La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Union La Calera v O'Higgins
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Union La Calera (Local)
Predicción 32.20%3.11momio equitativo
EV -2.44%
Ventaja -0.804%
Kelly -1.20%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.03
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.13%32.35%31.96%35.65%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.502.782.803.0340.00%35.94%35.71%33.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
O'Higgins (Visitante)
Predicción 38.23%2.62momio equitativo
EV +3.60%
Ventaja +1.33%
Kelly +2.11%
Crecimiento +0.076%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.71
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.62%38.03%38.43%39.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.202.432.402.7145.45%41.14%41.67%36.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 29.57%3.38momio equitativo
EV -2.12%
Ventaja -0.640%
Kelly -0.917%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.31
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.60%29.62%29.61%31.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.703.093.103.3137.04%32.35%32.26%30.21%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.69I 37.17%NM 35.65%EV -13.38%E -4.98%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 35.38%EV +3.60%E +1.33%K +2.11%G +0.076% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 28.97%EV -2.12%E -0.640%K -0.917%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-16 20:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.03%EV -15.31%E -5.82%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.76%EV +1.31%E +0.493%K +0.792%G +0.010% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -9.81%E -3.22%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-16 20:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.03%EV -15.31%E -5.82%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.76%EV +1.31%E +0.493%K +0.792%G +0.010% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -9.81%E -3.22%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-16 20:24 |
| BetRivers | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.03%EV -15.31%E -5.82%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.76%EV +1.31%E +0.493%K +0.792%G +0.010% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -9.81%E -3.22%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-16 20:25 |
| Grosvenor | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.03%EV -15.31%E -5.82%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.76%EV +1.31%E +0.493%K +0.792%G +0.010% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -9.81%E -3.22%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-16 20:25 |
| TABtouch | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.03%EV -15.31%E -5.82%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.76%EV +1.31%E +0.493%K +0.792%G +0.010% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -9.81%E -3.22%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-16 20:25 |
| Unibet | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.03%EV -15.31%E -5.82%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.76%EV +1.31%E +0.493%K +0.792%G +0.010% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -9.81%E -3.22%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-16 20:25 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.02%EV -16.28%E -6.26%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.62%EV +0.542%E +0.206%K +0.333%G +0.002% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -11.29%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-16 20:25 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.33%EV -17.89%E -7.02%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.65%EV -0.605%E -0.233%K -0.378%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.03%EV -11.29%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-03-13 09:50 |
| GTbets | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.18%EV -11.13%E -4.03%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 36.43%EV -0.987%E -0.381%K -0.621%G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 29.39%EV -5.08%E -1.58%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-16 20:50 |
| Coolbet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.86%EV -6.62%E -2.28%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.37%EV -2.52%E -0.987%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.78%EV -5.37%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-16 20:55 |
| Bet Victor | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -9.84%E -3.51%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -4.43%E -1.77%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -5.37%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-16 20:54 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -11.45%E -4.16%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -4.43%E -1.77%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -5.37%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-16 20:45 |
| Pinnacle | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.81%EV -2.44%E -0.804%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.71%EV -4.81%E -1.93%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 29.48%EV -3.30%E -1.01%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-16 20:50 |
| FanDuel | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -9.84%E -3.51%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.87%EV -6.34%E -2.59%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -5.37%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-16 20:45 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.44%EV -8.23%E -2.89%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -6.34%E -2.59%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -8.33%E -2.69%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-16 20:55 |
| BetUS | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.98%EV -9.84%E -3.51%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.70%EV -6.34%E -2.59%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.32%EV -6.85%E -2.17%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-16 20:50 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.48%EV -13.06%E -4.84%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.89%EV -6.34%E -2.59%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.63%EV -9.81%E -3.22%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-16 20:45 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.61%EV -8.23%E -2.89%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.77%EV -6.34%E -2.59%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.61%EV -15.72%E -5.52%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-03-16 20:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.69%EV -3.40%E -1.13%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.96%EV -6.72%E -2.75%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.34%EV -4.19%E -1.29%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-16 20:54 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.69%EV -3.40%E -1.13%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.96%EV -6.72%E -2.75%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.34%EV -4.19%E -1.29%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-16 20:55 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -9.84%E -3.51%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 37.61%EV -6.72%E -2.75%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -8.33%E -2.69%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-16 20:55 |
| DraftKings | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -3.40%E -1.13%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -8.25%E -3.44%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -5.37%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-16 20:55 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.51%EV -5.33%E -1.81%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.60%EV -8.25%E -3.44%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.89%EV -8.33%E -2.69%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-16 20:55 |
