Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Union La Calera v Deportes Limache

Inizio: 2026-09-14 23:30 UTC

Finale: Union La Calera 1–0 Deportes Limache

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

49 bookmaker (18 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Union La Calera (Casa)

Previsione 37.03%2.70quota equa
EV +1.47%
Vantaggio +0.538%
Kelly +0.847%
Crescita +0.012%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.74

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
35.03%37.10%37.08%39.13%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.282.462.452.7443.86%40.67%40.82%36.50%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Deportes Limache (Trasferta)

Previsione 36.26%2.76quota equa
EV -0.292%
Vantaggio -0.106%
Kelly -0.167%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.75

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
33.87%36.26%36.31%38.57%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.352.552.532.7542.55%39.25%39.53%36.36%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 26.71%3.74quota equa
EV -3.32%
Vantaggio -0.916%
Kelly -1.27%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.62

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.60%26.64%26.61%27.57%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.253.423.403.6230.77%29.28%29.41%27.62%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Union La Calera (Casa): 37.03%; Deportes Limache (Trasferta): 36.26%; Pareggio: 26.71%. Per Union La Calera (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 2.70. 1 bookmaker offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello; la migliore era 2.74, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +1.47%.

Quote dei bookmaker (49 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 35.03%EV +1.47%E +0.538%K +0.847%G +0.012%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.94%EV -8.27%E -3.27%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.04%EV -5.19%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-14 23:20
Pinnacle🎯2.61I 38.31%NM 36.85%EV -3.34%E -1.28%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.57%EV -4.64%E -1.77%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.57%EV -3.32%E -0.916%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-14 23:15
BetOnline.ag🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 36.82%EV -5.19%E -2.03%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.25%EV -5.73%E -2.20%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.52%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-14 23:20
LowVig.ag🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 36.82%EV -5.19%E -2.03%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.25%EV -5.73%E -2.20%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.52%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-14 23:20
BetUS🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 36.82%EV -5.19%E -2.03%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.25%EV -5.73%E -2.20%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.52%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-14 23:20
BetAnything🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 36.82%EV -5.19%E -2.03%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.25%EV -5.73%E -2.20%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.52%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-14 23:20
DraftKings🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.05%EV -5.56%E -2.18%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.34%EV -5.73%E -2.20%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.61%EV -5.19%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-14 23:05
betano_uk🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -5.56%E -2.18%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -9.36%E -3.74%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -3.85%E -1.07%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-14 23:24
Bet Victor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -5.56%E -2.18%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -9.36%E -3.74%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -3.85%E -1.07%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-14 23:25
Bovada🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -5.56%E -2.18%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.82%EV -9.36%E -3.74%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -9.19%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-14 23:24
Tipico (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -5.56%E -2.18%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.57%EV -14.80%E -6.30%K -10.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -6.52%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-14 23:10
GTbets🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 36.84%EV -6.67%E -2.65%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 36.55%EV -7.91%E -3.11%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 26.60%EV -6.79%E -1.94%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-14 21:24
NordicBet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 36.64%EV -6.67%E -2.65%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.21%EV -7.54%E -2.96%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -9.19%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-14 23:10
Betsson🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 36.64%EV -6.67%E -2.65%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.21%EV -7.54%E -2.96%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -9.19%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-14 23:25
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -7.41%E -2.97%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -9.36%E -3.74%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -3.85%E -1.07%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-14 23:05
BetMGM🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -7.41%E -2.97%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -7.54%E -2.96%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -6.52%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-14 23:06
Unibet (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -7.41%E -2.97%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -5.73%E -2.20%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -9.19%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-14 23:05
Fanatics🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -7.41%E -2.97%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -9.36%E -3.74%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -9.19%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-14 12:40
Marathon Bet🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 36.97%EV -7.78%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 35.55%EV -6.09%E -2.35%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -10.53%E -3.14%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-14 23:00
Codere (IT)🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 37.10%EV -8.53%E -3.45%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.94%EV -7.54%E -2.96%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -9.19%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-14 23:10
FanDuel🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -9.27%E -3.78%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.66%EV -5.73%E -2.20%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -6.52%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-14 12:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -9.27%E -3.78%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.66%EV -5.73%E -2.20%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -6.52%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-14 22:15
SportsBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.44%EV -9.27%E -3.78%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.97%EV -7.54%E -2.96%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -7.86%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-14 12:40
Betr (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -9.27%E -3.78%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -9.36%E -3.74%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -9.19%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-14 23:06
