Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Palestino v Coquimbo Unido

Início: 2026-08-01 21:30 UTC

Final: Palestino 2–1 Coquimbo Unido

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

51 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Palestino (Local)

Previsão 30.03%3.33odd justa
EV -2.41%
Vantagem -0.741%
Kelly -1.07%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.25

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.21%30.22%30.06%33.38%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.703.013.003.2537.04%33.23%33.33%30.77%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Coquimbo Unido (Visitante)

Previsão 40.66%2.46odd justa
EV -0.394%
Vantagem -0.161%
Kelly -0.272%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.45

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
37.47%40.41%40.65%41.87%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.102.292.302.4547.62%43.74%43.48%40.82%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 29.32%3.41odd justa
EV -2.96%
Vantagem -0.895%
Kelly -1.28%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.31

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.31%29.37%29.29%31.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.853.133.153.3135.09%31.91%31.75%30.21%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Palestino (Local): 30.03%; Coquimbo Unido (Visitante): 40.66%; Empate: 29.32%. Para Coquimbo Unido (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.46. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.45, com valor esperado de -0.394%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (51 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Coolbet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.53%EV -2.41%E -0.741%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.49%EV -3.65%E -1.54%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.99%EV -6.19%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-01 21:19
1xBet🎯3.21I 31.15%NM 29.87%EV -3.61%E -1.12%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -5.27%E -2.26%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 28.97%EV -2.96%E -0.895%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-01 21:19
BetOnline.ag🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -3.91%E -1.22%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.49%E -2.82%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -6.19%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-01 21:24
LowVig.ag🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -3.91%E -1.22%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.49%E -2.82%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -6.19%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-01 21:24
BetUS🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -3.91%E -1.22%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.49%E -2.82%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -6.19%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-01 21:25
BetAnything🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -3.91%E -1.22%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.49%E -2.82%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -6.19%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-01 21:25
Tipico (DE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -3.91%E -1.22%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.12%EV -8.53%E -3.79%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.67%EV -16.45%E -5.77%K -8.89%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-01 21:20
Pinnacle🎯3.19I 31.35%NM 30.16%EV -4.21%E -1.32%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.60%EV -3.65%E -1.54%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 29.24%EV -3.55%E -1.08%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-01 21:25
DraftKings🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.95%EV -5.41%E -1.72%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.02%EV -6.49%E -2.82%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.03%EV -4.72%E -1.45%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-01 21:24
Bet Victor🎯3.12I 32.05%NM 30.02%EV -6.31%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.49%E -2.82%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -6.19%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-01 21:23
betano_uk🎯3.12I 32.05%NM 29.88%EV -6.31%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.43%EV -8.53%E -3.79%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.69%EV -4.72%E -1.45%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-01 21:24
Betway🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.91%E -2.23%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -6.49%E -2.82%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -6.19%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-01 21:25
BetMGM🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -6.91%E -2.23%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -8.53%E -3.79%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -4.72%E -1.45%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-01 21:25
Unibet (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -6.91%E -2.23%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -8.53%E -3.79%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -6.19%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-01 21:25
FanDuel🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -6.91%E -2.23%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -8.53%E -3.79%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -6.19%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-01 21:24
Fanatics🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -6.91%E -2.23%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.49%E -2.82%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -9.12%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-01 21:14
Codere (IT)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -6.91%E -2.23%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.20%EV -9.34%E -4.19%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -7.65%E -2.43%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-01 21:25
SportsBet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.46%EV -6.91%E -2.23%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.59%EV -8.53%E -3.79%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.95%EV -10.58%E -3.47%K -5.16%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-01 21:15
Marathon Bet🎯3.08I 32.47%NM 30.11%EV -7.51%E -2.44%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.97%EV -5.68%E -2.45%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -9.12%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-01 21:24
Betsson🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -8.41%E -2.76%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.05%EV -5.68%E -2.45%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -7.65%E -2.43%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-01 21:25
NordicBet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -8.41%E -2.76%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.05%EV -5.68%E -2.45%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -7.65%E -2.43%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-01 21:24
GTbets🎯3.03I 33.00%NM 30.96%EV -9.01%E -2.98%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.26%EV -5.27%E -2.26%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.78%EV -4.43%E -1.36%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-01 21:15
Bovada🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -9.92%E -3.31%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.05%EV -6.49%E -2.82%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -7.65%E -2.43%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-01 21:25
Winamax (DE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -9.92%E -3.31%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -10.56%E -4.80%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -6.19%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-01 21:25
LeoVegas🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -9.92%E -3.31%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.12%EV -10.56%E -4.80%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.72%EV -7.65%E -2.43%K -3.56%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-01 21:25
