L’École des cotes

Universidad Católica (CHI) v Union La Calera

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-21 00:34 UTC

Score final : Universidad Católica (CHI) 1–2 Union La Calera

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Universidad Católica (CHI) (Local)

Prévision 65.31%1.53cote équitable
EV -3.99%
Avantage -2.71%
Kelly -8.49%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.47

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
62.72%65.25%65.26%67.85%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.331.421.411.4775.19%70.67%70.92%68.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Union La Calera (Visiteur)

Prévision 13.99%7.15cote équitable
EV +4.96%
Avantage +0.662%
Kelly +0.763%
Croissance +0.038%

avec la cote maximale 7.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
12.46%13.95%14.17%15.54%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.756.446.507.5017.39%15.52%15.38%13.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 20.69%4.83cote équitable
EV -2.96%
Avantage -0.630%
Kelly -0.801%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.69

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.62%20.80%20.57%23.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.604.324.334.6927.78%23.13%23.09%21.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 66.77%EV -8.56%E -6.12%K -21.40%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV +4.96%E +0.662%K +0.763%G +0.038%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -6.89%E -1.53%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-21 00:28
Coolbet1.46I 68.49%NM 65.77%EV -4.64%E -3.18%K -10.09%G +0.000%7.45I 13.42%NM 12.89%EV +4.26%E +0.572%K +0.661%G +0.028%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.34%EV -6.89%E -1.53%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-21 00:28
Pinnacle1.44I 69.44%NM 66.51%EV -5.95%E -4.13%K -13.52%G +0.000%7.33I 13.64%NM 13.07%EV +2.58%E +0.352%K +0.408%G +0.011%4.69I 21.32%NM 20.42%EV -2.96%E -0.630%K -0.801%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-21 00:29
Tipico (DE)1.33I 75.19%NM 67.85%EV -13.13%E -9.87%K -39.80%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.53%EV +0.763%E +0.106%K +0.123%G +0.001%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.62%EV -4.82%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-21 00:30
1xBet1.46I 68.49%NM 65.83%EV -4.64%E -3.18%K -10.09%G +0.000%7.19I 13.91%NM 13.37%EV +0.623%E +0.087%K +0.101%G +0.001%4.62I 21.65%NM 20.80%EV -4.40%E -0.953%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-21 00:29
Marathon Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 66.15%EV -8.56%E -6.12%K -21.40%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.04%EV -0.636%E -0.090%K -0.104%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.81%EV -7.92%E -1.78%K -2.30%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-21 00:29
FanDuel1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -8.56%E -6.12%K -21.40%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -2.04%E -0.291%K -0.339%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -6.89%E -1.53%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-21 00:30
SportsBet1.36I 73.53%NM 66.30%EV -11.17%E -8.22%K -31.04%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.88%EV -2.04%E -0.291%K -0.339%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.82%EV -10.40%E -2.40%K -3.12%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-21 00:30
NordicBet1.43I 69.93%NM 65.42%EV -6.60%E -4.62%K -15.35%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.56%EV -3.44%E -0.498%K -0.582%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.02%EV -7.92%E -1.78%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-21 00:29
Betsson1.43I 69.93%NM 65.42%EV -6.60%E -4.62%K -15.35%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.56%EV -3.44%E -0.498%K -0.582%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.02%EV -7.92%E -1.78%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-21 00:30
PointsBet (AU)1.43I 69.93%NM 64.59%EV -6.60%E -4.62%K -15.35%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.68%EV -5.53%E -0.820%K -0.963%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.73%EV -12.06%E -2.84%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-21 00:29
GTbets1.44I 69.44%NM 64.63%EV -5.95%E -4.13%K -13.52%G +0.000%6.66I 15.02%NM 13.97%EV -6.79%E -1.02%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.40%EV -9.99%E -2.30%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-21 00:29
LowVig.ag1.43I 69.93%NM 65.46%EV -6.60%E -4.62%K -15.35%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.18%EV -7.63%E -1.16%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.35%EV -4.82%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-21 00:30
BetOnline.ag1.43I 69.93%NM 65.46%EV -6.60%E -4.62%K -15.35%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.18%EV -7.63%E -1.16%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.35%EV -4.82%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-21 00:30
BetAnything1.43I 69.93%NM 65.46%EV -6.60%E -4.62%K -15.35%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.18%EV -7.63%E -1.16%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.35%EV -4.82%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-21 00:29
Codere (IT)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.35%EV -8.56%E -6.12%K -21.40%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 13.86%EV -7.63%E -1.16%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -8.96%E -2.04%K -2.63%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-21 00:30
DraftKings1.43I 69.93%NM 65.32%EV -6.60%E -4.62%K -15.35%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -9.03%E -1.39%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -4.82%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-21 00:30
Fanatics1.42I 70.42%NM 65.19%EV -7.26%E -5.11%K -17.27%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV -9.03%E -1.39%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -6.89%E -1.53%K -1.97%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-21 00:30
Unibet (UK)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.19%EV -7.26%E -5.11%K -17.27%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV -9.03%E -1.39%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -6.89%E -1.53%K -1.97%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-21 00:30
Bovada1.41I 70.92%NM 65.05%EV -7.91%E -5.61%K -19.29%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -9.03%E -1.39%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -8.96%E -2.04%K -2.63%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-21 00:29
BetUS1.41I 70.92%NM 65.05%EV -7.91%E -5.61%K -19.29%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -9.03%E -1.39%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -8.96%E -2.04%K -2.63%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-21 00:30
Everygame1.40I 71.43%NM 64.99%EV -8.56%E -6.12%K -21.40%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.00%EV -9.03%E -1.39%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -10.40%E -2.40%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-21 00:29
Betr (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 63.91%EV -7.26%E -5.11%K -17.27%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.96%EV -9.03%E -1.39%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -15.16%E -3.70%K -4.89%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-21 00:29
betfred_uk1.40I 71.43%NM 64.57%EV -8.56%E -6.12%K -21.40%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -9.03%E -1.39%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -13.09%E -3.12%K -4.09%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-21 00:29
