مدرسة الاحتمالات

Union La Calera v Audax Italiano

البداية: 2026-02-27 23:30 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

48 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Union La Calera (المضيف)

التنبؤ 40.19%2.49السعر العادل
EV -0.319%
الأفضلية -0.129%
Kelly -0.215%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.48

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
36.96%40.05%40.24%41.54%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.002.302.292.4850.00%43.53%43.57%40.32%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Audax Italiano (الضيف)

التنبؤ 29.22%3.42السعر العادل
EV -0.948%
الأفضلية -0.280%
Kelly -0.396%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.39

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
27.49%29.38%29.20%32.34%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.803.093.103.3935.71%32.40%32.26%29.50%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 30.59%3.27السعر العادل
EV -4.26%
الأفضلية -1.36%
Kelly -2.00%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.13

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
29.65%30.57%30.56%31.47%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.702.983.003.1337.04%33.53%33.33%31.95%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (48 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Unibet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.08%EV -0.319%E -0.129%K -0.215%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.27%EV -16.73%E -5.87%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.65%EV -8.24%E -2.75%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-27 23:14
LeoVegas (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.08%EV -0.319%E -0.129%K -0.215%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.27%EV -16.73%E -5.87%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.65%EV -8.24%E -2.75%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-27 23:14
Grosvenor2.48I 40.32%NM 37.08%EV -0.319%E -0.129%K -0.215%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.27%EV -16.73%E -5.87%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.65%EV -8.24%E -2.75%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-27 23:14
TABtouch2.48I 40.32%NM 37.08%EV -0.319%E -0.129%K -0.215%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.27%EV -16.73%E -5.87%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.65%EV -8.24%E -2.75%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-27 23:14
BetRivers2.48I 40.32%NM 37.08%EV -0.319%E -0.129%K -0.215%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.27%EV -16.73%E -5.87%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.65%EV -8.24%E -2.75%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-27 23:14
Unibet (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.08%EV -0.319%E -0.129%K -0.215%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.27%EV -16.73%E -5.87%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.65%EV -8.24%E -2.75%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-27 23:14
Coolbet2.45I 40.82%NM 39.31%EV -1.52%E -0.622%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.63%EV -5.04%E -1.55%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.06%EV -5.18%E -1.67%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-27 22:54
LiveScore Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 36.96%EV -1.52%E -0.622%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -18.19%E -6.50%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.70%EV -9.77%E -3.31%K -5.01%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-27 23:14
Virgin Bet2.43I 41.15%NM 36.96%EV -2.33%E -0.958%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.07%EV -18.19%E -6.50%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.97%EV -11.30%E -3.90%K -5.95%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-27 23:14
LowVig.ag2.40I 41.67%NM 39.68%EV -3.53%E -1.47%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.39%EV -5.33%E -1.65%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.92%EV -5.79%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-27 22:59
BetOnline.ag2.40I 41.67%NM 39.68%EV -3.53%E -1.47%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.39%EV -5.33%E -1.65%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.92%EV -5.79%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-27 22:59
Pinnacle2.37I 42.19%NM 40.61%EV -4.74%E -2.00%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.64%EV -1.82%E -0.543%K -0.773%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.75%EV -4.26%E -1.36%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-27 23:19
1xBet2.37I 42.19%NM 40.51%EV -4.74%E -2.00%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.32%EV -0.948%E -0.280%K -0.396%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.17%EV -5.79%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-27 23:19
DraftKings2.35I 42.55%NM 40.30%EV -5.54%E -2.36%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.14%EV -5.04%E -1.55%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -5.18%E -1.67%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-27 23:13
PointsBet (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.51%EV -5.54%E -2.36%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -6.50%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -9.77%E -3.31%K -5.01%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-27 23:19
GTbets2.32I 43.10%NM 40.64%EV -6.75%E -2.91%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.66%EV -3.87%E -1.18%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 30.71%EV -6.10%E -1.99%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-27 23:24
Codere (IT)2.31I 43.29%NM 39.76%EV -7.15%E -3.10%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -9.42%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -8.24%E -2.75%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-27 23:14
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -7.55%E -3.28%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -6.50%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -5.18%E -1.67%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-27 23:13
BetMGM2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.55%E -3.28%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -9.42%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -5.18%E -1.67%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-27 23:24
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.06%EV -7.55%E -3.28%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -9.42%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -6.71%E -2.20%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-27 23:09
Bovada2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -7.55%E -3.28%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -9.42%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.24%E -2.75%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-27 23:14
BetUS2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -7.55%E -3.28%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -9.42%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.24%E -2.75%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-27 23:14
