L’École des cotes

Universidad Católica (CHI) v La Serena

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-26 00:01 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Universidad Católica (CHI) (Local)

Prévision 66.28%1.51cote équitable
EV -3.22%
Avantage -2.21%
Kelly -7.01%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.46

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
63.34%66.20%66.22%68.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.321.401.401.4675.76%71.45%71.43%68.49%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

La Serena (Visiteur)

Prévision 14.00%7.14cote équitable
EV +2.21%
Avantage +0.303%
Kelly +0.351%
Croissance +0.008%

avec la cote maximale 7.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
12.87%14.02%14.26%15.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.706.396.257.3017.54%15.65%16.00%13.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 19.71%5.07cote équitable
EV -1.43%
Avantage -0.286%
Kelly -0.358%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 5.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.72%19.78%19.52%21.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.204.554.505.0023.81%21.98%22.22%20.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.65%EV -4.55%E -3.16%K -10.34%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 13.15%EV +2.21%E +0.303%K +0.351%G +0.008%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.20%EV -6.36%E -1.34%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-25 14:25
Marathon Bet1.37I 72.99%NM 67.63%EV -9.19%E -6.71%K -24.84%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.87%EV +0.810%E +0.113%K +0.131%G +0.001%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.51%EV -6.36%E -1.34%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-25 23:49
Pinnacle1.42I 70.42%NM 67.44%EV -5.88%E -4.14%K -13.99%G +0.000%7.16I 13.97%NM 13.37%EV +0.250%E +0.035%K +0.041%G +0.000%4.99I 20.04%NM 19.19%EV -1.63%E -0.326%K -0.408%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-25 23:50
DraftKings1.41I 70.92%NM 67.15%EV -6.54%E -4.64%K -15.95%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.53%EV -1.99%E -0.284%K -0.332%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.32%EV -3.40%E -0.694%K -0.872%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-25 23:39
betano_uk1.40I 71.43%NM 66.90%EV -7.20%E -5.14%K -18.00%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -1.99%E -0.284%K -0.332%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -6.36%E -1.34%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-25 23:40
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 66.90%EV -7.20%E -5.14%K -18.00%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -1.99%E -0.284%K -0.332%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -6.36%E -1.34%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-25 23:39
Tipico (DE)1.32I 75.76%NM 68.33%EV -12.50%E -9.47%K -39.08%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.88%EV -1.99%E -0.284%K -0.332%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.79%EV -5.37%E -1.12%K -1.41%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-25 23:49
NordicBet1.43I 69.93%NM 65.42%EV -5.21%E -3.65%K -12.12%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.56%EV -3.39%E -0.491%K -0.575%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.02%EV -12.27%E -2.76%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-25 23:55
Betsson1.43I 69.93%NM 65.42%EV -5.21%E -3.65%K -12.12%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.56%EV -3.39%E -0.491%K -0.575%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.02%EV -12.27%E -2.76%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-25 23:55
LowVig.ag1.40I 71.43%NM 66.78%EV -7.20%E -5.14%K -18.00%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.75%EV -4.79%E -0.704%K -0.826%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.48%EV -5.37%E -1.12%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-25 22:30
BetOnline.ag1.40I 71.43%NM 66.78%EV -7.20%E -5.14%K -18.00%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.75%EV -4.79%E -0.704%K -0.826%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.48%EV -5.37%E -1.12%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-25 22:30
BetAnything1.40I 71.43%NM 66.78%EV -7.20%E -5.14%K -18.00%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.75%EV -4.79%E -0.704%K -0.826%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.48%EV -5.37%E -1.12%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-25 22:29
PointsBet (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.20%E -5.14%K -18.00%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV -5.49%E -0.813%K -0.955%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -11.29%E -2.51%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-25 23:39
GTbets1.46I 68.49%NM 65.42%EV -3.22%E -2.21%K -7.01%G +0.000%6.74I 14.84%NM 14.17%EV -5.63%E -0.835%K -0.981%G +0.000%4.68I 21.37%NM 20.41%EV -7.74%E -1.65%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-25 09:30
1xBet1.46I 68.49%NM 65.85%EV -3.22%E -2.21%K -7.01%G +0.000%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.41%EV -6.61%E -0.991%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.87I 20.53%NM 19.74%EV -3.99%E -0.820%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-25 23:49
BetMGM1.43I 69.93%NM 65.74%EV -5.21%E -3.65%K -12.12%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.46%EV -8.99%E -1.38%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.79%EV -6.36%E -1.34%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-25 16:00
