La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Universidad Católica (CHI) v Union La Calera
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Universidad Católica (CHI) (Local)
Predicción 65.31%1.53momio equitativo
EV -3.99%
Ventaja -2.71%
Kelly -8.49%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.47
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
62.72%65.25%65.26%67.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.331.421.411.4775.19%70.67%70.92%68.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Union La Calera (Visitante)
Predicción 13.99%7.15momio equitativo
EV +4.96%
Ventaja +0.662%
Kelly +0.763%
Crecimiento +0.038%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
12.46%13.95%14.17%15.54%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.756.446.507.5017.39%15.52%15.38%13.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 20.69%4.83momio equitativo
EV -2.96%
Ventaja -0.630%
Kelly -0.801%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.69
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.62%20.80%20.57%23.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.604.324.334.6927.78%23.13%23.09%21.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Victor | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.77%EV -8.56%E -6.12%K -21.40%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV +4.96%E +0.662%K +0.763%G +0.038% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -6.89%E -1.53%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-21 00:28 |
| Coolbet | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.77%EV -4.64%E -3.18%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 7.45I 13.42%NM 12.89%EV +4.26%E +0.572%K +0.661%G +0.028% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.34%EV -6.89%E -1.53%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-21 00:28 |
| Pinnacle | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.51%EV -5.95%E -4.13%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 7.33I 13.64%NM 13.07%EV +2.58%E +0.352%K +0.408%G +0.011% | 4.69I 21.32%NM 20.42%EV -2.96%E -0.630%K -0.801%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-21 00:29 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.85%EV -13.13%E -9.87%K -39.80%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 12.53%EV +0.763%E +0.106%K +0.123%G +0.001% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.62%EV -4.82%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-21 00:30 |
| 1xBet | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.83%EV -4.64%E -3.18%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 7.19I 13.91%NM 13.37%EV +0.623%E +0.087%K +0.101%G +0.001% | 4.62I 21.65%NM 20.80%EV -4.40%E -0.953%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-21 00:29 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.15%EV -8.56%E -6.12%K -21.40%G +0.000% | 7.10I 14.08%NM 13.04%EV -0.636%E -0.090%K -0.104%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.81%EV -7.92%E -1.78%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-21 00:29 |
| FanDuel | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -8.56%E -6.12%K -21.40%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -2.04%E -0.291%K -0.339%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -6.89%E -1.53%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-21 00:30 |
| SportsBet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.30%EV -11.17%E -8.22%K -31.04%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.88%EV -2.04%E -0.291%K -0.339%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.82%EV -10.40%E -2.40%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-21 00:30 |
| NordicBet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.42%EV -6.60%E -4.62%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.56%EV -3.44%E -0.498%K -0.582%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.02%EV -7.92%E -1.78%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-21 00:29 |
| Betsson | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.42%EV -6.60%E -4.62%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.56%EV -3.44%E -0.498%K -0.582%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.02%EV -7.92%E -1.78%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-21 00:30 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.59%EV -6.60%E -4.62%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.68%EV -5.53%E -0.820%K -0.963%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.73%EV -12.06%E -2.84%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-21 00:29 |
| GTbets | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.63%EV -5.95%E -4.13%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 6.66I 15.02%NM 13.97%EV -6.79%E -1.02%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.40%EV -9.99%E -2.30%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-21 00:29 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.46%EV -6.60%E -4.62%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.18%EV -7.63%E -1.16%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.35%EV -4.82%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-21 00:30 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.46%EV -6.60%E -4.62%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.18%EV -7.63%E -1.16%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.35%EV -4.82%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-21 00:30 |
| BetAnything | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.46%EV -6.60%E -4.62%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.18%EV -7.63%E -1.16%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.35%EV -4.82%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-21 00:29 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.35%EV -8.56%E -6.12%K -21.40%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 13.86%EV -7.63%E -1.16%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -8.96%E -2.04%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-21 00:30 |
| DraftKings | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.32%EV -6.60%E -4.62%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -9.03%E -1.39%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -4.82%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-21 00:30 |
| Fanatics | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.19%EV -7.26%E -5.11%K -17.27%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV -9.03%E -1.39%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -6.89%E -1.53%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-21 00:30 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.19%EV -7.26%E -5.11%K -17.27%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV -9.03%E -1.39%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -6.89%E -1.53%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-21 00:30 |
| Bovada | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.05%EV -7.91%E -5.61%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -9.03%E -1.39%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -8.96%E -2.04%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-21 00:29 |
| BetUS | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.05%EV -7.91%E -5.61%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -9.03%E -1.39%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -8.96%E -2.04%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-21 00:30 |
| Everygame | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.99%EV -8.56%E -6.12%K -21.40%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.00%EV -9.03%E -1.39%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -10.40%E -2.40%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-21 00:29 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 63.91%EV -7.26%E -5.11%K -17.27%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.96%EV -9.03%E -1.39%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -15.16%E -3.70%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-21 00:29 |
| betfred_uk | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.57%EV -8.56%E -6.12%K -21.40%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -9.03%E -1.39%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -13.09%E -3.12%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-21 00:29 |