Everygame🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.15%EV -9.92%E -3.31%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.20%EV -8.53%E -3.79%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.65%EV -10.58%E -3.47%K -5.16%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-01 21:25
Coral🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -9.92%E -3.31%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -10.56%E -4.80%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -9.12%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-01 21:25
Neds🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -9.92%E -3.31%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -10.56%E -4.80%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -9.12%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-01 21:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -9.92%E -3.31%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -10.56%E -4.80%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -9.12%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-01 21:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -9.92%E -3.31%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -10.56%E -4.80%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -9.12%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-01 21:25
Paddy Power🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -9.92%E -3.31%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -10.56%E -4.80%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -12.05%E -4.02%K -6.03%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-01 21:15
Sky Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -9.92%E -3.31%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -10.56%E -4.80%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -12.05%E -4.02%K -6.03%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-01 21:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -9.92%E -3.31%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -10.56%E -4.80%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -12.05%E -4.02%K -6.03%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-01 21:25
888sport🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -9.92%E -3.31%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -10.56%E -4.80%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -12.05%E -4.02%K -6.03%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-01 21:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -9.92%E -3.31%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -10.56%E -4.80%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -12.05%E -4.02%K -6.03%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-01 21:20
888sport (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -9.92%E -3.31%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -10.56%E -4.80%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -12.05%E -4.02%K -6.03%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-01 21:19
Unibet (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.31%EV -9.92%E -3.31%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.87%EV -14.62%E -6.96%K -13.29%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.83%EV -10.58%E -3.47%K -5.16%G +0.000%13.7%2026-08-01 21:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.35%EV -11.42%E -3.87%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.20%EV -6.49%E -2.82%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -4.72%E -1.45%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-01 21:20
Winamax (FR)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.22%EV -11.42%E -3.87%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.47%EV -12.59%E -5.86%K -10.95%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.31%EV -7.65%E -2.43%K -3.56%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-01 21:25
PlayUp🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.18%EV -12.92%E -4.45%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.66%EV -7.31%E -3.20%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -9.12%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-01 21:24
Betr (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -12.92%E -4.45%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.16%EV -8.53%E -3.79%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.68%EV -7.65%E -2.43%K -3.56%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-01 21:20
betfred_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -13.52%E -4.69%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -8.53%E -3.79%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -9.12%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-01 21:19
Grosvenor🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.98%EV -15.92%E -5.69%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.70%EV -0.394%E -0.161%K -0.272%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.32%EV -7.65%E -2.43%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-01 21:20
Unibet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.98%EV -15.92%E -5.69%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.70%EV -0.394%E -0.161%K -0.272%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.32%EV -7.65%E -2.43%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-01 21:19
Unibet (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.98%EV -15.92%E -5.69%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.70%EV -0.394%E -0.161%K -0.272%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.32%EV -7.65%E -2.43%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-01 21:20
TABtouch🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.98%EV -15.92%E -5.69%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.70%EV -0.394%E -0.161%K -0.272%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.32%EV -7.65%E -2.43%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-01 21:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.98%EV -15.92%E -5.69%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.70%EV -0.394%E -0.161%K -0.272%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.32%EV -7.65%E -2.43%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-01 21:20
BetRivers🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -17.42%E -6.34%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.47%EV -0.394%E -0.161%K -0.272%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -7.65%E -2.43%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-01 21:20
LiveScore Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.13%EV -17.42%E -6.34%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.49%EV -1.21%E -0.497%K -0.844%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.39%EV -9.12%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-01 21:19
BoyleSports🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.13%EV -17.42%E -6.34%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.42%EV -6.49%E -2.82%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -12.05%E -4.02%K -6.03%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-01 21:15
Virgin Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.38%EV -18.92%E -7.01%K -11.13%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.55%EV -2.43%E -1.01%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.07%EV -9.12%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-01 21:20
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.68%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.08%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.24%0.6%2026-08-01 21:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.68%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.08%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.24%0.6%2026-08-01 21:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.68%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.08%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.24%0.6%2026-08-01 21:20
Smarkets3.30I 30.30%NM 29.99%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.90%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.11%1.0%2026-08-01 21:20
Matchbook3.30I 30.30%NM 29.99%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.90%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.11%1.0%2026-08-01 21:25
Kalshi3.12I 32.05%NM 30.82%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.41%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.77%4.0%2026-08-01 21:25