StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Union La Calera v Deportes Limache

Matchstart: 2026-09-14 23:30 UTC

Slutresultat: Union La Calera 1–0 Deportes Limache

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

49 spelbolag (18 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Union La Calera (Hemma)

Prognos 37.03%2.70rättvist odds
EV +1.47%
Fördel +0.538%
Kelly +0.847%
Tillväxt +0.012%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.74

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
35.03%37.10%37.08%39.13%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.282.462.452.7443.86%40.67%40.82%36.50%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Deportes Limache (Borta)

Prognos 36.26%2.76rättvist odds
EV -0.292%
Fördel -0.106%
Kelly -0.167%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.75

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
33.87%36.26%36.31%38.57%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.352.552.532.7542.55%39.25%39.53%36.36%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 26.71%3.74rättvist odds
EV -3.32%
Fördel -0.916%
Kelly -1.27%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.62

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
25.60%26.64%26.61%27.57%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.253.423.403.6230.77%29.28%29.41%27.62%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Union La Calera (Hemma): 37.03%; Deportes Limache (Borta): 36.26%; Oavgjort: 26.71%. För Union La Calera (Hemma) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 2.70. 1 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 2.74, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +1.47%.

Spelbolagsodds (49 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
1xBet🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 35.03%EV +1.47%E +0.538%K +0.847%G +0.012%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.94%EV -8.27%E -3.27%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.04%EV -5.19%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-14 23:20
Pinnacle🎯2.61I 38.31%NM 36.85%EV -3.34%E -1.28%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.57%EV -4.64%E -1.77%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.57%EV -3.32%E -0.916%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-14 23:15
BetOnline.ag🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 36.82%EV -5.19%E -2.03%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.25%EV -5.73%E -2.20%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.52%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-14 23:20
LowVig.ag🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 36.82%EV -5.19%E -2.03%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.25%EV -5.73%E -2.20%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.52%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-14 23:20
BetUS🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 36.82%EV -5.19%E -2.03%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.25%EV -5.73%E -2.20%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.52%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-14 23:20
BetAnything🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 36.82%EV -5.19%E -2.03%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.25%EV -5.73%E -2.20%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.52%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-14 23:20
DraftKings🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.05%EV -5.56%E -2.18%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.34%EV -5.73%E -2.20%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.61%EV -5.19%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-14 23:05
betano_uk🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -5.56%E -2.18%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -9.36%E -3.74%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -3.85%E -1.07%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-14 23:24
Bet Victor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -5.56%E -2.18%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -9.36%E -3.74%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -3.85%E -1.07%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-14 23:25
Bovada🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -5.56%E -2.18%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.82%EV -9.36%E -3.74%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -9.19%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-14 23:24
Tipico (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -5.56%E -2.18%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.57%EV -14.80%E -6.30%K -10.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -6.52%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-14 23:10
GTbets🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 36.84%EV -6.67%E -2.65%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 36.55%EV -7.91%E -3.11%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 26.60%EV -6.79%E -1.94%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-14 21:24
NordicBet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 36.64%EV -6.67%E -2.65%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.21%EV -7.54%E -2.96%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -9.19%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-14 23:10
Betsson🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 36.64%EV -6.67%E -2.65%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.21%EV -7.54%E -2.96%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -9.19%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-14 23:25
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -7.41%E -2.97%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -9.36%E -3.74%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -3.85%E -1.07%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-14 23:05
BetMGM🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -7.41%E -2.97%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -7.54%E -2.96%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -6.52%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-14 23:06
Unibet (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -7.41%E -2.97%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -5.73%E -2.20%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -9.19%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-14 23:05
Fanatics🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -7.41%E -2.97%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -9.36%E -3.74%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -9.19%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-14 12:40
Marathon Bet🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 36.97%EV -7.78%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 35.55%EV -6.09%E -2.35%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -10.53%E -3.14%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-14 23:00
Codere (IT)🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 37.10%EV -8.53%E -3.45%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.94%EV -7.54%E -2.96%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -9.19%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-14 23:10
FanDuel🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -9.27%E -3.78%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.66%EV -5.73%E -2.20%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -6.52%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-14 12:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -9.27%E -3.78%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.66%EV -5.73%E -2.20%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -6.52%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-14 22:15
SportsBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.44%EV -9.27%E -3.78%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.97%EV -7.54%E -2.96%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -7.86%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-14 12:40
Betr (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -9.27%E -3.78%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -9.36%E -3.74%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -9.19%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-14 23:06
