La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Union La Calera v Audax Italiano
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Union La Calera (Local)
Predicción 40.19%2.49momio equitativo
EV -0.319%
Ventaja -0.129%
Kelly -0.215%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.48
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.96%40.05%40.24%41.54%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.302.292.4850.00%43.53%43.57%40.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Audax Italiano (Visitante)
Predicción 29.22%3.42momio equitativo
EV -0.948%
Ventaja -0.280%
Kelly -0.396%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.39
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.49%29.38%29.20%32.34%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.093.103.3935.71%32.40%32.26%29.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 30.59%3.27momio equitativo
EV -4.26%
Ventaja -1.36%
Kelly -2.00%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.13
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.65%30.57%30.56%31.47%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.702.983.003.1337.04%33.53%33.33%31.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.08%EV -0.319%E -0.129%K -0.215%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.27%EV -16.73%E -5.87%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.65%EV -8.24%E -2.75%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-27 23:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.08%EV -0.319%E -0.129%K -0.215%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.27%EV -16.73%E -5.87%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.65%EV -8.24%E -2.75%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-27 23:14 |
| Grosvenor | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.08%EV -0.319%E -0.129%K -0.215%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.27%EV -16.73%E -5.87%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.65%EV -8.24%E -2.75%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-27 23:14 |
| TABtouch | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.08%EV -0.319%E -0.129%K -0.215%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.27%EV -16.73%E -5.87%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.65%EV -8.24%E -2.75%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-27 23:14 |
| BetRivers | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.08%EV -0.319%E -0.129%K -0.215%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.27%EV -16.73%E -5.87%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.65%EV -8.24%E -2.75%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-27 23:14 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.08%EV -0.319%E -0.129%K -0.215%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.27%EV -16.73%E -5.87%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.65%EV -8.24%E -2.75%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-27 23:14 |
| Coolbet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.31%EV -1.52%E -0.622%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.63%EV -5.04%E -1.55%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.06%EV -5.18%E -1.67%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-27 22:54 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.96%EV -1.52%E -0.622%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -18.19%E -6.50%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.70%EV -9.77%E -3.31%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-02-27 23:14 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.96%EV -2.33%E -0.958%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.07%EV -18.19%E -6.50%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.97%EV -11.30%E -3.90%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-02-27 23:14 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.68%EV -3.53%E -1.47%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.39%EV -5.33%E -1.65%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.92%EV -5.79%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-27 22:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.68%EV -3.53%E -1.47%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.39%EV -5.33%E -1.65%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.92%EV -5.79%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-27 22:59 |
| Pinnacle | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.61%EV -4.74%E -2.00%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.64%EV -1.82%E -0.543%K -0.773%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 30.75%EV -4.26%E -1.36%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-27 23:19 |
| 1xBet | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.51%EV -4.74%E -2.00%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.32%EV -0.948%E -0.280%K -0.396%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.17%EV -5.79%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-27 23:19 |
| DraftKings | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.30%EV -5.54%E -2.36%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.14%EV -5.04%E -1.55%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -5.18%E -1.67%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-27 23:13 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.51%EV -5.54%E -2.36%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -6.50%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -9.77%E -3.31%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-27 23:19 |
| GTbets | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.64%EV -6.75%E -2.91%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 28.66%EV -3.87%E -1.18%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 30.71%EV -6.10%E -1.99%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-27 23:24 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.31I 43.29%NM 39.76%EV -7.15%E -3.10%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -9.42%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -8.24%E -2.75%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-27 23:14 |
| Bet Victor | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -7.55%E -3.28%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -6.50%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -5.18%E -1.67%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-27 23:13 |
| BetMGM | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.55%E -3.28%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -9.42%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -5.18%E -1.67%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-27 23:24 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.06%EV -7.55%E -3.28%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -9.42%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -6.71%E -2.20%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-27 23:09 |
| Bovada | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -7.55%E -3.28%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -9.42%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.24%E -2.75%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-27 23:14 |
| BetUS | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -7.55%E -3.28%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -9.42%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.24%E -2.75%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-27 23:14 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -7.55%E -3.28%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -9.42%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -11.30%E -3.90%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-27 23:19 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.27%EV -7.55%E -3.28%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.62%EV -13.80%E -4.68%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -8.24%E -2.75%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-02-27 23:09 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.29I 43.67%NM 40.48%EV -7.96%E -3.47%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.61%EV -5.33%E -1.65%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.90%EV -8.24%E -2.75%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-27 23:24 |
