L’École des cotes

Union La Calera v O'Higgins

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-16 21:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

50 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Union La Calera (Local)

Prévision 32.20%3.11cote équitable
EV -2.44%
Avantage -0.804%
Kelly -1.20%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.03

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.13%32.35%31.96%35.65%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.502.782.803.0340.00%35.94%35.71%33.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

O'Higgins (Visiteur)

Prévision 38.23%2.62cote équitable
EV +3.60%
Avantage +1.33%
Kelly +2.11%
Croissance +0.076%

avec la cote maximale 2.71

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.62%38.03%38.43%39.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.202.432.402.7145.45%41.14%41.67%36.90%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 29.57%3.38cote équitable
EV -2.12%
Avantage -0.640%
Kelly -0.917%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.31

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.60%29.62%29.61%31.61%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.703.093.103.3137.04%32.35%32.26%30.21%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet2.69I 37.17%NM 35.65%EV -13.38%E -4.98%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.38%EV +3.60%E +1.33%K +2.11%G +0.076%3.31I 30.21%NM 28.97%EV -2.12%E -0.640%K -0.917%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-16 20:55
Unibet (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 35.03%EV -15.31%E -5.82%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.76%EV +1.31%E +0.493%K +0.792%G +0.010%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -9.81%E -3.22%K -4.78%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-16 20:25
LeoVegas (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 35.03%EV -15.31%E -5.82%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.76%EV +1.31%E +0.493%K +0.792%G +0.010%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -9.81%E -3.22%K -4.78%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-16 20:24
BetRivers2.63I 38.02%NM 35.03%EV -15.31%E -5.82%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.76%EV +1.31%E +0.493%K +0.792%G +0.010%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -9.81%E -3.22%K -4.78%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-16 20:25
Grosvenor2.63I 38.02%NM 35.03%EV -15.31%E -5.82%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.76%EV +1.31%E +0.493%K +0.792%G +0.010%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -9.81%E -3.22%K -4.78%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-16 20:25
TABtouch2.63I 38.02%NM 35.03%EV -15.31%E -5.82%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.76%EV +1.31%E +0.493%K +0.792%G +0.010%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -9.81%E -3.22%K -4.78%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-16 20:25
Unibet2.63I 38.02%NM 35.03%EV -15.31%E -5.82%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.76%EV +1.31%E +0.493%K +0.792%G +0.010%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -9.81%E -3.22%K -4.78%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-16 20:25
LiveScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.02%EV -16.28%E -6.26%K -10.18%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.62%EV +0.542%E +0.206%K +0.333%G +0.002%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -11.29%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-16 20:25
Virgin Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.33%EV -17.89%E -7.02%K -11.54%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.65%EV -0.605%E -0.233%K -0.378%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.03%EV -11.29%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-13 09:50
GTbets2.76I 36.23%NM 34.18%EV -11.13%E -4.03%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.43%EV -0.987%E -0.381%K -0.621%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.39%EV -5.08%E -1.58%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-16 20:50
Coolbet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.86%EV -6.62%E -2.28%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.37%EV -2.52%E -0.987%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.78%EV -5.37%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-16 20:55
Bet Victor2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -9.84%E -3.51%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -4.43%E -1.77%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -5.37%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-16 20:54
PointsBet (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -11.45%E -4.16%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -4.43%E -1.77%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -5.37%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-16 20:45
Pinnacle3.03I 33.00%NM 31.81%EV -2.44%E -0.804%K -1.20%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.71%EV -4.81%E -1.93%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.48%EV -3.30%E -1.01%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-16 20:50
FanDuel2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -9.84%E -3.51%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.87%EV -6.34%E -2.59%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -5.37%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-16 20:45
Unibet (UK)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.44%EV -8.23%E -2.89%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -6.34%E -2.59%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -8.33%E -2.69%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-16 20:55
BetUS2.80I 35.71%NM 32.98%EV -9.84%E -3.51%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.70%EV -6.34%E -2.59%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.32%EV -6.85%E -2.17%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-16 20:50
Betr (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.48%EV -13.06%E -4.84%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.89%EV -6.34%E -2.59%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.63%EV -9.81%E -3.22%K -4.78%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-16 20:45
Tipico (DE)2.85I 35.09%NM 31.61%EV -8.23%E -2.89%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.77%EV -6.34%E -2.59%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.61%EV -15.72%E -5.52%K -8.50%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-16 20:55
BetOnline.ag3.00I 33.33%NM 31.69%EV -3.40%E -1.13%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.96%EV -6.72%E -2.75%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.34%EV -4.19%E -1.29%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-16 20:54
LowVig.ag3.00I 33.33%NM 31.69%EV -3.40%E -1.13%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.96%EV -6.72%E -2.75%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.34%EV -4.19%E -1.29%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-16 20:55
Codere (IT)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -9.84%E -3.51%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 37.61%EV -6.72%E -2.75%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -8.33%E -2.69%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-16 20:55
DraftKings3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -3.40%E -1.13%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -8.25%E -3.44%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -5.37%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-16 20:55
Marathon Bet2.94I 34.01%NM 31.51%EV -5.33%E -1.81%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.60%EV -8.25%E -3.44%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.89%EV -8.33%E -2.69%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-16 20:55
