Language:English
O'Higgins v Universidad de Concepción
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
O'Higgins (Local)
Prediction 60.57%1.65fair odd
EV -0.667%
Edge -0.407%
Kelly -1.04%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.64
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.36%60.43%60.50%62.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.541.531.6469.44%64.98%65.36%60.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Universidad de Concepción (Visit)
Prediction 16.42%6.09fair odd
EV +2.65%
Edge +0.424%
Kelly +0.505%
Growth +0.013%
assuming max odds 6.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.25%16.55%16.33%19.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.705.385.496.2521.28%18.59%18.21%16.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 23.01%4.35fair odd
EV -2.91%
Edge -0.690%
Kelly -0.905%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.22
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.99%23.02%23.16%24.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.933.954.2229.41%25.45%25.32%23.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: O'Higgins (Local): 60.57%; Universidad de Concepción (Visit): 16.42%; Draw: 23.01%. For Universidad de Concepción (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.09. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.65%.
Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.50%EV -6.12%E -3.95%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.25%EV +2.65%E +0.424%K +0.505%G +0.013% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.25%EV -5.67%E -1.38%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-16 21:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.83%EV -6.12%E -3.95%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.46%EV +1.83%E +0.295%K +0.352%G +0.006% | 4.22I 23.70%NM 22.71%EV -2.91%E -0.690%K -0.905%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-16 21:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -7.94%E -5.22%K -15.26%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.51%EV -1.45%E -0.242%K -0.291%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -7.97%E -1.99%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-16 21:06 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -7.94%E -5.22%K -15.26%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.51%EV -1.45%E -0.242%K -0.291%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -7.97%E -1.99%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-16 21:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -9.15%E -6.10%K -18.29%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -1.45%E -0.242%K -0.291%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -5.67%E -1.38%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-16 21:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.42%EV -6.12%E -3.95%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.87%EV -3.10%E -0.525%K -0.632%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.71%EV -9.12%E -2.31%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-16 21:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.42%EV -6.12%E -3.95%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.87%EV -3.10%E -0.525%K -0.632%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.71%EV -9.12%E -2.31%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-16 21:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.42%EV -7.33%E -4.79%K -13.83%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.20%EV -4.74%E -0.817%K -0.987%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -3.37%E -0.803%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-16 21:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.18%EV -6.72%E -4.37%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -5.56%E -0.967%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -3.37%E -0.803%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-16 21:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.35%EV -6.12%E -3.95%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -5.56%E -0.967%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -7.97%E -1.99%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-16 21:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.50%EV -6.72%E -4.37%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.20%EV -5.56%E -0.967%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -7.97%E -1.99%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-16 21:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.59%EV -7.33%E -4.79%K -13.83%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV -5.56%E -0.967%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 23.29%EV -8.43%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-16 21:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.19%EV -12.17%E -8.40%K -27.06%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 15.82%EV -6.38%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.99%EV -5.67%E -1.38%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-16 21:06 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.75%EV -5.51%E -3.53%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -9.67%E -1.76%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -7.97%E -1.99%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-16 21:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.40%EV -6.72%E -4.37%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -9.67%E -1.76%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -5.67%E -1.38%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-16 21:01 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.06%EV -6.72%E -4.37%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV -9.67%E -1.76%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -7.97%E -1.99%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-16 21:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.06%EV -6.72%E -4.37%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV -9.67%E -1.76%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -7.97%E -1.99%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-16 21:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -9.15%E -6.10%K -18.29%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -9.67%E -1.76%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -7.97%E -1.99%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-16 21:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.16%EV -9.15%E -6.10%K -18.29%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.41%EV -9.67%E -1.76%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.44%EV -11.43%E -2.97%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-16 21:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.78%EV -9.15%E -6.10%K -18.29%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -9.67%E -1.76%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -13.73%E -3.66%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-16 21:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.78%EV -9.15%E -6.10%K -18.29%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -9.67%E -1.76%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -13.73%E -3.66%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-16 21:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.78%EV -9.15%E -6.10%K -18.29%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -9.67%E -1.76%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -13.73%E -3.66%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-16 21:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -12.78%E -8.88%K -29.05%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -9.67%E -1.76%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -7.97%E -1.99%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-16 21:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.22%EV -5.51%E -3.53%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 5.48I 18.25%NM 17.14%EV -9.99%E -1.82%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.64%EV -4.52%E -1.09%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-16 21:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.03%EV -7.33%E -4.79%K -13.83%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.01%EV -11.31%E -2.09%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -7.97%E -1.99%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-16 21:09 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.03%EV -7.33%E -4.79%K -13.83%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.01%EV -11.31%E -2.09%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -7.97%E -1.99%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-16 21:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.55%EV -7.94%E -5.22%K -15.26%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.24%EV -13.77%E -2.62%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -10.27%E -2.63%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-16 21:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.37%EV -7.94%E -5.22%K -15.26%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.19%EV -13.77%E -2.62%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.44%EV -11.43%E -2.97%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-16 21:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.87%EV -9.15%E -6.10%K -18.29%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -13.77%E -2.62%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -10.27%E -2.63%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-16 21:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.92%EV -7.94%E -5.22%K -15.26%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.86%EV -16.24%E -3.18%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22%EV -5.67%E -1.38%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-16 21:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.88%EV -7.33%E -4.79%K -13.83%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.02%EV -17.88%E -3.58%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -10.27%E -2.63%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-16 21:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.88%EV -7.33%E -4.79%K -13.83%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.02%EV -17.88%E -3.58%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -10.27%E -2.63%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-16 21:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.88%EV -7.33%E -4.79%K -13.83%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.02%EV -17.88%E -3.58%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -10.27%E -2.63%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-16 21:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.88%EV -7.33%E -4.79%K -13.83%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.02%EV -17.88%E -3.58%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -10.27%E -2.63%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-16 21:01 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -9.15%E -6.10%K -18.29%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -17.88%E -3.58%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -7.97%E -1.99%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-16 21:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.34%EV -7.33%E -4.79%K -13.83%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -17.88%E -3.58%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.80%EV -13.73%E -3.66%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-16 21:01 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 58.43%EV -12.78%E -8.88%K -29.05%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 16.83%EV -17.88%E -3.58%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 24.75%EV -21.78%E -6.41%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 18.9% | 2026-05-16 21:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.62%EV -0.667%E -0.407%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.95%EV -19.52%E -3.98%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.43%EV -12.58%E -3.31%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-16 21:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.62%EV -0.667%E -0.407%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.95%EV -19.52%E -3.98%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.43%EV -12.58%E -3.31%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-16 21:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.62%EV -0.667%E -0.407%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.95%EV -19.52%E -3.98%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.43%EV -12.58%E -3.31%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-16 21:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.62%EV -0.667%E -0.407%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.95%EV -19.52%E -3.98%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.43%EV -12.58%E -3.31%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-16 21:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.62%EV -0.667%E -0.407%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.95%EV -19.52%E -3.98%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.43%EV -12.58%E -3.31%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-16 21:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.36%EV -1.27%E -0.781%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.14%EV -21.16%E -4.41%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.50%EV -13.73%E -3.66%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-16 21:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.48%EV -2.48%E -1.54%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -21.16%E -4.41%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -14.88%E -4.02%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-16 21:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 59.42%EV -10.36%E -7.00%K -21.58%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.32%EV -21.16%E -4.41%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.26%EV -9.12%E -2.31%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-16 21:01 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.41%EV -3.09%E -1.93%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.20%EV -22.80%E -4.85%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.39%EV -14.88%E -4.02%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-16 21:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.12% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.93% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.95% | 1.2% | 2026-05-16 21:26 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.12% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.93% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.95% | 1.2% | 2026-05-16 21:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.12% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.93% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.95% | 1.2% | 2026-05-16 21:20 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.80% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.67% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.53% | 2.1% | 2026-05-16 21:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.83% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.68% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.49% | 3.4% | 2026-05-16 21:20 |