Language:English
Union La Calera v O'Higgins
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Union La Calera (Local)
Prediction 32.20%3.11fair odd
EV -2.44%
Edge -0.804%
Kelly -1.20%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.03
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.13%32.35%31.96%35.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.782.803.0340.00%35.94%35.71%33.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
O'Higgins (Visit)
Prediction 38.23%2.62fair odd
EV +3.60%
Edge +1.33%
Kelly +2.11%
Growth +0.076%
assuming max odds 2.71
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.62%38.03%38.43%39.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.432.402.7145.45%41.14%41.67%36.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 29.57%3.38fair odd
EV -2.12%
Edge -0.640%
Kelly -0.917%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.31
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.60%29.62%29.61%31.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.703.093.103.3137.04%32.35%32.26%30.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Union La Calera (Local): 32.20%; O'Higgins (Visit): 38.23%; Draw: 29.57%. For O'Higgins (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.62. 8 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.71, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.60%.
Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.69I 37.17%NM 35.65%EV -13.38%E -4.98%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 35.38%EV +3.60%E +1.33%K +2.11%G +0.076% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 28.97%EV -2.12%E -0.640%K -0.917%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-16 20:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.03%EV -15.31%E -5.82%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.76%EV +1.31%E +0.493%K +0.792%G +0.010% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -9.81%E -3.22%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-16 20:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.03%EV -15.31%E -5.82%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.76%EV +1.31%E +0.493%K +0.792%G +0.010% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -9.81%E -3.22%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-16 20:24 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.03%EV -15.31%E -5.82%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.76%EV +1.31%E +0.493%K +0.792%G +0.010% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -9.81%E -3.22%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-16 20:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.03%EV -15.31%E -5.82%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.76%EV +1.31%E +0.493%K +0.792%G +0.010% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -9.81%E -3.22%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-16 20:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.03%EV -15.31%E -5.82%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.76%EV +1.31%E +0.493%K +0.792%G +0.010% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -9.81%E -3.22%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-16 20:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.03%EV -15.31%E -5.82%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.76%EV +1.31%E +0.493%K +0.792%G +0.010% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -9.81%E -3.22%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-16 20:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.02%EV -16.28%E -6.26%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.62%EV +0.542%E +0.206%K +0.333%G +0.002% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -11.29%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-16 20:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.33%EV -17.89%E -7.02%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.65%EV -0.605%E -0.233%K -0.378%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.03%EV -11.29%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-03-13 09:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.18%EV -11.13%E -4.03%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 36.43%EV -0.987%E -0.381%K -0.621%G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 29.39%EV -5.08%E -1.58%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-16 20:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.86%EV -6.62%E -2.28%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.37%EV -2.52%E -0.987%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.78%EV -5.37%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-16 20:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -9.84%E -3.51%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -4.43%E -1.77%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -5.37%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-16 20:54 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -11.45%E -4.16%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -4.43%E -1.77%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -5.37%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-16 20:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.81%EV -2.44%E -0.804%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.71%EV -4.81%E -1.93%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 29.48%EV -3.30%E -1.01%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-16 20:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -9.84%E -3.51%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.87%EV -6.34%E -2.59%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -5.37%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-16 20:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.44%EV -8.23%E -2.89%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -6.34%E -2.59%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -8.33%E -2.69%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-16 20:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.98%EV -9.84%E -3.51%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.70%EV -6.34%E -2.59%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.32%EV -6.85%E -2.17%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-16 20:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.48%EV -13.06%E -4.84%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.89%EV -6.34%E -2.59%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.63%EV -9.81%E -3.22%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-16 20:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.61%EV -8.23%E -2.89%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.77%EV -6.34%E -2.59%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.61%EV -15.72%E -5.52%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-03-16 20:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.69%EV -3.40%E -1.13%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.96%EV -6.72%E -2.75%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.34%EV -4.19%E -1.29%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-16 20:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.69%EV -3.40%E -1.13%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.96%EV -6.72%E -2.75%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.34%EV -4.19%E -1.29%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-16 20:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -9.84%E -3.51%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 37.61%EV -6.72%E -2.75%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -8.33%E -2.69%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-16 20:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -3.40%E -1.13%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -8.25%E -3.44%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -5.37%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-16 20:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.51%EV -5.33%E -1.81%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.60%EV -8.25%E -3.44%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.89%EV -8.33%E -2.69%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-16 20:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -6.62%E -2.28%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -8.25%E -3.44%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -8.33%E -2.69%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-16 20:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -8.23%E -2.89%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -8.25%E -3.44%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.59%EV -8.33%E -2.69%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-16 20:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -9.84%E -3.51%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.18%EV -8.25%E -3.44%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -6.85%E -2.17%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-16 20:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -11.45%E -4.16%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -8.25%E -3.44%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -5.37%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-16 20:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.13%EV -11.45%E -4.16%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.96%EV -8.25%E -3.44%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.92%EV -6.85%E -2.17%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-16 20:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.38%EV -13.06%E -4.84%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.55%EV -8.25%E -3.44%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.07%EV -8.33%E -2.69%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-03-16 20:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.41%EV -4.05%E -1.36%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.33%EV -9.02%E -3.79%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -5.37%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-16 20:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.41%EV -4.05%E -1.36%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.33%EV -9.02%E -3.79%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -5.37%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-16 20:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.63%EV -5.01%E -1.70%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.21%EV -9.02%E -3.79%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -5.37%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-16 20:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -6.62%E -2.28%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -9.02%E -3.79%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -11.29%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-16 20:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -13.06%E -4.84%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.75%EV -9.02%E -3.79%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -8.33%E -2.69%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-16 20:45 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.93%EV -8.23%E -2.89%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.72%EV -10.16%E -4.32%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.35%EV -8.33%E -2.69%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-16 20:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.09%EV -15.64%E -5.97%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 37.53%EV -11.69%E -5.06%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.39%EV -12.76%E -4.33%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-03-16 20:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -6.62%E -2.28%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -12.07%E -5.25%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -8.33%E -2.69%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-16 20:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -9.84%E -3.51%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -12.07%E -5.25%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -8.33%E -2.69%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-16 20:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -9.84%E -3.51%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -12.07%E -5.25%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -8.33%E -2.69%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-16 20:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -9.84%E -3.51%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -12.07%E -5.25%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -8.33%E -2.69%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-16 20:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -9.84%E -3.51%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -12.07%E -5.25%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -8.33%E -2.69%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-16 20:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -7.27%E -2.52%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -12.07%E -5.25%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -11.29%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-16 20:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -9.84%E -3.51%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -12.07%E -5.25%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -11.29%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-03-16 20:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -9.84%E -3.51%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -12.07%E -5.25%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -11.29%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-03-16 20:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.13%EV -11.45%E -4.16%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.42%EV -12.07%E -5.25%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -11.29%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-03-16 20:44 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.10%EV -14.67%E -5.54%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.14%EV -12.07%E -5.25%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.76%EV -9.81%E -3.22%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-03-16 20:55 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.37%EV -13.06%E -4.84%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.00%EV -12.07%E -5.25%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.63%EV -12.76%E -4.33%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-03-16 20:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 31.82%EV -15.31%E -5.82%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 37.19%EV -13.98%E -6.22%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 30.99%EV -20.16%E -7.47%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 19.5% | 2026-03-16 20:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 33.35%EV -19.50%E -7.80%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 37.90%EV -15.90%E -7.23%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 28.75%EV -14.24%E -4.91%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 19.9% | 2026-03-16 20:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.73% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.02% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.25% | 1.7% | 2026-03-16 20:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.73% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.02% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.25% | 1.7% | 2026-03-16 20:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.40% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.18% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.42% | 2.1% | 2026-03-16 20:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.06% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.11% | 2.2% | 2026-03-16 20:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.01% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.40% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.58% | 4.0% | 2026-03-16 20:55 |