Sky Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 64.57%EV -8.56%E -6.12%K -21.40%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -9.03%E -1.39%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -13.09%E -3.12%K -4.09%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-21 00:30
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 65.23%EV -11.17%E -8.22%K -31.04%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.65%EV -9.03%E -1.39%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.12%EV -13.09%E -3.12%K -4.09%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-21 00:30
BetMGM1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -5.95%E -4.13%K -13.52%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.93%EV -12.53%E -2.01%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -4.82%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-21 00:28
Unibet1.47I 68.03%NM 62.75%EV -3.99%E -2.71%K -8.49%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.76%EV -12.53%E -2.01%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.50%EV -15.16%E -3.70%K -4.89%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-21 00:30
BetRivers1.47I 68.03%NM 62.75%EV -3.99%E -2.71%K -8.49%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.76%EV -12.53%E -2.01%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.50%EV -15.16%E -3.70%K -4.89%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-21 00:25
Grosvenor1.47I 68.03%NM 62.75%EV -3.99%E -2.71%K -8.49%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.76%EV -12.53%E -2.01%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.50%EV -15.16%E -3.70%K -4.89%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-21 00:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.75%EV -3.99%E -2.71%K -8.49%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.76%EV -12.53%E -2.01%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.50%EV -15.16%E -3.70%K -4.89%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-21 00:30
TABtouch1.47I 68.03%NM 62.75%EV -3.99%E -2.71%K -8.49%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.76%EV -12.53%E -2.01%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.50%EV -15.16%E -3.70%K -4.89%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-21 00:30
Unibet (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.75%EV -3.99%E -2.71%K -8.49%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.76%EV -12.53%E -2.01%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.50%EV -15.16%E -3.70%K -4.89%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-21 00:30
LiveScore Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 62.72%EV -5.30%E -3.65%K -11.77%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.55%EV -12.53%E -2.01%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -17.23%E -4.31%K -5.74%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-21 00:30
PlayUp1.40I 71.43%NM 64.53%EV -8.56%E -6.12%K -21.40%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.46%EV -12.53%E -2.01%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.01%EV -11.03%E -2.56%K -3.34%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-21 00:30
Unibet (FR)1.35I 74.07%NM 65.13%EV -11.83%E -8.76%K -33.79%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.18%EV -13.23%E -2.13%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.69%EV -12.06%E -2.84%K -3.71%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-21 00:28
Virgin Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 62.82%EV -6.60%E -4.62%K -15.35%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.73%EV -14.63%E -2.40%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -17.23%E -4.31%K -5.74%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-21 00:30
Betway1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -8.56%E -6.12%K -21.40%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -16.03%E -2.67%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -6.89%E -1.53%K -1.97%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-21 00:29
Winamax (DE)1.41I 70.92%NM 63.98%EV -7.91%E -5.61%K -19.29%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.04%EV -16.03%E -2.67%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.98%EV -11.03%E -2.56%K -3.34%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-21 00:30
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -8.56%E -6.12%K -21.40%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -16.03%E -2.67%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -13.09%E -3.12%K -4.09%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-21 00:29
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -8.56%E -6.12%K -21.40%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -16.03%E -2.67%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -13.09%E -3.12%K -4.09%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-21 00:29
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -8.56%E -6.12%K -21.40%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -16.03%E -2.67%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -13.09%E -3.12%K -4.09%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-21 00:29
BoyleSports1.36I 73.53%NM 64.90%EV -11.17%E -8.22%K -31.04%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.71%EV -16.03%E -2.67%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.39%EV -10.40%E -2.40%K -3.12%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-21 00:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 62.85%EV -13.13%E -9.87%K -39.80%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 13.93%EV -16.03%E -2.67%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.22%EV -25.51%E -7.09%K -9.81%G +0.000%19.6%2026-04-21 00:30
Winamax (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 63.01%EV -7.91%E -5.61%K -19.29%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.32%EV -18.83%E -3.25%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.67%EV -15.16%E -3.70%K -4.89%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-21 00:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 63.82%EV -8.56%E -6.12%K -21.40%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.54%EV -19.53%E -3.40%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.64%EV -10.40%E -2.40%K -3.12%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-21 00:29
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 63.82%EV -8.56%E -6.12%K -21.40%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.54%EV -19.53%E -3.40%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.64%EV -10.40%E -2.40%K -3.12%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-21 00:30
Neds1.40I 71.43%NM 63.82%EV -8.56%E -6.12%K -21.40%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.54%EV -19.53%E -3.40%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.64%EV -10.40%E -2.40%K -3.12%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-21 00:29
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 63.82%EV -8.56%E -6.12%K -21.40%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.54%EV -19.53%E -3.40%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.64%EV -10.40%E -2.40%K -3.12%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-21 00:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.46I 68.49%NM 67.75%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.06%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.19%1.1%2026-04-21 00:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.46I 68.49%NM 67.75%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.06%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.19%1.1%2026-04-21 00:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.45I 68.97%NM 67.90%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.01%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.09%1.6%2026-04-21 00:30
Kalshi1.43I 69.93%NM 65.40%7.14I 14.01%NM 13.10%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.50%6.9%2026-04-21 00:30