La escuela de los momiosEspañol
O'Higgins v Universidad de Concepción
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
O'Higgins (Local)
Predicción 60.57%1.65momio equitativo
EV -0.667%
Ventaja -0.407%
Kelly -1.04%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.64
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.36%60.43%60.50%62.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.441.541.531.6469.44%64.98%65.36%60.98%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Universidad de Concepción (Visitante)
Predicción 16.42%6.09momio equitativo
EV +2.65%
Ventaja +0.424%
Kelly +0.505%
Crecimiento +0.013%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.25%16.55%16.33%19.20%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.705.385.496.2521.28%18.59%18.21%16.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 23.01%4.35momio equitativo
EV -2.91%
Ventaja -0.690%
Kelly -0.905%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.22
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.99%23.02%23.16%24.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.403.933.954.2229.41%25.45%25.32%23.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.50%EV -6.12%E -3.95%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.25%EV +2.65%E +0.424%K +0.505%G +0.013% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.25%EV -5.67%E -1.38%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-16 21:20 |
| Pinnacle | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.83%EV -6.12%E -3.95%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.46%EV +1.83%E +0.295%K +0.352%G +0.006% | 4.22I 23.70%NM 22.71%EV -2.91%E -0.690%K -0.905%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-16 21:15 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -7.94%E -5.22%K -15.26%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.51%EV -1.45%E -0.242%K -0.291%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -7.97%E -1.99%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-16 21:06 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -7.94%E -5.22%K -15.26%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.51%EV -1.45%E -0.242%K -0.291%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -7.97%E -1.99%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-16 21:05 |
| Bet Victor | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -9.15%E -6.10%K -18.29%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -1.45%E -0.242%K -0.291%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -5.67%E -1.38%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-16 21:25 |
| Betsson | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.42%EV -6.12%E -3.95%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.87%EV -3.10%E -0.525%K -0.632%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.71%EV -9.12%E -2.31%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-16 21:10 |
| NordicBet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.42%EV -6.12%E -3.95%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.87%EV -3.10%E -0.525%K -0.632%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.71%EV -9.12%E -2.31%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-16 21:10 |
| FanDuel | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.42%EV -7.33%E -4.79%K -13.83%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.20%EV -4.74%E -0.817%K -0.987%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -3.37%E -0.803%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-16 21:09 |
| DraftKings | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.18%EV -6.72%E -4.37%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -5.56%E -0.967%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -3.37%E -0.803%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-16 21:20 |
| Betway | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.35%EV -6.12%E -3.95%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -5.56%E -0.967%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -7.97%E -1.99%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-16 21:05 |
| 1xBet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.50%EV -6.72%E -4.37%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.20%EV -5.56%E -0.967%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -7.97%E -1.99%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-16 21:20 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.59%EV -7.33%E -4.79%K -13.83%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV -5.56%E -0.967%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 23.29%EV -8.43%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-16 21:25 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.19%EV -12.17%E -8.40%K -27.06%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 15.82%EV -6.38%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.99%EV -5.67%E -1.38%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-16 21:06 |
| Fanatics | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.75%EV -5.51%E -3.53%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -9.67%E -1.76%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -7.97%E -1.99%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-16 21:15 |
| BetMGM | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.40%EV -6.72%E -4.37%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -9.67%E -1.76%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -5.67%E -1.38%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-16 21:01 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.06%EV -6.72%E -4.37%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV -9.67%E -1.76%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -7.97%E -1.99%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-16 21:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.06%EV -6.72%E -4.37%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV -9.67%E -1.76%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -7.97%E -1.99%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-16 21:15 |
| SportsBet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -9.15%E -6.10%K -18.29%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -9.67%E -1.76%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -7.97%E -1.99%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-16 21:10 |
| Everygame | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.16%EV -9.15%E -6.10%K -18.29%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.41%EV -9.67%E -1.76%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.44%EV -11.43%E -2.97%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-16 21:15 |
| 888sport | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.78%EV -9.15%E -6.10%K -18.29%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -9.67%E -1.76%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -13.73%E -3.66%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-16 21:10 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.78%EV -9.15%E -6.10%K -18.29%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -9.67%E -1.76%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -13.73%E -3.66%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-16 21:10 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.78%EV -9.15%E -6.10%K -18.29%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -9.67%E -1.76%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -13.73%E -3.66%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-16 21:10 |
| Paddy Power | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -12.78%E -8.88%K -29.05%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -9.67%E -1.76%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -7.97%E -1.99%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-16 21:10 |
