Language:English
Union La Calera v Audax Italiano
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Union La Calera (Local)
Prediction 40.19%2.49fair odd
EV -0.319%
Edge -0.129%
Kelly -0.215%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.48
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.96%40.05%40.24%41.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.302.292.4850.00%43.53%43.57%40.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Audax Italiano (Visit)
Prediction 29.22%3.42fair odd
EV -0.948%
Edge -0.280%
Kelly -0.396%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.39
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.49%29.38%29.20%32.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.093.103.3935.71%32.40%32.26%29.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 30.59%3.27fair odd
EV -4.26%
Edge -1.36%
Kelly -2.00%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.13
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.65%30.57%30.56%31.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.983.003.1337.04%33.53%33.33%31.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Union La Calera (Local): 40.19%; Audax Italiano (Visit): 29.22%; Draw: 30.59%. For Union La Calera (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.49. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.48, with an expected value of -0.319%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.08%EV -0.319%E -0.129%K -0.215%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.27%EV -16.73%E -5.87%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.65%EV -8.24%E -2.75%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-27 23:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.08%EV -0.319%E -0.129%K -0.215%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.27%EV -16.73%E -5.87%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.65%EV -8.24%E -2.75%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-27 23:14 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.08%EV -0.319%E -0.129%K -0.215%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.27%EV -16.73%E -5.87%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.65%EV -8.24%E -2.75%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-27 23:14 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.08%EV -0.319%E -0.129%K -0.215%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.27%EV -16.73%E -5.87%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.65%EV -8.24%E -2.75%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-27 23:14 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.08%EV -0.319%E -0.129%K -0.215%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.27%EV -16.73%E -5.87%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.65%EV -8.24%E -2.75%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-27 23:14 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.08%EV -0.319%E -0.129%K -0.215%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.27%EV -16.73%E -5.87%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.65%EV -8.24%E -2.75%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-27 23:14 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.31%EV -1.52%E -0.622%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.63%EV -5.04%E -1.55%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.06%EV -5.18%E -1.67%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-27 22:54 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.96%EV -1.52%E -0.622%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -18.19%E -6.50%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.70%EV -9.77%E -3.31%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-02-27 23:14 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.96%EV -2.33%E -0.958%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.07%EV -18.19%E -6.50%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.97%EV -11.30%E -3.90%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-02-27 23:14 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.68%EV -3.53%E -1.47%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.39%EV -5.33%E -1.65%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.92%EV -5.79%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-27 22:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.68%EV -3.53%E -1.47%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.39%EV -5.33%E -1.65%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.92%EV -5.79%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-27 22:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.61%EV -4.74%E -2.00%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.64%EV -1.82%E -0.543%K -0.773%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 30.75%EV -4.26%E -1.36%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-27 23:19 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.51%EV -4.74%E -2.00%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.32%EV -0.948%E -0.280%K -0.396%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.17%EV -5.79%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-27 23:19 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.30%EV -5.54%E -2.36%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.14%EV -5.04%E -1.55%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -5.18%E -1.67%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-27 23:13 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.51%EV -5.54%E -2.36%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -6.50%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -9.77%E -3.31%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-27 23:19 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.64%EV -6.75%E -2.91%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 28.66%EV -3.87%E -1.18%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 30.71%EV -6.10%E -1.99%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-27 23:24 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 39.76%EV -7.15%E -3.10%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -9.42%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -8.24%E -2.75%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-27 23:14 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -7.55%E -3.28%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -6.50%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -5.18%E -1.67%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-27 23:13 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.55%E -3.28%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -9.42%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -5.18%E -1.67%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-27 23:24 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.06%EV -7.55%E -3.28%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -9.42%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -6.71%E -2.20%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-27 23:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -7.55%E -3.28%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -9.42%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.24%E -2.75%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-27 23:14 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -7.55%E -3.28%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -9.42%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.24%E -2.75%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-27 23:14 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -7.55%E -3.28%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -9.42%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -11.30%E -3.90%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-27 23:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.27%EV -7.55%E -3.28%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.62%EV -13.80%E -4.68%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -8.24%E -2.75%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-02-27 23:09 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 40.48%EV -7.96%E -3.47%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.61%EV -5.33%E -1.65%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.90%EV -8.24%E -2.75%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-27 23:24 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.83%EV -8.36%E -3.67%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -5.04%E -1.55%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -6.71%E -2.20%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-27 23:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.83%EV -8.36%E -3.67%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -5.04%E -1.55%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -6.71%E -2.20%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-27 23:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -9.56%E -4.25%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -3.58%E -1.08%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -8.24%E -2.75%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-27 23:13 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -9.56%E -4.25%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -6.50%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.24%E -2.75%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-27 23:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -9.56%E -4.25%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.42%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -8.24%E -2.75%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-27 22:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.20%EV -9.56%E -4.25%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.15%EV -12.34%E -4.11%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.65%EV -6.71%E -2.20%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-02-27 23:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.16%EV -9.56%E -4.25%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.68%EV -7.96%E -2.53%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -11.30%E -3.90%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-02-27 23:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -9.56%E -4.25%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -9.42%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -11.91%E -4.14%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-02-27 23:14 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -9.56%E -4.25%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -9.42%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -11.91%E -4.14%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-02-27 23:14 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -9.56%E -4.25%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -9.42%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -11.91%E -4.14%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-02-27 23:14 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -11.57%E -5.26%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -3.58%E -1.08%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -11.30%E -3.90%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-27 23:14 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.10%EV -11.57%E -5.26%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -6.50%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.65%EV -9.77%E -3.31%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-02-27 23:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -11.57%E -5.26%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -6.50%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -11.91%E -4.14%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-02-27 23:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -11.57%E -5.26%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -12.34%E -4.11%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -8.24%E -2.75%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-02-27 23:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -11.57%E -5.26%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -12.34%E -4.11%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -8.24%E -2.75%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-02-27 23:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -11.57%E -5.26%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -12.34%E -4.11%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -8.24%E -2.75%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-02-27 23:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -11.57%E -5.26%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -12.34%E -4.11%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -8.24%E -2.75%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-02-27 23:19 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -11.57%E -5.26%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.69%EV -9.42%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.88%EV -11.91%E -4.14%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-02-27 22:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.93%EV -11.57%E -5.26%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.29%EV -15.26%E -5.26%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.78%EV -9.77%E -3.31%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-02-27 23:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.07%EV -13.58%E -6.32%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.48%EV -9.42%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.45%EV -11.30%E -3.90%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-02-27 23:09 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.40%EV -13.58%E -6.32%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.44%EV -13.80%E -4.68%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.16%EV -11.91%E -4.14%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-02-27 23:19 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.27%EV -13.58%E -6.32%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.35%EV -13.80%E -4.68%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.38%EV -12.83%E -4.50%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-02-27 23:09 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 41.54%EV -19.61%E -9.81%K -19.61%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 27.69%EV -12.34%E -4.11%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 30.77%EV -17.42%E -6.45%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 20.4% | 2026-02-27 23:14 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.38% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.59% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03% | 0.7% | 2026-02-27 23:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.38% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.59% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03% | 0.7% | 2026-02-27 23:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.38% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.59% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03% | 0.7% | 2026-02-27 23:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.22% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.64% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.14% | 1.9% | 2026-02-27 23:24 |