LeoVegas🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.88%EV -9.27%E -3.78%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.14%EV -9.36%E -3.74%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.97%EV -10.53%E -3.14%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-14 23:11
PlayUp🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.88%EV -9.27%E -3.78%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.14%EV -9.36%E -3.74%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.97%EV -10.53%E -3.14%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-14 23:10
888sport🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.58%EV -9.27%E -3.78%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.85%EV -9.36%E -3.74%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.57%EV -13.20%E -4.06%K -5.87%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-14 23:25
888sport (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.58%EV -9.27%E -3.78%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.85%EV -9.36%E -3.74%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.57%EV -13.20%E -4.06%K -5.87%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-14 23:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.58%EV -9.27%E -3.78%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.85%EV -9.36%E -3.74%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.57%EV -13.20%E -4.06%K -5.87%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-14 23:25
Neds🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -9.27%E -3.78%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -11.17%E -4.56%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -11.86%E -3.59%K -5.16%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-14 23:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -9.27%E -3.78%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -11.17%E -4.56%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -11.86%E -3.59%K -5.16%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-14 23:06
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -9.27%E -3.78%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -11.17%E -4.56%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -11.86%E -3.59%K -5.16%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-14 23:05
Coral🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -9.27%E -3.78%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -11.17%E -4.56%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -11.86%E -3.59%K -5.16%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-14 23:06
Winamax (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -11.12%E -4.63%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -9.36%E -3.74%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -6.52%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-14 23:05
Paddy Power🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -11.12%E -4.63%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -9.36%E -3.74%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -9.19%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-14 12:40
betfred_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -11.12%E -4.63%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -9.36%E -3.74%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -9.19%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-14 11:40
Winamax (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.24%EV -11.12%E -4.63%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.48%EV -11.17%E -4.56%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -9.19%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-14 23:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -11.86%E -4.98%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.87%EV -0.292%E -0.106%K -0.167%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.00%EV -7.86%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-14 06:54
Grosvenor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -11.86%E -4.98%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.87%EV -0.292%E -0.106%K -0.167%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.00%EV -7.86%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-14 06:55
TABtouch🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -11.86%E -4.98%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.87%EV -0.292%E -0.106%K -0.167%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.00%EV -7.86%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-14 06:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -11.86%E -4.98%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.87%EV -0.292%E -0.106%K -0.167%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.00%EV -7.86%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-14 06:55
Unibet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -11.86%E -4.98%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.87%EV -0.292%E -0.106%K -0.167%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.00%EV -7.86%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-14 06:54
Sky Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.41%EV -11.86%E -4.98%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.61%EV -9.36%E -3.74%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.98%EV -11.86%E -3.59%K -5.16%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-14 12:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.41%EV -11.86%E -4.98%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.61%EV -9.36%E -3.74%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.98%EV -11.86%E -3.59%K -5.16%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-14 23:15
Unibet (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.28%EV -12.97%E -5.52%K -9.61%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.76%EV -11.17%E -4.56%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.96%EV -13.20%E -4.06%K -5.87%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-14 23:04
BetRivers🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.89%EV -14.82%E -6.44%K -11.40%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.01%EV -4.64%E -1.77%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.10%EV -11.86%E -3.59%K -5.16%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-14 06:55
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 37.84%EV -14.82%E -6.44%K -11.40%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 36.57%EV -13.71%E -5.76%K -9.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.60%EV -9.19%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000%14.9%2026-09-14 23:25
LiveScore Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 38.94%EV -15.56%E -6.83%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.15%EV -5.73%E -2.20%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.91%EV -11.86%E -3.59%K -5.16%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-14 06:55
Virgin Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 38.94%EV -15.56%E -6.83%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.15%EV -5.73%E -2.20%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.91%EV -11.86%E -3.59%K -5.16%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-14 06:55
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook◎2.72I 36.76%NM 36.56%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.56%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%0.6%2026-09-14 23:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.68I 37.31%NM 36.81%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.53%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.66%1.4%2026-09-14 23:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.68I 37.31%NM 36.81%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.53%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.66%1.4%2026-09-14 23:26
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.68I 37.31%NM 36.81%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.53%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.66%1.4%2026-09-14 23:20
Smarkets◎2.68I 37.31%NM 36.67%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.40%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.93%1.7%2026-09-14 23:20
Kalshi◎2.70I 37.04%NM 36.28%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.28%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.44%2.1%2026-09-14 23:15