Language:English
Universidad Católica (CHI) v Union La Calera
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Universidad Católica (CHI) (Local)
Prediction 65.31%1.53fair odd
EV -3.99%
Edge -2.71%
Kelly -8.49%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.47
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.72%65.25%65.26%67.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.331.421.411.4775.19%70.67%70.92%68.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Union La Calera (Visit)
Prediction 13.99%7.15fair odd
EV +4.96%
Edge +0.662%
Kelly +0.763%
Growth +0.038%
assuming max odds 7.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.46%13.95%14.17%15.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.756.446.507.5017.39%15.52%15.38%13.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 20.69%4.83fair odd
EV -2.96%
Edge -0.630%
Kelly -0.801%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.69
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.62%20.80%20.57%23.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.604.324.334.6927.78%23.13%23.09%21.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Universidad Católica (CHI) (Local): 65.31%; Union La Calera (Visit): 13.99%; Draw: 20.69%. For Union La Calera (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.15. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.96%.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.77%EV -8.56%E -6.12%K -21.40%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV +4.96%E +0.662%K +0.763%G +0.038% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -6.89%E -1.53%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-21 00:28 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.77%EV -4.64%E -3.18%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 7.45I 13.42%NM 12.89%EV +4.26%E +0.572%K +0.661%G +0.028% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.34%EV -6.89%E -1.53%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-21 00:28 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.51%EV -5.95%E -4.13%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 7.33I 13.64%NM 13.07%EV +2.58%E +0.352%K +0.408%G +0.011% | 4.69I 21.32%NM 20.42%EV -2.96%E -0.630%K -0.801%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-21 00:29 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.85%EV -13.13%E -9.87%K -39.80%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 12.53%EV +0.763%E +0.106%K +0.123%G +0.001% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.62%EV -4.82%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-21 00:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.83%EV -4.64%E -3.18%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 7.19I 13.91%NM 13.37%EV +0.623%E +0.087%K +0.101%G +0.001% | 4.62I 21.65%NM 20.80%EV -4.40%E -0.953%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-21 00:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.15%EV -8.56%E -6.12%K -21.40%G +0.000% | 7.10I 14.08%NM 13.04%EV -0.636%E -0.090%K -0.104%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.81%EV -7.92%E -1.78%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-21 00:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -8.56%E -6.12%K -21.40%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -2.04%E -0.291%K -0.339%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -6.89%E -1.53%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-21 00:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.30%EV -11.17%E -8.22%K -31.04%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.88%EV -2.04%E -0.291%K -0.339%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.82%EV -10.40%E -2.40%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-21 00:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.42%EV -6.60%E -4.62%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.56%EV -3.44%E -0.498%K -0.582%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.02%EV -7.92%E -1.78%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-21 00:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.42%EV -6.60%E -4.62%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.56%EV -3.44%E -0.498%K -0.582%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.02%EV -7.92%E -1.78%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-21 00:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.59%EV -6.60%E -4.62%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.68%EV -5.53%E -0.820%K -0.963%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.73%EV -12.06%E -2.84%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-21 00:29 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.63%EV -5.95%E -4.13%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 6.66I 15.02%NM 13.97%EV -6.79%E -1.02%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.40%EV -9.99%E -2.30%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-21 00:29 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.46%EV -6.60%E -4.62%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.18%EV -7.63%E -1.16%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.35%EV -4.82%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-21 00:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.46%EV -6.60%E -4.62%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.18%EV -7.63%E -1.16%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.35%EV -4.82%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-21 00:30 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.46%EV -6.60%E -4.62%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.18%EV -7.63%E -1.16%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.35%EV -4.82%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-21 00:29 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.35%EV -8.56%E -6.12%K -21.40%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 13.86%EV -7.63%E -1.16%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -8.96%E -2.04%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-21 00:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.32%EV -6.60%E -4.62%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -9.03%E -1.39%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -4.82%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-21 00:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.19%EV -7.26%E -5.11%K -17.27%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV -9.03%E -1.39%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -6.89%E -1.53%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-21 00:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.19%EV -7.26%E -5.11%K -17.27%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV -9.03%E -1.39%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -6.89%E -1.53%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-21 00:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.05%EV -7.91%E -5.61%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -9.03%E -1.39%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -8.96%E -2.04%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-21 00:29 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.05%EV -7.91%E -5.61%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -9.03%E -1.39%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -8.96%E -2.04%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-21 00:30 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.99%EV -8.56%E -6.12%K -21.40%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.00%EV -9.03%E -1.39%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -10.40%E -2.40%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-21 00:29 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 63.91%EV -7.26%E -5.11%K -17.27%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.96%EV -9.03%E -1.39%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -15.16%E -3.70%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-21 00:29 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.57%EV -8.56%E -6.12%K -21.40%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -9.03%E -1.39%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -13.09%E -3.12%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-21 00:29 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.57%EV -8.56%E -6.12%K -21.40%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -9.03%E -1.39%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -13.09%E -3.12%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-21 00:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.23%EV -11.17%E -8.22%K -31.04%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.65%EV -9.03%E -1.39%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.12%EV -13.09%E -3.12%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-04-21 00:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -5.95%E -4.13%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.93%EV -12.53%E -2.01%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -4.82%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-21 00:28 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.75%EV -3.99%E -2.71%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.76%EV -12.53%E -2.01%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.50%EV -15.16%E -3.70%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-21 00:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.75%EV -3.99%E -2.71%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.76%EV -12.53%E -2.01%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.50%EV -15.16%E -3.70%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-21 00:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.75%EV -3.99%E -2.71%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.76%EV -12.53%E -2.01%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.50%EV -15.16%E -3.70%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-21 00:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.75%EV -3.99%E -2.71%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.76%EV -12.53%E -2.01%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.50%EV -15.16%E -3.70%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-21 00:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.75%EV -3.99%E -2.71%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.76%EV -12.53%E -2.01%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.50%EV -15.16%E -3.70%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-21 00:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.75%EV -3.99%E -2.71%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.76%EV -12.53%E -2.01%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.50%EV -15.16%E -3.70%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-21 00:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.72%EV -5.30%E -3.65%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.55%EV -12.53%E -2.01%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -17.23%E -4.31%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-21 00:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.53%EV -8.56%E -6.12%K -21.40%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.46%EV -12.53%E -2.01%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.01%EV -11.03%E -2.56%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-21 00:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 65.13%EV -11.83%E -8.76%K -33.79%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.18%EV -13.23%E -2.13%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 20.69%EV -12.06%E -2.84%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-04-21 00:28 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 62.82%EV -6.60%E -4.62%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.73%EV -14.63%E -2.40%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -17.23%E -4.31%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-21 00:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -8.56%E -6.12%K -21.40%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -16.03%E -2.67%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -6.89%E -1.53%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-21 00:29 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 63.98%EV -7.91%E -5.61%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.04%EV -16.03%E -2.67%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.98%EV -11.03%E -2.56%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-21 00:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -8.56%E -6.12%K -21.40%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -16.03%E -2.67%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -13.09%E -3.12%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-21 00:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -8.56%E -6.12%K -21.40%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -16.03%E -2.67%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -13.09%E -3.12%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-21 00:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -8.56%E -6.12%K -21.40%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -16.03%E -2.67%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -13.09%E -3.12%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-21 00:29 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.90%EV -11.17%E -8.22%K -31.04%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.71%EV -16.03%E -2.67%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.39%EV -10.40%E -2.40%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-04-21 00:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 62.85%EV -13.13%E -9.87%K -39.80%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 13.93%EV -16.03%E -2.67%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.22%EV -25.51%E -7.09%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 19.6% | 2026-04-21 00:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 63.01%EV -7.91%E -5.61%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.32%EV -18.83%E -3.25%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.67%EV -15.16%E -3.70%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-04-21 00:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.82%EV -8.56%E -6.12%K -21.40%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.54%EV -19.53%E -3.40%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.64%EV -10.40%E -2.40%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-21 00:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.82%EV -8.56%E -6.12%K -21.40%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.54%EV -19.53%E -3.40%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.64%EV -10.40%E -2.40%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-21 00:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.82%EV -8.56%E -6.12%K -21.40%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.54%EV -19.53%E -3.40%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.64%EV -10.40%E -2.40%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-21 00:29 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.82%EV -8.56%E -6.12%K -21.40%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.54%EV -19.53%E -3.40%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.64%EV -10.40%E -2.40%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-21 00:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.75% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.06% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.19% | 1.1% | 2026-04-21 00:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.75% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.06% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.19% | 1.1% | 2026-04-21 00:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.90% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.01% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.09% | 1.6% | 2026-04-21 00:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.40% | 7.14I 14.01%NM 13.10% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.50% | 6.9% | 2026-04-21 00:30 |