La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Universidad Católica (CHI) v La Serena
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Universidad Católica (CHI) (Local)
Predicción 66.28%1.51momio equitativo
EV -3.22%
Ventaja -2.21%
Kelly -7.01%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.46
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
63.34%66.20%66.22%68.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.321.401.401.4675.76%71.45%71.43%68.49%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
La Serena (Visitante)
Predicción 14.00%7.14momio equitativo
EV +2.21%
Ventaja +0.303%
Kelly +0.351%
Crecimiento +0.008%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
12.87%14.02%14.26%15.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.706.396.257.3017.54%15.65%16.00%13.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 19.71%5.07momio equitativo
EV -1.43%
Ventaja -0.286%
Kelly -0.358%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.72%19.78%19.52%21.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.204.554.505.0023.81%21.98%22.22%20.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.65%EV -4.55%E -3.16%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 7.30I 13.70%NM 13.15%EV +2.21%E +0.303%K +0.351%G +0.008% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.20%EV -6.36%E -1.34%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-25 14:25 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.63%EV -9.19%E -6.71%K -24.84%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 12.87%EV +0.810%E +0.113%K +0.131%G +0.001% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.51%EV -6.36%E -1.34%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-25 23:49 |
| Pinnacle | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.44%EV -5.88%E -4.14%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 7.16I 13.97%NM 13.37%EV +0.250%E +0.035%K +0.041%G +0.000% | 4.99I 20.04%NM 19.19%EV -1.63%E -0.326%K -0.408%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-25 23:50 |
| DraftKings | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.15%EV -6.54%E -4.64%K -15.95%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.53%EV -1.99%E -0.284%K -0.332%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.32%EV -3.40%E -0.694%K -0.872%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-25 23:39 |
| betano_uk | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.90%EV -7.20%E -5.14%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -1.99%E -0.284%K -0.332%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -6.36%E -1.34%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-25 23:40 |
| Bet Victor | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.90%EV -7.20%E -5.14%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -1.99%E -0.284%K -0.332%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -6.36%E -1.34%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-25 23:39 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.33%EV -12.50%E -9.47%K -39.08%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.88%EV -1.99%E -0.284%K -0.332%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.79%EV -5.37%E -1.12%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-07-25 23:49 |
| NordicBet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.42%EV -5.21%E -3.65%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.56%EV -3.39%E -0.491%K -0.575%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.02%EV -12.27%E -2.76%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-25 23:55 |
| Betsson | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.42%EV -5.21%E -3.65%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.56%EV -3.39%E -0.491%K -0.575%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.02%EV -12.27%E -2.76%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-25 23:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.78%EV -7.20%E -5.14%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.75%EV -4.79%E -0.704%K -0.826%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.48%EV -5.37%E -1.12%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-25 22:30 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.78%EV -7.20%E -5.14%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.75%EV -4.79%E -0.704%K -0.826%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.48%EV -5.37%E -1.12%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-25 22:30 |
| BetAnything | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.78%EV -7.20%E -5.14%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.75%EV -4.79%E -0.704%K -0.826%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.48%EV -5.37%E -1.12%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-25 22:29 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.20%E -5.14%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV -5.49%E -0.813%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -11.29%E -2.51%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-25 23:39 |
| GTbets | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.42%EV -3.22%E -2.21%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 6.74I 14.84%NM 14.17%EV -5.63%E -0.835%K -0.981%G +0.000% | 4.68I 21.37%NM 20.41%EV -7.74%E -1.65%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-25 09:30 |
| 1xBet | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.85%EV -3.22%E -2.21%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.41%EV -6.61%E -0.991%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.87I 20.53%NM 19.74%EV -3.99%E -0.820%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-25 23:49 |
| BetMGM | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.74%EV -5.21%E -3.65%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.46%EV -8.99%E -1.38%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.79%EV -6.36%E -1.34%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-25 16:00 |
| Betway | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -7.20%E -5.14%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -8.99%E -1.38%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -1.43%E -0.286%K -0.358%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-25 18:55 |
| FanDuel | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.35%EV -7.20%E -5.14%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.29%EV -8.99%E -1.38%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.35%EV -5.37%E -1.12%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-25 23:39 |
| Fanatics | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -7.20%E -5.14%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -8.99%E -1.38%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -6.36%E -1.34%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-25 20:55 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -7.20%E -5.14%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -8.99%E -1.38%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -6.36%E -1.34%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-25 23:33 |
| SportsBet | 1.39I 71.94%NM 66.24%EV -7.86%E -5.66%K -20.16%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -8.99%E -1.38%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.59%EV -7.34%E -1.56%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-25 23:40 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.53%EV -8.53%E -6.18%K -22.44%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -8.99%E -1.38%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.55%EV -13.26%E -3.01%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-25 23:40 |
| Paddy Power | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.16%EV -9.85%E -7.24%K -27.37%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -8.99%E -1.38%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -11.29%E -2.51%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-25 23:40 |
| betfred_uk | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.65%EV -9.85%E -7.24%K -27.37%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.74%EV -8.99%E -1.38%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.62%EV -14.64%E -3.38%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-07-25 08:35 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.66%EV -7.20%E -5.14%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.36%EV -10.39%E -1.62%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.98%EV -9.32%E -2.03%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-25 23:45 |
| PlayUp | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.69%EV -7.20%E -5.14%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.49%EV -12.49%E -2.00%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.82%EV -14.24%E -3.27%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-07-25 23:55 |
