Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Palestino v Coquimbo Unido

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-01 21:30 UTC

Score final : Palestino 2–1 Coquimbo Unido

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Palestino (Local)

Prévision 30.03%3.33cote équitable
EV -2.41%
Avantage -0.741%
Kelly -1.07%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.21%30.22%30.06%33.38%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.703.013.003.2537.04%33.23%33.33%30.77%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Coquimbo Unido (Visiteur)

Prévision 40.66%2.46cote équitable
EV -0.394%
Avantage -0.161%
Kelly -0.272%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.45

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.47%40.41%40.65%41.87%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.102.292.302.4547.62%43.74%43.48%40.82%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 29.32%3.41cote équitable
EV -2.96%
Avantage -0.895%
Kelly -1.28%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.31

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.31%29.37%29.29%31.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.853.133.153.3135.09%31.91%31.75%30.21%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Palestino (Local) : 30.03% ; Coquimbo Unido (Visiteur) : 40.66% ; Match nul : 29.32%. Pour Coquimbo Unido (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.46. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 2.45, pour une espérance de -0.394% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.53%EV -2.41%E -0.741%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.49%EV -3.65%E -1.54%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.99%EV -6.19%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-01 21:19
1xBet🎯3.21I 31.15%NM 29.87%EV -3.61%E -1.12%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -5.27%E -2.26%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 28.97%EV -2.96%E -0.895%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-01 21:19
BetOnline.ag🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -3.91%E -1.22%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.49%E -2.82%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -6.19%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-01 21:24
LowVig.ag🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -3.91%E -1.22%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.49%E -2.82%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -6.19%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-01 21:24
BetUS🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -3.91%E -1.22%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.49%E -2.82%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -6.19%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-01 21:25
BetAnything🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -3.91%E -1.22%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.49%E -2.82%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -6.19%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-01 21:25
Tipico (DE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -3.91%E -1.22%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.12%EV -8.53%E -3.79%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.67%EV -16.45%E -5.77%K -8.89%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-01 21:20
Pinnacle🎯3.19I 31.35%NM 30.16%EV -4.21%E -1.32%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.60%EV -3.65%E -1.54%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 29.24%EV -3.55%E -1.08%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-01 21:25
DraftKings🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.95%EV -5.41%E -1.72%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.02%EV -6.49%E -2.82%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.03%EV -4.72%E -1.45%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-01 21:24
Bet Victor🎯3.12I 32.05%NM 30.02%EV -6.31%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.49%E -2.82%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -6.19%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-01 21:23
betano_uk🎯3.12I 32.05%NM 29.88%EV -6.31%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.43%EV -8.53%E -3.79%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.69%EV -4.72%E -1.45%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-01 21:24
Betway🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.91%E -2.23%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -6.49%E -2.82%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -6.19%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-01 21:25
BetMGM🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -6.91%E -2.23%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -8.53%E -3.79%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -4.72%E -1.45%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-01 21:25
Unibet (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -6.91%E -2.23%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -8.53%E -3.79%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -6.19%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-01 21:25
FanDuel🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -6.91%E -2.23%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -8.53%E -3.79%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -6.19%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-01 21:24
Fanatics🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -6.91%E -2.23%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.49%E -2.82%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -9.12%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-01 21:14
Codere (IT)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -6.91%E -2.23%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.20%EV -9.34%E -4.19%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -7.65%E -2.43%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-01 21:25
SportsBet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.46%EV -6.91%E -2.23%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.59%EV -8.53%E -3.79%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.95%EV -10.58%E -3.47%K -5.16%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-01 21:15
Marathon Bet🎯3.08I 32.47%NM 30.11%EV -7.51%E -2.44%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.97%EV -5.68%E -2.45%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -9.12%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-01 21:24
Betsson🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -8.41%E -2.76%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.05%EV -5.68%E -2.45%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -7.65%E -2.43%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-01 21:25
NordicBet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -8.41%E -2.76%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.05%EV -5.68%E -2.45%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -7.65%E -2.43%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-01 21:24
GTbets🎯3.03I 33.00%NM 30.96%EV -9.01%E -2.98%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.26%EV -5.27%E -2.26%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.78%EV -4.43%E -1.36%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-01 21:15
Bovada🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -9.92%E -3.31%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.05%EV -6.49%E -2.82%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -7.65%E -2.43%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-01 21:25
Winamax (DE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -9.92%E -3.31%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -10.56%E -4.80%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -6.19%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-01 21:25
LeoVegas🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -9.92%E -3.31%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.12%EV -10.56%E -4.80%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.72%EV -7.65%E -2.43%K -3.56%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-01 21:25