| NordicBet | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.83%EV -8.36%E -3.67%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -5.04%E -1.55%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -6.71%E -2.20%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-27 23:09 |
| Betsson | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.83%EV -8.36%E -3.67%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -5.04%E -1.55%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -6.71%E -2.20%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-27 23:09 |
| FanDuel | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -9.56%E -4.25%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -3.58%E -1.08%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -8.24%E -2.75%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-27 23:13 |
| Fanatics | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -9.56%E -4.25%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -6.50%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.24%E -2.75%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-27 23:09 |
| Betway | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -9.56%E -4.25%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.42%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -8.24%E -2.75%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-27 22:59 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.20%EV -9.56%E -4.25%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.15%EV -12.34%E -4.11%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.65%EV -6.71%E -2.20%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-02-27 23:09 |
| PlayUp | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.16%EV -9.56%E -4.25%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.68%EV -7.96%E -2.53%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -11.30%E -3.90%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-02-27 23:09 |
| 888sport | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -9.56%E -4.25%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -9.42%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -11.91%E -4.14%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-02-27 23:14 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -9.56%E -4.25%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -9.42%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -11.91%E -4.14%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-02-27 23:14 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -9.56%E -4.25%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -9.42%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -11.91%E -4.14%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-02-27 23:14 |
| SportsBet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -11.57%E -5.26%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -3.58%E -1.08%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -11.30%E -3.90%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-27 23:14 |
| Everygame | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.10%EV -11.57%E -5.26%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -6.50%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.65%EV -9.77%E -3.31%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-02-27 23:09 |
| Paddy Power | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -11.57%E -5.26%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -6.50%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -11.91%E -4.14%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-02-27 23:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -11.57%E -5.26%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -12.34%E -4.11%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -8.24%E -2.75%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-02-27 23:25 |
| Coral | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -11.57%E -5.26%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -12.34%E -4.11%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -8.24%E -2.75%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-02-27 23:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -11.57%E -5.26%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -12.34%E -4.11%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -8.24%E -2.75%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-02-27 23:19 |
| Neds | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -11.57%E -5.26%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -12.34%E -4.11%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -8.24%E -2.75%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-02-27 23:19 |
| Sky Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -11.57%E -5.26%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.69%EV -9.42%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.88%EV -11.91%E -4.14%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-02-27 22:59 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.93%EV -11.57%E -5.26%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.29%EV -15.26%E -5.26%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.78%EV -9.77%E -3.31%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-02-27 23:09 |
| BoyleSports | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.07%EV -13.58%E -6.32%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.48%EV -9.42%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.45%EV -11.30%E -3.90%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-02-27 23:09 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.40%EV -13.58%E -6.32%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.44%EV -13.80%E -4.68%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.16%EV -11.91%E -4.14%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-02-27 23:19 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.27%EV -13.58%E -6.32%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.35%EV -13.80%E -4.68%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.38%EV -12.83%E -4.50%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-02-27 23:09 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 41.54%EV -19.61%E -9.81%K -19.61%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 27.69%EV -12.34%E -4.11%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 30.77%EV -17.42%E -6.45%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 20.4% | 2026-02-27 23:14 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.38% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.59% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03% | 0.7% | 2026-02-27 23:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.38% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.59% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03% | 0.7% | 2026-02-27 23:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.38% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.59% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03% | 0.7% | 2026-02-27 23:25 |
| Smarkets | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.22% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.64% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.14% | 1.9% | 2026-02-27 23:24 |