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -7.55%E -3.28%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -9.42%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -11.30%E -3.90%K -5.95%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-27 23:19
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.27%EV -7.55%E -3.28%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.62%EV -13.80%E -4.68%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -8.24%E -2.75%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.7%2026-02-27 23:09
Marathon Bet2.29I 43.67%NM 40.48%EV -7.96%E -3.47%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.61%EV -5.33%E -1.65%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.90%EV -8.24%E -2.75%K -4.12%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-27 23:24
NordicBet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.83%EV -8.36%E -3.67%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -5.04%E -1.55%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -6.71%E -2.20%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-27 23:09
Betsson2.28I 43.86%NM 40.83%EV -8.36%E -3.67%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -5.04%E -1.55%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -6.71%E -2.20%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-27 23:09
FanDuel2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -9.56%E -4.25%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -3.58%E -1.08%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -8.24%E -2.75%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-27 23:13
Fanatics2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -9.56%E -4.25%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -6.50%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.24%E -2.75%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-27 23:09
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -9.56%E -4.25%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.42%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -8.24%E -2.75%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-27 22:59
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.20%EV -9.56%E -4.25%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.15%EV -12.34%E -4.11%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.65%EV -6.71%E -2.20%K -3.27%G +0.000%10.6%2026-02-27 23:09
PlayUp2.25I 44.44%NM 40.16%EV -9.56%E -4.25%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.68%EV -7.96%E -2.53%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -11.30%E -3.90%K -5.95%G +0.000%10.7%2026-02-27 23:09
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -9.56%E -4.25%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -9.42%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -11.91%E -4.14%K -6.33%G +0.000%11.4%2026-02-27 23:14
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -9.56%E -4.25%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -9.42%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -11.91%E -4.14%K -6.33%G +0.000%11.4%2026-02-27 23:14
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -9.56%E -4.25%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -9.42%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -11.91%E -4.14%K -6.33%G +0.000%11.4%2026-02-27 23:14
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -11.57%E -5.26%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -3.58%E -1.08%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -11.30%E -3.90%K -5.95%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-27 23:14
Everygame2.20I 45.45%NM 41.10%EV -11.57%E -5.26%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -6.50%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.65%EV -9.77%E -3.31%K -5.01%G +0.000%10.6%2026-02-27 23:09
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -11.57%E -5.26%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -6.50%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -11.91%E -4.14%K -6.33%G +0.000%11.4%2026-02-27 23:14
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -11.57%E -5.26%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -12.34%E -4.11%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -8.24%E -2.75%K -4.12%G +0.000%12.1%2026-02-27 23:25
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -11.57%E -5.26%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -12.34%E -4.11%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -8.24%E -2.75%K -4.12%G +0.000%12.1%2026-02-27 23:24
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -11.57%E -5.26%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -12.34%E -4.11%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -8.24%E -2.75%K -4.12%G +0.000%12.1%2026-02-27 23:19
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -11.57%E -5.26%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -12.34%E -4.11%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -8.24%E -2.75%K -4.12%G +0.000%12.1%2026-02-27 23:19
Sky Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -11.57%E -5.26%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.69%EV -9.42%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.88%EV -11.91%E -4.14%K -6.33%G +0.000%12.4%2026-02-27 22:59
Winamax (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.93%EV -11.57%E -5.26%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.29%EV -15.26%E -5.26%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.78%EV -9.77%E -3.31%K -5.01%G +0.000%13.8%2026-02-27 23:09
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 41.07%EV -13.58%E -6.32%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.48%EV -9.42%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.45%EV -11.30%E -3.90%K -5.95%G +0.000%13.3%2026-02-27 23:09
Unibet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.40%EV -13.58%E -6.32%K -11.81%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.44%EV -13.80%E -4.68%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.16%EV -11.91%E -4.14%K -6.33%G +0.000%15.1%2026-02-27 23:19
Parions Sport (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.27%EV -13.58%E -6.32%K -11.81%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.35%EV -13.80%E -4.68%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.38%EV -12.83%E -4.50%K -6.93%G +0.000%15.5%2026-02-27 23:09
PMU (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 41.54%EV -19.61%E -9.81%K -19.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.69%EV -12.34%E -4.11%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 30.77%EV -17.42%E -6.45%K -10.24%G +0.000%20.4%2026-02-27 23:14
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (4)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.38%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.59%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%0.7%2026-02-27 23:24
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.38%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.59%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%0.7%2026-02-27 23:24
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.38%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.59%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%0.7%2026-02-27 23:25
Smarkets2.38I 42.02%NM 41.22%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.64%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.14%1.9%2026-02-27 23:24