The School of Odds

Universidad Católica (CHI) v La Serena

2026-07-26 00:00 UTC — Primera División - Chile

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Universidad Católica (CHI) (Local)

Prediction 66.27%1.51fair odd
EV -5.24%
Edge -3.66%
Kelly -12.18%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.43

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.86%66.31%66.36%67.61%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.301.361.361.4377%73%74%70%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

La Serena (Visit)

Prediction 13.09%7.64fair odd
EV -0.516%
Edge -0.068%
Kelly -0.078%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 7.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.20%13.12%13.08%15.06%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
5.606.716.907.6018%15%14%13%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 20.64%4.84fair odd
EV +1.15%
Edge +0.234%
Kelly +0.294%
Growth +0.003%

assuming max odds 4.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.67%20.57%20.56%22.16%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
4.004.454.504.9025%22%22%20%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
SportsBet1.36I 73.53%NM 67.61%EV -9.88%E -7.26%K -27.43%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.62%EV -11.64%E -1.72%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.77%EV +1.15%E +0.234%K +0.294%G +0.003%8.8%2026-07-13 06:34
FanDuel1.36I 73.53%NM 67.26%EV -9.88%E -7.26%K -27.43%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.07%EV -14.92%E -2.29%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.67%EV +1.15%E +0.234%K +0.294%G +0.003%9.3%2026-07-13 06:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 67.36%EV -11.86%E -8.92%K -35.95%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -14.92%E -2.29%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.86%EV -1.95%E -0.411%K -0.520%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-13 06:35
Paddy Power1.33I 75.19%NM 67.36%EV -11.86%E -8.92%K -35.95%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -14.92%E -2.29%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.86%EV -1.95%E -0.411%K -0.520%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-13 06:34
1xBet1.39I 71.94%NM 67.03%EV -7.89%E -5.67%K -20.22%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.26%EV -0.516%E -0.068%K -0.078%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.71%EV -7.11%E -1.58%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-13 11:50
Marathon Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.19%EV -8.55%E -6.20%K -22.50%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.20%EV -0.516%E -0.068%K -0.078%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -7.11%E -1.58%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-13 11:44
Fanatics1.38I 72.46%NM 66.50%EV -8.55%E -6.20%K -22.50%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.11%EV -8.37%E -1.20%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.39%EV -7.11%E -1.58%K -2.03%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-13 06:35
Winamax (DE)1.32I 75.76%NM 66.08%EV -12.53%E -9.49%K -39.14%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.54%EV -21.46%E -3.58%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.38%EV -7.11%E -1.58%K -2.03%G +0.000%14.6%2026-07-13 06:34
NordicBet1.43I 69.93%NM 65.42%EV -5.24%E -3.66%K -12.18%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.56%EV -9.68%E -1.40%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.02%EV -8.14%E -1.83%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-13 13:09
Betsson1.43I 69.93%NM 65.42%EV -5.24%E -3.66%K -12.18%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.56%EV -9.68%E -1.40%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.02%EV -8.14%E -1.83%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-13 13:09
Sky Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 65.00%EV -11.86%E -8.92%K -35.95%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.03%EV -24.73%E -4.30%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 19.97%EV -10.62%E -2.45%K -3.19%G +0.000%15.7%2026-07-13 06:35
Winamax (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 64.86%EV -13.85%E -10.65%K -46.17%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.06%EV -26.70%E -4.77%K -5.80%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.08%EV -13.30%E -3.17%K -4.16%G +0.000%18.6%2026-07-13 06:34
888sport1.36I 73.53%NM 65.18%EV -9.88%E -7.26%K -27.43%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.66%EV -8.37%E -1.20%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.16%EV -17.43%E -4.36%K -5.81%G +0.000%12.8%2026-07-13 11:39
Mr Green (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 65.18%EV -9.88%E -7.26%K -27.43%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.66%EV -8.37%E -1.20%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.16%EV -17.43%E -4.36%K -5.81%G +0.000%12.8%2026-07-13 11:39
888sport (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 65.18%EV -9.88%E -7.26%K -27.43%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.66%EV -8.37%E -1.20%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.16%EV -17.43%E -4.36%K -5.81%G +0.000%12.8%2026-07-13 11:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77%190.3%2026-07-13 09:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77%190.3%2026-07-13 09:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77%190.3%2026-07-13 09:45