| Sky Bet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.57%EV -8.56%E -6.12%K -21.40%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -9.03%E -1.39%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -13.09%E -3.12%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-21 00:30 |
| Paddy Power | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.23%EV -11.17%E -8.22%K -31.04%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.65%EV -9.03%E -1.39%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.12%EV -13.09%E -3.12%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-04-21 00:30 |
| BetMGM | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -5.95%E -4.13%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.93%EV -12.53%E -2.01%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -4.82%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-21 00:28 |
| Unibet | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.75%EV -3.99%E -2.71%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.76%EV -12.53%E -2.01%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.50%EV -15.16%E -3.70%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-21 00:30 |
| BetRivers | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.75%EV -3.99%E -2.71%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.76%EV -12.53%E -2.01%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.50%EV -15.16%E -3.70%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-21 00:25 |
| Grosvenor | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.75%EV -3.99%E -2.71%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.76%EV -12.53%E -2.01%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.50%EV -15.16%E -3.70%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-21 00:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.75%EV -3.99%E -2.71%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.76%EV -12.53%E -2.01%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.50%EV -15.16%E -3.70%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-21 00:30 |
| TABtouch | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.75%EV -3.99%E -2.71%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.76%EV -12.53%E -2.01%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.50%EV -15.16%E -3.70%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-21 00:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.75%EV -3.99%E -2.71%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.76%EV -12.53%E -2.01%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.50%EV -15.16%E -3.70%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-21 00:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.72%EV -5.30%E -3.65%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.55%EV -12.53%E -2.01%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -17.23%E -4.31%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-21 00:30 |
| PlayUp | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.53%EV -8.56%E -6.12%K -21.40%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.46%EV -12.53%E -2.01%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.01%EV -11.03%E -2.56%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-21 00:30 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 65.13%EV -11.83%E -8.76%K -33.79%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.18%EV -13.23%E -2.13%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 20.69%EV -12.06%E -2.84%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-04-21 00:28 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 62.82%EV -6.60%E -4.62%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.73%EV -14.63%E -2.40%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -17.23%E -4.31%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-21 00:30 |
| Betway | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -8.56%E -6.12%K -21.40%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -16.03%E -2.67%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -6.89%E -1.53%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-21 00:29 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 63.98%EV -7.91%E -5.61%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.04%EV -16.03%E -2.67%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.98%EV -11.03%E -2.56%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-21 00:30 |
| 888sport | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -8.56%E -6.12%K -21.40%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -16.03%E -2.67%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -13.09%E -3.12%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-21 00:29 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -8.56%E -6.12%K -21.40%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -16.03%E -2.67%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -13.09%E -3.12%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-21 00:29 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -8.56%E -6.12%K -21.40%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -16.03%E -2.67%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -13.09%E -3.12%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-21 00:29 |
| BoyleSports | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.90%EV -11.17%E -8.22%K -31.04%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.71%EV -16.03%E -2.67%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.39%EV -10.40%E -2.40%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-04-21 00:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 62.85%EV -13.13%E -9.87%K -39.80%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 13.93%EV -16.03%E -2.67%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.22%EV -25.51%E -7.09%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 19.6% | 2026-04-21 00:30 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 63.01%EV -7.91%E -5.61%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.32%EV -18.83%E -3.25%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.67%EV -15.16%E -3.70%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-04-21 00:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.82%EV -8.56%E -6.12%K -21.40%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.54%EV -19.53%E -3.40%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.64%EV -10.40%E -2.40%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-21 00:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.82%EV -8.56%E -6.12%K -21.40%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.54%EV -19.53%E -3.40%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.64%EV -10.40%E -2.40%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-21 00:30 |
| Neds | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.82%EV -8.56%E -6.12%K -21.40%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.54%EV -19.53%E -3.40%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.64%EV -10.40%E -2.40%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-21 00:29 |
| Coral | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.82%EV -8.56%E -6.12%K -21.40%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.54%EV -19.53%E -3.40%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.64%EV -10.40%E -2.40%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-21 00:30 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.75% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.06% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.19% | 1.1% | 2026-04-21 00:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.75% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.06% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.19% | 1.1% | 2026-04-21 00:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.90% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.01% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.09% | 1.6% | 2026-04-21 00:30 |
| Kalshi | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.40% | 7.14I 14.01%NM 13.10% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.50% | 6.9% | 2026-04-21 00:30 |