Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Palestino v Coquimbo Unido

Kickoff: 2026-08-01 21:30 UTC

Final: Palestino 2–1 Coquimbo Unido

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

51 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Palestino (Local)

Prediction 30.03%3.33fair odd
EV -2.41%
Edge -0.741%
Kelly -1.07%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.21%30.22%30.06%33.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.703.013.003.2537.04%33.23%33.33%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Coquimbo Unido (Visit)

Prediction 40.66%2.46fair odd
EV -0.394%
Edge -0.161%
Kelly -0.272%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.47%40.41%40.65%41.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.292.302.4547.62%43.74%43.48%40.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 29.32%3.41fair odd
EV -2.96%
Edge -0.895%
Kelly -1.28%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.31

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.31%29.37%29.29%31.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.853.133.153.3135.09%31.91%31.75%30.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Palestino (Local): 30.03%; Coquimbo Unido (Visit): 40.66%; Draw: 29.32%. For Coquimbo Unido (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.46. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.45, with an expected value of -0.394%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.53%EV -2.41%E -0.741%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.49%EV -3.65%E -1.54%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.99%EV -6.19%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-01 21:19
1xBet🎯3.21I 31.15%NM 29.87%EV -3.61%E -1.12%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -5.27%E -2.26%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 28.97%EV -2.96%E -0.895%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-01 21:19
BetOnline.ag🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -3.91%E -1.22%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.49%E -2.82%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -6.19%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-01 21:24
LowVig.ag🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -3.91%E -1.22%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.49%E -2.82%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -6.19%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-01 21:24
BetUS🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -3.91%E -1.22%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.49%E -2.82%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -6.19%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-01 21:25
BetAnything🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -3.91%E -1.22%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.49%E -2.82%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -6.19%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-01 21:25
Tipico (DE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -3.91%E -1.22%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.12%EV -8.53%E -3.79%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.67%EV -16.45%E -5.77%K -8.89%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-01 21:20
Pinnacle🎯3.19I 31.35%NM 30.16%EV -4.21%E -1.32%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.60%EV -3.65%E -1.54%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 29.24%EV -3.55%E -1.08%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-01 21:25
DraftKings🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.95%EV -5.41%E -1.72%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.02%EV -6.49%E -2.82%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.03%EV -4.72%E -1.45%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-01 21:24
Bet Victor🎯3.12I 32.05%NM 30.02%EV -6.31%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.49%E -2.82%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -6.19%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-01 21:23
betano_uk🎯3.12I 32.05%NM 29.88%EV -6.31%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.43%EV -8.53%E -3.79%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.69%EV -4.72%E -1.45%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-01 21:24
Betway🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.91%E -2.23%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -6.49%E -2.82%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -6.19%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-01 21:25
BetMGM🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -6.91%E -2.23%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -8.53%E -3.79%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -4.72%E -1.45%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-01 21:25
Unibet (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -6.91%E -2.23%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -8.53%E -3.79%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -6.19%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-01 21:25
FanDuel🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -6.91%E -2.23%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -8.53%E -3.79%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -6.19%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-01 21:24
Fanatics🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -6.91%E -2.23%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.49%E -2.82%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -9.12%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-01 21:14
Codere (IT)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -6.91%E -2.23%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.20%EV -9.34%E -4.19%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -7.65%E -2.43%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-01 21:25
SportsBet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.46%EV -6.91%E -2.23%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.59%EV -8.53%E -3.79%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.95%EV -10.58%E -3.47%K -5.16%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-01 21:15
Marathon Bet🎯3.08I 32.47%NM 30.11%EV -7.51%E -2.44%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.97%EV -5.68%E -2.45%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -9.12%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-01 21:24
Betsson🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -8.41%E -2.76%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.05%EV -5.68%E -2.45%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -7.65%E -2.43%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-01 21:25
NordicBet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -8.41%E -2.76%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.05%EV -5.68%E -2.45%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -7.65%E -2.43%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-01 21:24
GTbets🎯3.03I 33.00%NM 30.96%EV -9.01%E -2.98%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.26%EV -5.27%E -2.26%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.78%EV -4.43%E -1.36%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-01 21:15
Bovada🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -9.92%E -3.31%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.05%EV -6.49%E -2.82%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -7.65%E -2.43%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-01 21:25
Winamax (DE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -9.92%E -3.31%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -10.56%E -4.80%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -6.19%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-01 21:25
LeoVegas🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -9.92%E -3.31%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.12%EV -10.56%E -4.80%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.72%EV -7.65%E -2.43%K -3.56%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-01 21:25
Everygame🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.15%EV -9.92%E -3.31%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.20%EV -8.53%E -3.79%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.65%EV -10.58%E -3.47%K -5.16%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-01 21:25
