4.28%K -11.92%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -5.86%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.99%EV -11.22%E -2.91%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-30 21:20
Unibet1.56I 64.10%NM 59.21%EV -6.68%E -4.28%K -11.92%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -5.86%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.99%EV -11.22%E -2.91%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-30 21:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.55%EV -7.27%E -4.69%K -13.23%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -5.86%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.67%EV -10.06%E -2.58%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-30 21:20
Unibet (SE)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.55%EV -7.27%E -4.69%K -13.23%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -5.86%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.67%EV -10.06%E -2.58%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-30 21:20
TABtouch1.55I 64.52%NM 59.55%EV -7.27%E -4.69%K -13.23%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -5.86%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.67%EV -10.06%E -2.58%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-30 21:20
BetRivers1.54I 64.94%NM 59.52%EV -7.87%E -5.11%K -14.58%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.67%EV -5.86%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.81%EV -11.22%E -2.91%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-30 21:20
SportsBet1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -10.27%E -6.84%K -20.53%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -5.86%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -7.76%E -1.94%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-30 21:00
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 60.95%EV -13.85%E -9.62%K -31.49%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.96%EV -5.86%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.10%EV -12.37%E -3.26%K -4.42%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-30 20:50
NordicBet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.08%EV -5.48%E -3.47%K -9.45%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -7.57%E -1.40%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -8.91%E -2.26%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-30 21:20
Betsson1.58I 63.29%NM 59.08%EV -5.48%E -3.47%K -9.45%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -7.57%E -1.40%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -8.91%E -2.26%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-30 21:20
LiveScore Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 59.66%EV -9.07%E -5.97%K -17.44%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.79%EV -7.57%E -1.40%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.55%EV -11.22%E -2.91%K -3.94%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-30 21:20
Virgin Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 59.79%EV -10.27%E -6.84%K -20.53%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.61%EV -7.57%E -1.40%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.60%EV -12.37%E -3.26%K -4.42%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-30 21:20
Marathon Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 59.79%EV -7.27%E -4.69%K -13.23%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.32%EV -8.43%E -1.58%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.88%EV -6.61%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-30 21:20
LowVig.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 58.91%EV -4.88%E -3.07%K -8.27%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.67%EV -9.28%E -1.75%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -7.76%E -1.94%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-30 21:20
BetMGM1.57I 63.69%NM 59.12%EV -6.08%E -3.87%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.68%EV -10.14%E -1.93%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -7.76%E -1.94%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-30 21:20
Betway1.57I 63.69%NM 59.12%EV -6.08%E -3.87%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.68%EV -10.14%E -1.93%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -7.76%E -1.94%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-30 21:20
Everygame1.53I 65.36%NM 59.39%EV -8.47%E -5.54%K -15.98%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.31%EV -10.14%E -1.93%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.30%EV -10.06%E -2.58%K -3.47%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-30 21:20
Sky Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 59.51%EV -10.27%E -6.84%K -20.53%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.00%EV -10.14%E -1.93%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -12.37%E -3.26%K -4.42%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-30 21:00
Winamax (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 59.71%EV -9.07%E -5.97%K -17.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -14.42%E -2.88%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -5.45%E -1.33%K -1.76%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-30 21:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 58.53%EV -8.47%E -5.54%K -15.98%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -14.42%E -2.88%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -12.37%E -3.26%K -4.42%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-30 21:20
Neds1.53I 65.36%NM 58.53%EV -8.47%E -5.54%K -15.98%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -14.42%E -2.88%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -12.37%E -3.26%K -4.42%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-30 21:20
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 58.53%EV -8.47%E -5.54%K -15.98%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -14.42%E -2.88%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -12.37%E -3.26%K -4.42%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-30 21:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 58.53%EV -8.47%E -5.54%K -15.98%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -14.42%E -2.88%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -12.37%E -3.26%K -4.42%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-30 21:20
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 58.34%EV -8.47%E -5.54%K -15.98%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -14.42%E -2.88%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.80%EV -13.52%E -3.61%K -4.92%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-30 21:20
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 58.34%EV -8.47%E -5.54%K -15.98%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -14.42%E -2.88%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.80%EV -13.52%E -3.61%K -4.92%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-30 21:20
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 58.34%EV -8.47%E -5.54%K -15.98%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -14.42%E -2.88%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.80%EV -13.52%E -3.61%K -4.92%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-30 21:20
Unibet (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 60.00%EV -13.26%E -9.14%K -29.46%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.40%EV -14.42%E -2.88%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.60%EV -11.22%E -2.91%K -3.94%G +0.000%14.9%2026-05-30 21:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 58.43%EV -13.85%E -9.62%K -31.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 16.83%EV -14.42%E -2.88%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.75%EV -21.59%E -6.35%K -9.00%G +0.000%18.9%2026-05-30 21:00
Winamax (FR)1.49I 67.11%NM 59.25%EV -10.86%E -7.29%K -22.17%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.39%EV -17.84%E -3.72%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.35%EV -8.91%E -2.26%K -3.02%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-30 21:20
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 58.46%EV -10.27%E -6.84%K -20.53%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.46%EV -18.70%E -3.94%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.08%EV -12.37%E -3.26%K -4.42%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-30 21:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi1.59I 62.89%NM 62.35%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.86%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.79%0.9%2026-05-30 21:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.50%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.47%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.03%1.0%2026-05-30 21:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.50%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.47%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.03%1.0%2026-05-30 21:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.50%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.47%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.03%1.0%2026-05-30 21:20