Language:English
Ñublense v Universidad de Chile
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Ñublense (Local)
Prediction 33.61%2.98fair odd
EV -0.516%
Edge -0.174%
Kelly -0.263%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.96
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.66%33.66%33.54%35.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.702.712.9640.82%37.10%36.90%33.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Universidad de Chile (Visit)
Prediction 36.82%2.72fair odd
EV -0.599%
Edge -0.222%
Kelly -0.352%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.54%36.72%36.87%39.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.502.502.7043.48%39.99%40.00%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 29.58%3.38fair odd
EV -2.70%
Edge -0.820%
Kelly -1.18%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.29
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.78%29.62%29.59%31.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.633.083.103.2938.02%32.50%32.26%30.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ñublense (Local): 33.61%; Universidad de Chile (Visit): 36.82%; Draw: 29.58%. For Ñublense (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.98. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.96, with an expected value of -0.516%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.45%EV -0.516%E -0.174%K -0.263%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.81%EV -6.49%E -2.55%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.74%EV -4.47%E -1.38%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-12 21:29 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.43%EV -3.21%E -1.11%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.31%EV -5.02%E -1.94%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 29.26%EV -2.70%E -0.820%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-12 21:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.60%EV -4.21%E -1.48%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.43%EV -6.12%E -2.40%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -11.27%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-12 21:29 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.66%EV -4.21%E -1.48%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -15.32%E -6.66%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-12 21:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -5.89%E -2.10%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.21%EV -2.44%E -0.920%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.52%EV -3.88%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-12 21:29 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.38%EV -5.89%E -2.10%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.66%EV -6.12%E -2.40%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.96%EV -7.73%E -2.48%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-12 21:28 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -5.89%E -2.10%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -7.96%E -3.18%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -11.27%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-12 21:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.49%EV -6.57%E -2.36%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.95%EV -7.23%E -2.87%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.56%EV -6.84%E -2.17%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-12 21:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.49%EV -6.57%E -2.36%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.95%EV -7.23%E -2.87%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.56%EV -6.84%E -2.17%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-12 21:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.35%EV -6.57%E -2.36%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 36.94%EV -7.59%E -3.03%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.71%EV -7.73%E -2.48%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-12 21:29 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.28%EV -7.57%E -2.75%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.54%EV -5.02%E -1.94%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.18%EV -4.47%E -1.38%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-12 21:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -7.57%E -2.75%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -7.96%E -3.18%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -5.36%E -1.67%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-12 21:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -7.57%E -2.75%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -7.96%E -3.18%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-12 21:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -7.57%E -2.75%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -9.80%E -4.00%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-12 21:29 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -7.57%E -2.75%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -9.80%E -4.00%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-12 21:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -7.57%E -2.75%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -11.64%E -4.85%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-12 21:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -7.57%E -2.75%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -9.80%E -4.00%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -11.27%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-12 21:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -7.57%E -2.75%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -11.64%E -4.85%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -11.27%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-12 21:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -7.57%E -2.75%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -11.64%E -4.85%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -11.27%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-12 21:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -7.57%E -2.75%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -11.64%E -4.85%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -11.27%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-12 21:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.57%EV -7.57%E -2.75%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.55%EV -9.80%E -4.00%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.88%EV -14.23%E -4.91%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-12 21:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.62%EV -8.58%E -3.16%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.88%EV -8.70%E -3.51%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.50%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-12 21:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.62%EV -8.58%E -3.16%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.88%EV -8.70%E -3.51%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.50%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-12 21:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -9.25%E -3.43%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -4.28%E -1.65%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-12 21:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -9.25%E -3.43%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -6.12%E -2.40%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-12 21:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -9.25%E -3.43%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -7.96%E -3.18%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-12 21:30 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.72%EV -9.25%E -3.43%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.42%EV -7.96%E -3.18%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.85%EV -9.80%E -3.21%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-12 21:29 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.97%EV -9.25%E -3.43%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.33%EV -9.80%E -4.00%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.70%EV -14.23%E -4.91%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-12 21:29 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.22%EV -10.94%E -4.13%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -6.12%E -2.40%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.22%EV -11.27%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-12 21:29 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.21%EV -10.94%E -4.13%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.01%EV -9.80%E -4.00%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -6.84%E -2.17%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-12 21:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 32.94%EV -10.94%E -4.13%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.96%EV -15.32%E -6.66%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.10%EV -11.27%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-04-12 21:29 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.96%EV -11.61%E -4.41%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.22%EV -11.64%E -4.85%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.82%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-12 21:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.96%EV -11.61%E -4.41%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.22%EV -11.64%E -4.85%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.82%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-12 21:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 31.81%EV -11.61%E -4.41%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 36.38%EV -15.32%E -6.66%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 31.81%EV -22.22%E -8.45%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 19.5% | 2026-04-12 21:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.05%EV -11.94%E -4.56%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%EV -11.64%E -4.85%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-12 21:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.05%EV -11.94%E -4.56%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%EV -11.64%E -4.85%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-12 21:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.86%EV -12.62%E -4.85%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -0.599%E -0.222%K -0.352%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -6.84%E -2.17%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-12 21:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.90%EV -12.62%E -4.85%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.72%EV -11.64%E -4.85%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.38%EV -11.27%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-04-12 21:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -14.30%E -5.61%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.55%EV -2.44%E -0.920%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.54%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-12 21:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -14.30%E -5.61%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.55%EV -2.44%E -0.920%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.54%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-12 21:29 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -14.30%E -5.61%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.55%EV -2.44%E -0.920%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.54%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-12 21:29 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -14.30%E -5.61%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.55%EV -2.44%E -0.920%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.54%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-12 21:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -14.30%E -5.61%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.55%EV -2.44%E -0.920%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.54%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-12 21:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.81%EV -14.30%E -5.61%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.73%EV -3.18%E -1.21%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.46%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-12 21:29 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -15.98%E -6.39%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.57%EV -4.28%E -1.65%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.47%EV -9.80%E -3.21%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-12 21:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.58%EV -17.66%E -7.21%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.87%EV -7.96%E -3.18%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.55%EV -12.75%E -4.32%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-04-12 21:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.84% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.31% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.85% | 1.5% | 2026-04-12 21:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.84% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.31% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.85% | 1.5% | 2026-04-12 21:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.84% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.31% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.85% | 1.5% | 2026-04-12 21:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.74% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.24% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.02% | 2.5% | 2026-04-12 21:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.59% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.48% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.93% | 7.1% | 2026-04-12 21:30 |