L’École des cotes

O'Higgins v Universidad de Concepción

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-16 21:30 UTC

Score final : O'Higgins 0–1 Universidad de Concepción

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

46 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

O'Higgins (Local)

Prévision 60.57%1.65cote équitable
EV -0.667%
Avantage -0.407%
Kelly -1.04%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.64

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
56.36%60.43%60.50%62.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.441.541.531.6469.44%64.98%65.36%60.98%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Universidad de Concepción (Visiteur)

Prévision 16.42%6.09cote équitable
EV +2.65%
Avantage +0.424%
Kelly +0.505%
Croissance +0.013%

avec la cote maximale 6.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.25%16.55%16.33%19.20%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.705.385.496.2521.28%18.59%18.21%16.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 23.01%4.35cote équitable
EV -2.91%
Avantage -0.690%
Kelly -0.905%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.22

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.99%23.02%23.16%24.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.403.933.954.2229.41%25.45%25.32%23.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.50%EV -6.12%E -3.95%K -11.12%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.25%EV +2.65%E +0.424%K +0.505%G +0.013%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.25%EV -5.67%E -1.38%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-16 21:20
Pinnacle1.55I 64.52%NM 61.83%EV -6.12%E -3.95%K -11.12%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.46%EV +1.83%E +0.295%K +0.352%G +0.006%4.22I 23.70%NM 22.71%EV -2.91%E -0.690%K -0.905%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-16 21:15
BetOnline.ag1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -7.94%E -5.22%K -15.26%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.51%EV -1.45%E -0.242%K -0.291%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -7.97%E -1.99%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-16 21:06
LowVig.ag1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -7.94%E -5.22%K -15.26%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.51%EV -1.45%E -0.242%K -0.291%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -7.97%E -1.99%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-16 21:05
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -9.15%E -6.10%K -18.29%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -1.45%E -0.242%K -0.291%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -5.67%E -1.38%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-16 21:25
Betsson1.55I 64.52%NM 60.42%EV -6.12%E -3.95%K -11.12%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.87%EV -3.10%E -0.525%K -0.632%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.71%EV -9.12%E -2.31%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-16 21:10
NordicBet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.42%EV -6.12%E -3.95%K -11.12%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.87%EV -3.10%E -0.525%K -0.632%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.71%EV -9.12%E -2.31%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-16 21:10
FanDuel1.53I 65.36%NM 61.42%EV -7.33%E -4.79%K -13.83%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.20%EV -4.74%E -0.817%K -0.987%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -3.37%E -0.803%K -1.05%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-16 21:09
DraftKings1.54I 64.94%NM 61.18%EV -6.72%E -4.37%K -12.45%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -5.56%E -0.967%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -3.37%E -0.803%K -1.05%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-16 21:20
Betway1.55I 64.52%NM 60.35%EV -6.12%E -3.95%K -11.12%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -5.56%E -0.967%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -7.97%E -1.99%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-16 21:05
1xBet1.54I 64.94%NM 60.50%EV -6.72%E -4.37%K -12.45%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.20%EV -5.56%E -0.967%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -7.97%E -1.99%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-16 21:20
Marathon Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 60.59%EV -7.33%E -4.79%K -13.83%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV -5.56%E -0.967%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.29%EV -8.43%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-16 21:25
Tipico (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 62.19%EV -12.17%E -8.40%K -27.06%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.82%EV -6.38%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.99%EV -5.67%E -1.38%K -1.83%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-16 21:06
Fanatics1.56I 64.10%NM 59.75%EV -5.51%E -3.53%K -9.84%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -9.67%E -1.76%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -7.97%E -1.99%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-16 21:15
BetMGM1.54I 64.94%NM 60.40%EV -6.72%E -4.37%K -12.45%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -9.67%E -1.76%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -5.67%E -1.38%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-16 21:01
Unibet (UK)1.54I 64.94%NM 60.06%EV -6.72%E -4.37%K -12.45%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV -9.67%E -1.76%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -7.97%E -1.99%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 21:00
PointsBet (AU)1.54I 64.94%NM 60.06%EV -6.72%E -4.37%K -12.45%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV -9.67%E -1.76%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -7.97%E -1.99%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 21:15
SportsBet1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -9.15%E -6.10%K -18.29%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -9.67%E -1.76%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -7.97%E -1.99%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-16 21:10
Everygame1.50I 66.67%NM 60.16%EV -9.15%E -6.10%K -18.29%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.41%EV -9.67%E -1.76%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.44%EV -11.43%E -2.97%K -4.01%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-16 21:15
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 59.78%EV -9.15%E -6.10%K -18.29%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -9.67%E -1.76%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -13.73%E -3.66%K -4.99%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-16 21:10
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 59.78%EV -9.15%E -6.10%K -18.29%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -9.67%E -1.76%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -13.73%E -3.66%K -4.99%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-16 21:10
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 59.78%EV -9.15%E -6.10%K -18.29%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -9.67%E -1.76%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -13.73%E -3.66%K -4.99%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-16 21:10
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -12.78%E -8.88%K -29.05%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -9.67%E -1.76%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -7.97%E -1.99%K -2.66%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-16 21:10
