L’École des cotes

Ñublense v Universidad de Chile

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-12 21:32 UTC

Score final : Ñublense 1–0 Universidad de Chile

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

46 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Ñublense (Local)

Prévision 33.61%2.98cote équitable
EV -0.516%
Avantage -0.174%
Kelly -0.263%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.96

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.66%33.66%33.54%35.96%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.452.702.712.9640.82%37.10%36.90%33.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Universidad de Chile (Visiteur)

Prévision 36.82%2.72cote équitable
EV -0.599%
Avantage -0.222%
Kelly -0.352%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.54%36.72%36.87%39.23%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.302.502.502.7043.48%39.99%40.00%37.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 29.58%3.38cote équitable
EV -2.70%
Avantage -0.820%
Kelly -1.18%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.29

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.78%29.62%29.59%31.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.633.083.103.2938.02%32.50%32.26%30.40%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet2.96I 33.78%NM 32.45%EV -0.516%E -0.174%K -0.263%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.81%EV -6.49%E -2.55%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.74%EV -4.47%E -1.38%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-12 21:29
Pinnacle2.88I 34.72%NM 33.43%EV -3.21%E -1.11%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.31%EV -5.02%E -1.94%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 29.26%EV -2.70%E -0.820%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-12 21:29
FanDuel2.85I 35.09%NM 32.60%EV -4.21%E -1.48%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.43%EV -6.12%E -2.40%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -11.27%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-12 21:29
Tipico (DE)2.85I 35.09%NM 31.66%EV -4.21%E -1.48%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -15.32%E -6.66%K -11.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-12 21:30
Coolbet2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -5.89%E -2.10%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.21%EV -2.44%E -0.920%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.52%EV -3.88%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-12 21:29
Bet Victor2.80I 35.71%NM 33.38%EV -5.89%E -2.10%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.66%EV -6.12%E -2.40%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.96%EV -7.73%E -2.48%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-12 21:28
SportsBet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -5.89%E -2.10%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -7.96%E -3.18%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -11.27%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-12 21:29
NordicBet2.78I 35.97%NM 33.49%EV -6.57%E -2.36%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.95%EV -7.23%E -2.87%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.56%EV -6.84%E -2.17%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-12 21:29
Betsson2.78I 35.97%NM 33.49%EV -6.57%E -2.36%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.95%EV -7.23%E -2.87%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.56%EV -6.84%E -2.17%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-12 21:29
Marathon Bet2.78I 35.97%NM 33.35%EV -6.57%E -2.36%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 36.94%EV -7.59%E -3.03%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.71%EV -7.73%E -2.48%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-12 21:29
GTbets2.75I 36.36%NM 34.28%EV -7.57%E -2.75%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.54%EV -5.02%E -1.94%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.18%EV -4.47%E -1.38%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-12 21:29
BetMGM2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -7.57%E -2.75%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -7.96%E -3.18%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -5.36%E -1.67%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-12 21:30
Fanatics2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -7.57%E -2.75%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -7.96%E -3.18%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 21:30
BetUS2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -7.57%E -2.75%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -9.80%E -4.00%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-12 21:29
BetAnything2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -7.57%E -2.75%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -9.80%E -4.00%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-12 21:29
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -7.57%E -2.75%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -11.64%E -4.85%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-12 21:30
PlayUp2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -7.57%E -2.75%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -9.80%E -4.00%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -11.27%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-12 21:29
888sport2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -7.57%E -2.75%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -11.64%E -4.85%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -11.27%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-12 21:29
Mr Green (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -7.57%E -2.75%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -11.64%E -4.85%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -11.27%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-12 21:29
888sport (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -7.57%E -2.75%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -11.64%E -4.85%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -11.27%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-12 21:29
Paddy Power2.75I 36.36%NM 32.57%EV -7.57%E -2.75%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.55%EV -9.80%E -4.00%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.88%EV -14.23%E -4.91%K -7.49%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-12 21:30
BetOnline.ag2.72I 36.76%NM 33.62%EV -8.58%E -3.16%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.88%EV -8.70%E -3.51%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.50%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-12 21:30
LowVig.ag2.72I 36.76%NM 33.62%EV -8.58%E -3.16%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.88%EV -8.70%E -3.51%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.50%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-12 21:30