Betway1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -7.20%E -5.14%K -18.00%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -8.99%E -1.38%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -1.43%E -0.286%K -0.358%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-25 18:55
FanDuel1.40I 71.43%NM 66.35%EV -7.20%E -5.14%K -18.00%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.29%EV -8.99%E -1.38%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.35%EV -5.37%E -1.12%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-25 23:39
Fanatics1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -7.20%E -5.14%K -18.00%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -8.99%E -1.38%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -6.36%E -1.34%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-25 20:55
Unibet (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -7.20%E -5.14%K -18.00%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -8.99%E -1.38%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -6.36%E -1.34%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-25 23:33
SportsBet1.39I 71.94%NM 66.24%EV -7.86%E -5.66%K -20.16%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -8.99%E -1.38%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.59%EV -7.34%E -1.56%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-25 23:40
Betr (AU)1.38I 72.46%NM 65.53%EV -8.53%E -6.18%K -22.44%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -8.99%E -1.38%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.55%EV -13.26%E -3.01%K -3.90%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-25 23:40
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 66.16%EV -9.85%E -7.24%K -27.37%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -8.99%E -1.38%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -11.29%E -2.51%K -3.22%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-25 23:40
betfred_uk1.36I 73.53%NM 65.65%EV -9.85%E -7.24%K -27.37%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.74%EV -8.99%E -1.38%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.62%EV -14.64%E -3.38%K -4.40%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-25 08:35
Codere (IT)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.66%EV -7.20%E -5.14%K -18.00%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.36%EV -10.39%E -1.62%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.98%EV -9.32%E -2.03%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-25 23:45
PlayUp1.40I 71.43%NM 64.69%EV -7.20%E -5.14%K -18.00%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.49%EV -12.49%E -2.00%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.82%EV -14.24%E -3.27%K -4.25%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-25 23:55
Everygame1.36I 73.53%NM 65.29%EV -9.85%E -7.24%K -27.37%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.21%EV -12.49%E -2.00%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.51%EV -14.64%E -3.38%K -4.40%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-25 09:00
Unibet1.46I 68.49%NM 63.34%EV -3.22%E -2.21%K -7.01%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.16%EV -14.59%E -2.39%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.50%EV -15.23%E -3.54%K -4.62%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-25 23:29
Unibet (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.50%EV -3.89%E -2.68%K -8.64%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.09%EV -14.59%E -2.39%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.41%EV -15.23%E -3.54%K -4.62%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-25 23:29
TABtouch1.45I 68.97%NM 63.50%EV -3.89%E -2.68%K -8.64%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.09%EV -14.59%E -2.39%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.41%EV -15.23%E -3.54%K -4.62%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-25 23:29
LeoVegas (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.50%EV -3.89%E -2.68%K -8.64%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.09%EV -14.59%E -2.39%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.41%EV -15.23%E -3.54%K -4.62%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-25 23:30
Grosvenor1.45I 68.97%NM 63.50%EV -3.89%E -2.68%K -8.64%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.09%EV -14.59%E -2.39%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.41%EV -15.23%E -3.54%K -4.62%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-25 23:29
LeoVegas1.36I 73.53%NM 65.85%EV -9.85%E -7.24%K -27.37%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.68%EV -14.59%E -2.39%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.47%EV -9.32%E -2.03%K -2.59%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-25 23:55
Unibet (FR)1.35I 74.07%NM 65.44%EV -10.52%E -7.79%K -30.04%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.48%EV -14.59%E -2.39%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.08%EV -13.26%E -3.01%K -3.90%G +0.000%13.2%2026-07-25 23:44
Bovada1.41I 70.92%NM 64.87%EV -6.54%E -4.64%K -15.95%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.24%EV -15.99%E -2.67%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.88%EV -9.32%E -2.03%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-25 23:50