Everygame🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.15%EV -9.92%E -3.31%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.20%EV -8.53%E -3.79%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.65%EV -10.58%E -3.47%K -5.16%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-01 21:25
Coral🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -9.92%E -3.31%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -10.56%E -4.80%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -9.12%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-01 21:25
Neds🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -9.92%E -3.31%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -10.56%E -4.80%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -9.12%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-01 21:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -9.92%E -3.31%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -10.56%E -4.80%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -9.12%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-01 21:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -9.92%E -3.31%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -10.56%E -4.80%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -9.12%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-01 21:25
Paddy Power🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -9.92%E -3.31%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -10.56%E -4.80%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -12.05%E -4.02%K -6.03%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-01 21:15
Sky Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -9.92%E -3.31%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -10.56%E -4.80%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -12.05%E -4.02%K -6.03%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-01 21:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -9.92%E -3.31%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -10.56%E -4.80%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -12.05%E -4.02%K -6.03%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-01 21:25
888sport🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -9.92%E -3.31%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -10.56%E -4.80%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -12.05%E -4.02%K -6.03%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-01 21:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -9.92%E -3.31%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -10.56%E -4.80%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -12.05%E -4.02%K -6.03%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-01 21:20
888sport (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -9.92%E -3.31%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -10.56%E -4.80%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -12.05%E -4.02%K -6.03%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-01 21:19
Unibet (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.31%EV -9.92%E -3.31%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.87%EV -14.62%E -6.96%K -13.29%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.83%EV -10.58%E -3.47%K -5.16%G +0.000%13.7%2026-08-01 21:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.35%EV -11.42%E -3.87%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.20%EV -6.49%E -2.82%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -4.72%E -1.45%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-01 21:20
Winamax (FR)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.22%EV -11.42%E -3.87%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.47%EV -12.59%E -5.86%K -10.95%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.31%EV -7.65%E -2.43%K -3.56%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-01 21:25
PlayUp🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.18%EV -12.92%E -4.45%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.66%EV -7.31%E -3.20%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -9.12%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-01 21:24
Betr (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -12.92%E -4.45%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.16%EV -8.53%E -3.79%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.68%EV -7.65%E -2.43%K -3.56%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-01 21:20
betfred_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -13.52%E -4.69%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -8.53%E -3.79%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -9.12%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-01 21:19
Grosvenor🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.98%EV -15.92%E -5.69%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.70%EV -0.394%E -0.161%K -0.272%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.32%EV -7.65%E -2.43%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-01 21:20
Unibet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.98%EV -15.92%E -5.69%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.70%EV -0.394%E -0.161%K -0.272%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.32%EV -7.65%E -2.43%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-01 21:19
Unibet (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.98%EV -15.92%E -5.69%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.70%EV -0.394%E -0.161%K -0.272%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.32%EV -7.65%E -2.43%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-01 21:20
TABtouch🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.98%EV -15.92%E -5.69%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.70%EV -0.394%E -0.161%K -0.272%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.32%EV -7.65%E -2.43%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-01 21:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.98%EV -15.92%E -5.69%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.70%EV -0.394%E -0.161%K -0.272%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.32%EV -7.65%E -2.43%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-01 21:20
BetRivers🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -17.42%E -6.34%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.47%EV -0.394%E -0.161%K -0.272%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -7.65%E -2.43%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-01 21:20
LiveScore Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.13%EV -17.42%E -6.34%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.49%EV -1.21%E -0.497%K -0.844%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.39%EV -9.12%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-01 21:19
BoyleSports🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.13%EV -17.42%E -6.34%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.42%EV -6.49%E -2.82%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -12.05%E -4.02%K -6.03%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-01 21:15
Virgin Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.38%EV -18.92%E -7.01%K -11.13%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.55%EV -2.43%E -1.01%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.07%EV -9.12%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-01 21:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.68%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.08%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.24%0.6%2026-08-01 21:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.68%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.08%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.24%0.6%2026-08-01 21:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.68%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.08%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.24%0.6%2026-08-01 21:20
Smarkets3.30I 30.30%NM 29.99%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.90%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.11%1.0%2026-08-01 21:20
Matchbook3.30I 30.30%NM 29.99%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.90%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.11%1.0%2026-08-01 21:25
Kalshi3.12I 32.05%NM 30.82%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.41%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.77%4.0%2026-08-01 21:25