| Fanatics | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -6.62%E -2.28%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -8.25%E -3.44%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -8.33%E -2.69%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-16 20:55 |
| BetAnything | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -8.23%E -2.89%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -8.25%E -3.44%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.59%EV -8.33%E -2.69%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-16 20:54 |
| Bovada | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -9.84%E -3.51%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.18%EV -8.25%E -3.44%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -6.85%E -2.17%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-16 20:54 |
| SportsBet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -11.45%E -4.16%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -8.25%E -3.44%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -5.37%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-16 20:45 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.13%EV -11.45%E -4.16%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.96%EV -8.25%E -3.44%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.92%EV -6.85%E -2.17%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-16 20:55 |
| Paddy Power | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.38%EV -13.06%E -4.84%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.55%EV -8.25%E -3.44%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.07%EV -8.33%E -2.69%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-03-16 20:45 |
| Betsson | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.41%EV -4.05%E -1.36%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.33%EV -9.02%E -3.79%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -5.37%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-16 20:54 |
| NordicBet | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.41%EV -4.05%E -1.36%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.33%EV -9.02%E -3.79%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -5.37%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-16 20:55 |
| BetMGM | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.63%EV -5.01%E -1.70%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.21%EV -9.02%E -3.79%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -5.37%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-16 20:54 |
| Betway | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -6.62%E -2.28%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -9.02%E -3.79%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -11.29%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-16 20:50 |
| Sky Bet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -13.06%E -4.84%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.75%EV -9.02%E -3.79%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -8.33%E -2.69%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-16 20:45 |
| Everygame | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.93%EV -8.23%E -2.89%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.72%EV -10.16%E -4.32%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.35%EV -8.33%E -2.69%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-16 20:45 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.09%EV -15.64%E -5.97%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 37.53%EV -11.69%E -5.06%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.39%EV -12.76%E -4.33%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-03-16 20:50 |
| PlayUp | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -6.62%E -2.28%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -12.07%E -5.25%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -8.33%E -2.69%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-16 20:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -9.84%E -3.51%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -12.07%E -5.25%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -8.33%E -2.69%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-16 20:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -9.84%E -3.51%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -12.07%E -5.25%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -8.33%E -2.69%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-16 20:55 |
| Coral | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -9.84%E -3.51%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -12.07%E -5.25%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -8.33%E -2.69%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-16 20:55 |
| Neds | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -9.84%E -3.51%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -12.07%E -5.25%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -8.33%E -2.69%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-16 20:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -7.27%E -2.52%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -12.07%E -5.25%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -11.29%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-16 20:55 |
| 888sport | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -9.84%E -3.51%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -12.07%E -5.25%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -11.29%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-03-16 20:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -9.84%E -3.51%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -12.07%E -5.25%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -11.29%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-03-16 20:55 |
| BoyleSports | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.13%EV -11.45%E -4.16%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.42%EV -12.07%E -5.25%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -11.29%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-03-16 20:44 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.10%EV -14.67%E -5.54%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.14%EV -12.07%E -5.25%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.76%EV -9.81%E -3.22%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-03-16 20:55 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.37%EV -13.06%E -4.84%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.00%EV -12.07%E -5.25%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.63%EV -12.76%E -4.33%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-03-16 20:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.63I 38.02%NM 31.82%EV -15.31%E -5.82%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 37.19%EV -13.98%E -6.22%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 30.99%EV -20.16%E -7.47%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 19.5% | 2026-03-16 20:45 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 33.35%EV -19.50%E -7.80%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 37.90%EV -15.90%E -7.23%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 28.75%EV -14.24%E -4.91%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 19.9% | 2026-03-16 20:45 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.73% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.02% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.25% | 1.7% | 2026-03-16 20:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.73% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.02% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.25% | 1.7% | 2026-03-16 20:55 |
| Kalshi | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.40% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.18% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.42% | 2.1% | 2026-03-16 20:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.06% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.11% | 2.2% | 2026-03-16 20:55 |
| Smarkets | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.01% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.40% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.58% | 4.0% | 2026-03-16 20:55 |