Coral🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -9.92%E -3.31%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -10.56%E -4.80%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -9.12%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-01 21:25
Neds🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -9.92%E -3.31%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -10.56%E -4.80%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -9.12%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-01 21:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -9.92%E -3.31%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -10.56%E -4.80%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -9.12%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-01 21:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -9.92%E -3.31%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -10.56%E -4.80%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -9.12%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-01 21:25
Paddy Power🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -9.92%E -3.31%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -10.56%E -4.80%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -12.05%E -4.02%K -6.03%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-01 21:15
Sky Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -9.92%E -3.31%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -10.56%E -4.80%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -12.05%E -4.02%K -6.03%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-01 21:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -9.92%E -3.31%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -10.56%E -4.80%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -12.05%E -4.02%K -6.03%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-01 21:25
888sport🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -9.92%E -3.31%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -10.56%E -4.80%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -12.05%E -4.02%K -6.03%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-01 21:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -9.92%E -3.31%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -10.56%E -4.80%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -12.05%E -4.02%K -6.03%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-01 21:20
888sport (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -9.92%E -3.31%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -10.56%E -4.80%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -12.05%E -4.02%K -6.03%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-01 21:19
Unibet (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.31%EV -9.92%E -3.31%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.87%EV -14.62%E -6.96%K -13.29%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.83%EV -10.58%E -3.47%K -5.16%G +0.000%13.7%2026-08-01 21:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.35%EV -11.42%E -3.87%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.20%EV -6.49%E -2.82%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -4.72%E -1.45%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-01 21:20
Winamax (FR)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.22%EV -11.42%E -3.87%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.47%EV -12.59%E -5.86%K -10.95%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.31%EV -7.65%E -2.43%K -3.56%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-01 21:25
PlayUp🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.18%EV -12.92%E -4.45%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.66%EV -7.31%E -3.20%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -9.12%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-01 21:24
Betr (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -12.92%E -4.45%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.16%EV -8.53%E -3.79%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.68%EV -7.65%E -2.43%K -3.56%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-01 21:20
betfred_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -13.52%E -4.69%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -8.53%E -3.79%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -9.12%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-01 21:19
Grosvenor🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.98%EV -15.92%E -5.69%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.70%EV -0.394%E -0.161%K -0.272%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.32%EV -7.65%E -2.43%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-01 21:20
Unibet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.98%EV -15.92%E -5.69%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.70%EV -0.394%E -0.161%K -0.272%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.32%EV -7.65%E -2.43%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-01 21:19
Unibet (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.98%EV -15.92%E -5.69%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.70%EV -0.394%E -0.161%K -0.272%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.32%EV -7.65%E -2.43%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-01 21:20
TABtouch🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.98%EV -15.92%E -5.69%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.70%EV -0.394%E -0.161%K -0.272%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.32%EV -7.65%E -2.43%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-01 21:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.98%EV -15.92%E -5.69%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.70%EV -0.394%E -0.161%K -0.272%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.32%EV -7.65%E -2.43%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-01 21:20
BetRivers🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -17.42%E -6.34%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.47%EV -0.394%E -0.161%K -0.272%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -7.65%E -2.43%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-01 21:20
LiveScore Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.13%EV -17.42%E -6.34%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.49%EV -1.21%E -0.497%K -0.844%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.39%EV -9.12%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-01 21:19
BoyleSports🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.13%EV -17.42%E -6.34%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.42%EV -6.49%E -2.82%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -12.05%E -4.02%K -6.03%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-01 21:15
Virgin Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.38%EV -18.92%E -7.01%K -11.13%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.55%EV -2.43%E -1.01%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.07%EV -9.12%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-01 21:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.68%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.08%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.24%0.6%2026-08-01 21:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.68%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.08%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.24%0.6%2026-08-01 21:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.68%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.08%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.24%0.6%2026-08-01 21:20
Smarkets3.30I 30.30%NM 29.99%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.90%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.11%1.0%2026-08-01 21:20
Matchbook3.30I 30.30%NM 29.99%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.90%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.11%1.0%2026-08-01 21:25
Kalshi3.12I 32.05%NM 30.82%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.41%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.77%4.0%2026-08-01 21:25

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