LeoVegas🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.88%EV -9.27%E -3.78%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.14%EV -9.36%E -3.74%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.97%EV -10.53%E -3.14%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-14 23:11
PlayUp🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.88%EV -9.27%E -3.78%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.14%EV -9.36%E -3.74%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.97%EV -10.53%E -3.14%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-14 23:10
888sport🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.58%EV -9.27%E -3.78%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.85%EV -9.36%E -3.74%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.57%EV -13.20%E -4.06%K -5.87%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-14 23:25
888sport (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.58%EV -9.27%E -3.78%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.85%EV -9.36%E -3.74%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.57%EV -13.20%E -4.06%K -5.87%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-14 23:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.58%EV -9.27%E -3.78%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.85%EV -9.36%E -3.74%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.57%EV -13.20%E -4.06%K -5.87%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-14 23:25
Neds🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -9.27%E -3.78%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -11.17%E -4.56%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -11.86%E -3.59%K -5.16%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-14 23:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -9.27%E -3.78%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -11.17%E -4.56%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -11.86%E -3.59%K -5.16%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-14 23:06
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -9.27%E -3.78%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -11.17%E -4.56%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -11.86%E -3.59%K -5.16%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-14 23:05
Coral🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -9.27%E -3.78%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -11.17%E -4.56%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -11.86%E -3.59%K -5.16%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-14 23:06
Winamax (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -11.12%E -4.63%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -9.36%E -3.74%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -6.52%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-14 23:05
Paddy Power🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -11.12%E -4.63%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -9.36%E -3.74%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -9.19%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-14 12:40
betfred_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -11.12%E -4.63%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -9.36%E -3.74%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -9.19%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-14 11:40
Winamax (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.24%EV -11.12%E -4.63%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.48%EV -11.17%E -4.56%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -9.19%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-14 23:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -11.86%E -4.98%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.87%EV -0.292%E -0.106%K -0.167%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.00%EV -7.86%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-14 06:54
Grosvenor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -11.86%E -4.98%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.87%EV -0.292%E -0.106%K -0.167%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.00%EV -7.86%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-14 06:55
TABtouch🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -11.86%E -4.98%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.87%EV -0.292%E -0.106%K -0.167%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.00%EV -7.86%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-14 06:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -11.86%E -4.98%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.87%EV -0.292%E -0.106%K -0.167%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.00%EV -7.86%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-14 06:55
Unibet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -11.86%E -4.98%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.87%EV -0.292%E -0.106%K -0.167%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.00%EV -7.86%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-14 06:54
Sky Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.41%EV -11.86%E -4.98%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.61%EV -9.36%E -3.74%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.98%EV -11.86%E -3.59%K -5.16%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-14 12:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.41%EV -11.86%E -4.98%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.61%EV -9.36%E -3.74%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.98%EV -11.86%E -3.59%K -5.16%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-14 23:15
Unibet (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.28%EV -12.97%E -5.52%K -9.61%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.76%EV -11.17%E -4.56%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.96%EV -13.20%E -4.06%K -5.87%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-14 23:04
BetRivers🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.89%EV -14.82%E -6.44%K -11.40%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.01%EV -4.64%E -1.77%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.10%EV -11.86%E -3.59%K -5.16%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-14 06:55
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 37.84%EV -14.82%E -6.44%K -11.40%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 36.57%EV -13.71%E -5.76%K -9.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.60%EV -9.19%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000%14.9%2026-09-14 23:25
LiveScore Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 38.94%EV -15.56%E -6.83%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.15%EV -5.73%E -2.20%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.91%EV -11.86%E -3.59%K -5.16%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-14 06:55
Virgin Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 38.94%EV -15.56%E -6.83%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.15%EV -5.73%E -2.20%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.91%EV -11.86%E -3.59%K -5.16%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-14 06:55
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Matchbook◎2.72I 36.76%NM 36.56%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.56%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%0.6%2026-09-14 23:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.68I 37.31%NM 36.81%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.53%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.66%1.4%2026-09-14 23:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.68I 37.31%NM 36.81%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.53%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.66%1.4%2026-09-14 23:26
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.68I 37.31%NM 36.81%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.53%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.66%1.4%2026-09-14 23:20
Smarkets◎2.68I 37.31%NM 36.67%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.40%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.93%1.7%2026-09-14 23:20
Kalshi◎2.70I 37.04%NM 36.28%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.28%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.44%2.1%2026-09-14 23:15