Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.74
assuming max odds 2.75
assuming max odds 3.62
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Union La Calera (Local): 37.03%; Deportes Limache (Visit): 36.26%; Draw: 26.71%. For Union La Calera (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.70. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.74, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.47%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.03%EV +1.47%E +0.538%K +0.847%G +0.012% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.94%EV -8.27%E -3.27%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.04%EV -5.19%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-14 23:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.61I 38.31%NM 36.85%EV -3.34%E -1.28%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.57%EV -4.64%E -1.77%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.57%EV -3.32%E -0.916%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-14 23:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.82%EV -5.19%E -2.03%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.25%EV -5.73%E -2.20%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.52%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-14 23:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.82%EV -5.19%E -2.03%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.25%EV -5.73%E -2.20%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.52%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-14 23:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.82%EV -5.19%E -2.03%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.25%EV -5.73%E -2.20%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.52%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-14 23:20 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.82%EV -5.19%E -2.03%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.25%EV -5.73%E -2.20%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.52%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-14 23:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.05%EV -5.56%E -2.18%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.34%EV -5.73%E -2.20%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.61%EV -5.19%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-14 23:05 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -5.56%E -2.18%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -9.36%E -3.74%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -3.85%E -1.07%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-14 23:24 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -5.56%E -2.18%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -9.36%E -3.74%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -3.85%E -1.07%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-14 23:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -5.56%E -2.18%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.82%EV -9.36%E -3.74%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -9.19%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-14 23:24 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -5.56%E -2.18%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.57%EV -14.80%E -6.30%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -6.52%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-14 23:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.84%EV -6.67%E -2.65%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 36.55%EV -7.91%E -3.11%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.49I 28.65%NM 26.60%EV -6.79%E -1.94%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-14 21:24 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.64%EV -6.67%E -2.65%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.21%EV -7.54%E -2.96%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -9.19%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-14 23:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.64%EV -6.67%E -2.65%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.21%EV -7.54%E -2.96%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -9.19%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-14 23:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -7.41%E -2.97%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -9.36%E -3.74%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -3.85%E -1.07%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-14 23:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -7.41%E -2.97%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -7.54%E -2.96%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -6.52%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-14 23:06 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -7.41%E -2.97%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -5.73%E -2.20%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -9.19%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-14 23:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -7.41%E -2.97%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -9.36%E -3.74%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -9.19%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-14 12:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.49I 40.16%NM 36.97%EV -7.78%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 35.55%EV -6.09%E -2.35%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -10.53%E -3.14%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-14 23:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 37.10%EV -8.53%E -3.45%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.94%EV -7.54%E -2.96%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -9.19%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-14 23:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -9.27%E -3.78%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.66%EV -5.73%E -2.20%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -6.52%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-14 12:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -9.27%E -3.78%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.66%EV -5.73%E -2.20%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -6.52%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-14 22:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.44%EV -9.27%E -3.78%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.97%EV -7.54%E -2.96%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -7.86%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-14 12:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -9.27%E -3.78%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -9.36%E -3.74%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -9.19%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-14 23:06 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.88%EV -9.27%E -3.78%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.14%EV -9.36%E -3.74%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.97%EV -10.53%E -3.14%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-14 23:11 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.88%EV -9.27%E -3.78%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.14%EV -9.36%E -3.74%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.97%EV -10.53%E -3.14%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-14 23:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.58%EV -9.27%E -3.78%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.85%EV -9.36%E -3.74%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.57%EV -13.20%E -4.06%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-14 23:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.58%EV -9.27%E -3.78%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.85%EV -9.36%E -3.74%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.57%EV -13.20%E -4.06%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-14 23:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.58%EV -9.27%E -3.78%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.85%EV -9.36%E -3.74%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.57%EV -13.20%E -4.06%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-14 23:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -9.27%E -3.78%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -11.17%E -4.56%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -11.86%E -3.59%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-14 23:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -9.27%E -3.78%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -11.17%E -4.56%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -11.86%E -3.59%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-14 23:06 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -9.27%E -3.78%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -11.17%E -4.56%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -11.86%E -3.59%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-14 23:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -9.27%E -3.78%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -11.17%E -4.56%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -11.86%E -3.59%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-14 23:06 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -11.12%E -4.63%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -9.36%E -3.74%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -6.52%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-14 23:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -11.12%E -4.63%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -9.36%E -3.74%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -9.19%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-14 12:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -11.12%E -4.63%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -9.36%E -3.74%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -9.19%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-14 11:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.24%EV -11.12%E -4.63%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.48%EV -11.17%E -4.56%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -9.19%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-14 23:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -11.86%E -4.98%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.87%EV -0.292%E -0.106%K -0.167%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.00%EV -7.86%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-14 06:54 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -11.86%E -4.98%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.87%EV -0.292%E -0.106%K -0.167%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.00%EV -7.86%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-14 06:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -11.86%E -4.98%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.87%EV -0.292%E -0.106%K -0.167%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.00%EV -7.86%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-14 06:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -11.86%E -4.98%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.87%EV -0.292%E -0.106%K -0.167%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.00%EV -7.86%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-14 06:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -11.86%E -4.98%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.87%EV -0.292%E -0.106%K -0.167%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.00%EV -7.86%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-14 06:54 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.41%EV -11.86%E -4.98%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.61%EV -9.36%E -3.74%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.98%EV -11.86%E -3.59%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-14 12:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.41%EV -11.86%E -4.98%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.61%EV -9.36%E -3.74%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.98%EV -11.86%E -3.59%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-14 23:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.28%EV -12.97%E -5.52%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.76%EV -11.17%E -4.56%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.96%EV -13.20%E -4.06%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-09-14 23:04 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.89%EV -14.82%E -6.44%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.01%EV -4.64%E -1.77%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.10%EV -11.86%E -3.59%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-14 06:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.84%EV -14.82%E -6.44%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 36.57%EV -13.71%E -5.76%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.60%EV -9.19%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-09-14 23:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 38.94%EV -15.56%E -6.83%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.15%EV -5.73%E -2.20%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.91%EV -11.86%E -3.59%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-14 06:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 38.94%EV -15.56%E -6.83%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.15%EV -5.73%E -2.20%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.91%EV -11.86%E -3.59%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-14 06:55 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.56% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.56% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88% | 0.6% | 2026-09-14 23:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.81% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.53% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.66% | 1.4% | 2026-09-14 23:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.81% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.53% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.66% | 1.4% | 2026-09-14 23:26 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.81% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.53% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.66% | 1.4% | 2026-09-14 23:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.67% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.40% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.93% | 1.7% | 2026-09-14 23:20 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.28% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.28% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.44% | 2.1% | 2026-09-14 23:15 |