| Everygame | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.29%EV -9.85%E -7.24%K -27.37%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.21%EV -12.49%E -2.00%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.51%EV -14.64%E -3.38%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-07-25 09:00 |
| Unibet | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.34%EV -3.22%E -2.21%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.16%EV -14.59%E -2.39%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.50%EV -15.23%E -3.54%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-25 23:29 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.50%EV -3.89%E -2.68%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.09%EV -14.59%E -2.39%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.41%EV -15.23%E -3.54%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-25 23:29 |
| TABtouch | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.50%EV -3.89%E -2.68%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.09%EV -14.59%E -2.39%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.41%EV -15.23%E -3.54%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-25 23:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.50%EV -3.89%E -2.68%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.09%EV -14.59%E -2.39%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.41%EV -15.23%E -3.54%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-25 23:30 |
| Grosvenor | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.50%EV -3.89%E -2.68%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.09%EV -14.59%E -2.39%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.41%EV -15.23%E -3.54%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-25 23:29 |
| LeoVegas | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.85%EV -9.85%E -7.24%K -27.37%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.68%EV -14.59%E -2.39%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.47%EV -9.32%E -2.03%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-07-25 23:55 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 65.44%EV -10.52%E -7.79%K -30.04%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.48%EV -14.59%E -2.39%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.08%EV -13.26%E -3.01%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-07-25 23:44 |
| Bovada | 1.41I 70.92%NM 64.87%EV -6.54%E -4.64%K -15.95%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.24%EV -15.99%E -2.67%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.88%EV -9.32%E -2.03%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-25 23:50 |
| BetUS | 1.41I 70.92%NM 64.87%EV -6.54%E -4.64%K -15.95%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.24%EV -15.99%E -2.67%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.88%EV -9.32%E -2.03%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-25 23:55 |
| BetRivers | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.50%EV -4.55%E -3.16%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.24%EV -15.99%E -2.67%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.26%EV -15.23%E -3.54%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-25 23:29 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.39I 71.94%NM 65.74%EV -7.86%E -5.66%K -20.16%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.23%EV -15.99%E -2.67%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.04%EV -5.37%E -1.12%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-25 23:45 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.34%EV -4.55%E -3.16%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.20%EV -15.99%E -2.67%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.46%EV -16.22%E -3.82%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-25 23:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.45%EV -7.20%E -5.14%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.04%EV -15.99%E -2.67%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -13.26%E -3.01%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-25 23:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.45%EV -7.20%E -5.14%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.04%EV -15.99%E -2.67%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -13.26%E -3.01%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-25 23:49 |
| Neds | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.45%EV -7.20%E -5.14%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.04%EV -15.99%E -2.67%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -13.26%E -3.01%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-25 23:49 |
| Coral | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.45%EV -7.20%E -5.14%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.04%EV -15.99%E -2.67%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -13.26%E -3.01%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-25 23:49 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 63.50%EV -5.88%E -4.14%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.03%EV -15.99%E -2.67%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.47%EV -17.20%E -4.10%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-07-25 23:29 |
| 888sport | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.11%EV -9.85%E -7.24%K -27.37%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.76%EV -15.99%E -2.67%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.13%EV -13.26%E -3.01%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-07-25 23:19 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.11%EV -9.85%E -7.24%K -27.37%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.76%EV -15.99%E -2.67%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.13%EV -13.26%E -3.01%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-07-25 23:20 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.11%EV -9.85%E -7.24%K -27.37%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.76%EV -15.99%E -2.67%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.13%EV -13.26%E -3.01%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-07-25 23:19 |
| Sky Bet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.90%EV -9.85%E -7.24%K -27.37%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.71%EV -15.99%E -2.67%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.39%EV -14.64%E -3.38%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-07-25 23:40 |
| BoyleSports | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.90%EV -9.85%E -7.24%K -27.37%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.71%EV -15.99%E -2.67%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.39%EV -14.64%E -3.38%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-07-25 23:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 65.91%EV -11.84%E -8.90%K -35.88%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.61%EV -15.99%E -2.67%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.48%EV -11.29%E -2.51%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-07-25 23:45 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 65.07%EV -10.52%E -7.79%K -30.04%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 15.41%EV -20.19%E -3.54%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.52%EV -11.29%E -2.51%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-07-25 23:44 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.49% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.41% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.10% | 0.7% | 2026-07-25 23:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.23% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.37% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.40% | 1.1% | 2026-07-25 23:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.23% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.37% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.40% | 1.1% | 2026-07-25 23:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.23% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.37% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.40% | 1.1% | 2026-07-25 23:40 |
| Kalshi | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.60% | 7.69I 13.00%NM 12.76% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.65% | 1.9% | 2026-07-25 21:20 |
| Smarkets | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.91% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.54% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.56% | 2.3% | 2026-07-25 23:50 |