The School of Odds

Palestino v Coquimbo Unido

2026-08-01 21:30 UTC — Primera División - Chile

Head to Head

22 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Palestino (Local)

Prediction 33.82%2.96fair odd
EV -2.60%
Edge -0.901%
Kelly -1.38%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.88

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.57%33.68%33.96%34.62%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.502.702.702.8840.00%37.11%37.04%34.72%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Coquimbo Unido (Visit)

Prediction 37.02%2.70fair odd
EV -4.12%
Edge -1.59%
Kelly -2.59%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.59

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.45%36.98%37.01%37.96%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.252.442.452.5944.44%41.03%40.82%38.61%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 29.16%3.43fair odd
EV -3.77%
Edge -1.14%
Kelly -1.64%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.48%29.35%29.02%30.88%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.903.103.103.3034.48%32.29%32.26%30.30%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (22 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle2.88I 34.72%NM 32.90%EV -2.60%E -0.901%K -1.38%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.73%EV -4.49%E -1.74%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.37%EV -9.02%E -2.89%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-26 23:45
Coolbet2.82I 35.46%NM 33.78%EV -4.62%E -1.64%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.36%EV -5.60%E -2.20%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.87%EV -3.77%E -1.14%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-27 01:25
Unibet (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -6.99%E -2.54%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -9.31%E -3.80%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -9.60%E -3.10%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-26 22:50
betfred_uk2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -6.99%E -2.54%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -11.16%E -4.65%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -9.60%E -3.10%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-26 22:30
888sport2.75I 36.36%NM 32.57%EV -6.99%E -2.54%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.55%EV -9.31%E -3.80%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.88%EV -15.43%E -5.32%K -8.12%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-26 22:55
Mr Green (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.57%EV -6.99%E -2.54%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.55%EV -9.31%E -3.80%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.88%EV -15.43%E -5.32%K -8.12%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-26 22:55
888sport (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.57%EV -6.99%E -2.54%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.55%EV -9.31%E -3.80%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.88%EV -15.43%E -5.32%K -8.12%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-26 22:55
GTbets2.73I 36.63%NM 34.58%EV -7.67%E -2.81%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.45%EV -4.12%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.96%EV -4.94%E -1.51%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-26 22:25
Marathon Bet2.73I 36.63%NM 33.95%EV -7.67%E -2.81%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -7.45%E -2.98%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.97%EV -6.69%E -2.09%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-26 22:45
1xBet2.73I 36.63%NM 33.95%EV -7.67%E -2.81%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -7.45%E -2.98%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.97%EV -6.69%E -2.09%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-26 22:45
PointsBet (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -8.68%E -3.22%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -7.45%E -2.98%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.69%E -2.09%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-26 22:25
SportsBet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -8.68%E -3.22%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -9.31%E -3.80%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -6.69%E -2.09%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-26 22:25
FanDuel2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -8.68%E -3.22%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -9.31%E -3.80%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -6.69%E -2.09%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-26 22:25
LeoVegas2.70I 37.04%NM 33.38%EV -8.68%E -3.22%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.55%EV -11.16%E -4.65%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.07%EV -9.60%E -3.10%K -4.57%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-26 22:50
Fanatics2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -10.37%E -3.91%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -7.45%E -2.98%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.69%E -2.09%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-26 22:45
Unibet (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 32.94%EV -10.37%E -3.91%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.96%EV -14.86%E -6.46%K -11.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.10%EV -12.52%E -4.17%K -6.26%G +0.000%14.5%2026-07-26 22:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.63I 38.02%NM 33.96%EV -11.05%E -4.20%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.22%EV -11.16%E -4.65%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.82%EV -9.60%E -3.10%K -4.57%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-26 22:40
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 34.05%EV -11.39%E -4.35%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%EV -11.16%E -4.65%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -9.60%E -3.10%K -4.57%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-26 22:25
Winamax (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 33.95%EV -12.07%E -4.64%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.57%EV -13.01%E -5.53%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.48%EV -9.60%E -3.10%K -4.57%G +0.000%13.3%2026-07-26 23:20
BoyleSports2.60I 38.46%NM 33.90%EV -12.07%E -4.64%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.72%EV -11.16%E -4.65%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.38%EV -12.52%E -4.17%K -6.26%G +0.000%13.5%2026-07-26 22:25
Sky Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 33.37%EV -12.07%E -4.64%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.72%EV -14.86%E -6.46%K -11.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.92%EV -12.52%E -4.17%K -6.26%G +0.000%15.3%2026-07-26 22:25
Winamax (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 33.80%EV -15.45%E -6.18%K -10.30%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 37.56%EV -16.71%E -7.43%K -13.37%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 28.64%EV -13.98%E -4.74%K -7.17%G +0.000%18.3%2026-07-26 23:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.64I 37.88%NM 32.91%2.38I 42.02%NM 36.50%2.84I 35.21%NM 30.59%15.1%2026-07-26 23:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.64I 37.88%NM 32.91%2.38I 42.02%NM 36.50%2.84I 35.21%NM 30.59%15.1%2026-07-26 23:45
Smarkets2.58I 38.76%NM 33.45%2.32I 43.10%NM 37.20%2.94I 34.01%NM 29.35%15.9%2026-07-26 23:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.54I 39.37%NM 32.35%2.38I 42.02%NM 34.52%2.48I 40.32%NM 33.13%21.7%2026-07-26 23:45