PointsBet (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -9.25%E -3.43%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -4.28%E -1.65%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-12 21:29
Bovada2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -9.25%E -3.43%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -6.12%E -2.40%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-12 21:20
Codere (IT)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -9.25%E -3.43%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -7.96%E -3.18%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-12 21:30
Everygame2.70I 37.04%NM 33.72%EV -9.25%E -3.43%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.42%EV -7.96%E -3.18%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.85%EV -9.80%E -3.21%K -4.78%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-12 21:29
Sky Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 32.97%EV -9.25%E -3.43%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.33%EV -9.80%E -4.00%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.70%EV -14.23%E -4.91%K -7.49%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-12 21:29
Betr (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.22%EV -10.94%E -4.13%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -6.12%E -2.40%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.22%EV -11.27%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-12 21:29
Winamax (DE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.21%EV -10.94%E -4.13%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.01%EV -9.80%E -4.00%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -6.84%E -2.17%K -3.18%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-12 21:30
Unibet (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 32.94%EV -10.94%E -4.13%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.96%EV -15.32%E -6.66%K -11.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.10%EV -11.27%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000%14.5%2026-04-12 21:29
Neds2.63I 38.02%NM 33.96%EV -11.61%E -4.41%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.22%EV -11.64%E -4.85%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.82%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-12 21:29
Ladbrokes (AU)2.63I 38.02%NM 33.96%EV -11.61%E -4.41%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.22%EV -11.64%E -4.85%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.82%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-12 21:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.63I 38.02%NM 31.81%EV -11.61%E -4.41%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 36.38%EV -15.32%E -6.66%K -11.79%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 31.81%EV -22.22%E -8.45%K -13.63%G +0.000%19.5%2026-04-12 21:30
Ladbrokes (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.05%EV -11.94%E -4.56%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%EV -11.64%E -4.85%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-12 21:30
Coral2.62I 38.17%NM 34.05%EV -11.94%E -4.56%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%EV -11.64%E -4.85%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-12 21:30
DraftKings2.60I 38.46%NM 35.86%EV -12.62%E -4.85%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -0.599%E -0.222%K -0.352%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -6.84%E -2.17%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-12 21:30
BoyleSports2.60I 38.46%NM 33.90%EV -12.62%E -4.85%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.72%EV -11.64%E -4.85%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.38%EV -11.27%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-12 21:29
Unibet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -14.30%E -5.61%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.55%EV -2.44%E -0.920%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.54%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-12 21:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -14.30%E -5.61%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.55%EV -2.44%E -0.920%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.54%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-12 21:29
Grosvenor2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -14.30%E -5.61%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.55%EV -2.44%E -0.920%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.54%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-12 21:29
Unibet (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -14.30%E -5.61%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.55%EV -2.44%E -0.920%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.54%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-12 21:29
TABtouch2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -14.30%E -5.61%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.55%EV -2.44%E -0.920%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.54%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-12 21:30
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.81%EV -14.30%E -5.61%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.73%EV -3.18%E -1.21%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.46%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-12 21:29
Virgin Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -15.98%E -6.39%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.57%EV -4.28%E -1.65%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.47%EV -9.80%E -3.21%K -4.78%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-12 21:30
Winamax (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 35.58%EV -17.66%E -7.21%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.87%EV -7.96%E -3.18%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.55%EV -12.75%E -4.32%K -6.54%G +0.000%14.7%2026-04-12 21:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 32.84%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.31%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.85%1.5%2026-04-12 21:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.00I 33.33%NM 32.84%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.31%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.85%1.5%2026-04-12 21:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 32.84%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.31%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.85%1.5%2026-04-12 21:30
Smarkets2.98I 33.56%NM 32.74%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.24%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.02%2.5%2026-04-12 21:30
Kalshi2.78I 35.97%NM 33.59%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.48%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.93%7.1%2026-04-12 21:30