Fanatics2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -6.62%E -2.28%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -8.25%E -3.44%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -8.33%E -2.69%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-16 20:55
BetAnything2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -8.23%E -2.89%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -8.25%E -3.44%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.59%EV -8.33%E -2.69%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-16 20:54
Bovada2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -9.84%E -3.51%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.18%EV -8.25%E -3.44%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -6.85%E -2.17%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-16 20:54
SportsBet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -11.45%E -4.16%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -8.25%E -3.44%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -5.37%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-16 20:45
Winamax (DE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.13%EV -11.45%E -4.16%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.96%EV -8.25%E -3.44%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.92%EV -6.85%E -2.17%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-16 20:55
Paddy Power2.70I 37.04%NM 33.38%EV -13.06%E -4.84%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.55%EV -8.25%E -3.44%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.07%EV -8.33%E -2.69%K -3.97%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-16 20:45
Betsson2.98I 33.56%NM 31.41%EV -4.05%E -1.36%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.33%EV -9.02%E -3.79%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -5.37%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-16 20:54
NordicBet2.98I 33.56%NM 31.41%EV -4.05%E -1.36%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.33%EV -9.02%E -3.79%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -5.37%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-16 20:55
BetMGM2.95I 33.90%NM 31.63%EV -5.01%E -1.70%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.21%EV -9.02%E -3.79%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -5.37%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-16 20:54
Betway2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -6.62%E -2.28%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -9.02%E -3.79%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -11.29%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-16 20:50
Sky Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -13.06%E -4.84%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.75%EV -9.02%E -3.79%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -8.33%E -2.69%K -3.97%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-16 20:45
Everygame2.85I 35.09%NM 31.93%EV -8.23%E -2.89%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.72%EV -10.16%E -4.32%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.35%EV -8.33%E -2.69%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-16 20:45
Unibet (FR)2.62I 38.17%NM 33.09%EV -15.64%E -5.97%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 37.53%EV -11.69%E -5.06%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.39%EV -12.76%E -4.33%K -6.55%G +0.000%15.4%2026-03-16 20:50
PlayUp2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -6.62%E -2.28%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -12.07%E -5.25%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -8.33%E -2.69%K -3.97%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-16 20:55
Ladbrokes (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -9.84%E -3.51%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -12.07%E -5.25%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -8.33%E -2.69%K -3.97%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-16 20:55
Ladbrokes (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -9.84%E -3.51%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -12.07%E -5.25%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -8.33%E -2.69%K -3.97%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-16 20:55
Coral2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -9.84%E -3.51%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -12.07%E -5.25%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -8.33%E -2.69%K -3.97%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-16 20:55
Neds2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -9.84%E -3.51%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -12.07%E -5.25%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -8.33%E -2.69%K -3.97%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-16 20:55
888sport (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -7.27%E -2.52%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -12.07%E -5.25%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -11.29%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-16 20:55
888sport2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -9.84%E -3.51%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -12.07%E -5.25%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -11.29%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-16 20:55
Mr Green (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -9.84%E -3.51%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -12.07%E -5.25%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -11.29%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-16 20:55
BoyleSports2.75I 36.36%NM 32.13%EV -11.45%E -4.16%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.42%EV -12.07%E -5.25%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -11.29%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000%13.2%2026-03-16 20:44
Winamax (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 33.10%EV -14.67%E -5.54%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.14%EV -12.07%E -5.25%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.76%EV -9.81%E -3.22%K -4.78%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-16 20:55
Parions Sport (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 32.37%EV -13.06%E -4.84%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.00%EV -12.07%E -5.25%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.63%EV -12.76%E -4.33%K -6.55%G +0.000%14.4%2026-03-16 20:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.63I 38.02%NM 31.82%EV -15.31%E -5.82%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 37.19%EV -13.98%E -6.22%K -11.19%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 30.99%EV -20.16%E -7.47%K -11.86%G +0.000%19.5%2026-03-16 20:45
PMU (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 33.35%EV -19.50%E -7.80%K -13.00%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 37.90%EV -15.90%E -7.23%K -13.25%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 28.75%EV -14.24%E -4.91%K -7.50%G +0.000%19.9%2026-03-16 20:45
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.20I 31.25%NM 30.73%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.02%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.25%1.7%2026-03-16 20:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 30.73%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.02%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.25%1.7%2026-03-16 20:55
Kalshi3.12I 32.05%NM 31.40%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.18%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.42%2.1%2026-03-16 20:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.06%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.11%2.2%2026-03-16 20:55
Smarkets3.10I 32.26%NM 31.01%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.40%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.58%4.0%2026-03-16 20:55