Language:English
Universidad Católica (CHI) v La Serena
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Universidad Católica (CHI) (Local)
Prediction 66.28%1.51fair odd
EV -3.22%
Edge -2.21%
Kelly -7.01%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.46
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.34%66.20%66.22%68.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.321.401.401.4675.76%71.45%71.43%68.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
La Serena (Visit)
Prediction 14.00%7.14fair odd
EV +2.21%
Edge +0.303%
Kelly +0.351%
Growth +0.008%
assuming max odds 7.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.87%14.02%14.26%15.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.706.396.257.3017.54%15.65%16.00%13.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 19.71%5.07fair odd
EV -1.43%
Edge -0.286%
Kelly -0.358%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 5.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.72%19.78%19.52%21.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.204.554.505.0023.81%21.98%22.22%20.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Universidad Católica (CHI) (Local): 66.28%; La Serena (Visit): 14.00%; Draw: 19.71%. For La Serena (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.14. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.21%.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.65%EV -4.55%E -3.16%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 7.30I 13.70%NM 13.15%EV +2.21%E +0.303%K +0.351%G +0.008% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.20%EV -6.36%E -1.34%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-25 14:25 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.63%EV -9.19%E -6.71%K -24.84%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 12.87%EV +0.810%E +0.113%K +0.131%G +0.001% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.51%EV -6.36%E -1.34%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-25 23:49 |
| Pinnacle | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.44%EV -5.88%E -4.14%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 7.16I 13.97%NM 13.37%EV +0.250%E +0.035%K +0.041%G +0.000% | 4.99I 20.04%NM 19.19%EV -1.63%E -0.326%K -0.408%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-25 23:50 |
| DraftKings | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.15%EV -6.54%E -4.64%K -15.95%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.53%EV -1.99%E -0.284%K -0.332%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.32%EV -3.40%E -0.694%K -0.872%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-25 23:39 |
| betano_uk | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.90%EV -7.20%E -5.14%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -1.99%E -0.284%K -0.332%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -6.36%E -1.34%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-25 23:40 |
| Bet Victor | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.90%EV -7.20%E -5.14%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -1.99%E -0.284%K -0.332%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -6.36%E -1.34%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-25 23:39 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.33%EV -12.50%E -9.47%K -39.08%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.88%EV -1.99%E -0.284%K -0.332%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.79%EV -5.37%E -1.12%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-07-25 23:49 |
| NordicBet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.42%EV -5.21%E -3.65%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.56%EV -3.39%E -0.491%K -0.575%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.02%EV -12.27%E -2.76%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-25 23:55 |
| Betsson | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.42%EV -5.21%E -3.65%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.56%EV -3.39%E -0.491%K -0.575%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.02%EV -12.27%E -2.76%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-25 23:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.78%EV -7.20%E -5.14%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.75%EV -4.79%E -0.704%K -0.826%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.48%EV -5.37%E -1.12%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-25 22:30 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.78%EV -7.20%E -5.14%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.75%EV -4.79%E -0.704%K -0.826%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.48%EV -5.37%E -1.12%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-25 22:30 |
| BetAnything | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.78%EV -7.20%E -5.14%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.75%EV -4.79%E -0.704%K -0.826%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.48%EV -5.37%E -1.12%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-25 22:29 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.20%E -5.14%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV -5.49%E -0.813%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -11.29%E -2.51%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-25 23:39 |
| GTbets | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.42%EV -3.22%E -2.21%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 6.74I 14.84%NM 14.17%EV -5.63%E -0.835%K -0.981%G +0.000% | 4.68I 21.37%NM 20.41%EV -7.74%E -1.65%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-25 09:30 |
| 1xBet | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.85%EV -3.22%E -2.21%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.41%EV -6.61%E -0.991%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.87I 20.53%NM 19.74%EV -3.99%E -0.820%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-25 23:49 |
| BetMGM | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.74%EV -5.21%E -3.65%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.46%EV -8.99%E -1.38%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.79%EV -6.36%E -1.34%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-25 16:00 |
| Betway | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -7.20%E -5.14%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -8.99%E -1.38%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -1.43%E -0.286%K -0.358%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-25 18:55 |
| FanDuel | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.35%EV -7.20%E -5.14%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.29%EV -8.99%E -1.38%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.35%EV -5.37%E -1.12%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-25 23:39 |
| Fanatics | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -7.20%E -5.14%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -8.99%E -1.38%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -6.36%E -1.34%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-25 20:55 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -7.20%E -5.14%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -8.99%E -1.38%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -6.36%E -1.34%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-25 23:33 |
| SportsBet | 1.39I 71.94%NM 66.24%EV -7.86%E -5.66%K -20.16%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -8.99%E -1.38%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.59%EV -7.34%E -1.56%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-25 23:40 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.53%EV -8.53%E -6.18%K -22.44%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -8.99%E -1.38%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.55%EV -13.26%E -3.01%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-25 23:40 |
| Paddy Power | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.16%EV -9.85%E -7.24%K -27.37%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -8.99%E -1.38%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -11.29%E -2.51%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-25 23:40 |
| betfred_uk | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.65%EV -9.85%E -7.24%K -27.37%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.74%EV -8.99%E -1.38%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.62%EV -14.64%E -3.38%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-07-25 08:35 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.66%EV -7.20%E -5.14%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.36%EV -10.39%E -1.62%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.98%EV -9.32%E -2.03%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-25 23:45 |