| GTbets | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.22%EV -5.51%E -3.53%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 5.48I 18.25%NM 17.14%EV -9.99%E -1.82%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.64%EV -4.52%E -1.09%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-16 21:05 |
| Bovada | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.03%EV -7.33%E -4.79%K -13.83%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.01%EV -11.31%E -2.09%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -7.97%E -1.99%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-16 21:09 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.03%EV -7.33%E -4.79%K -13.83%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.01%EV -11.31%E -2.09%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -7.97%E -1.99%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-16 21:05 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.55%EV -7.94%E -5.22%K -15.26%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.24%EV -13.77%E -2.62%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -10.27%E -2.63%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-16 21:15 |
| PlayUp | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.37%EV -7.94%E -5.22%K -15.26%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.19%EV -13.77%E -2.62%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.44%EV -11.43%E -2.97%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-16 21:10 |
| Sky Bet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.87%EV -9.15%E -6.10%K -18.29%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -13.77%E -2.62%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -10.27%E -2.63%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-16 21:10 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.92%EV -7.94%E -5.22%K -15.26%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.86%EV -16.24%E -3.18%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22%EV -5.67%E -1.38%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-16 21:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.88%EV -7.33%E -4.79%K -13.83%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.02%EV -17.88%E -3.58%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -10.27%E -2.63%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-16 21:00 |
| Neds | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.88%EV -7.33%E -4.79%K -13.83%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.02%EV -17.88%E -3.58%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -10.27%E -2.63%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-16 21:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.88%EV -7.33%E -4.79%K -13.83%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.02%EV -17.88%E -3.58%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -10.27%E -2.63%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-16 21:00 |
| Coral | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.88%EV -7.33%E -4.79%K -13.83%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.02%EV -17.88%E -3.58%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -10.27%E -2.63%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-16 21:01 |
| BoyleSports | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -9.15%E -6.10%K -18.29%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -17.88%E -3.58%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -7.97%E -1.99%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-16 21:00 |
| betfred_uk | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.34%EV -7.33%E -4.79%K -13.83%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -17.88%E -3.58%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.80%EV -13.73%E -3.66%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-16 21:01 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 58.43%EV -12.78%E -8.88%K -29.05%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 16.83%EV -17.88%E -3.58%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 24.75%EV -21.78%E -6.41%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 18.9% | 2026-05-16 21:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.62%EV -0.667%E -0.407%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.95%EV -19.52%E -3.98%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.43%EV -12.58%E -3.31%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-16 21:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.62%EV -0.667%E -0.407%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.95%EV -19.52%E -3.98%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.43%EV -12.58%E -3.31%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-16 21:00 |
| Unibet | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.62%EV -0.667%E -0.407%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.95%EV -19.52%E -3.98%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.43%EV -12.58%E -3.31%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-16 21:00 |
| TABtouch | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.62%EV -0.667%E -0.407%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.95%EV -19.52%E -3.98%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.43%EV -12.58%E -3.31%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-16 21:00 |
| Grosvenor | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.62%EV -0.667%E -0.407%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.95%EV -19.52%E -3.98%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.43%EV -12.58%E -3.31%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-16 21:00 |
| BetRivers | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.36%EV -1.27%E -0.781%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.14%EV -21.16%E -4.41%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.50%EV -13.73%E -3.66%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-16 21:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.48%EV -2.48%E -1.54%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -21.16%E -4.41%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -14.88%E -4.02%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-16 21:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 59.42%EV -10.36%E -7.00%K -21.58%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.32%EV -21.16%E -4.41%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.26%EV -9.12%E -2.31%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-16 21:01 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.41%EV -3.09%E -1.93%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.20%EV -22.80%E -4.85%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.39%EV -14.88%E -4.02%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-16 21:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.12% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.93% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.95% | 1.2% | 2026-05-16 21:26 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.12% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.93% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.95% | 1.2% | 2026-05-16 21:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.12% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.93% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.95% | 1.2% | 2026-05-16 21:20 |
| Kalshi | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.80% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.67% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.53% | 2.1% | 2026-05-16 21:25 |
| Smarkets | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.83% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.68% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.49% | 3.4% | 2026-05-16 21:20 |