La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Universidad de Chile v Deportes Concepción
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Universidad de Chile (Local)
Predicción 59.82%1.67momio equitativo
EV -4.88%
Ventaja -3.07%
Kelly -8.27%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.59
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.34%59.93%59.74%62.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.441.531.531.5969.44%65.36%65.36%62.89%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Deportes Concepción (Visitante)
Predicción 17.12%5.84momio equitativo
EV +2.87%
Ventaja +0.477%
Kelly +0.573%
Crecimiento +0.016%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.01
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.76%17.06%17.22%18.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.755.325.406.0121.05%18.79%18.52%16.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 23.06%4.34momio equitativo
EV -1.30%
Ventaja -0.304%
Kelly -0.397%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.28
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.99%23.01%23.04%24.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.403.913.904.2829.41%25.55%25.64%23.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (37 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -7.27%E -4.69%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 6.01I 16.64%NM 15.92%EV +2.87%E +0.477%K +0.573%G +0.016% | 4.28I 23.36%NM 22.35%EV -1.30%E -0.304%K -0.397%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-30 21:10 |
| FanDuel | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.57%EV -9.67%E -6.40%K -18.95%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.76%EV +0.987%E +0.167%K +0.201%G +0.002% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -5.45%E -1.33%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-30 20:59 |
| Bet Victor | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.00%EV -8.47%E -5.54%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -1.58%E -0.275%K -0.333%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -5.45%E -1.33%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-30 21:10 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.19%EV -13.26%E -9.14%K -29.46%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 15.82%EV -2.44%E -0.427%K -0.518%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.99%EV -5.45%E -1.33%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-30 21:10 |
| 1xBet | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.33%EV -4.88%E -3.07%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 5.68I 17.61%NM 16.89%EV -2.78%E -0.489%K -0.594%G +0.000% | 4.21I 23.75%NM 22.78%EV -2.92%E -0.693%K -0.908%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-30 21:20 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.93%EV -6.68%E -4.28%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV -4.15%E -0.741%K -0.902%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.76%E -1.94%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-30 21:20 |
| DraftKings | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.94%EV -6.08%E -3.87%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.11%EV -5.86%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -5.45%E -1.33%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-30 21:20 |
| Grosvenor | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.21%EV -6.68%E -4.28%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -5.86%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.99%EV -11.22%E -2.91%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-30 21:20 |
| Unibet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.21%EV -6.68%E -4.28%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -5.86%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.99%EV -11.22%E -2.91%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-30 21:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.55%EV -7.27%E -4.69%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -5.86%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.67%EV -10.06%E -2.58%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-30 21:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.55%EV -7.27%E -4.69%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -5.86%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.67%EV -10.06%E -2.58%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-30 21:20 |
| TABtouch | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.55%EV -7.27%E -4.69%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -5.86%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.67%EV -10.06%E -2.58%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-30 21:20 |
| BetRivers | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.52%EV -7.87%E -5.11%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.67%EV -5.86%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.81%EV -11.22%E -2.91%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-30 21:20 |
| SportsBet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -10.27%E -6.84%K -20.53%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -5.86%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -7.76%E -1.94%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-30 21:00 |
| Paddy Power | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.95%EV -13.85%E -9.62%K -31.49%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.96%EV -5.86%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.10%EV -12.37%E -3.26%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-05-30 20:50 |
| NordicBet | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.08%EV -5.48%E -3.47%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -7.57%E -1.40%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -8.91%E -2.26%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-30 21:20 |
| Betsson | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.08%EV -5.48%E -3.47%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -7.57%E -1.40%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -8.91%E -2.26%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-30 21:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.66%EV -9.07%E -5.97%K -17.44%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.79%EV -7.57%E -1.40%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.55%EV -11.22%E -2.91%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-30 21:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.79%EV -10.27%E -6.84%K -20.53%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.61%EV -7.57%E -1.40%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.60%EV -12.37%E -3.26%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-30 21:20 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.79%EV -7.27%E -4.69%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.32%EV -8.43%E -1.58%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.88%EV -6.61%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-30 21:20 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.91%EV -4.88%E -3.07%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.67%EV -9.28%E -1.75%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -7.76%E -1.94%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-30 21:20 |
| BetMGM | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.12%EV -6.08%E -3.87%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.68%EV -10.14%E -1.93%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -7.76%E -1.94%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-30 21:20 |
| Betway | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.12%EV -6.08%E -3.87%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.68%EV -10.14%E -1.93%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -7.76%E -1.94%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-30 21:20 |
| Everygame | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.39%EV -8.47%E -5.54%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.31%EV -10.14%E -1.93%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.30%EV -10.06%E -2.58%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-30 21:20 |
| Sky Bet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.51%EV -10.27%E -6.84%K -20.53%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.00%EV -10.14%E -1.93%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -12.37%E -3.26%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-30 21:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.71%EV -9.07%E -5.97%K -17.44%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -14.42%E -2.88%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -5.45%E -1.33%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-30 21:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.53%EV -8.47%E -5.54%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -14.42%E -2.88%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -12.37%E -3.26%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-30 21:20 |
| Neds | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.53%EV -8.47%E -5.54%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -14.42%E -2.88%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -12.37%E -3.26%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-30 21:20 |
| Coral | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.53%EV -8.47%E -5.54%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -14.42%E -2.88%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -12.37%E -3.26%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-30 21:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.53%EV -8.47%E -5.54%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -14.42%E -2.88%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -12.37%E -3.26%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-30 21:20 |
| 888sport | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.34%EV -8.47%E -5.54%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -14.42%E -2.88%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.80%EV -13.52%E -3.61%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-30 21:20 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.34%EV -8.47%E -5.54%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -14.42%E -2.88%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.80%EV -13.52%E -3.61%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-30 21:20 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.34%EV -8.47%E -5.54%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -14.42%E -2.88%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.80%EV -13.52%E -3.61%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-30 21:20 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 60.00%EV -13.26%E -9.14%K -29.46%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.40%EV -14.42%E -2.88%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.60%EV -11.22%E -2.91%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-05-30 21:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 58.43%EV -13.85%E -9.62%K -31.49%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 16.83%EV -14.42%E -2.88%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 24.75%EV -21.59%E -6.35%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 18.9% | 2026-05-30 21:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 59.25%EV -10.86%E -7.29%K -22.17%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.39%EV -17.84%E -3.72%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.35%EV -8.91%E -2.26%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-05-30 21:20 |
| BoyleSports | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.46%EV -10.27%E -6.84%K -20.53%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.46%EV -18.70%E -3.94%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.08%EV -12.37%E -3.26%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-05-30 21:20 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.35% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.86% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.79% | 0.9% | 2026-05-30 21:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.50% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.47% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.03% | 1.0% | 2026-05-30 21:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.50% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.47% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.03% | 1.0% | 2026-05-30 21:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.50% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.47% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.03% | 1.0% | 2026-05-30 21:20 |