GTbets1.56I 64.10%NM 60.22%EV -5.51%E -3.53%K -9.84%G +0.000%5.48I 18.25%NM 17.14%EV -9.99%E -1.82%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.64%EV -4.52%E -1.09%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-16 21:05
Bovada1.53I 65.36%NM 60.03%EV -7.33%E -4.79%K -13.83%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.01%EV -11.31%E -2.09%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -7.97%E -1.99%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-16 21:09
Codere (IT)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.03%EV -7.33%E -4.79%K -13.83%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.01%EV -11.31%E -2.09%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -7.97%E -1.99%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-16 21:05
Betr (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 59.55%EV -7.94%E -5.22%K -15.26%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.24%EV -13.77%E -2.62%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -10.27%E -2.63%K -3.54%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-16 21:15
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 59.37%EV -7.94%E -5.22%K -15.26%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.19%EV -13.77%E -2.62%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.44%EV -11.43%E -2.97%K -4.01%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-16 21:10
Sky Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 59.87%EV -9.15%E -6.10%K -18.29%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -13.77%E -2.62%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -10.27%E -2.63%K -3.54%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-16 21:10
Winamax (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 59.92%EV -7.94%E -5.22%K -15.26%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.86%EV -16.24%E -3.18%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22%EV -5.67%E -1.38%K -1.83%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-16 21:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 58.88%EV -7.33%E -4.79%K -13.83%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.02%EV -17.88%E -3.58%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -10.27%E -2.63%K -3.54%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-16 21:00
Neds1.53I 65.36%NM 58.88%EV -7.33%E -4.79%K -13.83%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.02%EV -17.88%E -3.58%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -10.27%E -2.63%K -3.54%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-16 21:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 58.88%EV -7.33%E -4.79%K -13.83%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.02%EV -17.88%E -3.58%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -10.27%E -2.63%K -3.54%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-16 21:00
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 58.88%EV -7.33%E -4.79%K -13.83%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.02%EV -17.88%E -3.58%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -10.27%E -2.63%K -3.54%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-16 21:01
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -9.15%E -6.10%K -18.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -17.88%E -3.58%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -7.97%E -1.99%K -2.66%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-16 21:00
betfred_uk1.53I 65.36%NM 58.34%EV -7.33%E -4.79%K -13.83%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -17.88%E -3.58%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.80%EV -13.73%E -3.66%K -4.99%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-16 21:01
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 58.43%EV -12.78%E -8.88%K -29.05%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 16.83%EV -17.88%E -3.58%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.75%EV -21.78%E -6.41%K -9.07%G +0.000%18.9%2026-05-16 21:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.62%EV -0.667%E -0.407%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.95%EV -19.52%E -3.98%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.43%EV -12.58%E -3.31%K -4.49%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-16 21:00
Unibet (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.62%EV -0.667%E -0.407%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.95%EV -19.52%E -3.98%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.43%EV -12.58%E -3.31%K -4.49%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-16 21:00
Unibet1.64I 60.98%NM 56.62%EV -0.667%E -0.407%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.95%EV -19.52%E -3.98%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.43%EV -12.58%E -3.31%K -4.49%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-16 21:00
TABtouch1.64I 60.98%NM 56.62%EV -0.667%E -0.407%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.95%EV -19.52%E -3.98%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.43%EV -12.58%E -3.31%K -4.49%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-16 21:00
Grosvenor1.64I 60.98%NM 56.62%EV -0.667%E -0.407%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.95%EV -19.52%E -3.98%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.43%EV -12.58%E -3.31%K -4.49%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-16 21:00
BetRivers1.63I 61.35%NM 56.36%EV -1.27%E -0.781%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.14%EV -21.16%E -4.41%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.50%EV -13.73%E -3.66%K -4.99%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-16 21:00
LiveScore Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 56.48%EV -2.48%E -1.54%K -4.07%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -21.16%E -4.41%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -14.88%E -4.02%K -5.51%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-16 21:00
Winamax (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 59.42%EV -10.36%E -7.00%K -21.58%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.32%EV -21.16%E -4.41%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.26%EV -9.12%E -2.31%K -3.09%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-16 21:01
Virgin Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 56.41%EV -3.09%E -1.93%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.20%EV -22.80%E -4.85%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.39%EV -14.88%E -4.02%K -5.51%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-16 21:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.12%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.93%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.95%1.2%2026-05-16 21:26
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.12%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.93%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.95%1.2%2026-05-16 21:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.12%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.93%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.95%1.2%2026-05-16 21:20
Kalshi1.56I 64.10%NM 62.80%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.67%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.53%2.1%2026-05-16 21:25
Smarkets1.59I 62.89%NM 60.83%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.68%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.49%3.4%2026-05-16 21:20