BetUS1.41I 70.92%NM 64.87%EV -6.54%E -4.64%K -15.95%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.24%EV -15.99%E -2.67%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.88%EV -9.32%E -2.03%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-25 23:55
BetRivers1.44I 69.44%NM 63.50%EV -4.55%E -3.16%K -10.34%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.24%EV -15.99%E -2.67%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.26%EV -15.23%E -3.54%K -4.62%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-25 23:29
Winamax (DE)1.39I 71.94%NM 65.74%EV -7.86%E -5.66%K -20.16%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.23%EV -15.99%E -2.67%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.04%EV -5.37%E -1.12%K -1.41%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-25 23:45
LiveScore Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 63.34%EV -4.55%E -3.16%K -10.34%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.20%EV -15.99%E -2.67%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.46%EV -16.22%E -3.82%K -4.99%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-25 23:29
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 64.45%EV -7.20%E -5.14%K -18.00%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.04%EV -15.99%E -2.67%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -13.26%E -3.01%K -3.90%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-25 23:54
Ladbrokes (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 64.45%EV -7.20%E -5.14%K -18.00%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.04%EV -15.99%E -2.67%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -13.26%E -3.01%K -3.90%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-25 23:49
Neds1.40I 71.43%NM 64.45%EV -7.20%E -5.14%K -18.00%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.04%EV -15.99%E -2.67%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -13.26%E -3.01%K -3.90%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-25 23:49
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 64.45%EV -7.20%E -5.14%K -18.00%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.04%EV -15.99%E -2.67%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -13.26%E -3.01%K -3.90%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-25 23:49
Virgin Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 63.50%EV -5.88%E -4.14%K -13.99%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.03%EV -15.99%E -2.67%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.47%EV -17.20%E -4.10%K -5.38%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-25 23:29
888sport1.36I 73.53%NM 65.11%EV -9.85%E -7.24%K -27.37%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.76%EV -15.99%E -2.67%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.13%EV -13.26%E -3.01%K -3.90%G +0.000%12.9%2026-07-25 23:19
Mr Green (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 65.11%EV -9.85%E -7.24%K -27.37%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.76%EV -15.99%E -2.67%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.13%EV -13.26%E -3.01%K -3.90%G +0.000%12.9%2026-07-25 23:20
888sport (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 65.11%EV -9.85%E -7.24%K -27.37%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.76%EV -15.99%E -2.67%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.13%EV -13.26%E -3.01%K -3.90%G +0.000%12.9%2026-07-25 23:19
Sky Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 64.90%EV -9.85%E -7.24%K -27.37%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.71%EV -15.99%E -2.67%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.39%EV -14.64%E -3.38%K -4.40%G +0.000%13.3%2026-07-25 23:40
BoyleSports1.36I 73.53%NM 64.90%EV -9.85%E -7.24%K -27.37%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.71%EV -15.99%E -2.67%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.39%EV -14.64%E -3.38%K -4.40%G +0.000%13.3%2026-07-25 23:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 65.91%EV -11.84%E -8.90%K -35.88%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.61%EV -15.99%E -2.67%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.48%EV -11.29%E -2.51%K -3.22%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-25 23:45
Winamax (FR)1.35I 74.07%NM 65.07%EV -10.52%E -7.79%K -30.04%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.41%EV -20.19%E -3.54%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.52%EV -11.29%E -2.51%K -3.22%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-25 23:44
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.45I 68.97%NM 68.49%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.41%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.10%0.7%2026-07-25 23:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 68.23%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.37%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.40%1.1%2026-07-25 23:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.45I 68.97%NM 68.23%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.37%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.40%1.1%2026-07-25 23:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.45I 68.97%NM 68.23%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.37%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.40%1.1%2026-07-25 23:40
Kalshi1.43I 69.93%NM 68.60%7.69I 13.00%NM 12.76%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.65%1.9%2026-07-25 21:20
Smarkets1.44I 69.44%NM 67.91%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.54%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.56%2.3%2026-07-25 23:50