| PlayUp | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.69%EV -7.20%E -5.14%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.49%EV -12.49%E -2.00%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.82%EV -14.24%E -3.27%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-07-25 23:55 |
| Everygame | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.29%EV -9.85%E -7.24%K -27.37%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.21%EV -12.49%E -2.00%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.51%EV -14.64%E -3.38%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-07-25 09:00 |
| Unibet | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.34%EV -3.22%E -2.21%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.16%EV -14.59%E -2.39%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.50%EV -15.23%E -3.54%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-25 23:29 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.50%EV -3.89%E -2.68%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.09%EV -14.59%E -2.39%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.41%EV -15.23%E -3.54%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-25 23:29 |
| TABtouch | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.50%EV -3.89%E -2.68%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.09%EV -14.59%E -2.39%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.41%EV -15.23%E -3.54%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-25 23:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.50%EV -3.89%E -2.68%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.09%EV -14.59%E -2.39%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.41%EV -15.23%E -3.54%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-25 23:30 |
| Grosvenor | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.50%EV -3.89%E -2.68%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.09%EV -14.59%E -2.39%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.41%EV -15.23%E -3.54%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-25 23:29 |
| LeoVegas | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.85%EV -9.85%E -7.24%K -27.37%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.68%EV -14.59%E -2.39%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.47%EV -9.32%E -2.03%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-07-25 23:55 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 65.44%EV -10.52%E -7.79%K -30.04%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.48%EV -14.59%E -2.39%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.08%EV -13.26%E -3.01%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-07-25 23:44 |
| Bovada | 1.41I 70.92%NM 64.87%EV -6.54%E -4.64%K -15.95%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.24%EV -15.99%E -2.67%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.88%EV -9.32%E -2.03%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-25 23:50 |
| BetUS | 1.41I 70.92%NM 64.87%EV -6.54%E -4.64%K -15.95%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.24%EV -15.99%E -2.67%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.88%EV -9.32%E -2.03%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-25 23:55 |
| BetRivers | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.50%EV -4.55%E -3.16%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.24%EV -15.99%E -2.67%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.26%EV -15.23%E -3.54%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-25 23:29 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.39I 71.94%NM 65.74%EV -7.86%E -5.66%K -20.16%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.23%EV -15.99%E -2.67%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.04%EV -5.37%E -1.12%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-25 23:45 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.34%EV -4.55%E -3.16%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.20%EV -15.99%E -2.67%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.46%EV -16.22%E -3.82%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-25 23:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.45%EV -7.20%E -5.14%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.04%EV -15.99%E -2.67%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -13.26%E -3.01%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-25 23:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.45%EV -7.20%E -5.14%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.04%EV -15.99%E -2.67%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -13.26%E -3.01%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-25 23:49 |
| Neds | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.45%EV -7.20%E -5.14%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.04%EV -15.99%E -2.67%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -13.26%E -3.01%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-25 23:49 |
| Coral | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.45%EV -7.20%E -5.14%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.04%EV -15.99%E -2.67%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -13.26%E -3.01%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-25 23:49 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 63.50%EV -5.88%E -4.14%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.03%EV -15.99%E -2.67%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.47%EV -17.20%E -4.10%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-07-25 23:29 |
| 888sport | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.11%EV -9.85%E -7.24%K -27.37%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.76%EV -15.99%E -2.67%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.13%EV -13.26%E -3.01%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-07-25 23:19 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.11%EV -9.85%E -7.24%K -27.37%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.76%EV -15.99%E -2.67%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.13%EV -13.26%E -3.01%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-07-25 23:20 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.11%EV -9.85%E -7.24%K -27.37%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.76%EV -15.99%E -2.67%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.13%EV -13.26%E -3.01%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-07-25 23:19 |
| Sky Bet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.90%EV -9.85%E -7.24%K -27.37%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.71%EV -15.99%E -2.67%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.39%EV -14.64%E -3.38%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-07-25 23:40 |
| BoyleSports | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.90%EV -9.85%E -7.24%K -27.37%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.71%EV -15.99%E -2.67%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.39%EV -14.64%E -3.38%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-07-25 23:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 65.91%EV -11.84%E -8.90%K -35.88%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.61%EV -15.99%E -2.67%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.48%EV -11.29%E -2.51%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-07-25 23:45 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 65.07%EV -10.52%E -7.79%K -30.04%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 15.41%EV -20.19%E -3.54%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.52%EV -11.29%E -2.51%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-07-25 23:44 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.49% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.41% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.10% | 0.7% | 2026-07-25 23:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.23% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.37% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.40% | 1.1% | 2026-07-25 23:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.23% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.37% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.40% | 1.1% | 2026-07-25 23:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.23% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.37% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.40% | 1.1% | 2026-07-25 23:40 |
| Kalshi | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.60% | 7.69I 13.00%NM 12.76% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.65% | 1.9% | 2026-07-25 21:20 |
| Smarkets | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.91% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.54% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.56% | 2.3% | 2026-07-25 23:50 |